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Messages - rickn

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51
Politics & Religion / Re: Kavanaugh
« on: September 29, 2018, 01:26:04 PM »
The Hill's article explaining the WaPo.

https://thehill.com/homenews/news/409089-american-bar-association-questioned-kavanaughs-professional-experience-freedom

In 2006, when Senate Republicans finally hoped to advance Kavanaugh's nomination to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit after three years of Democratic opposition, the ABA downgraded its endorsement of the George W. Bush nominee.

The group’s judicial investigator had interviewed dozens of people in the legal field who had worked with Kavanaugh, some of whom raised concerns regarding “his professional experience and the question of his freedom from bias and open-mindedness," the ABA said in its May 2006 report.

One judge remarked about the nominee's "sanctimonious" presentation in court, arguing that Kavanaugh showed "experience on the level of an associate." One particular lawyer argued that Kavanaugh "dissembled" in a different court proceeding.

The result was a downgrading of the group's previous "well qualified" endorsement — its highest rating — to “qualified,” meaning he met the ABA’s standards to be a federal judge but was not necessarily an outstanding candidate.

The Washington Post, which first highlighted the ABA's move 12 years ago compared to this week, noted that a day after the ABA downgraded its endorsement in 2006, members of the Senate Judiciary Committee called for Kavanaugh to appear before them again.

Senators gathered to discuss how seriously they should weigh the new endorsement, with Democrats saying it should be taken seriously while Republicans accused the ABA of bias or downplayed the importance of the endorsement.

Kavanaugh was ultimately confirmed to the D.C. Circuit in 2006 and eventually reclaimed a “well qualified” endorsement, which he has maintained throughout his tumultuous nomination to the Supreme Court. He touted the endorsement during his appearance before the Judiciary panel on Thursday.

The ABA weighed in again on Kavanaugh's nomination late Thursday after a rollercoaster day on Capitol Hill when Christine Blasey Ford delivered gripping testimony before the Senate panel about her allegations of sexual assault against Kavanaugh, followed by the nominee forcefully defending himself.

After Ford and Kavanaugh testified in back-to-back appearances, the ABA called for the Judiciary Committee to postpone a vote on Kavanaugh’s nomination until the FBI could investigate assault claims against him, drawing new questions about his nomination.

“We make this request because of ABA’s respect for the rule of law and due process under law,” ABA President Robert Carlson said in a letter to the committee.

"The basic principles that underscore the Senate’s constitutional duty of advice and consent on federal judicial nominees require nothing less than a careful examination of the accusations and facts by the FBI."

President Trump on Friday ordered the FBI to open a weeklong, "supplemental" investigation into the allegations after Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) and others threatened to withhold their final confirmation vote if such an investigation wasn’t opened.

The ABA's Standing Committee on the Federal Judiciary noted in a letter to committee leaders on Friday that the group's "well qualified" rating for Kavanaugh remains unchanged.

Here is a link to the actual ABA report from 2006.

https://www.americanbar.org/content/dam/aba/migrated/scfedjud/statements/kavanaugh.authcheckdam.pdf

********************************************************************
Remember, this was back in the day when the ABA's committee on the federal judiciary was decidedly anti-Bush.  And was still anti-Ken Starr.  What they said was that Kavanaugh was not a good litigator.  They spoke to the fact that he had never tried a case to verdict, and was young and inexperienced when he tried cases.  Others called him "insulated" due to his 2006 position as staff secretary to Pres GW Bush.  They were concerned that he would remain partisan or would he remain fair and balanced as a judge.  However, the reports notes his superior writing skills. The 2006 ABA was split, but the majority thought him Qualified versus a minority that thought him Well Qualified.

Now, forward to 2018, 12 years later, and the same committee of the ABA reiterated its Well Qualified rating even after the President of the ABA wrote individually to ask for an FBI investigation into the womens' allegations.

52
Politics & Religion / Re: Kavanaugh
« on: September 27, 2018, 11:58:07 AM »
Here's my theory of what may have occurred.

She went out with a classmate of Kavanaugh who lives very close to Columbia Country Club.  He was Chris Garrett, the person identified by Ed Whelan as looking like Kavanaugh.  Today, she admitted that Garrett was the person who introduced her to Kavanaugh and the group of people that he ran with at Georgetown Prep.  For some reason, they stopped going out together.  Maybe he did the things she has blamed upon Kavanaugh.  Maybe, he lost interest in her.  Who knows?  Garrett has remained friends with Judge to this day.  Maybe Garrett and Judge did this to her at Garrett's house.  Maybe it is all fiction.

In 1997, the other person she named, Mark Judge, writes a book about his alcoholism.  In the book, he talks about his heavy drinking while at Georgetown Prep.  He uses his full name "Mark Gavreau Judge."  In the book, he says that a fictional friend, Bart O'Kavanaugh, got so drunk with him that he threw up in a car.

When Blasey writes her letter to Feinstein, she says that Brett Kavanaugh and Mark G. Judge were drunk, belligerent, and forced her into this room at this unknown house near Columbia Country Club.  Why does she use Judge's middle initial and not Kavanaugh's middle initial in her letter?

My theory: she learned about Judge's book, "Wasted. Confessions of a Gen-X ..."  Probably heard about it from friends.  And she replaced Garrett with Kavanaugh in her memory because of the book.

53
Politics & Religion / Re: Kavanaugh
« on: September 26, 2018, 07:09:07 PM »
Redacted transcript of Senate Judiciary Committee interview with Judge Kavanaugh dated yesterday.  This covers all accusations known as of 10 pm EDT on Sept 26.

https://www.judiciary.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/09.25.18%20BMK%20Interview%20Transcript%20(Redacted).pdf

In addition, Avenati's accuser has been subjected to a restraining order for threatening an ex-boyfriend after she broke up with him.

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/09/26/ex-boyfriend-filed-restraining-order-against-kavanaugh-accuser-845348

Today's WSJ writes:

"In 1993, she filed a criminal harassment complaint with state prosecutors in Maryland against a podiatrist and his wife, alleging repeated phone calls, according to court records, but the case was withdrawn two months after it was filed.

In 2001, Ms. Swetnick was the defendant in a domestic-violence case filed by Richard Venneccy in Miami-Dade County, Fla. The case was dismissed when both parties failed to appear in court in March of that year, according to court documents reviewed by the Journal.

Roughly a decade ago, Ms. Swetnick was involved in a dispute with her former employer, New York Life Insurance Co., over a sexual-harassment complaint she filed, according to people familiar with the matter. Representing her in the complaint was the firm run by Debra Katz, the lawyer currently representing Dr. Ford. The company ultimately reached a financial settlement with Ms. Swetnick, the people said."


55
Politics & Religion / False conviction data
« on: September 21, 2018, 06:35:20 PM »
In the linked Malkin blog, she mentions the University of Michigan Law School's false conviction and exoneration project.  Sexual assault convictions are the second most prevalent cases of wrongful convictions leading to exoneration.  Here is the link to the map and an interactive graph with cases by State, crime and other criteria.

http://www.law.umich.edu/special/exoneration/Pages/Exonerations-in-the-United-States-Map.aspx

56
Politics & Religion / Re: Kavanaugh
« on: September 19, 2018, 04:51:10 PM »
In the mid to late 1970's,  my local prosecuting attorney's office was sued successfully by the ACLU and ordered to stop administering lie detector tests to women who made rape allegations that were unsupported by any other corroborating evidence.

