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Messages - DougMacG

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101
Politics & Religion / Re: question
« on: April 13, 2024, 11:11:02 AM »
True but to simplify, it's the excessive spending.

There is no possible Fed policy that accommodates this level of excess spending without doing damage.

Both parties spend too much, but Democrats in our lifetime are always on the side of spending more, way more, no matter how far past reasonable or affordable we have already gone.

To make things worse,  their spending is harming the people it's allegedly intended to help.  Small things called dependency and disincentives to work.

102
Politics & Religion / Political Economics, Bidenflation = 20%
« on: April 13, 2024, 10:21:12 AM »
https://tippinsights.com/bidenflation-soars-to-18-8-squeezing-americans/

18.8% already rounds to 20% and we still have the rest of the year, still going up at twice the criminal theft targeted rate.

Inflation compounding trivia question, if every 4 year Dem President takes 24% of your wealth, how much do you have left in 10 years, 20 years, 30 years, etc.?

My answer, stop electing Dem Presidents and Dem policies.

103
Politics & Religion / Re: Tucker
« on: April 12, 2024, 08:26:30 PM »
Very talented guy but not someone I'm with on all issues especially relating to foreign policy.

We can have an honest debate about US involvement in anything, but rational people should be able to agree on which side we favor, and it isn't Hamas and it isn't Putin in my view..

104
Politics & Religion / Rep. Ilhan Omar D-Mpls
« on: April 12, 2024, 11:31:06 AM »
Just want to take a moment to wish Ilhan Omar and her (ex)husband a happy siblings day.

106
Politics & Religion / California, blue states, Colorado etc.
« on: April 12, 2024, 06:31:55 AM »
https://www.theepochtimes.com/article/democrats-used-a-bold-strategy-to-turn-colorado-blue-now-the-gop-wants-to-win-it-back-5624966?src_src=epochHG&src_cmp=rcp

Can Colorado be flipped back?  (Minnesota too.)

Cut 10 points off their margin.  Margin of victory or defeat matters.

1. Message   
2. Money 
3. Winning strategy
All intertwined.

GOP needs to be more competitive in Colorado (and California) (and MN) (and Virginia) and so on.

We are currently vacationing in Berkeley, studying the blue model up close.

107
Hong Kong BTC ETF expected to trade by end of this month. This will bring a lot of Chinese money.

https://cryptonews.com/news/hong-kong-poised-to-unveil-first-spot-bitcoin-etfs-on-april-15.htm

More sales, more demand, but they aren't increasing the supply...

108
Politics & Religion / Re: Sure looks like Duterte was bought
« on: April 10, 2024, 06:26:19 AM »
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/marcos-says-he-s-horrified-by-duterte-sea-deal-with-china/ar-BB1ln7Fa?ocid=msedgntp&pc=DCTS&cvid=4842a59f281f4f2db703780edc46be0e&ei=10

I can't figure out Philippine politics but the landslide election of 2022 certainly was a game changer for the US coalition against Chinese expansionism.

109
Politics & Religion / Re: Sen. John Thune on Myorkas trial
« on: April 10, 2024, 05:45:50 AM »
https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/john-thune-alejandro-mayorkas-impeachment/2024/04/09/id/1160383/

of course, 67 votes needed to rid us of this lying treasonous criminal, but a trial would at least further expose him.

Right.  A trial would expose him, not remove him.

The article gives the example of how to avoid the trial. Biden could replace Mayorkas since it is the individual, not the administration being impeached. That seems to be the only way out other than schedule the trial for after the election.

Otherwise, aren't they constitutionally mandated to have a trial?  Wouldn't it take 60 votes to outright dismiss the charges? 

Schumer's last act as Majority Leader: whatever they choose, Senate Democrats are feeding a movement destined to put them in the minority. 

Thune wants to be Majority Leader and seems to be saying the right things in this case.

Let's see which affects swing state voters more, Trump's business valuations trial or exposure of the administration's collusion with the Mexican cartels to bring 10 million illegals into our country, including fentanyl that killed more than the Vietnam war,  human trafficking that's now greater than the drug trade, violent crime to our cities and suburbs, and terror and espionage cells.

110
Politics & Religion / Re: US-Russia
« on: April 10, 2024, 05:23:20 AM »
Interesting times of lost opportunity.

In my view, the US leftward turn during Bush's last two years and then in Clinton's first two years blurred the lines of what a new Russia needed to do to compete in the western world. Why would they turn to freedom while we were turning away from it?

To follow Reagan, America chose Bush over Dukakis in 1988 when the right answer in my view  was Jack Kemp to take economic freedom in the west to the next level using what we learned in Reagan's 8 years.

