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Messages - ya

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252
Politics & Religion / Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« on: October 08, 2023, 07:52:29 PM »

253
Politics & Religion / Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« on: October 08, 2023, 12:14:35 PM »
Will the US get involved and bomb Iran. Would solve the Iranian nuke issue and also Iranian support to Russia ?. This whole Hamas entry into Israel is quite fishy..too many loose ends and a lot of people sleeping. Does not add up.

254
Politics & Religion / Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« on: October 08, 2023, 07:59:16 AM »
I think Ukr is done for, attention has shifted to Israel, giving the US a face saving exit from Ukr. If the Israel war goes ballistic with Hezbullah joining in....again the US will get involved,until the next war between China and Taiwan....

255
Politics & Religion / Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« on: October 07, 2023, 07:44:22 AM »
Keep track of the world responses




256
Oct 13 is a crucial date. That is the date by which the SEC must decide if they will allow GBTC to convert to a BTC ETF or not (create additional hurdles). The courts have lambasted the SEC and ruled in favor of GBTC. If they allow GBTC to be converted, they will also allow other BTF spot ETF's to proceed. This could ignite a BTC rally for the ages.

My reading of what's happening is that a spot BTC ETF will be approved, either this year or early next year before the halving.


258
Another development...now Indian Muslims are demanding that POK be allowed to merge with India. They believe only Modi can do that. The momentum for re-unification is building...

259
In the last few weeks the rate of assassinations of Paki terrorists to include Pak funded Khalistanis in Canada, UK and of course in Pak has shot up. They are falling like flies. Indian secret agencies and Modi is getting a lot of credit for this, but ofcourse no one knows who is responsible. The Khalistanis in Canada have interpol notices on some of them, or are declared terrorists for killing innocents, plane hijacking etc that canada has for some reason given them citizenship. This has vitiated the India-Canada atmosphere.

Based on the speeches by Modi and Indian Foreign Min, India will take a hard line from now on.

260
Politics & Religion / Angry response coming?
« on: September 14, 2023, 06:21:15 PM »
Yesterday, India lost 3 army men (Col, Major and a senior police man) in Kashmir to terrorist action from Pak. India is up in arms. Just heard a fiery speech from Modi, saying he will make Pak pay, that he has had enough, the country has had enough. Modi is not known to speak like that. He is mad as hell. Expectations of a severe response are being raised.

261
Politics & Religion / Re: Ukraine
« on: September 10, 2023, 04:00:57 PM »
Zelensky preparing for Biden visit

https://twitter.com/i/status/1700548524100718622

262
G20 had the Japanese PM's wife dress in Indian clothes.



Rishi Sunak, PM of UK and wife going all into Hinduism mode

IMF Pres. Giorgina C (sp ?) showing Indian dance moves.

I am seeing a move away from China.

263
Politics & Religion / Re: Saudi Arabia & the Arabian Peninsula
« on: September 10, 2023, 06:42:02 AM »
The Western response to Chinese belt and road, as proposed in the G20 (where Biden and Saudi MBS shook hands as opposed to the fist bump) is a sea and rail route to Europe.

264
Politics & Religion / Re: Ukraine
« on: September 10, 2023, 06:26:40 AM »
So the G20 is over, and the final communique did NOT criticize Russia over the war with Ukr. This suggests that the G20 countries had no consensus, as to whether Russia is to be blamed for the war. Support for Ukr is winding down.

- Agreed to by the US too.

265
Not Pak, but Gilgit Baltistan loosely called Pak Occupied Kashmir (POK), which is Indian Territory per the Constitution of India and India has a strong legal basis for it. Since independence, the Parliament has empty seats for representatives from POK. Gilgit and Baltistan are the major areas that are being contested

.

These are Shia areas. There is a small sliver of land near Muzaffarabad so called Azad Kashmir or Free Kashmir (seen on the map, left middle side), that is Sunni and India has no interest in it, though the people from there too are protesting to join India as the 3 areas Gilgit, Baltistan and Azad Kashmir comprise POK. The map also shows Aksai Chin that China has occupied and adjacent to it is territory that Pak ceded to China, which is also Indian territory per legal documents.

