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Messages - bigdog

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53
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Malaphors
« on: June 24, 2017, 07:46:52 AM »
25 examples of “contronyms”—words that are their own antonyms


Fascinating. Perhaps related: http://blog.oxforddictionaries.com/2017/05/malaphors/

55
Politics & Religion / Re: Drones/UAV/UAS/Bots
« on: June 19, 2017, 01:00:32 PM »
https://www.fastcompany.com/3069048/where-are-military-robots-headed

From the article:

Future generations of military robots will almost certainly operate with more autonomy than comparable machines today—but will they be able to make life-or-death decisions?

“I can’t imagine a case where you’d want a robot to be autonomously making decisions about harming people,” says Endeavor’s Bielat.

But others are imagining that very thing and sounding the alarm, including the Vatican.

58
Of course the counter argument is that continuing to play win-win when the others are playing zero sum is a failing strategy.

The PD game has a specific design, so altering strategy and etc. would be a different game. So, in the context of the game, this is not an effective counterargument.

59
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/game-theory-trumps-climate-negotiations-mohamed-el-erian?trk=v-feed&lipi=urn%3Ali%3Apage%3Ad_flagship3_feed%3BRm5%2B%2BlvB052j9iThCTHNrA%3D%3D

"They would find themselves locked with the U.S. in a 'prisoner's dilemma' -- that is, a scenario in which both parties end up in a worse situation than they would have otherwise realistically attained had they cooperated in a credible fashion."

60
Politics & Religion / strategic mission creep for special operations
« on: June 04, 2017, 04:28:29 PM »
http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-special-operations-20170525-story.html

"With special operations forces now posted in more than 80 countries, the ever-increasing set of missions and uptick in casualties give pause even to some military experts and veterans who support the expanding role.

“'You talk about mission creep — this is strategic mission creep all over the world,' said retired Lt. Gen. Mark Hertling, a 37-year Army veteran. 'Special operations just isn’t sized to do that.'”

62
Politics & Religion / Re: US Foreign Policy
« on: May 31, 2017, 08:41:53 AM »
I am rather busy at the moment, but will try to respond with actual detail this weekend.

In the short term, I think you miss some threats, and overstate one. I would add India's relations with both China and Pakistan, and I think you overlook the domestic threat of the right in your focus on the left.

I agree with your concern about the size of the military budget, but it is not merely the Dems who are at fault (necessarily): http://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2017/05/trump-administration-just-missed-its-best-shot-military-buildup/138254/?oref=d-river but see https://warontherocks.com/2017/05/is-trumps-350-ship-navy-on-the-rocks-the-politics-promise-and-perils-of-shipbuilding/



As this forum itself voluminously attests, I certainly agree with this article that America's geopolitical position is very bad. 

I agree with GM that the author seems to have slept through the Obama era.

Though he regularly trips over his shoelaces with regular unforced errors, in the big picture Trump is getting some very important things right.

A) We are badly overextended and our military badly underfunded.  We are no longer in the bi-polar world of the Cold War, or the uni-polar era of Clinton and Bush.  Putting aside articulating my seething anger at Obama I would say that we are now in a multi-polar world facing, in no particular order:

1) Russia;
2) the Russian-Iranian Axis from the Indian Ocean to the Baltic Sea;
3) Iran going nuke;
4) the Arab middle east circling the drain
5) Afpakia a clusterfuck that we can't leave and in which we can't stay
6) North Korea going nuke;
7) China--including its slow motion seizure of the waters of one third of the world's trade;
8) Europe imploding demographically, militarily, economically, and psychologically;
9) the Democrats-- who are determined to leave our military underfunded and to bring down Trump by any means necessary

This is more than we can handle.  We need to figure out how to shorten this list.

Any suggestions BD?


64
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Legal issues
« on: May 29, 2017, 06:29:13 AM »
The mind boggles at how wide spread this partisan gibbersish posing as judicial interpretation of law is , , ,

I couldn't agree more with this statement.

66
Politics & Religion / Re: Death of NATO
« on: May 25, 2017, 06:57:56 PM »
http://carnegieeurope.eu/2017/05/23/new-transatlantic-security-bargain-pub-70050

"Europe should propose to the United States a new security project of transformative significance. This could come in the shape of a joint Marshall Plan–like effort to shore up the fledgling democracies of North Africa, for example. The idea is to generate a security benefit—such as fewer terrorists with the potential to harm the United States—at a scale that would firmly imprint on American minds that a joint effort with Europe makes America safer."

73
http://www.nationalreview.com/g-file/447594/donald-trump-james-comey-debacle-fbi-director-fired-certified-letter

"Ask anybody — off the record, of course — on Capitol Hill about whether all this drama helps them get bills passed or judges confirmed. They will laugh at the question."