In that vein, the following link takes you a 1996 NYT article discussing the same issue.

https://www.nytimes.com/1996/03/06/nyregion/lie-detector-tests-are-banned-on-victims-alleging-rape.html

Gov. George E. Pataki signed legislation today that prohibits law enforcement officials from subjecting people who file rape complaints to polygraph tests.

The measure won approval in both the Senate and the Assembly last month after years of lobbying by victims' rights advocates, who argued that polygraph, or lie-detector, tests subject rape victims to unwarranted shock and humiliation.

In signing the bill, the Governor said the previous law did not adequately protect victims because it merely barred the authorities from requiring a polygraph test before they would investigate allegations of rape.

"Survivors of sexual assault should not be victimized a second time with frequent and grossly insensitive requests to take a polygraph test," Governor Pataki said during a signing ceremony in his Manhattan office at the World Trade Center. "This bill takes a long overdue step forward in protecting the rights of sexual assault victims."

Experts say that law enforcement officials rarely use polygraph tests in rape cases, partly because they usually have enough physical evidence to substantiate a victim's claim of rape.

But victims' rights advocates have long argued that the potential of being subjected to a polygraph test discourages victims from reporting that they were raped.

"Passage of the new polygraph law is one important step toward creating a new climate of respectful treatment for victims of sexual violence," said Maud Easter, the executive director of the New York State Coalition Against Sexual Assault. "Polygraph tests have symbolized the climate in which victims do not come forward because they do not expect to be believed."

Mr. Pataki said polygraph tests were particularly unreliable in rape cases because of the emotional turmoil victims experience.

"As empirical studies show," he said, "the emotional responses manifested by victims of sexual assault as they relive harrowing attacks during polygraph tests commonly result in false conclusions that they are lying."

(My emphasis added to the article.)

57
Politics & Religion / Re: The Cognitive Dissonance of the left
« on: September 19, 2018, 04:45:07 PM »
Most people don't realize that, like Judge Kavanaugh,  Keith Ellison is a graduate of a Jesuit prep high school.  Ellison's was in Detroit, MI. 

So, all of the lefties who are condemning Kavanaugh for his elitist all-boys' high school education producing anti-feminist behavior are also condemning Ellison.  Wonder if they realize that?

59
Politics & Religion / Re: Kavanaugh
« on: September 18, 2018, 06:46:32 AM »
IMO, if you are trying to learn why this woman suddenly came forward with Judge Kavanaugh's name in 2018, the previous articles concerning Mark Judge's novel about his high school years offer a reasonable explanation.

Her anti-Trump animus is the motivation.  And the fictional Bart O'Kavanaugh is the means to her end.  There are three possible explanations here.

1.  She did experience the incident about 36 years ago, but:  a) only knew Mark Judge; or, b) did not know either of the boys.  In 2017, when Kavanaugh's name begins to percolate as a possible replacement for Scalia, articles about Judge and the fictional Bart O'Kavanaugh begin to appear in some publications.  This triggers a false memory in the woman about the identity of the boys.  This is no different than a bad line-up by the police when trying to get a witness to identify the crook.

2.  She made up the incident in couples' counseling to justify some of her behavior towards her husband.  As resistors to all conservatives, especially Trump, after she and her husband remain together, they decide to embellish the story using the Mark Judge fictional story as proof that Judge Kavanaugh is the ficitional Bart O'Kavanaugh.  (BTW, that is the left wing storyline now.)

3.  She made up the entire story in June-July when Kavanaugh was nominated by Trump as a committed member of the Bernie Sanders resistance knowing about Judge's book and knowing that she could use the fictional character to justify her "memories."

But the use of Mark Judge's name is telling.  Why would she remember his name if she cannot remember when and where the party occurred?  Why would the therapist not write down the name of her assailant if she actually provided the name?  Those names would be important to use to help the woman recover.  Why would the woman say she received medical treatment when her story only includes counselling?  She has a PhD and teaches in the field of psychology.  You learn the difference between psychology and psychiatry in Psych 101.  Why would she claim that she only came forward because of last week's leaks when she hired counsel in August and underwent a lie detector exam in August?  And why would she make the same claim when she wrote to Feinstein that she wanted to remain confidential until she had a chance to speak with DiFi?  All of this suggests a pattern of embellishments and lies.  Just because a woman's claim sounds plausible does not make it believable.  And I dislike how journalists interpose the word credible for plausible.

One more thing.  I am very attuned to this type of witness behavior due to a case in which, as court-appointed counsel, I represented successfully a young man accused of criminal sexual conduct (used to be called rape).  This case was tried in the early 1980s. The woman took a consensual sexual relationship and made a false rape claim to protect herself when she got back together with her boyfriend who had been away from home.  That woman exhibited many of the same inconsistencies in her testimony as this professor has exhibited to date.  This experience makes me much more skeptical of many #MeToo claims than the average pandering politician.  My increased skepticism makes me look for things like the factors I have listed above. 

60
Politics & Religion / Re: Kavanaugh
« on: September 17, 2018, 04:11:00 PM »
There will be a public hearing on Monday, September 24th at which both Judge Kavanagh and his accuser will testify.

I believe the genesis of the accuser's belief is Mark Judge's essay published in Huffington Post years ago about his high school experiences. (I'm looking for the link to that story.)  A fictional character named in that essay was Bart O'Kavanaugh, Judge's fictional best friend.  Judge named his high school Loyola Prep (instead of Georgetown Prep) and he joked about all of the Irish last names of the students in his high school class.  The name of his fictional friend was a parody of the large number of his Irish named classmates.

A likely explanation is that because of Mark Judge's essay, the accuser began to believe that Judge Kavanagh was the other high school student with Judge at that party at which she claims to have been assaulted.  And that her "memory" comes from that story - not from her actual memory of the incident. 

This is why Feinstein's tactics are despicable.  Instead of seeking the truth, the Dems are seeking to benefit politically from the mere accusation.  As it turns out, the accuser may have a reason for naming Kavanagh - but the reason is a fictional short story written by the only other person she has named.

61
Politics & Religion / Re: Kavanaugh
« on: September 17, 2018, 06:33:04 AM »
So ... the Senate Judiciary Committee is now going to "investigate" a woman's claim of unsuccessful clothing removal by the current nominee for Supreme Court justice that allegedly occurred 36 years ago during a high school era party when all principals were juveniles and when lots of kids danced "The Bump" to such classic songs as "Brickhouse" by the Commodores, "Superfreak" by Rick James, and "Disco Duck."  It was such an innocent time.  :-o

62
Cohen's allocution that he made the payments at Trump's direction and with his authorization is most likely embellished.