So we had 4 years of undoing Reagan in the US while potential freedom in Russia was in it's infancy. By the end of the decade Russia had KGB for a leader and their chance at free elections, free economy and a free people was squandered.

111
'increasing energy prices and less reliable power'

  - The March by design away from prosperity to becoming a third world country.

Our electric bills are already, in my view, 40% electricity, 60% mandates.

My last home phone bill was 60% tax, 40% phone.

Shrinking real incomes is a feature not a bug of this regime.

It's not the rich who are paying the insufficient and unreliable energy mandate taxes.

112
He goes to the same winning (sort of) playbook when he is in trouble - even though the Supreme Court already said no.

Why does he think major spending and debt issues, billions affecting millions doesn't have to go through Congress?

On each of these tired initiatives, there is a possibility like Lucy pulling away the football that people won't keep falling for it.

Of course he wants the issue, not the policy.  The young people still owe the money no matter how he reassigns the debt.  What part of $35 Trillion and climbing after we die don't young voters understand?

87% do not have student loans, but in a sense they will after the debt is reassigned.

113
Regarding the inflation forecast debate, I add my view:

Whether double digit or high single digit inflation is coming or more moderate rounding to 4 or more per cent per year compounding inflation is coming, it is still criminally reckless negligencebeing committed by our policy makers in my view. (With blame going back to the voters.)

In my view the "2% inflation target should be 0.2%. The 2% target that hits actual averages close to 4% long term is destroying our currency and destroying our country.

"During the observation period from 1960 to 2022, the average inflation rate was 3.8% per year. Overall, the price increase was 903.96%."
https://www.worlddata.info/america/usa/inflation-rates.php#:~:text=During%20the%20observation%20period%20from,the%20price%20increase%20was%20903.96%25.

The Fed is enabling the Confessional spenders.

Under what economic theory can we spend 40% more than we take in, only getting worse, borrow and or print the difference, interest costs going up exponentially, and this has a 'soft landing'? How? Where? When?

I realise they are only forecasting this calendar year, but this calendar year, other than an election, includes no long term course correction. And the promises being made in the election preclude a major course correction after.

What I'm asking is, what part of unsustainable don't the experts, even on our side, not understand?

Or am I wrong, 'everything is fine Doug'.

114
Politics & Religion / Hamas worse than we can imagine
« on: April 09, 2024, 05:51:16 AM »
https://www.samizdata.net/2024/04/a-palestinian-writer/

"...she skips over some relevant details in that brief word “killed”. Daqqa and his PFLP comrades did not just kill Moshe Tamam, they tortured him to death. They gouged out his eyes and castrated him. Then they murdered him."

115
Politics & Religion / California Fascism: Barrier to exit
« on: April 08, 2024, 11:30:56 AM »
The government policies forced the business out of business, and now they get sued for closing.  Welcome to the Third Reich, I mean California, and as California goes, so goes the nation.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/04/san_francisco_to_allow_residents_to_sue_fleeing_groceries_that_don_t_give_six_months_notice_before_closing.html

One more time, are you fkg kidding me?

116
Politics & Religion / Government overreach in Housing, real estate
« on: April 08, 2024, 11:26:17 AM »
https://reason.com/volokh/2024/04/07/new-nber-study-finds-covid-eviction-moratoria-increased-racial-discrimination/

I can say landlords left places empty when government took away all ability to enforce a contract.  I called the policy 'third world' at the time.

Turns out the misguided policy hurt the people it was intended to help.

Always does.

117
Politics & Religion / 2024, fund raiser
« on: April 08, 2024, 11:20:17 AM »
The overall advantage goes always to Democrats, but this is kind of funny.  Trump's event brought in twice as much as Biden's 3 President event.

That wasn't the big difference.  Only one guy, Trump, was the headliner for his own event.  At Biden's fundraiser with Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, Joe wasn't the guy people went there to see.  3rd billing, if that.

118
Politics & Religion / Re: Israel, Gaza, WHAT has gone on too long?
« on: April 08, 2024, 10:57:14 AM »
Relating to Israel and to our foreign policy -

This point in response is so obvious it seems no one says it.

THEY'RE STILL HOLDING HOSTAGES.

The fight back from Israel is NOT what has gone on too long.  Those who raped and murdered are STILL holding hostages.  133 by latest report. 6 of them American.
-----------------

It's hard to agree on what Israel's response needs to be, when 40% (UK study) think the attacks of October 7 didn't happen.  (Must be reading George Orwell media.)