74
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Inspirational thoughts
« on: May 12, 2017, 03:09:39 AM »
https://www.si.com/more-sports/2017/05/03/climbing-mount-everest-jeff-glasbrenner

This is a tremendous story about the will to endure, and then thrive.

75
http://www.scotusblog.com/2017/03/argument-analysis-seemingly-unanimous-unsurprising-view-statutory-term-obtained-limits-forfeiture/

"The law of asset forfeiture has become intricate and complicated since Congress enacted and subsequently amended several forfeiture statutes, beginning in 1970. Some of those complexities were explored in Wednesday morning’s argument in Honeycutt v. United States."

76
http://chargedaffairs.org/on-china-and-russia-strategy-for-the-new-administration/

"...the United States should work to improve relations between Russia and countries adverse to China such as Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam, at least on the economic front."

77
http://chargedaffairs.org/on-china-and-russia-strategy-for-the-new-administration/

"...the United States should work to improve relations between Russia and countries adverse to China such as Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam, at least on the economic front."

78
Politics & Religion / Revolt of the attorneys general
« on: March 09, 2017, 10:43:48 AM »
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/revolt-of-the-attorneys-general/2017/03/02/13928c82-ff81-11e6-99b4-9e613afeb09f_story.html?utm_term=.7b276db0060a

"Normally one would expect Congress to be the instrument of resistance to presidential trespass. But Congress has been supine. The Democrats in particular, approving of Obama’s policy preferences, allowed him free rein over Congress’ constitutional prerogatives.

Into that vacuum stepped the states."

81
https://warontherocks.com/2017/02/an-active-duty-national-security-advisor-myths-and-concerns/

"Concern #4: An active-duty national security advisor will not have enough Washington experience to successfully navigate the intricacies of the West Wing. This could be a problem for many active-duty officers, but not for McMaster. A regular speaker for years at Washington think tanks and well-known among the policy establishment and on Capitol Hill, he is not simply a muddy-boots soldier thrust into the byzantine world of national politics. Frequently described as a warrior scholar, he not only knows many of the key Washington players but has also spent a great deal of time studying, thinking, and writing about both the use of force and the policy-making process."

83
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Re: Books
« on: February 14, 2017, 10:46:00 AM »

84
Politics & Religion / Re: Immigration issues
« on: February 08, 2017, 08:42:15 AM »
"*Albright is 20 years out of date...". Yet you cite Kissinger, or articles using Kissinger as a jumping off point, with some frequency. See, for example,  http://dogbrothers.com/phpBB2/index.php?topic=2134.msg100161#msg100161

"The group’s statement also calls into doubt any deference that might normally be given to executive branch decision-making. “The ‘considered judgment’ of the President in the prior cases where courts have deferred was based upon administrative records showing that the President’s decision rested on cleared views from expert agencies,” their statement reads. “Here, there is little evidence that the Order underwent a thorough interagency legal and policy processes designed to address current terrorist threats [and] we know of no interagency process underway before January 20, 2017 to change current vetting procedures.”

"To the best of my knowledge as a matter of law this is quite irrelevant.  To the best of my knowledge the relevant law does not require that the Commander in Chief submit his decision making process for the approval of the Judicial Power."

A few things on this. First, presidents do not submit policies to courts for prior approval. That would be an advisory opinion, and is nonjusticiable. But that is not at all what the 10 are saying. They say "the President’s decision rested on cleared views from expert agencies," which in the case of executive orders includes both OMB and OLC.

"To the best of my knowledge as a matter of law this is quite irrelevant." This surprises for several reasons. First, we had a discussion about this very topic last weekend, and I explained the legal procedure for the very specific tool, executive orders, at question with the travel ban. For example, as I discussed with you, "All executive orders and proclamations proposed to be issued by the President are reviewed by the Office of Legal Counsel for form and legality..." (https://www.justice.gov/olc), except the very specific executive order in question. Second, some of the most important SCOTUS cases in constitutional law regarding national security and presidential power involve the very specific tool, executive orders and the limits of presidents to issue them. See, for example, https://www.oyez.org/cases/1940-1955/323us214 (Korematsu) and https://www.oyez.org/cases/1940-1955/343us579 (Youngstown).

So, it is important not only to understand the US Code that you provide (thank you for that, by the way), but also the legal procedures of the very specific tool the president opted to use for the travel ban, and, in fact, "there is little evidence that the Order underwent a thorough interagency legal and policy processes designed to address current terrorist threats."