To understand India's historical civilizational ties with Afghanistan, Balochistan, Tibet etc, You may want to read about Akhand Bharat (separate issue), which shows the old Indian territories, from not too long ago.

266
In recent times, India's moon mission, sun mission, G20, current state of development in Kashmir, all of this is causing huge demands in POK to unite with India. Indian BJP leadership has started to say, that the people of POK will demand union with India and that is happening.

Religious flavored songs are being sung to unite with India (advanced stage of mutiny), these are in urdu, but they will give a flavor. https://youtu.be/I5EEhIoCMJU?t=942
There is no food, electricity, education etc. Huge protests in POK, that India should open the border at Kargil. This is a bit like the Berlin wall between East and West Germany. People in POK can see the development in Indian Kashmir. Looks like the Bangladesh model + softpower will be used to unite with POK. The army will then ensure law and order.

- At some point India will open the borders, refugees will flow to India, India will take over Bangladesh (Bangladesh model).
- If China makes a move on Taiwan, India may again use the situation to take over POK.
- Next general elections in May 2024, Modi is likely to comeback with super majorities. Apparently he has not taken a single day of vacation over the last several years !.

267
China is slowly being strangled, will take a decade.


268
India is holding the  G20 Summit in New Delhi. not much coverage in the media.
Some notable points.
-Xi did not attend, probably did not want to meet Biden, or snub India or both.
- India added the African Union, about 51 countries to the G20 Group as a permanent member, just as the EU is part of the group. This improves India's relations with Africa (commodities and challenges China). Next the G20 Presidency shifts to Brazil, you can be sure Latin America will be added next.

Here's the video of Indian FM Jaishankar bringing in the African Union Head and ultimate hug with Modi
https://twitter.com/i/status/1700395154086215847

- A new land and sea route has been set up to Europe, to counter China's belt and road initiative.
- MBS from Saudi Arab is on a State Visit to India, PM of Mauritius was also accorded a lot of importance, 2 countries where China is vying for influence and the US is losing influence.
- India has for long asked for a Permanent Seat at the UNSC and China always vetoes that. Slowly, other international organizations are being developed to counter China. It is obvious that industry will shift from China and India is being built up as the alternative.
- What is very obvious is how warmly Modi greets several of the leaders of these countries, relationships are good. In recent times, France, Egypt, Saudis have given Modi perhaps their highest civilian awards !. Neither China nor the US has these relationships.

269
India's plans on acquiring POK are moving to the next stage, where people from Gilgit Baltistan (GB) are now openly demanding that they merge with India (no doubt with covert Indian support).
https://youtu.be/sSOYk5WYX9o
My current thinking is that the demand to merge with India will come from the people of POK and India will oblige. Much can be learnt, from the parallels of how India freed/created Bangladesh (E.Pak) and acquired the state of Sikkim. The plans will not be the same but will ryhme.

- The food crisis in POK will result in people of GB clamoring to get into India, India will oblige by opening the Kargil road (which the people are requesting), this will lead to a refugee crisis and then India takes back GB with massive public support. India will open the road for humanitarian reasons, at a time of its choosing.

- India is currently investing a lot in Indian Kashmir, and the narrative is being created and contrasted with POK where there is no development and even food, electricity, medical care, education is non-existent in POK. This year a lot of media attention was garnered with the visit of 3 Miss Worlds/Countries to Kashmir, with the possibility of a competition in Kashmir.

- Recent Indian moon mission and today's rocket to the Sun's periphery is all, garnering admiration in POK and Pak to merge with India.

- Indian general elections are in May 2024. Modi is expected to win a massive majority. If that happens, POK will be in the bulls eye for his next term.

- Economically, India is getting stronger, its expected to become the 3rd largest economy in the next 2 years.
---------------------------------------------
- To compare with the banana republic of Pak, their ex PM is in prison and being asked to give up politics and go into exile in Londonistan.
- The Pak rupee has been devalued extensively
- No food, water or electricity in Pak.
- India is talking about renegotiation of the Indus Water Treaty, which will further reduce Pak's water, India holds all the levers.
- The state of Pak economy is dire.