The taped meeting leaked to the media occurred after AMI had bought McDougal's story and after Cohen had promised AMI that he would reimburse it for any money spent to buy McDougal's story.  How do we know that?  Because the tape replays discussions about Cohen's plan to buy the McDougal story from AMI - not from McDougal.  And it occurred before AMI decided not to accept reimbursement from Cohen.  At worst, Trump agreed to Cohen's plan to buy the story from AMI.  And with his own personal funds.  These facts do not indicate an intent to violate campaign finance laws.  Trump's insistence on a check and use of his personal funds indicate an intent to comply with campaign finance laws by using personal money to pay for personal expenditures.

More importantly, this meeting occurred weeks before Clifford even appeared at AMI seeking to sell her "story" of a one night stand with Trump in 2007.  And this was a story that she had been peddling for at least 5 year before that time.  Why?  Because her claim of intimidation from Trump's people occurred in Las Vegas in 2010 or 2011.  

Thus, as far as the publicly available information shows at this time, Trump ok'd Cohen's plan to buy the McDougal story from AMI.  Most likely Cohen sought this approval because, six weeks earlier, he had already promised to reinburse AMI if they bought the story and Cohen did not want to use his own money to pay AMI.  And, the publicly available information shows that Cohen's meeting with Trump occurred weeks before Stephanie Clifford even appeared at AMI seeking to sell her story.  Without further evidence, I don't believe Cohen's claim.

63
Politics & Religion / The National Enquirer, Pecker, Cohen, et al
« on: August 23, 2018, 04:02:55 PM »
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/was_the_strange_language_in_michael_cohens_guilty_plea_a_setup.html

If reporters actually read the Information (Complaint) filed on Tuesday together with Cohen's plea agreement, you learn these important facts.

1.  The National Enquirer's Chairman, David Pecker, met with Cohen and an unnamed campaign official in August 2015 and offered to alert them to any potentially negative stories about Trump and women. (Paragraph 27 of Information)

2.  In June 2016, Pecker called Cohen and alerted him to the fact that Linda McDougal was offering to sell her story of a one year affair with Trump in 2006-07. (Par. 29)

3.  Cohen encouraged Pecker to buy the story by reminding him of his August 2015 offer to help Trump.  (Par. 29)

4.  Cohen promised to reimburse the National Enquirer for any money paid to McDougal. (Par. 29)

5.  The Enquirer bought McDougal's story on August 5, 2016 for $150,000.  (Par. 30)

6.  About 4 weeks later, Pecker and Cohen signed an agreement for Cohen to buy McDougal's story from the Enquirer for $125,000; but Pecker changed his mind before Cohen wired him the money.  (Par. 31)

7.  On 8 October 2016, Stormy Daniels' agent contacted the Enquirer and offered to sell her story of sex with Trump.  Her agent and lawyer were put in contact with Cohen by the Enquirer.  Over the next few days, Cohen negotiated a deal directly with Daniels' lawyer to pay her $130,000 in return for an NDA.  (Par. 32)

8.  Cohen didn't do anything more for about 2 and 1/2 weeks.  Then on the evening of October 25, 2016, Daniels' lawyer told the Enquirer that Cohen had not closed the deal and that Daniels was close to selling her story to a rival media outlet.  Pecker and his editor then called Cohen and told him about the problem and Cohen called Daniels' attorney and agreed to pay the money right away. (Par. 33)

9.  The next day, Cohen set up a new corporation.  The day after that, Cohen deposited $131,000 into the corporation's bank account.  This money came from Cohen's home equity line that was the subject of the Count VI bank fraud allegations. And Daniels was paid on November 1, 2016 when Cohen wired $130,000 of his home equity loan proceeds from the corporation's bank account to the account of Daniels' attorney. (Par. 34)

10.  In January 2017, Cohen sought reimbursement of the Stormy Daniels money, the $35 wire fee and a $50,000 tech consulting fee from Trump's company (not his campaign).  (Par. 37)

11.  The Information claims that Cohen was part of the Trump campaign because he had an email address at the campaign, sometimes advised the campaign, including on matters of interest to the press, and made media appearances on behalf of the campaign.  (Par. 25)

****************************
The basic theory of the government's case was that Cohen was part of the campaign; therefore, anything expenditure he made that could possibly benefit the candidate was a campaign expenditure even if there was a legitimate non-campaign reason to make the expenditure and even though Cohen also never had a formal title on the campaign.  The "at the direction of the candidate" were Cohen's words in his plea allocution on Tuesday.

The unnamed campaign officials were never identified.  Remember that Trump is identified as "Individual-1" in the Information.

Cohen also wore other hats in relation to Trump.  He was an officer in Trump's company.  And he acted as Trump's personal attorney on some matters.  

According to the Information, he National Enquirer people never spoke to anyone but Cohen about the two womens' stories.  The government does not allege that the Enquirer spoke to Individual-1.  Nor does the government allege that the Enquirer spoke to the other unnamed campaign officials mentioned vaguely in paragraph 27.  

64
We don't know exactly what legal jeopardy was being faced by Cohen because the US Atty proceeded by complaint with an attached plea deal.  In the federal system, the govt can initiate a criminal case by grand jury indictment or by complaint.  What occurred in this case was that the govt and Cohen negotiated a deal before legal proceedings began.  The government then filed a complaint limited to those claims to which Cohen agreed to plead guilty.  Then, Cohen pled guilty to those specific crimes pursuant to an agreement for a sentence no more than 63 months. 

The time stamped date of the complaint was yesterday, August 21.  And the complaint was filed along with the written plea and sentence agreement signed by the US atty and Cohen himself.  What we don't know are the other charges against Cohen that the government was considering before Cohen took the deal.  Those things get swept under the rug when a deal like this one is filed.

We do know that Cohen failed to declare about $4 million as income from 2012-2016.  And he lied on an application for a home equity line of credit.

But I still remain unconvinced that if a candidate for any federal office settles disputed claims about past extramarital relationships by paying the claimants money in return for an NDA, that this constitutes a campaign contribution. 

65
Trump settled two disputed claims for money.  He denies having an affair with McDougal.  He denies having consensual sex with Clifford aka Daniels.  In the presidential campaign, both women came forward with their stories not for political purposes but for the purposes of getting paid for telling them.  Both claims involve acts alleged to have occurred in about 2005-06.  Both women had hired their own lawyers to pitch their stories to the tabloid media.  Both women sought to use the presidential campaign as leverage  in order to make their stories more valuable to them.

Neither woman was paid with any funds from the Trump campaign.  Cohen drew funds from his home equity line of credit to set up a corporation that paid Clifford.  The National Enquirer paid McDougal.  The fed complaint alleges that both payments were made with the expectation of reimbursement from Trump.  At the same time, Cohen was a VP in a Trump corporation.  He was reimbursed by the same corporation for an amount of money needed to reimburse him for paying Clifford, the amount needed to reimburse the National Enquirer for paying McDougal, and a bonus for his work in securing the NDA settlements.  The amount was grossed up for tax purposes so Cohen had enough after-tax money to make the reimbursements.