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13281219/Three-four-British-Muslims-dont-believe-Hamas-committed-murder-rape-Israel-October-7-shocking-poll-claims.html

It happened, and it was worse than any of us can imagine.
-----------------

The human shield 'civilians' have their own responsibility (in my view) for the overthrow from within of these terrorists.  If they had done that, immediately, the war would be over.  Instead a majority of them (reportedly) supported the attacks.
-----------------

Why are we negotiating the release of some of the hostages, and worrying about the plight of those holding them are you kidding?  Why are we negotiating with terrorists at all.  Why are we tying the hands of those fighting back (while we do nothing except further damage).  What parts of disproportionate response and deterrence of future attacks don't we understand?

Talk about blood on our hands.  Do we want to be complicit enabling future attacks?

119
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: April 08, 2024, 08:52:57 AM »
ccp: "I really doubt many if any Jews will switch parties for '24."

Right. I see it this way. When a D voter becomes an R voter, that is a two point play. Not going to happen with a lifetime liberal Jew (or other liberal group member). That is too far to ask for anyone fully invested for 8 years hating Trump and a lifetime of hating, opposing Republicans. . 

But there is a big difference between strongly approve of the incumbent and supporting none of the above.

The no labels choice would have given them another outlet, and maybe RFK if they don't look too closely.

My sample size is small but a moderate Dem Jew who strongly defends Israel is not going to vote for Biden (or for Omar or the squad).

Majority of young black voters say they won't vote. That's a long way from 98% voting Dem, the way it used to be.

Arab/Muslim Americans falling into a similar situation, for different reasons. What about gays? Do they like inflation, crime, war, do lesbians like biological men destroying girls and women's sports? How is woke working out for them now that gay marriage and gay rights is the law of the land?

No one strongly approves of the job Joe Biden is doing. All they have left is hatred of the opponent.   That and ballot vagueness got them 2020 by 40,000 votes, and abortion kept them from getting wiped out in 2022.

Trump just said abortion is for the states to decide.  How inflamed can you get about that, and how exciting is it, really, to stab and extract a beating heart within you? 

That, and tax the rich, and Republicans are racist gets old quickly when it takes $80 to fill your tank, and your credit card balances went past what you can pay in full.

Bringing one or two of them home to the American Creed will take long, strong, clear, consistent messaging.

The anti black racism was all on the Left.  The antisemitism is on The Left.  It's the Left taking away the right to defend yourself.  Unfortunately perhaps, Trump is the only vehicle for figuring back.  When will they see it.


120
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: April 08, 2024, 08:50:24 AM »
ccp: "I really doubt many if any Jews will switch parties for '24."

Right. I see it this way. When a D voter becomes an R voter, that is a two point play. Not going to happen with a lifetime liberal Jew (or other liberal group member). That is too far to ask for anyone fully invested for 8 years hating Trump and a lifetime of hating, opposing Republicans. . 

But there is a big difference between strongly approve of the incumbent and supporting none of the above.

The no labels choice would have given them another outlet, and maybe RFK if they look too closely.

My sample size is small but a moderate Dem Jew who strongly defends Israel is not going to vote for Biden (or for Omar or the squad).

Majority of young black voters say they won't vote. That's a long way from 98% voting Dem, the way it used to be.

Arab/Muslim Americans falling into a similar situation, for different reasons. Whay about gays? Do they like inflation, crime, war, do lesbians like biological men destroying girls and women's sports? How is woke working out for them now that gay marriage and gay rights is the law of the land?

No one strongly approves of the job Joe Biden is doing. All they have left is hatred of the opponent.   That and ballot vagueness got them 2020 by 40,000 votes, and abortion kept them from getting wiped out in 2022.

Trump just said abortion is for the states to decide.  How inflamed can you get about that, and how exciting is it, really, to have the right to stab and extract a beating heart from within you? 

Abortion, tax the rich, and Republicans are racist gets old quickly when it takes $80 to fill your tank and your credit card balance grew past what you can pay in full.

Bringing one or two of them home to the American Creed will take long, strong, clear, consistent messaging.

The anti black racism was all on the Left.  The antisemitism is on The Left.  It's the Left taking away the right to defend yourself.  Unfortunately perhaps, Trump is the only vehicle for figuring back.  When will they see it.


121
Politics & Religion / 2024, 10 point swing since 2020 (Calif)
« on: April 08, 2024, 08:01:33 AM »
This is a seemingly meaningless data point:

"recent high-quality California polls show Biden ahead of Trump in the state by about 20 points in a head-to-head matchup, down from Biden’s nearly 30-point winning margin in California in 2020."