270
That is a valid point, but this is exactly where BRICS+ differs from the west. They are not the global policeman, as  the US tries to be. BRICS+ from what I understand is focused mostly on improving their economies, infrastructure etc, without falling into the IMF debt trap, or suffering from US dollar hegemony (SWIFT sanctions, strength of US $ which devastates developing countries). Trying to be the global policemen and control behaviour of individual countries is beyond the BRICS abilities or interest.

271
Not much discussion of BRICS in the news, starts tomorrow. Neither is there any discussion of India potentially landing a moon rover in 2 days at the South pole. South pole is where supposedly the water is, which India identified a few years ago. Russian Lunar 25 module crashed a few days ago, they wanted to be the first to reach the S.pole. Well am going back to watching the Kardashians.

Yes I was reading a little about both.  Very interesting.  My thought on BRICS.  If this is an organization of independent states, shouldn't they be independent of Russia and China especially, more so than of the US.

At this time BRICS + is just a big poke in the eye to the US and EU. Russia is well respected in Africa, because they never colonized it. The Europeans have a long history of colonization and looting Africa, I think they are on their way out. China provides the financial clout and African dictators and leaders love that, they can also make some money on the side, just like the Paki Generals did. India is basically there as a champion of the global south. India has a long history with Africa (eg Gandhi was in S Africa), particularly on its east coast where many Indian businesses settled. With Egypt and Iran, India has ancient cultural ties.

So BRICS+ is not much at the moment, but its economy is greater than that of the G7. 40 nations want to join...

272
Politics & Religion / Re: Political Economics
« on: August 26, 2023, 05:16:40 AM »
Even Ethiopia is speaking out.. The US better get its act together. Biden has been a failure. A multipolar world is in its early stages. Things change slowly, then suddenly.

https://twitter.com/jcokechukwu/status/1695327296381440205

273
Politics & Religion / Re: Political Economics
« on: August 25, 2023, 03:57:07 AM »
1. I notice that US media has ignored the expansion of the BRICS group. Study the countries who got added and why. Looks like the global south wants to join, which means Africa, Latin America and many others. Global geopolitics and geoeconomics is changing. Unfortunately, Biden speeded up the process, by sanctioning Russia, particularly their bank reserves.

2. Very little coverage in the media, on India being the first to land on the South Pole of the Moon, along with a moon rover.

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/hDQuKfWMrpo


274
Not much discussion of BRICS in the news, starts tomorrow. Neither is there any discussion of India potentially landing a moon rover in 2 days at the South pole. South pole is where supposedly the water is, which India identified a few years ago. Russian Lunar 25 module crashed a few days ago, they wanted to be the first to reach the S.pole. Well am going back to watching the Kardashians.

276
Politics & Religion / Hurdle rate
« on: August 17, 2023, 05:07:40 AM »
Pl. also see this and the links in it. Just buying and holding is required.

https://www.onceinaspecies.com/p/bitcoin-wrecks-your-hurdle-rate

277
The simplest is to buy BTC and hold. If ETF is approved, it will go to above 100K quickly. If it is not approved, that would mean BlackRock has been denied, perhaps the second time. They have a record of roughly 565 approvals to 1 denial so far. In this instance, BTC will rise after the halving in April 2024-2025. Options, futures etc are losing propositions.

278
Here are the possible BTC ETF approval dates. Blackrock is the most important one. Latest by March 15 2024, just in time for the halving in April 2024. I cannot imagine that the ETF will not be approved. People in the know are watching Jan 10, 2024 when the Ark ETF is due, at which point the SEC could approve enmasse, or in the next 45 days or so when the GBTC court decision is due, which could also force the SEC to take a lenient stance. 3 current US Presidential candidates, plus the one in Argentina are strong supporters of bitcoin.

A BTC ETF could send the price soaring..


279
Just posting a cultural snippet from India, where the army is respected very much. A young Sikh soldier comes back to his village after being inducted into the Indian Army.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1691352766764228608

Also, today is India's Independence day, enjoy...https://twitter.com/i/status/1691346294747328512

280
The GBTC's case against the SEC is expected to get a decision soon, over the next couple of months. SEC is expected to lose, that will open up the way for GBTC to convert to an ETF. Earliest that this ruling could come is today at 11 am.