Preet Bharra's successor alleges that these transactions constitute campaign contributions because they were done, in part, to influence the 2016 election.  Of course, Preet Bharra himself had asserted in the recent past a now discredited and overly broad theory about what constituted insider trading.  His office used this theory to extract guilty pleas from certain traders.  When his theory was challenged in court by a defendant who chose not to plead guilty, it was overturned by SCOTUS.  Just because a prosecutor alleges that certain actions violate a statute does not mean that the prosecutor is correct.

The US Atty's theory of the case is that any time a person becomes a candidate for any office governed by federal campaign finance laws, that person cannot instruct his or her lawyer to settle disputed claims confidentially through intermediaries even when no campaign funds are used because the advancement of funds for the settlement by the intermediary is a campaign contribution.  That is absurd.

Compare to DNC, Fusion GPS and Steele Dossier

Remember that Fusion GPS was hired by a law firm in which a DNC officer or director was a partner.  The DNC was billed by the law firm and reimbursed the firm for the retainer fee paid to Fusion GPS.

Fusion GPS then hired Steele and was reimbursed by the law firm for the costs of hiring Steele.  The law firm, in turn, was paid by the DNC.  The purpose of these transactions was to influence the 2016 election.

Under the SDNY theory, the funds advanced by the law firm to pay Fusion GPS would constitute campaign contributions.

Compare to Hillary and Email Destruction

Hillary Clinton hired a third party to destroy those 33,000 emails on her server with BleachBit so they could not be used against her in her presidential campaign.  Under the SDNY theory, these payments would constitute campaign contributions. 

We face grave danger from corrupt prosecutors from within our own legal system when they abuse their powers in order to use unproven legal theories in order to embarrass a political opponent.  I am much more concerned about these abuses of prosecutorial discretion than I am about whether Trump had consensual sex one time with a porn star more than 10 years ago.


66
Politics & Religion / Cohen Plea
« on: August 21, 2018, 05:37:23 PM »
A guilty plea creates no precedent.  It is simply the decision of Cohen to admit to these allegations in return for the government agreeing not to oppose a sentence greater than 63 months.  He was in much bigger trouble for the income tax and bank fraud allegations - like Manafort got hit with today.

It is not a campaign contribution for a candidate to settle with his own private funds a prior disputed allegation of a personal nature that does not involve actions that occurred during the campaign - even if the settlement would benefit the campaign by imposing a nondisclosure agreement upon the complaining parties.

Cohen was reimbursed with funds from the Trump real estate company - not the Trump campaign.  The US Attorney's written plea agreement and complaint alleges and admits this important fact.  So, if Trump authorized Cohen to settle the Stormy Daniels and the McDougal allegations with money settlements paid by funds that were not part of the Trump campaign, there is no campaign finance violation.  The fact that Cohen advanced the funds personally in one instance and convinced the National Enquirer to advance the funds in another instance does not make either transaction into a campaign contribution when the intended reimbursement for the settlements was always going to come from Trump's personal funds in his business. 

The Chief Asst. US Attorney running the case was a Preet Bharra appointee and Bharra was fired by Trump as US Atty for that District of NY shortly after Trump took office.  So, this was a form of political payback by forcing Cohen to make Trump look bad with guilty pleas to legally dubious counts in return for sentence leniency. 

67
Politics & Religion / Re: Immigration issues
« on: August 21, 2018, 03:44:54 PM »
Illegal alien charged with murdering the Iowa girl who disappeared last month.  Developing ...

Apparently, he confessed.

68
Trump now says that he meant to say, "Why wouldn't it be Russia?"  instead of "Why would it be Russia?" 

OK.  You must be careful with the double negatives. 

69
A lot of people are criticizing Trump for not saying that he believes the intelligence assessment of Russian interference over Putin's denials.

I think that Trump handled the issue properly, but not artfully.

Mueller's Friday the 13th indictment of those 12 Russian operatives turned a counterintelligence issue into a matter of US criminal procedure.  As Andy McCarthy noted correctly, because the indictment asserts US jurisdiction over their actions, the Mueller indictment granted those 12 Russian defendants the full protection of the US Constitution.  For federal court defendants, this involves especially Amendments 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8.  And this also includes the presumption of their innocence.

If Trump answers that question by saying that he believes the US intelligence assessment over Putin's denials, then he has prejudged the case and Mueller's ability to prosecute those 12 defendants successfully would have been reduced significantly.

Whether or not Trump had thought the matter through this far is unimportant.  Whatever the motivation for his answer, the answer was the correct one.  Trump cannot have an official opinion about the evidence against these 12 defendants now that Mueller made the matter one of criminal justice instead of counterintelligence.

70
Politics & Religion / Re: Russia/US-- Europe
« on: July 16, 2018, 04:45:39 PM »
Today, Trump said that the collusion claims between Russia and his campaign have impeded current Russia-US relations.  The media reports it as the entire Mueller investigation has impeded current US-Russia relations.  No.  Just the collusion narrative.

Trump's statement about giving him a reason to believe his DNI assessment or Putin's claim of denial struck me as saying that neither side has proven themselves to be more credible than the other.  Especially when federal government investigators never seized Clinton's servers but relied upon a third party assessment of the intrusions allegedly made on it by Russian GRU agents.  For defense lawyers, there would be a huge chain of custody issue here since the government would be presenting hearsay evidence about what intrusions occurred on that server instead of the best evidence itself, the server itself.

The "both sides have caused relations to deteriorate is true."  What was the US involvement in the orange uprising in Ukraine in 2004?  What was the US involvement in the 2014 events in Ukraine that caused a change in government there? 

This does not mean that Putin is a good guy or a victim.  He isn't.  But it does mean that when you are trying to thaw diplomatic relations, you don't stand up there and berate your opponent in public. 

Nor does this mean that Trump himself spoke in a classically diplomatic way.  He did not. 

It should be noted that Putin received nothing from the US at Helsinki other than a promise to talk some more.  They did not even get a lousy reset button this time.

71
Rick:

Good to see you here!

Flesh this out for me please:

"3.  Wikileaks and Julian Assange were very likely acting in concert with the Russians.  Wikileaks may claim being an unwitting here.  I have my doubts."

Marc

Marc, if he is not an unwitting, then what is he? 

http://www.businessinsider.com/snowden-assange-wikileaks-and-russia-2013-8

72
Several things became clearer with yesterday's indictments of the Russian cyber-intelligence operatives.

1.  Hillary Clinton's use of a personal email server was much more dangerous to national security than anyone cares to admit.

2.  The Russians thought that Hillary would win, but they wanted to weaken her position as President and as leader of the Democrat party in order to help further Russian self-interest. 

3.  Wikileaks and Julian Assange were very likely acting in concert with the Russians.  Wikileaks may claim being an unwitting here.  I have my doubts.

4.  Certain members of the political establishment sought to misuse the Russian intelligence operations for domestic political purposes by making them the justification to turn parts of the federal government's intelligence resources upon the Trump campaign.  They were also influenced in this regard by a Ukrainian operative who worked at the DNC.  Manafort became a justification for this action because of his positions in the Trump campaign and because he was an operative for certain pro-Russian factions in Ukraine. 