Except for two things, 1. Doug's law, margin of victory or loss matters, and 2. What is happening there is happening across the country.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/electoral-college-question-looming-2024-rcna145950

123
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2024/04/08/beschloss_the_last_thing_democrats_need_is_people_protesting_bidens_handling_of_israel_at_the_convention.html

Deja vu  Chicago 1968.

Quoting NBC Michael Beschloss on Morning Joe is something I hoped I'd never do, but his fear is a sure prediction.

He accidentally hit a home run with this exactly wrong statement, just remove the word not to find truth:

"I'm sure that Joe Biden and his people do not look at this primarily through a domestic election political lens, but, ..."

  - Umm, yes they do and it is a no-win coalition. He's losing the moderates and he's losing the radicals,

Funny wording, Presidential "Historian' refers to the Presidency as "Joe Biden and his people".  No one believes Slow Joe is calling the shots, like a lost dog.

Joe is supposed to be the moderate. Someone help him out, what is the moderate position in between defending our closest ally and appeasing the radical protesters who want Israel destroyed?

124
@jk_rowling, Twitter, X
You’ve asked me several questions on this thread and accused me of avoiding answering, so here goes.

I believe a woman is a human being who belongs to the sex class that produces large gametes. It’s irrelevant whether or not her gametes have ever been fertilised, whether or not she’s carried a baby to term, irrelevant if she was born with a rare difference of sexual development that makes neither of the above possible, or if she’s aged beyond being able to produce viable eggs. She is a woman and just as much a woman as the others.

I don’t believe a woman is more or less of a woman for having sex with men, women, both or not wanting sex at all. I don’t think a woman is more or less of a woman for having a buzz cut and liking suits and ties, or wearing stilettos and mini dresses, for being black, white or brown, for being six feet tall or a little person, for being kind or cruel, angry or sad, loud or retiring. She isn't more of a woman for featuring in Playboy or being a surrendered wife, nor less of a woman for designing space rockets or taking up boxing. What makes her a woman is the fact of being born in a body that, assuming nothing has gone wrong in her physical development (which, as stated above, still doesn't stop her being a woman), is geared towards producing eggs as opposed to sperm, towards bearing as opposed to begetting children, and irrespective of whether she's done either of those things, or ever wants to.

Womanhood isn't a mystical state of being, nor is it measured by how well one apes sex stereotypes. We are not the creatures either porn or the Bible tell you we are. Femaleness is not, as trans woman Andrea Chu Long wrote, ‘an open mouth, an expectant asshole, blank, blank eyes,’ nor are we God’s afterthought, sprung from Adam’s rib.

Women are provably subject to certain experiences because of our female bodies, including different forms of oppression, depending on the cultures in which we live. When trans activists say 'I thought you didn't want to be defined by your biology,' it’s a feeble and transparent attempt at linguistic sleight of hand. Women don't want to be limited, exploited, punished, or subject to other unjust treatment because of their biology, but our being female is indeed defined by our biology. It's one material fact about us, like having freckles or disliking beetroot, neither of which are representative of our entire beings, either. Women have billions of different personalities and life stories, which have nothing to do with our bodies, although we are likely to have had experiences men don't and can't, because we belong to our sex class.

Some people feel strongly that they should have been, or wish to be seen as, the sex class into which they weren't born. Gender dysphoria is a real and very painful condition and I feel nothing but sympathy for anyone who suffers from it. I want them to be free to dress and present themselves however they like and I want them to have exactly the same rights as every other citizen regarding housing, employment and personal safety. I do not, however, believe that surgeries and cross-sex hormones literally turn a person into the opposite sex, nor do I believe in the idea that each of us has a nebulous ‘gender identity’ that may or might not match our sexed bodies. I believe the ideology that preaches those tenets has caused, and continues to cause, very real harm to vulnerable people.

I am strongly against women's and girls' rights and protections being dismantled to accommodate trans-identified men, for the very simple reason that no study has ever demonstrated that trans-identified men don't have exactly the same pattern of criminality as other men, and because, however they identify, men retain their advantages of speed and strength. In other words, I think the safety and rights of girls and women are more important than those men's desire for validation.

I sincerely hope that answers your questions. You may still disagree, but as I hope this shows, I’m more than happy to have this debate

125
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/03/29/joe-bidens-america-wealthiest-1-set-record-44-trillion-total-net-worth/

Data from Federal Reserve, just documenting what I posted in other rants.

Real wages down for workers.  Wealth up for the wealthy.  Imagine if these results were from Republican policies.

Projection.  They say these results will happen under R policies.  And it's exactly ass-backwards.