281
India is changing its penal code (British Colonial Hangover)...I think it would be important to have new laws put in to deal with any mischief Pak may do amongst Indian muslims. This is a necessary step before India makes a go for POK.

*Bill also lists new offences such as acts of secession, arm ..

Read more at:
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/102640505.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst


282
Bitcoin ETF is coming, before Feb 2024. When it comes, there will be a God green candle.


283
Politics & Religion / Imran Khan imprisoned
« on: August 06, 2023, 05:00:06 AM »
Pak puts Imran Khan in prison for 3 years. The nation is on a death spiral.

285
Politics & Religion / Re: Ukraine
« on: July 16, 2023, 08:52:40 AM »
Different perspective than what the media and NATO is saying

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/incredible-shrinking-nato

286
1. As you may know, Modi was in Washington and met Elon Musk. Now Gilgit-Baltistan (GB) which is part of POK, about 28,000 sq miles  is being shown as part of India. Twitter users from GB are showing their location in India and the official acct of Pak govt dealing with GB has been shut down. This is all part of building a narrative that GB belongs to India, part of the G20 meetings are being held in Indian Kashmir so that everyone can see Kashmir for themselves.

2. There are multiple videos coming out where people from GB are demanding to be merged with Indian Kashmir. A key factor is the massive development in Indian Kashmir. GB has not got nything from Pak, no food, no electricity, no hospitals, jobs, roads nothing.

3. India continues its weapons purchases with an eye on China, from the US (GE engines for planes, Reaper drones) and from France (26 naval Rafales for the aircraft carrier and 3 scorpene subs), with Germany (acquiring new subs) etc.

4. For years the Indian airforce has had an airbase in Tajikistan at Farkhor. The purpose was to put pressure on Pak and also control the Wakhan corridor which is the GB border with Afghanistan.


5. India continues to have empty seats for legislators from POK in the Indian Parliament.

When India separated Bangladesh from Pak, the people of Bangladesh were fully supportive of India, once about 70% of people in GB support India, that will be the time to act. GB is mostly Shia, and Kashmiri Shia strongly support India.

In the meantime, India is building world opinion, building a pro-India narrative in GB.

287
Politics & Religion / BTC
« on: July 09, 2023, 07:17:57 AM »
Watch this, if interested in BTC. eye opening

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsT55mpG_G0

289
India typically avoids taking anti-China positions, so as not to pi$$ them off...but things are changing.
https://thewire.in/diplomacy/for-the-first-time-india-calls-for-abiding-by-the-2016-arbitral-award-on-south-china-sea

290
1 BTC=465 mill Lebanese Pounds, Slowly then Suddenly.


291
Those with a longer time horizon, may want to consider a 1-5 % allocation to BTC. In recent times Blackrock, Fidelity etc with 27 Trillion in assets have filed for a spot BTC ETF. If it gets approved, BTC is expected to sky rocket. the earliest date for approval is 45 days and latest is 240 days, or Feb 2024 just before the BTC halving.

Pl. do your own research, BTC is volatile with 85 % downdrafts!!

292
Politics & Religion / Re: Cyberwar, Cyber Crime, and American Freedom
« on: June 18, 2023, 02:56:56 PM »
Here's something interesting floating on the internet. Put on your tin foil hat.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1670249394111741955

293
If you have been wondering why BTC is making moves. Here's a good explainer on the proposed Blackrock BTC ETF.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1669849717679742977

The thinking is, the market opens up for Institutional investors to get exposure to BTC, which many are not allowed to purchase for various reasons. Below is how Gold behaved, once the ETF was approved. With the upcoming BTC halvening in April 2024, this is likely to be very bullish, if approved.



You may also want to listen how Larry Fink from BlackRock lied, before they were ready to roll out the ETF. https://twitter.com/i/status/1669817373627408385

294
Blackrock files for a redeemable spot BTC "ETF" Trust Gary Gensler will probably approve.

https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1669449336642588672/photo/1

295
I see someone's flag missing ?


296
And then they fight you.


299
Must read, Arthur Hayes. It is dense reading, but worth the 15-20 min.

https://cryptohayes.substack.com/p/patience-is-beautiful

300
If anyone uses Ledger hardware wallet, best to move to another wallet. You could lose your coins.

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