5.  When Trump won the election in a surprise result, the same members of the political establishment that had misused our federal government intelligence then began an effort to cover up these crimes with a classic disinformation campaign about Trump collusion with the Russians. 

6.  Unfortunately, most of the media is so anti-Trump that it is unable and unwilling to investigate this abuse of power because it suits their political agendas to leave it alone. 

73
Could be crass with a lisp.  Or crash with 2 "s's".

Kinda reminds me of "The Oneders" in the movie "That Thing You Do."

Well maybe a CIA asset was used first and then the info "distributed" to the Bureau in order for the original CRASS(H) action to become obscured.

74
What was the code name for the counterintelligence efforts directed at Papadopoulis and others before Crossfire Hurricane was commenced in June-July 2016?  Because, if there were no such counterintelligence investigation, then who tasked a humint operative onto George P and why?

Also, did you ever notice that the acronym for Halper's organization at Cambridge is CRASSH?

75
The reason they want to prove collusion is to prove a predicate to an ancillary crime like violations of FEC reg's; e.g., the Stormy Daniels trial balloon at that tactic.  This is all part of a cover-up to hide the abuses of our counterintelligence powers committed by many members of the Obama administration during the 2016 campaign.

The timeline becomes important because if the counterintelligence investigation began in March-April 2016, then the original stories about Page and Papadopoulis fall apart.  And the likely reason was Paul Manafort's involvement in the Trump campaign.  From March-June 2016, Manafort led the effort to secure enough delegates to win the Republican nomination.  But during that time, stories began to appear about his connections to pro-Russian interests in Ukraine.  Manafort was Trump's campaign chairman only from mid-June to mid-August 2016.  Manafort resigned August 19, 2016.  And it was during this time that the first FISA application was made, the Steele dossier was first published, and the FBI counterintelligence investigation was launched. 

What I think occurred is that some legitimate initial concerns about Manafort morphed into an excuse to spy on Trump's entire campaign - even after Manafort left on August 19th.  But with Manafort having left the Trump campaign months before the election, the temptation to use these concerns as a pretext to abuse our national security apparatus became too great for many members of the Obama administration who wanted to keep their jobs under Clinton.  So, they kept doubling down on their abuses of power and kept upping the alleged facts of Russian collusion in order to cover-up their own abuses of power.  When Trump won the election, they decided to try and cover-up their own abuses of power by screaming Russian collusion and Manafort.

76
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: February 05, 2018, 03:34:42 PM »
crafty - always glad to contribute when possible.

The Nunes memo summarizes some evidence learned on the classified side of the House Committee's oversight investigation into the issue of the Obama Administration's use of counterintelligence tools under the pretext of investigating Russian interference in the 2016 election.  Because this info was classified, it was kept in a secure reading room and one member of the Committee only could actually read it.  The Committee chose Trey Gowdy for this assignment.  Rep. Gowdy examined the evidence and then reported on what he read to the Chairman Nunes.  Then, in consultation with Gowdy, Nunes prepared a classified memo for distribution to the Republican members of his committee.  The memo confirmed some of the worst fears about how the FISC may have been manipulated into granting a warrant to spy on US citizens.  The Page case became one example of this abuse of power.

Remember that the committee is investigating a series of possible abuses that include misleading the FISC.  The Committee is also investigating the possible abuse of the power to unmask the identity of US citizens involved in conversations with foreign agents that are lawfully having their conversations intercepted.  This led to Flynn and his process crime of lying to an investigator about talking to the Russian ambassador.  The Committee also is likely investigating other possible abuses of power.

Nunes and Gowdy, I suspect, both fear that the Obama administration abused its foreign intelligence power in more than one way in order to spy on Trump.  They are trying to build a case that will result in more reforms and perhaps the prosecution of those who violated the law.  They both saw the Russian collusion political ploy as an opportunity to train the oversight powers of the Congress onto these potential abuses and expose them for the public to see.  Thus, when the Democrats wanted the Congress to investigate Russian interference and potential collusion with Trump in the last election, they supported the investigation.

The Nunes memo should be viewed as one piece of direct and circumstantial evidence that will lead to proving or disproving their hypothesis about Obama admin abuses.  Both Gowdy and Nunes have made no secret of the fact that they both fear past similar abuses of power in the disclosures about the Benghazi debacle and the IRS actions to deny tax-exempt certification to pro-Republican, Tea Party, and other groups that sought to support Romney during the 2012 election.  

In addition, Andy McCarthy has made a strong case that President Obama himself may have been behind the whole scheme in order to hide his emails he sent under a false name to Hilary's personal email account.  The Russian collusion story then becomes a replay of the anti-Muslim video scenario that was used to justify why we were surprised that in a North African nation, Libya, on the 11th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, that a mob suddenly attacked our compounds in Benghazi.  You invent a story, punish a scapegoat or two and hide from the public what really happened.  

Mrs. Clinton's personal email server would require disclosure of these emails from the President under a false name.  Suddenly, thousands of emails are scrubbed, bleached, and cannot be found.  Kind of like losing 18 minutes of tape ...

And when the political campaign would then bring up the Clinton Foundation's dealings with Russian lobbyists, the response is that Trump did it, too.  And when a lot of emails are phished from Podesta's personal gmail account because he fell for a phishing scam, the response is that not only did Trump work with the Russians on business deals, but also he colluded with them to steal the election from Hilary.  

To apply a phrase from the Nixon years, the Obama admin and its supporters went into full hold-out and, then, cover-up mode.  Just as Nixon did abuse certain powers and tried to get other agencies to join him, the Obama admin also did the same thing.  Instead of using "plumbers", they used the secret FISC process.  Instead of using burglars, they abused the unmasking process.  Etc., etc., etc ...

This certainly seems to be a reasonable hypothesis to investigate.  The Nunes memo is the first step in a long process of using Congressional oversight to obtain the proof - for or against such a hypothesis.  The Nunes memo certainly supports more investigation into the facts to determine whether this hypothesis is the truth.  The fact that it cannot be readily disproved at this time is the fact that most disturbs me today.  

77
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: February 05, 2018, 09:44:34 AM »
We need to see all warrant requests made to the FISC by DOJ or other government agencies that involved Carter Page - not just the initial one that was granted in October 2016.  Were there requests made before October 2016 that were not granted by the FISC? 

We need to learn the identities of all US citizens who were subjected to federal investigation, surveillance, or any other inquiries by any agency of the federal govt (not just the Special Counsel) as a result of information learned through the Page FISC-authorized surveillance.  Whose bank records were seized?  Whose neighbors, friends, or business associates were interviewed?  In other words why was the surveillance re-authorized 4 more times? 

Were subsequent requests for extension of the Page FISC order also supported by the intercepts of Flynn and others talking to the Russian ambassador?

In other words, there exists strong probable cause to believe that Comey, Strzok and Page leaked to the press certain information learned from the counterintelligence investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election.  How were they acquiring all of this information in that investigation?  Certainly, not just from the Page surveillance. 

If these actors would go to these lengths to get FISC authorization for surveillance on Page, what else were they doing under color of federal law once the investigation commenced in mid-2016? 