126
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: My favorite electric guitarist
« on: April 05, 2024, 08:18:18 AM »
that never got much fanfare:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Buchanan

sad ending to apparently tortured musician but he leaves us with his creations

Thanks guys for the music referrals.

Ok, the guy can play:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FMcjPZgK9GM

127
Politics & Religion / Re: Political Economics
« on: April 05, 2024, 08:02:17 AM »
"For Trump to deport large numbers of hard-working illegals (mostly Latinos) whom Biden has ill granted working papers is going to be a very explosive political fight."


  - Right, by design.  Their intent is to make their policies irreversible, opposite of governing by 'we the people' with checks and balances.  Obamacare, Social security, Medicare all woven into the fabric, like the National Health Service in Britain, not things the next Congress or Parliament can repeal.

These 5 year budgets, 10 year budgets, mandates that take effect in 2030, regulations that kick in after their term, it's all anti-democratic.

Laws passed by the 118th Congress should not be binding on the 119th Congress. 

Same goes for debt.  Borrow all you plan to pay back before your term ends.  What gives you the power to put $36T debt and $2T/yr. interest on the next generation?

Government can only get bigger and bigger and bigger until everyone is riding and no one is pulling the wagon.

To the topic at hand, Trump needs to be creative.  To those who produce and other than breaking our laws to come in, abide by our laws and invest in our country, maybe he can be the most generous president in history with citizenship.  And for those who came for the free ride and or to wreak havoc, out they go on their asses, free ride home.

Simple test, in the time you've been here, did you (your family) pay in more than you took from us?

We always say THIS is the biggest election ever.  But if we can't figure it out this time, when will we?  And what will the country and the world look like when that happens?

128
Politics & Religion / Re: Political Economics
« on: April 05, 2024, 07:41:14 AM »
Seems the job growth has been smoke and mirrors.

More real world measures show that as interest rates have gone up, credit card debt has gone up, 3rd quarter in a row over a trillion and still going up.  As credit card interest rates hit 29.99% (30%!) no one would choose more debt unless they were intending to default.
https://www.lendingtree.com/credit-cards/credit-card-debt-statistics/

Bankruptcies up double digits under Joe as well.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-bankruptcies-surged-18-2023-seen-rising-again-2024-report-2024-01-03/

Yet the rich are getting richer.  Imagine this scenario happening under Trump or Republicans and hearing the MSM, MSNBC uproar!

The jobs reports CORRECTIONS don't get the same big headlines as the initial story.  And the corrections are ALL DOWNWARD.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs

129
Politics & Religion / Re: Energy Politics & Science
« on: April 05, 2024, 07:23:02 AM »
I had the same question while posting that.

From the links below:
"Natural gas can be burned to produce electricity in a traditional combustion turbine (CT) power plant or a more modern and efficient combined cycle (CC) power plant.

A combined cycle power plant is a modern electrical generating plant that captures the energy from burning natural gas in two ways.

First - the gas turbine burns fuel and generates electricity:
The gas turbine compresses air and mixes it with fuel.
The mixture is ignited, creating an explosion that propels the very hot gas through the turbine.
The hot gas spins the gas turbine blades which rotates the turbine shaft.
The fast-spinning turbine shaft drives a generator that converts the spinning energy into electricity.
Second - the steam turbine utilizes the waste heat from the gas turbine exhaust that would otherwise escape through the exhaust stack to create additional electricity:
A heat exchanger captures exhaust heat from the gas turbine and boils water to create steam.
The steam spins the steam turbine blades which rotates the turbine shaft.
The steam turbine shaft drives a generator that delivers additional electricity.
This is the most efficient type of fossil fuel power plant. By combining these two systems, the overall net efficiency of the combustion process can be increased by 50 - 60 percent. Thus, from an overall efficiency of about 35% in a single cycle system one can achieve to an overall efficiency of 50-60% in a combined cycle system.

Either a single shart or multiple shaft configuration can be used for the combined cycle plant. In a single shaft system, the gas and steam turbines turn a common shaft with a single generator. This is the most efficient configuration. However, in larger plants it is more economical to have multiple gas turbines and a single steam turbine.

For large-scale power generation, a typical gas/steam turbine set would be a 270 MW gas turbine coupled to a 130 MW steam turbine giving a total of 400 MW. A typical power plant might consist of between 1 and 6 such sets. GE currently manufactures the largest gas turbine available at just over 500 MW."

https://www.ourworldofenergy.com/vignettes.php?type=electrical-power-generation&id=15

https://www.ourworldofenergy.com/vignettes.php?type=electrical-power-generation&id=9

130
Politics & Religion / Destroying the Myth of cheap wind and solar
« on: April 04, 2024, 03:26:18 PM »
https://www.americanexperiment.org/how-to-destroy-the-myth-of-cheap-wind-and-solar/

https://www.powerlineblog.com/ed-assets/2024/04/Screenshot-2024-04-03-at-5.39.26-PM.png

[LCOE Levelized Cost of Energy is a measure that includes some costs and omits others in order to show a desired, misleading result.]

