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Messages - Body-by-Guinness

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551
Politics & Religion / Libraries, Censorship, and Biased Collections
« on: February 01, 2024, 07:00:14 PM »
An important perspective is represented here. My town has been in turmoil regarding some of the books in its library, with all the attendant “censorship” aghast hand wringing accompanying the debate. As a small “l” libertarian I tend to default to a don’t-tell-people-what-they-can-read perspective, but couldn’t escape the sensation there was serious hoodwinking afoot.

This piece reveals just where the scam lies: a bit of “heads I win, tails you lose” occurring. It gets explained here. In a nutshell, the books the right objects to have no countervailing publications adjoining them the left might object to. If you object to the left’s selections where same sex marriage is concerned, for instance, you are a homophobe. And if you seek to place books that support arguments against same sex marriage … you are a homophobe too. This “selection bias” is how some manage to ride a first amendment high horse, while leaving road apples all over material they seek to censor.

https://www.cato.org/commentary/how-combat-biased-school-library-book-selection-process

552
Where the candidates stand on crypto:

https://www.cato.org/blog/where-trump-biden-stand-cbdcs

553
Not a surprise, but worth keeping in mind:

https://www.cato.org/blog/where-trump-biden-stand-cbdcs

554
Some where in here we have a citation of a serious quality study done by Yale? Princeton? MIT? (or maybe two of them) during the Trump years IIRC looking to come up with valid numbers regarding illegals in America.   I've tried looking for it both here and through Qwant but have not beeing able to find it.

IIRC it put the number at 22-24 million-- and that is before the Biden Invasion.

Would love to get my hands on it-- given the prestige of those names in Dem/Prog circles, it should be a potent piece of propaganda for us.

Also recently I saw something to the effect that 15% of people in America now are illegals.   Would love to get my hand on this too.

Not acquainted with either, but I’ll be looking for them.

ETA: is this the Yale study?

https://insights.som.yale.edu/insights/yale-study-finds-twice-as-many-undocumented-immigrants-as-previous-estimates

Whups, another one:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6150478/

555
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Halbrook on Chevron
« on: February 01, 2024, 06:20:20 PM »
Stephen Halbrook’s That Every Man be Armed is my go to when it comes to the contextual history of the second amendment—I’m forever picking up used copies and then passing ‘em on to others as a means of evangelizing for the second tenth of the Bill of Rights—as such when Halbrook has something to say I tend to listen. Here’s his take on Chevron:

https://www.independent.org/news/article.asp?id=14815

556
Politics & Religion / Re: Gas prices rising (in an election year)
« on: February 01, 2024, 05:30:01 PM »
https://www.startribune.com/twin-cities-gas-prices-float-near-3-mark-expected-to-keep-rising/600340292/

What is he going to do, take more from the Reserve?

Why are gas prices going up in winter?  Probably increased government consumption.  Also, constraints on production.

Not to mention the signal Biden is sending to the market with his LNG antics. Is it a shot across Abbott’s bow, a bone thrown to environmentalists, or a case of a leopard (one that belongs in a memory ward) showing its true spots?

557
Politics & Religion / French Food Folly
« on: February 01, 2024, 05:25:42 PM »
Looks to me like national politicians more beholden to EU globalists than to the constituents that feed the nation (and are an integral part of France’s foodie national identity) are setting themselves up for a rude awakening.

https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/gun-police-against-unarmed-farmers-the-new-siege-of-paris/

559
Politics & Religion / Through the “Immigration” Looking Glass
« on: February 01, 2024, 04:21:00 PM »
I believe quite strongly that those seeking to understand an issue, and who seek to engage where that topic is concerned, owe it to themselves and those they engage to be at least acquainted with the arguments of the other side so they can frame any ensuing debate accurately, avoid straw arguments, and maybe perhaps alter their thinking when confronted by a good argument.

I also believe these days it’s easier for those leaning right to embrace this ethos than their peers on the other side as, let’s face it, the MSM et al tend to parrot the arguments of the left, which leaves those of us of another opinion basically unable to avoid the positions of the other side as they are so proliferate. Not so with with folks on the left side of the aisle, most of whom are essentially insulated from encountering any notions that aren’t sung from their hymnal.