One main assessment that can be made here is that the entire story of Trump collusion with Russia was a deliberate disinformation effort concocted to conceal a lot of other really bad stuff.  Human behavior patterns do repeat themselves. 

78
Pence does not look so stupid now for never being alone with a woman other than his wife. 

All of these stories remind me of the Salem witch trials.  Mass social hysteria.  Who will be the progressive's Cotton Mather? 

79
Politics & Religion / Re: Saudi Arabia & the Arabian Peninsula
« on: November 07, 2017, 01:55:42 PM »
The last time that a major Sunni power fought a war in Yemen, many unanticipated bad things followed.  That was Egypt in the 1960's.  I'm more concerned about the Saudi-Iran conflict and the various proxy wars that could spin out of this conflict than I am concerned about the Nork's.

Egypt's failures in Yemen led it to gin up conflicts - one of which was the Six Days War.  Just sayin' ...

80
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: October 31, 2017, 03:44:51 AM »
The Podesta Group is very likely one of the two companies named in the Manafort indictment as being hired by Manafort to lobby in the US for his pro-Russia Ukraine clients.  Tony Podesta resigned yesterday as the head of The Podesta Group and blamed Fox News.

What the Sp Counsel alleges against Manafort is that he earned a bunch of money overseas, did not declare it as income, deposited it into various undeclared on FBAR's foreign bank accounts that he and Davis controlled, and, brought back part of those funds into the US without declaring that as income and paying income tax on it.  In the midst of this, they also allege money laundering.  This will be difficult to prove because it is not illegal to earn money for political consulting in foreign countries. 

But, if the Sp Counsel can prove that Manafort and Gates controlled certain banks opened in the names of foreign companies that they also controlled, then this is the same principle as income tax evasion. 

In the end, we are going to learn that Russia was actively lobbying here for many things.  And this does not even touch the entire UraniumOne issue.  Of course, by passing Magnitsky Act, Congress was attempting to influence internal Russian policies. 

81
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: October 30, 2017, 08:16:48 AM »
https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/rick-gates-campaign-aide-indicted-along-manafort/

what is truly amazing there is nothing here that cannot be said of Clinton,  Podesta, and Schultz and one or more of the lawyers

Nothing !

If these allegations are true, then Manafort and Gates will not be the first to have tried such a scheme ... and they will not be the last as long as the US taxes worldwide income regardless of where the income was earned.  There was a local married couple near me who tried the same thing with income earned from the operation and sale of medical schools located on several Caribbean islands.  You are OK until you try and bring the money back into the US without declaring the relevant portion of it as income.  Any transaction of any size creates reports at your receiving US banks that get filed with FinServ at Treasury. 

The Swiss banks used to provide very specific advice to their clients on setting up off-shore companies like these in order to avoid the tax.  Then, the US went after them and held their ability to do business in the US hostage until they agreed to abandon their long-term commitment to customer confidentiality. 

Also, what is also weird here is that the US had provided an amnesty window for filing FBAR reports on foreign bank accounts.  Manafort and Gates could have escaped most all liability here if they had filed accurate FBAR's during that amnesty period. 

82
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: October 27, 2017, 05:26:52 PM »
The Washington Free Beacon has admitted to hiring Fusion GPS in the fall of 2015.  This website was founded originally by the Center for American Freedom as anon-profit entity.  Bill Kristol is a board member of the Center for American Freedom.

The editor in chief of the Free Beacon is Matthew Continetti.  This publication went private in 2014 or 2015.  Continetti remains as Editor in Chief of the Free Beacon.  He is the son-in-law of Bill Kristol. 

An alleged investor in the for-profit Free Beacon is hedge fund operator Paul Singer who is the chairman of Elliott Management.  This company is an activist investor.  One of its more successful activist endeavors was its reorganization of Juniper Networks. 

83
Politics & Religion / Re: Media, Ministry of Truth Issues
« on: October 26, 2017, 04:41:47 AM »
I heard somewhere recently that O'Reilly, who was divorced in 2011, had been dating Lis Wiehl.  And then there was a falling out between the two.  There could have been business relationships intertwined with their personal relationship.

The only thing I would note about the timing of the complaints is that these women complainants appear to play this card when their contracts are up for renewal.  Fatal Attraction was big at the box office in the late 1970's.  I guess the lesson of that movie has been forgotten by many - even those old enough to have seen it during its original release.   :wink: 

84
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: October 26, 2017, 04:31:37 AM »
In late 2015 or early 2016, there was a donor funding a Republican Stop-Trump movement.  There was even a website.  This person could have been the donor who paid others to retain Fusion GPS. 

85
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: October 25, 2017, 11:41:39 AM »
I wonder if Bill Kristol hired Fusion GPS.  Or if he had enough money to hire them.  Just speculating here.

86
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: October 25, 2017, 01:54:36 AM »
who was the Republican ?

Bush campaign?

One of 15 possibilities.  Could also be Romney or McCain or someone close to them like Graham.

If the information in this dossier was used in probable cause affidavits for FISA warrants or other law enforcement investigative actions, then the Russian interference campaign will have achieved results beyond expectations.  It has caused the US federal government to spend hundreds of millions of dollars and thousands of personnel hours chasing a classic disinformation campaign that used a political opposition research firm to spread its magic dust. 

Unfortunately, I sense that this is a huge ball of yarn that is not anywhere close to being unraveled.  And a lot of other data points like the bleached emails, the Clinton Foundation, Uranium One and a bunch of other things are tied into this effort. 

Nothing reported about this issue for the past 18-20 months can be trusted.


87
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: October 24, 2017, 05:47:05 PM »
Well. Well. Well.

From the Washington Post

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/clinton-campaign-dnc-paid-for-research-that-led-to-russia-dossier/2017/10/24/226fabf0-b8e4-11e7-a908-a3470754bbb9_story.html?utm_term=.e22b156b7b91

By Adam Entous, Devlin Barrett and Rosalind S. Helderman October 24 at 7:21 PM

The Hillary Clinton campaign and the Democratic National Committee helped fund research that resulted in a now-famous dossier containing allegations about President Trump’s connections to Russia and possible coordination between his campaign and the Kremlin, people familiar with the matter said.

Marc E. Elias, a lawyer representing the Clinton campaign and the DNC, retained Fusion GPS, a Washington firm, to conduct the research.

After that, Fusion GPS hired dossier author Christopher Steele, a former British intelligence officer with ties to the FBI and the U.S. intelligence community, according to those people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Elias and his law firm, Perkins Coie, retained the company in April 2016 on behalf of the Clinton campaign and the DNC. Before that agreement, Fusion GPS’s research into Trump was funded by an unknown Republican client during the GOP primary.

The Clinton campaign and the DNC, through the law firm, continued to fund Fusion GPS’s research through the end of October 2016, days before Election Day.

Fusion GPS gave Steele’s reports and other research documents to Elias, the people familiar with the matter said. It is unclear how or how much of that information was shared with the campaign and the DNC and who in those organizations was aware of the roles of Fusion GPS and Steele. One person close to the matter said the campaign and the DNC were not informed by the law firm of Fusion GPS’s role.