LCOE estimates can make wind and solar look cheap, so long as you ignore most of the costs of integrating them on to the grid and backing them up.

Comparing LCOEs makes sense when examining reliable, dispatchable power plants because these power plants can be turned on or off to meet electricity demand. It makes very little sense when you start including intermittent and weather-based energy sources that don’t provide the same value as thermal generators.

The intermittency of wind and solar imposes unique expenses on the electric grid that require an evaluation of the entire electric system in order to derive meaningful cost estimates from these generators. This is difficult to do, which is why most people don’t do it.

Our modeling attempts to provide this apples-to-apples comparison of running a reliable grid with dispatchable energy sources like coal, natural gas, and nuclear versus that of intermittent facilities like wind and solar. In every case, the answer is clear: wind and solar are by far the most expensive.

131
Politics & Religion / Re: The Folly of the LNG “Pause”
« on: April 04, 2024, 02:00:26 PM »
"A Biden policy that doesn’t survive scrutiny on any level."

  - That line could apply to SO MANY Biden policies, maybe all of them:
 The Afghan Withdrawal.  Billions to Iran. The Southern border.  The crazy spending.  The inflation.  Israel policy.  The war on energy.  The EV mandate push.  Killing the pipeline.  Nuclear closures.  Shipbuilding delays.  No restrictions abortions.  Letting criminals run free.  Buttigieg in charge of the bridge?  Kamala in charge of the border?  Trans men and boys competing with women and girls.  And yes, the LNG export ban.  It's all nuts.  And they want us to find common ground?


"Incredible Dumbness"?  My eyes read it, incredible dumbass.

Democrats rejected Sanders and Warren in 2020 for being too extreme to get elected.  Only Joe the moderate could beat Trump.  Voters were sold one thing and got something different.  And now they revolt - I hope.

132
Quoting and repeating for emphasis:

"The totalitarian implications are frightening."

(US Central Bank Digital Currency)

133
Politics & Religion / Re: US Desperately Needs Fiscal Guardrails
« on: April 04, 2024, 01:41:28 PM »
Don't we already have catastrophe?  What would a guardrail look like?  Slow the rate of spending increases?

Updates from usdebtclock.org today:

Deficit actual, current, 1.944 trillion

Revenues: 4.712 Trillion

We are spending 41.2% more than we take in.

Do people believe we are even borrowing all that?  Who is lending it?

134
Looks like they stand to lose quite a bit of advantage with their current policies.

135
Politics & Religion / 2024 Polls
« on: April 04, 2024, 01:28:28 PM »
Polls are wrong before they start.  "If the election were held today..."  Well it isn't.

Republicans missed the so-called red-wave in 2022 and had underperformance in lots of other elections.  That said, it's hard not to comment on the state of the race.  These polls represent what is possible, not a forecast of what will happen next fall.

1. The Hill switched it's column from 'most likely senate seats to flip' most likely to flip other than Joe Manchin's seat is West Virginia which is already flipped in terms of inevitable math.  Even if Joe was staying and he's not.  The next 5 are also Republicans taking Dem seats, the first 3 likely, the next are possible but not likely.  A 4 seat swing, 49R-51D to 53R-47D is nation changing.  No wonder Democrats want Sonia Sotomayor out now.
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4564443-senate-rankings-seats-flip/

2. WSJ poll released yesterday(?) has Trump leading in nearly every swing state, except Pennsylvania and a tie in Wisconsin, which he doesn't need if he wins the others.
https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_Swing_States_Partial_March_2024.pdf

3. RCP polling averages tabulated comes to an electoral lead for Trump of 293-245.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college

4. Rasmussen has a very positive release today, Trump up by 6,7, 8 depending on the '3rd party' inclusions.
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_8_over_biden_third_party_candidates_have_little_impact

5. Polling internals are killing Joe and the Democrats.  28 point swing on independents since 2020. Winning with Hispanics.  Nearly even with blacks and young voters.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/04/04/nolte-donald-trump-holds-eight-point-lead-joe-biden/

6. Here's one more, a real world result:  mayor race in Wassau Wisconsin, 9 point swing since 2020.  Holy cow.

7.  The 'no labels' group was supposed to put forward a candidate to compete with Trump for the no-far-Left vote.  Looks like they won't: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4575052-no-labels-party-passes-2024-election-candidate/

8. Oops, here come the polls swinging the other way:
https://thehill.com/elections/4575110-biden-up-pennsylvania-survey/

Warning.  The election is not being held today. Democrats have WAY more money in every race and lots of other things can change, like Republicans shooting themselves, Democrat ballot box stuffing and media and social media creating havoc.  If you want to win you have to work for it and earn it.