85
Politics & Religion / What Happened to Trump’s Secret Hacking Intel?
« on: February 07, 2017, 05:00:42 PM »
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/what-happened-to-trumps-secret-hacking-intel/515889/?utm_source=polfb

“I know a lot about hacking,” Trump said to the reporters, according to The New York Times. “And hacking is a very hard thing to prove. So it could be somebody else.” He was referring to the intelligence community’s determination that Russia was behind the cyberattacks.

Then, a bombshell: “And I also know things that other people don’t know, and so they cannot be sure of the situation.” Asked what he was talking about, Trump replied, “You’ll find out on Tuesday or Wednesday.”

Tuesday and Wednesday came and went without any new information on the cyberattacks from the president-elect.

86
https://www.justsecurity.org/37332/bipartisan-group-senior-officials-ninth-circuit-immigration-order-harms-furthers-national-security/

“The ‘considered judgment’ of the President in the prior cases where courts have deferred was based upon administrative records showing that the President’s decision rested on cleared views from expert agencies,” their statement reads. “Here, there is little evidence that the Order underwent a thorough interagency legal and policy processes designed to address current terrorist threats [and] we know of no interagency process underway before January 20, 2017 to change current vetting procedures.”

87
Politics & Religion / GOP gets bolder in breaking with Trump
« on: February 07, 2017, 04:35:32 PM »
http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/318189-gop-gets-bolder-in-breaking-with-trump

"Congressional Republicans are becoming more critical of President Trump amid the shaky rollout of his executive order on immigration and the lack of clear progress on his legislative agenda."

89
Politics & Religion / Re: The war on the rule of law
« on: February 07, 2017, 02:44:34 PM »
Yes, sir.


90
Politics & Religion / Re: The war on the rule of law
« on: February 07, 2017, 10:06:32 AM »
Yoo is selective about when he supports executive power, but not like the rest of us. He is, in fact, a --if not the--major proponent of the unitary theory of presidential power, so when he suggests that there are limits to presidential action, you need to understand how far he is willing to push those boundaries. Please see any number of his academic works on this point.


91
Politics & Religion / Goldsmith v. Lederman on Yates
« on: February 06, 2017, 12:43:29 PM »

92
Politics & Religion / Re: The war on the rule of law
« on: February 06, 2017, 09:50:25 AM »
ad hominem:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ad_hominem

If any one with a brain is to suppose that Yates was not being political and was in her mind trying to uphold some idealist principle will not convince most on the left.
If she refused to carry out executive orders she is weak on enforcement.

If her personal beliefs (political ) were not at the core of what she did then what was?  Soros giving her a check?

If this is all the NYslimes can come up with,  criticizing Trump not because he had every right to fire her but because he made a statement that she is weak on immigration then the socialist NY paper  is reduced to  desperately scraping from the bottom of the barrel anything they can to find a fault with Trump.



You don't know who John Yoo is, do you? He's a far cry from a liberal.

93
Politics & Religion / Executive Power Run Amok
« on: February 06, 2017, 09:13:47 AM »
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/06/opinion/executive-power-run-amok.html

"As an official in the Justice Department, I followed in Hamilton’s footsteps, advising that President George W. Bush could take vigorous, perhaps extreme, measures to protect the nation after the Sept. 11 attacks, including invading Afghanistan, opening the Guantánamo detention center and conducting military trials and enhanced interrogation of terrorist leaders. ...

"But even I have grave concerns about Mr. Trump’s uses of presidential power. ...

"Mr. Trump’s firing of the acting attorney general, Sally Yates, for her stated intention not to defend his immigration policy, also raises concerns. Even though the constitutional text is silent on the issue, long historical practice and Supreme Court precedent have recognized a presidential power of removal. Mr. Trump was thus on solid footing, because attorneys general have a duty to defend laws and executive orders, so long as they have a plausible legal grounding. But the White House undermined its valid use of the removal power by accusing Ms. Yates of being “weak on borders and very weak on illegal immigration.” Such irrelevant ad hominem accusations suggest a misconception of the president’s authority of removal."

97
Buy on rumor sell on the news  :-D

https://www.yahoo.com/gma/judge-neil-gorsuch-emerges-leading-contender-supreme-court-131110200--abc-news-topstories.html

Does one have to be a Harvard grad to be on SC?

Clearly not. There is a great deal of diversity on the SCOTUS. Harvard AND Yale... and Columbia, who started at Harvard.

GWB nominated Miers, and SMU grad, but the GOP didn't want any of that.

99
Politics & Religion / Re: Death of NATO
« on: January 25, 2017, 11:34:15 AM »
You were prescient, Doug.

100
Politics & Religion / Re: Gen. James N. Mattis
« on: January 25, 2017, 11:32:46 AM »
Interesting thread find from years ago.

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