The dossier has become a lightning rod amid the intensifying investigations into the Trump campaign’s possible connections to Russia. Some congressional Republican leaders have spent months trying to discredit Fusion GPS and Steele and tried to determine the identity of the Democrat or organization that paid for the dossier.

Trump tweeted as recently as Saturday that the Justice Department and FBI should “immediately release who paid for it.”

Elias and Fusion GPS declined to comment on the arrangement. Spokesmen for the Clinton campaign and the DNC had no immediate comment.

Some of the details are included in a Tuesday letter sent by Perkins Coie to a lawyer representing Fusion GPS, telling the research firm that it was released from a ­client-confidentiality obligation. The letter was prompted by a legal fight over a subpoena for Fusion GPS’s bank records.

People involved in the matter said that they would not disclose the dollar amounts paid to Fusion GPS but that the campaign and the DNC shared the cost.

Steele previously worked in Russia for British intelligence. The dossier is a compilation of reports he prepared for Fusion GPS. The dossier alleged that the Russian government collected compromising information about Trump and that the Kremlin was engaged in an effort to assist his campaign for president.

U.S. intelligence agencies later released a public assessment asserting that Russia intervened in the 2016 election to aid Trump. The FBI has been investigating whether Trump associates helped the Russians in that effort.

Trump has adamantly denied the allegations in the dossier and has dismissed the FBI probe as a witch hunt.

Officials have said that the FBI has confirmed some of the information in the dossier. Other details, including the most sensational accusations, have not been verified and may never be.

Fusion GPS’s work researching Trump began during the Republican presidential primaries, when the GOP donor paid for the firm to investigate the real estate magnate’s background.

Fusion GPS did not start off looking at Trump’s Russia ties but quickly realized that those relationships were extensive, according to the people familiar with the matter.

When the Republican donor stopped paying for the research, Elias, acting on behalf of the Clinton campaign and the DNC, agreed to pay for the work to continue. The Democrats paid for research, including by Fusion GPS, because of concerns that little was known about Trump and his business interests, according to the people familiar with the matter.

Those people said that it is standard practice for political campaigns to use law firms to hire outside researchers to ensure their work is protected by attorney-client and work-product privileges.

The Clinton campaign paid Perkins Coie $5.6 million in legal fees from June 2015 to December 2016, according to campaign finance records, and the DNC paid the firm $3.6 million in “legal and compliance consulting’’ since November 2015 — though it’s impossible to tell from the filings how much of that work was for other legal matters and how much of it related to Fusion GPS.

At no point, the people said, did the Clinton campaign or the DNC direct Steele’s activities. They described him as a Fusion GPS subcontractor.

Some of Steele’s allegations began circulating in Washington in the summer of 2016 as the FBI launched its counterintelligence investigation into possible connections between Trump associates and the Kremlin. Around that time, Steele shared some of his findings with the FBI.

After the election, the FBI agreed to pay Steele to continue gathering intelligence about Trump and Russia, but the bureau pulled out of the arrangement after Steele was publicly identified in news reports.

The dossier was published by BuzzFeed News in January. Fusion GPS has said in court filings that it did not give BuzzFeed the documents.

Current and former U.S. intelligence officials said that Steele was respected by the FBI and the State Department for earlier work he performed on a global corruption probe.

In early January, then-FBI Director James B. Comey presented a two-page summary of Steele’s dossier to President Barack Obama and President-elect Trump. In May, Trump fired Comey, which led to the appointment of Robert S. Mueller III as special counsel investigating the Trump-Russia matter.

Congressional Republicans have tried to force Fusion GPS to identify the Democrat or group behind Steele’s work, but the firm has said that it will not do so, citing confidentiality agreements with its clients.

Last week, Fusion GPS executives invoked their constitutional right not to answer questions from the House Intelligence Committee. The firm’s founder, Glenn Simpson, had previously given a 10-hour interview to the Senate Judiciary Committee.

Over objections from Democrats, the Republican leader of the House Intelligence Committee, Rep. Devin Nunes (Calif.), subpoenaed Fusion GPS’s bank records to try to identify the mystery client.

Fusion GPS has been fighting the release of its bank records. A judge on Tuesday extended a deadline for Fusion GPS’s bank to respond to the subpoena until Friday while the company attempts to negotiate a resolution with Nunes.

88
Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War
« on: October 12, 2017, 06:14:48 AM »
Story turned out to be false.

Please ignore.

90
Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War
« on: August 15, 2017, 02:19:25 PM »
People are judging Trump's response assuming that the identity of the driver was known at about 4:30 pm EDT when Trump tweeted and then gave his first formal remarks.  My recollection is that the news about the driver's identity broke after Trump's speech.

At the time of the Saturday afternoon speech, there was news about a riot between antifa and nazis over the RE Lee statue.  There was the video of the car plowing into the crowd.  However, the news of the person's arrest and the release of his identity came many hours after Trump's first comments.  Trump issued condolences to the family of the woman killed by the driver and called her innocent.

What galls me here is that people are not accurately reporting the timeline of events and criticizing Trump's initial comments as if there was clear evidence that the nazis were the only ones at fault.  

And then there is this article about the Charlottesville Mayor proclaiming his city to be the capitol of "the resistance."

http://dailycaller.com/2017/08/14/flashback-charlottesville-mayor-declares-city-capital-of-the-resistance/

91
Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War
« on: August 15, 2017, 04:03:19 AM »
We have seen this story in the past.  For example, Germany from 1917 to the mid 1920's.

Spain in the mid-1930's.

Unless people are willing to acknowledge that antifa and the nazis are equally evil, we will descend in the same manner as Germany and Spain.

I heard Hayes say the same thing.  And Krauthammer.  People forget that Stalin and Hitler were allies from August 1939 until June 1941.  They carved up Poland together.  There is little difference in concept between the two forces.  They just choose different groups against which to spew their hate.

92
Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War
« on: August 14, 2017, 06:31:19 PM »
Just pointing out that Trump's original tweets occurred before it was confirmed that a Nazi was behind the wheel of the car that killed and injured those people in Charlottesville, but that it occurred after video showed violent clashes between antifa thugs and Nazi thugs.  He then offered condolences to the family of the woman killed by the Nazi.  He then went silent for about 40 hours.  He then gave his speech earlier today specifically including white supremacists, Nazis and the KKK as among those groups espousing hate.

Both extremes got the riot they desired.  The fact that this time it was the Nazis who committed Saturday's most heinous crime does not excuse the acts of antifa earlier in the day.  A pox on them both.

93
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: August 05, 2017, 04:53:53 PM »
Len Blavatnik is not exactly a secretive person.

http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001326628

Blavatnik's investment company's office is on the 20th floor of a large office building across the street from Trump Tower.  So is the Argentine Consulate and many other business.

The gist of the professor's article is that because Blavatnik may know Deripaska and because Deripaska is connected to Putin and other pro-Putin oligarchs, ergo, Blavatnik's donations to the Republican PAC's are motivated by pro-Putin interests rather by Blavatnik's interest in maintaining good relations with the party that might control the SEC and other regulators that have authority over his US based investment business. 