136
Gas prices up 45% under Biden.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/04/04/nationwide-gas-prices-top-3-50-spiking-more-than-45-under-joe-biden/

No they won't be refilling the strategic political oil reserve.  They would deplete it further if they could. 

Regarding the purpose it is intended for, they don't care.

They complain of private corporations having short term outlooks but that's exactly how they operate.

Recall they depleted and didn't replenish the strategic supply of N95 masks in the last crisis before covid. They don't care.

Never let a crisis go to waste, one of them accidentally said aloud.

137
Politics & Religion / 2024, Biden Announcement parody
« on: April 03, 2024, 08:15:41 AM »

138
https://nypost.com/2024/04/03/us-news/seattle-public-schools-shuts-down-gifted-and-talented-program/

Too many whites and 'Asian Americans'?

'Gifted' children have 'special needs' too.  They will be bored in regular classes.

But it doesn't actually cost more to educate them.

139
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/retirement-savings-how-much-americans-need-1-46-million/

Kitchen table issues.

If your savings is up 53% under Biden, you broke even.

140
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/why-this-doctor-walked-out-of-a-meeting-with-president-biden/vi-BB1kYAZg?ocid=msedgntp&pc=DCTS&cvid=cf3acf355b52426c8d124da9356a57aa&ei=17

I watched this the other night and was AMAZED
that media liar Collins did not ask the simple question to the Palestinian (doctor!)
why not demand Hamas to stop using their people as shields and surrender immediately so the blood shed can stop.

Funny how they let these Jew haters solely blame Israel when it is they who started this and pledge to the death to kill Jews.

I watched the Twin Cities Leftists gather for a "Free Palestine" rally Saturday.  Also watched a couple of my Jewish tennis buddies drift away from Biden and the Democrats on this. They never seemed to notice that (non Jewish) conservatives from flyover country have cared more about the survival of Israel more than their own party for decades now.

They also never seemed to notice the similarities between the persecution of conservatives and the revival of antisemitism on campuses and elsewhere.

It's not like me to remain silent but they need to discover on their own, soon, that with the primaries over, only one man, the mean tweet guy, has any possibility to at least slow the continued march to far Leftism in the country and the world.

A throwaway vote for 'no labels' makes sense only if you are fully unaware of the stakes we face.

Meanwhile Communist China feeds the chaos in America through tiktok, while TikTok is banned in Communist China.

141
Politics & Religion / Housing, Mortgage unaffordable
« on: April 03, 2024, 06:47:10 AM »
If not mentioned in the article, housing insurance also going crazy. Property taxes up 10 fold since I've been here.

Just like the war on poverty, everything the government has tried to make more "affordable" has instead made it more subsidized, making it less affordable for everyone not getting it paid for by the government, cf. college costs, health care, and of course housing.

So, you can't buy housing because of the high cost and you can't sell housing you don't want because of the punitive tax on inflation. Exact opposite of what economists call a free market. Other than that it's all going swimmingly.

https://confoundedinterest.net/2024/04/03/bidenomics-is-on-the-highway-to-hell-for-housing-affordability-mortgage-demand-applications-down-13-from-last-year-while-home-prices-are-up-39-2-under-biden-and-powell/

142
Valuation of the business is the worst crime imaginable, brought to you by the people who think donors buying Hunter painting for millions is fine.

https://babylonbee.com/news/4d-chess-trump-makes-mar-a-lago-worth-500-million-by-hanging-up-3-hunter-biden-paintings

143
This is a VERY, VERY, VERY important point.  Thanks BBG for bringing it forward.

Cato gets it but do the people?  Oh look!  A shiny object, a digital dollar!  I can't even tell you or know all the reasons not to do this, but don't do this!!

For one thing, introducing the 'digital dollar' will be the beginning of the certainty of losing the physical dollar.  As bad as the US$ has been, losing 97 cents of every dollar since the forming of the Federal Reserve, you (we) don't want to lose what's left of it.    We don't want EVERY transaction monitored or dollar to exist online only, even more cancellable by political powers than it is now.