And it shows. Having confronted little but caricatures of right leaning arguments few on the left are able to effectively address a cogent framing of a right leaning view that isn’t delivered in the imbecilic manner they’ve been assured is all the right is capable of. I think it leaves them at a significant disadvantage, much as person that has applied martial skills in context while sparring has an advantage over dojo ballerinas that have done little more than kick and punch air.

As that may be, this is from a source I’ve shared before called Just Security, a site that regularly promulgates lawfare tactics I follow in a “know your enemy” context. Well hell, this does a lovely job of demonstrating just how unhinged the left can become when the right wing folk like Abbot don’t play by the rules as the left would dictate them. The histrionic tone on full display here demonstrates full well just how effective someone embracing traditional American values can be when unapologetically smacking the “Progressive” left upside the head with them. The one trick pony “that’s racist” cognitive dissonance on full display is delicious. Enjoy:



The Biden Administration Must Use Civil Rights Enforcement to Push Back Against Texas’s Racist Invocation of Invasion
27 states support Texas border defense

•Just Security / by Kate Huddleston / February 01, 2024 at 09:07AM

In the last few weeks, Texas politicians have escalated confrontation with the Biden administration over its supposed failure to engage in immigration enforcement. In doing so, they have made extraordinary fact-free, conspiratorial assertions that the federal government is purportedly actively working to bring migrants to the United States, to increase votes for Democrats and in partnership with the cartels. Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick claimed recently that the Biden administration’s “goal” is “to put millions of people into this country, one day turn them into citizens, and one day turn them into voters and take over the country”—and that the federal government doesn’t “care if people die” in the process. Attorney General Ken Paxton went even further, claiming with no evidence that the “federal government” is “actually participating with cartels and bringing people here as fast as they possibly can.”

Not coincidentally, in the last few weeks Texas has also asserted an extraordinary, previously fringe legal theory: that Texas is under invasion based on immigration and must assert a right to self-defense. This legal theory has its roots in the same racist “great replacement” conspiracy theory that has fueled Patrick and Paxton’s claims. Through civil rights enforcement, the Biden administration can and should counter the racist “invasion” narrative and years of Texas’s escalating border actions. Doing so will reassert at the Texas-Mexico border the rule of law, migrants’ humanity, and an essential role of the federal government—protecting civil rights from state law enforcement abuses.

Texas’s Border Extremism is Escalating

For three years, under Governor Greg Abbott’s “Operation Lone Star” program, Texas has sent thousands of state police and National Guard to border communities, where they have targeted migrants for arrest on state charges, conducted a disproportionate number of traffic stops, put up razor wire, and even reportedly pushed children back into the Rio Grande. Currently, the state is denying the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) access to a border park. Instead, Texas National Guard and law enforcement are building razor wire barriers, telling migrants to turn back, and arresting some for misdemeanor trespass. This comes days after the Supreme Court restored Border Patrol’s ability to remove Texas’s razor wire. In an inflammatory statement, Abbott asserted that Texas must “defend and protect itself” from an “invasion” of immigrants.

Abbott claims that Texas has a constitutional “right of self-defense”; that he has accordingly “declared an invasion under Article I, § 10, Clause 3” based on President Joe Biden’s purported “refusal” to enforce immigration law; and that Texas will continue to act in light of its purported power to repel invasion. Abbott’s argument is antithetical to governing Supreme Court precedent, which has long held that immigration policy—as to entry, exit, and status—and immigration enforcement are federal powers. The Court explained in 1915, “the authority to control immigration—to admit or exclude aliens—is vested solely in the federal government.” In the 2012 touchstone decision Arizona v. United States, the Court reaffirmed that “the federal power to determine immigration policy is well settled” and held several state statutory provisions, including one authorizing state and local arrests for offenses making a person potentially deportable, preempted under federal law. As numerous scholars have argued, the invasion argument is legally outrageous. Despite that, 25 Republican governors issued a joint statement saying they “stand in solidarity with” Texas and endorse the invasion legal theory.