The author's bio

http://www.udallas.edu/cob/about/faculty/may-ruth.php

I am unimpressed with her reasoning in the article.  For example, 48% does not constitute a majority stake in any company.  I thought a CFP and a business professor would know that.  Also, it appears that she is connected with many of the same Ukrainian characters that attempted to assist Hillary Clinton in the 2016 campaign.  In other words, she does not seem all that more credentialed than many posters on this forum.  Yet, she published a sloppily written column designed to make a political point. 

94
Politics & Religion / Re: The Russian conspiracy, Comey, related matters
« on: August 02, 2017, 03:37:35 AM »
Lawyers performing a counterintelligence investigation is a recipe for disaster.

95
When one follows the money to Fusion GPS and the phony "Russian dossier" that it pushed to anti-Trump people, one can see the links to Putin and his efforts to rescind the Magnitsky Act.  All you need know here is that the retired Brit who authored the "dossier" defended a libel action against him in the UK by claiming that he thoroughly disclosed to Fusion GPS that his sources were Russian. 

Comey, McCain, and a cast of thousands were duped by that dossier because it confirmed their pre-existing opinions of Trump.  Comey likely used the dossier to ratchet up the counterintel investigation of Trump people.  Information in it was used to obtain a FISA warrant against certain Trump associates. 

Of course, the Russians had the other alternative covered.  If Hillary had been elected, then we'd be having investigations into the emails, servers, and other stuff.  I am confident that Russian intel operatives were behind the leak of the Podesta emails to Wikileaks; but I am not confident that they did the original phishing scam on Podesta. 

The most likely scenario here is that Putin outfoxed the DC swamp and the swamp does not want to admit it.  Hence, it is in full cover-up mode.  And, its cover-up consists mainly of attacking Trump in order to deflect the spotlight from them.

So, Putin and Russian intel has suceeded in neutralizing Trump with a special counsel investigation based upon a phony dossier that was spoon-fed to anti-Trump oppo research peeps by Russian operatives.  And the entire meeting with Trump Jr was a set-up designed to ascertain whether his group would be friendly to Russia and its efforts to overturn Magnitsky.  When Trmup Jr, Kushner and Manafort walked away, the effort shifted to the current effort to undermine Trump by using political opponents as unwittings.


96
It looks more and more like Russia played both sides of the election and sought destabilization of US politics in retaliation for passage of the Magnitsky Act by Congress in 2012.

Russia appears to have succeeded in its efforts as well as the UK succeeded with the Zimmerman Telegram 100 years earlier.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zimmermann_Telegram

97
It turns out that "the Russians" who met with Trump Jr., are also connected to Fusion GPS, the company that commissioned the fake British dossier.

http://www.redstate.com/streiff/2017/07/14/shocker.-wont-believe-employed-former-soviet-counterintelligence-official-trump-meeting/

Trump, Jr. declined to collude with these Russians and declined their "help" against Hillary.  Shortly afterwards, a dossier of alleged Trump Sr. indiscretions began to circulate.  And Senator McCain was somehow linked to requesting this info.  In addition, this dossier gets to the FBI and Comey.

Fusion GPS is at the center of all of these "collusions." 






98
This pseudo-scandal is beyond laughable.

So, now, the big deal is that other Russian lobbyists and an interpreter accompanied the lawyer.  But the meeting was with the lawyer and the lawyer did all of the talking through an interpreter.

According to another lobbyist who was in the Russian "delegation",  the lawyer claimed to have information showing a flow of illicit funds from Russia to the DNC.  Trump Jr then asks her whether she has evidence to back up her claim including proof of the actual flow of money.  The lawyer then replied that the Trump campaign would have to research it more.

http://apnews.com/dceed1008d8f45afb314aca65797762a/Russian-American-lobbyist-says-he-was-in-Trump-son's-meeting

At this point, Trump Jr lost interest.  Kushner left the room.  The lawyer pivots to bring up the real reason she was there - to lobby for repeal of the Magnitsky Act so that Putin would rescind restrictions on Americans adopting Russian children.  Trump Jr ends the meeting after a total of 20-30 minutes.

In other words, in reality, Trump, Jr. decided not to work with "the Russians."

99
The Russia interference scenario is a corollary of the "Manafort is a Russian dupe" scenario that was directed at Trump beginning in May or June 2016. 

This was their pre-emptive strike against the Clinton Foundation and the uranium deal argument that they knew would be an issue in the campaign.  As well as a pre-emptive strike against the Podesta was phished problem.  If the Dems could blame that whole debacle on sophisticated Russian spies instead of Podesta falling for an obvious phishing scheme, then they can escape responsibility for their own failures.

If you recall, the anti-Trump Repub's and the Dem's went all in against Trump because Manafort had previously consulted for the preferred Russian political leader in Ukraine.  This is why Ukraine operatives tried to help Clinton in the 2016 election.  The argument went something like this: because Manafort had once consulted for pro-Russian politician, ergo Trump must be pro-Putin.

Then, the AZ airport meeting between Lynch and Bill Clinton was revealed.

Then, Comey held his first press conference at which he announced that he would recommend against not indicting Hillary over her email issues, but during which he made serious allegations against Hillary's email security.
 
The Mnafort line of attack stopped working after the Trump campaign replaced Manafort with Bannon and Conway.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/paul-manafort-resigns-from-trump-campaign-227197

Afterwards, when it became clear that Wikileaks had obtained Podesta's emails and would be releasing them, the Dem's began to shift the emphasis of this towards Russian hackers having illegally obtained these emails.

The shift in Dem talking points also occurred about the same time, August 2016, when Obama first learned of Russian attempts "to interfere in the election."

And, today, we learn that it was Sen. McCain who first sought to use the fake dossier on Trump. 


100
What's not being talked about here is how this info was discovered.  Kushner and Manafort disclosed the meeting to relevant federal governmental authorities.  Thus, it is likely that the leakers were members of the staffs of the relevant federal authorities who received those disclosures along with the emails.

But the story is written from the point of view that Trump, Jr. did not disclose the same meeting that was disclosed by the other two.  Trump, Jr is not a federal employee (Kushner) and is not a registered foreign agent (Manafort).  He is not required to disclose anything.  And it is likely that the investigators got the emails from Kushner.  

Now,it turns out that the lawyer herself was admitted to the USA only to attend the trial of one of her clients, a Russian company.  But she broke the terms of her visa and used her presence in the USA to conduct unregistered lobbying to amend the Magnitsky Act.  And she got a meeting with Trump, Jr., Kushner, and Manafort by falsely claiming to the singer and his father that she had some dirt on Clinton.  

In other words, this was NOT an effort by the Russian government to interfere or influence the 2016 elections.  It was a lobbying effort to persuade the Trump campaign to support repeal of the Magnitsky Act.  It was part of an open effort that involved a film presentation at the Newsuem in DC and meetings with or introductions to up to 80 Congressmen.  And one of the backers of this lobbying effort was former Congressman Ron Dellums, a well-known leftist from the San Francisco area.

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