Does anybody remember the old saying, innocent until proven guilty?  The IRS works backwards on that.  Every transaction is a taxable gain unless and until you prove it isn't.  If you sell a used car, or couch, is it taxable gain?  There is a 99.999% chance you didn't sell it for more than you paid for it, but to the digital currency trackers, you took in money.  It's all taxable until you prove it isn't.

Combine the fact of cancelling Russian assets during the current war with the FBI tracking parents who speak out at school board meetings, people who spoke up against 'vaccine' mandates and shutdowns, the FBI tracking people who bought a book called the Bible, etc. Our President saying half the country is the threat we face and having the power to cancel your assets is a bad combination, understatement alert.  They can cancel your 'tweet'; they can cancel your video; they can cancel your social media account, they did it to a President of the United States; they can remotely shutoff your car; they can cancel your dollars.

Stop this before it gets started!!  Or you won't ever stop it.

"people were thrilled when Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed is “nowhere near recommending or adopting” a CBDC.   (Central Bank Digital Currency)

Translated that means yes, we are moving forward as fast as we can.  Beware!!

It wasn't clear to me from the article which side Tom Emmer (R-MN) and his bill are on.  Emmer is one of the good guys, but he is one seat away from losing his majority in the House, while Democrats already control the Senate, the White House and the FED.

"https://decrypt.co/121941/emmer-fed-central-bank-digital-currency-surveillance-state/

144
Politics & Religion / Re: 'The Doctor Will Ask About Your Gun Now'
« on: April 02, 2024, 08:29:50 AM »
Let's see, we have a right of privacy, sort of, and we have a right to bear arms, sort of, but we don't have a right of privacy as it relates to our exercise of the (first or) second amendment.

Informing the government of all the privately owned guns would defeat the purpose of having those guns in the event they are needed to stand up against a rogue, tyrannical government.

Or does someone think the government won't get your "health" records if they want them?  And whose idea was it to merge government and healthcare?

The second amendment wasn't about hunters' rights.

[Same might apply to the right or privacy relating to bitcoin purchases (or gold).  The right to wealth.  The purchase of bitcoin is not a taxable event.  The sale of it is.  Why do you have to disclose your purchases? They don't have a constitutional right to tax wealth, why do they have the right to track it. Doesn't a right of privacy apply up to the point where it becomes any of their business?]


146
Politics & Religion / Re: Mike Gallagher
« on: April 01, 2024, 05:35:06 AM »
quits Congress with 8 months to go in his 2 yr tenure

as Greg Kelly points out over and over 200,000 people in his district voted for him

also it is now too late for a special election to get a replacement.

take likely cush job with self described socialist who voted for Hillary Clinton at Palantir whose stock tripled in past few months. (Alex Karp)

sounds like a sell out to me.

sounds like smart move by a Dem who bought him off.........

if Dems can pick off one more then we have no power

no Congress no Senate no White House till (praying for ) January next yr.

I have numerous names I can think of for Mike Gallagher... and I will not post them needlessly.

There is something fishy about this whole story. Gallagher is a regular guest on Hugh Hewitt, who I like. Gallagher is a military veteran, foreign policy expert, hawk, good guy, represents Green Bay I think, conservative Wisconsin district.  Then one day he was suddenly on the 'wrong side' of impeaching Mayorkis.  He explained it pretty well in the WSJ.  Impeaching cabinet officials instead of winning elections will most certainly come back to bite Republicans.  Now suddenly he needs to spend more time with family and can't wait til the end of the term. Something  went wrong.

147
Politics & Religion / Re: CA
« on: March 31, 2024, 08:03:16 AM »
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1773738867126161838

The wildest conspiracy ideas don't look so crazy anymore.

All those cameras and witnesses and no one knows who burned 1600 buildings in the Twin Cities in the summer of 2000. We don't know who burned the police precinct headquarters down. We don't know who burned the U. S. Post Office. But we have a list of every parent in the country who went to a school board meeting to speak out against sexualizing second grade children.

Selective surveillance.

Criminal laws literally incentivize gangs to use juveniles to commit their worst crimes.

What could go wrong.

149
Exactly right.  We are managing our economy and currency horribly, and the rest of the nations are doing worse.

150
India-US relationship had a bad week. My comments in green.

"US-India partnership had a bad week. Kejriwal row (corrupt politician, possible CIA). CAA controversy (US comment on India offering citizenship to minorities in muslim countries). Biden letter to Pakistan (Biden congratulating pak PM). US embassy invites Kashmiris to Iftar party (Basically inviting anti-India elements). Jaishankar (India's Foreign Minister) says India and Russia take good care of each other."

Current US President can't figure out who are friends should be.   Hopefully PM Modi knows we have a new President coming soon.

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