“Invasion”: Roots in White Supremacist Conspiracy Theory

How did we get to this extraordinary moment? The white supremacist “great replacement” conspiracy theory has long fueled politicians’ “invasion” rhetoric—in a way, escalation from rhetoric to legal argument is a grimly logical next step.

In August 2019, a white supremacist drove hundreds of miles to El Paso, Texas, to target Latinos in a mass shooting, killing 23 people. In a written manifesto, the shooter claimed that his actions were to combat a “Hispanic invasion of Texas” and denounced Latino political power in the state. One day earlier, in a fundraising appeal, Abbott argued that Texans need to “DEFEND” the border because “[t]he national Democrat machine has made no secret of the fact that it hopes to ‘turn Texas blue.’” Abbott told his would-be supporters, “unless you and I want liberals to succeed in their plan to transform Texas—and our entire country—through illegal immigration, this is a message we MUST send.”

Both Abbott and the El Paso shooter were espousing the “great replacement” conspiracy theory—the fiction that liberal elites are working to bring nonwhite immigrants to the United States to “replace” white and conservative political power. (This idea rests on the predicate that immigrants will necessarily vote for liberals, which is not the case.) Following the shooting, amid intense backlash, Abbott recognized “the importance of making sure that rhetoric will not be used in any dangerous way.” But that was, obviously, short-lived.

Four years after the El Paso shooting, the language of “invasion” and other white supremacist rhetoric is common in Texas politics, as are conspiracy theories about the federal government’s involvement in attracting migrants to the country. For example, Kinney County is a border county that has played a leading role in Texas’s extreme anti-immigrant policies. A website run by the county asks for donations to “Defend Our Borders” from “this federally funded invasion.” And in 2021, when thousands of mostly Haitian migrants waited for federal processing in Del Rio, Texas, Patrick claimed that Biden and Democrats had started a “silent revolution” “trying to take over our country without firing a shot.” He argued, “in 18 years if every one of them has two or three children, you’re talking about millions and millions and millions of new voters and they will thank the Democrats and Biden for bringing them here. Who do you think they’re going to vote for?”

A fall 2023 conversation between a Texas state legislator and the then-executive director of Texans for Strong Borders —an organization with extensive white supremacist ties and extreme rhetoric that successfully pushed anti-immigrant legislation—provides another sign of the conspiracy theory’s reach. The advocate asserted that “the federal government” is “actively facilitating the invasion,” claiming “an orchestrated scheme” in which Democrats will extend voting rights to undocumented immigrants to flip Texas and permanently cement the Electoral College for Democrats. The legislator nodded along and emphasized in responding that “this is a fight between good and evil.”

These, and Patrick’s and Paxton’s recent public statements, are all variations of the racist great replacement conspiracy theory. Like a virus, the idea has made the jump from narrative to legal claim.

Invasion Legal Origins: White Supremacist Rhetoric, Anti-Immigrant Policies

The constitutional “invasion” theory appears to have originated not with Abbott but, years earlier, with local and national political figures who have espoused racist ideas and implemented anti-immigrant policies. Its apparent first expression was intertwined with great replacement rhetoric.

The first assertion of the legal “invasion” idea appears to have come from Kinney County Attorney Brent Smith, in an April 2021 letter to Texans. The letter claimed that Texas was being “invaded” by people who “originate from many different countries . . . including the Middle East.” It argued that under Article I, Section 10, Clause 3, Texas has “the concurrent authority” to engage in immigration enforcement “in times of ‘invasion or imminent harm.’”

The letter was consistent with racist views that Smith has espoused, such as claiming that with immigration “we will lose our country . . . it won’t look the same way.” Smith has been on the leading edge of Texas’s anti-immigrant policies: for example, he suggested in 2021 that Texas could unilaterally deport individuals and appears to have originated Texas’s scheme of arresting migrants on state trespass charges. Three years later, his letter’s detailed legal argument is consistent with Abbott’s current one.

Two months after Smith’s letter, three former Trump administration DHS officials floated the invasion theory. Former Customs and Border Protection Commissioner Mark Morgan, former senior official Ken Cuccinelli, and former DHS Office of General Counsel attorney Mike Howell cited the “invasion or imminent harm” language in Article I, Section 10, Clause 3 and argued, “Texas, as a sovereign state, has the inherent authority to protect its citizens and enforce its own borders.” Long before espousing this legal idea rooted in racism, both Morgan and Cuccinelli had made racist statements. In 2019, both publicly defended then-President Donald Trump’s claim that immigration at the U.S.-Mexico border was an “invasion.”

In October 2021, Cuccinelli published a blueprint for provoking a state confrontation with the federal government through the invasion clause. He argued that states should send National and State Guard to the border; instruct National Guard and law enforcement to unilaterally deport migrants; and bus migrants out of state, among other policy steps. Several months later, when Smith orchestrated declarations of invasion by Texas counties, Cuccinelli and Morgan attended the Kinney County press conference to pressure the state to do the same. Now, Abbott has declared an invasion and implemented many of Cuccinelli’s recommendations. This fringe legal theory with a racist predicate has broken through to the conservative mainstream.

Abbott’s Incrementalist Approach to Eroding Federal Control over Immigration

Great replacement rhetoric and its disguise in legal garb has partially led to the volatile current situation at the Texas border. Equally important, though, has been Abbott’s incrementalist approach to invoking the invasion theory and to provoking a confrontation with the federal government. Abbott has chipped away at federal control over immigration enforcement for years–and has not encountered significant opposition from the Biden administration.

From April 2021 through fall 2022, Abbott resisted declaring an invasion—despite entreaties from Kinney County and criticism from Cuccinelli. Instead, Abbott declared a state of disaster, comparable to a hurricane or flood. This was a norms-shattering step, and similar to Trump’s declaration of emergency to build the border wall. It also enabled Abbott to take three key steps starting in 2021: (1) saturating border communities with state law enforcement and National Guard; (2) creating a parallel immigration enforcement system predicated on state criminal trespass law, which targets migrants for often-questionable arrest and channels them into a separate detention and prosecution system rife with civil rights abuses; and (3) invoking an interstate emergency aid compact to successfully urge other states to send law enforcement to the border.

In the intervening years, Abbott has entrenched these aspects of Operation Lone Star. The Texas National Guard’s stringing of razor wire along border areas began initially to create physical fences, to provide constructive notice under state law of trespass. By spring 2023, Texas had begun characterizing the razor wire barriers as “essential impediments” to migration. Over 28 months, Texas has arrested almost 10,000 migrants on state misdemeanor trespass charges. Abbott has been clear about the trespass program’s goal to circumvent federal authorities: he’s explained that Texas is “employing state law, as opposed to federal law, because when we make an arrest under federal law we typically have to turn people over to the federal authorities, and they just release them.”

Perhaps most startlingly from a federalism perspective, Abbott has used the Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) to circumvent the federal government. EMAC is an interstate agreement to share resources in disasters, such as a hurricane or flood. In 2021, Abbott and the then-Arizona governor sent a letter asking other states to “send all available law-enforcement resources to the border in defense of our sovereignty and territorial integrity.” In response, seven states sent National Guard and/or law enforcement. In spring 2023, Abbott again invoked EMAC, and 13 governors committed to sending 1,305 National Guard and 231 law enforcement to the Texas-Mexico border. They claimed they were “stepping up to protect Americans where Biden has failed.” While these deployments were typically short term and better viewed as political stunts, they have helped move the Overton window—placing within mainstream political thought the idea that states must band together to confront immigration at the border with armed force.

The Biden administration has not meaningfully pushed back on any of these efforts, either through actions or public statements. In July 2022, a Department of Justice review of Operation Lone Star for civil rights violations under Title VI came to light through public records requests. No formal investigation has ever been opened. There has been no public response to calls for investigations under other civil rights authority and for misappropriation of COVID relief funds. The administration has avoided most public comment on Abbott’s state immigration enforcement system. In a Texas Monthly interview, the then-Border Patrol chief briefly called for “coordination.”

Now, Abbott has combined the fruits of his incremental policy entrenchment under “emergency” authority with the bold assertion of the constitutional invasion theory. Texas’s occupation of a municipal park, denial of access to Border Patrol agents, and arrest of migrants on state criminal trespass charges are the culmination of years-long policies. State governors were primed to readily respond to a request for support by multiple requests, and positive responses, over years. And Texas leaders’ open assertion of inflammatory rhetoric about the Biden administration and a legal theory rooted in racism is possible due to a years-long narrative.

Time for the Biden Administration to Enforce Civil Rights Law at the Border

This showdown between Texas and the federal government has thus been building for years. The Biden administration’s failure to engage as Texas escalated, until its actions became extraordinarily egregious, was plainly misguided. To avert a crisis, the federal government now needs to shift the legal ground and narrative framing away from Texas’s racist, conspiracy-theory-based claim of immigration enforcement as tantamount to war.

To do so, the federal government should not only continue to assert federalism arguments but also enforce federal civil rights laws at the Texas-Mexico border. 34 U.S.C. § 12601 provides for DOJ pattern-or-practice investigations of and litigation against law enforcement agencies who violate civil rights, including through unlawful stops and arrests. The Civil Rights of Institutionalized Persons Act similarly provides for legal action where state and local agencies subject detained individuals to a pattern or practice of rights violations. 18 U.S.C. §§ 241 and 242 provide for criminal prosecution where state and local officials deprive individuals of constitutional or statutory rights or conspire to do so.

There is ample evidence that, under Operation Lone Star, Texas law enforcement has engaged in racial profiling in traffic stops in border communities; arrested migrants for trespass without probable cause; held migrants long after they should have been released from custody; and held migrants in horrific conditions of confinement, among other civil rights violations—in a program created to punish migrants for coming to the United States.

Now is the time for DOJ to robustly enforce federal civil rights protections in Texas border communities, on behalf of residents and migrants. In doing so, DOJ should also publicly assert the need for law enforcement to treat all individuals with dignity and in accordance with the law. Undertaking this effort and combating rights violations by state law enforcement will help recast the situation at the border from a military crisis to a humanitarian emergency, and recenter the humanity of migrants. It will also shift the legal stakes from purely a constitutional federalism confrontation to highlight the federal government’s civil rights authority and duty.

The invasion theory is a white supremacist conspiracy theory wrapped in the Constitution. Continuing to ignore this underlying reality is dangerous and will only lead to further escalation, both governmental and by individuals fueled by hate. This is a civil rights as well as a federalism crisis, and the federal government should start treating it accordingly.

IMAGE: U.S. Border Patrol agents cut an opening through razor wire after immigrant families crossed the Rio Grande from Mexico on September 27, 2023 in Eagle Pass, Texas. (Photo by John Moore/Getty Images)

The post The Biden Administration Must Use Civil Rights Enforcement to Push Back Against Texas’s Racist Invocation of Invasion appeared first on Just Security.

https://www.justsecurity.org/91700/the-biden-administration-must-use-civil-rights-enforcement-to-push-back-against-texass-racist-invocation-of-invasion/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-biden-administration-must-use-civil-rights-enforcement-to-push-back-against-texass-racist-invocation-of-invasion


560
Politics & Religion / CA Ignores the Obvious Once Again
« on: February 01, 2024, 03:17:24 PM »
Enjoined for seeking to abrogate the second amendment by extra-constitutional means by making it difficult to purchase ammo:

https://www.nraila.org/articles/20240201/judge-enjoins-california-s-unconstitutional-ammunition-background-check-law-again

561
You are right-- we both know the answer to that, but I would suggest any discussion of the issue include a discussion thereof.

Okay. I confess I find the Socratic method irksome, particularly when it appears the goal is to, ah, inspire me to stake out specific ground I then presume I’ll be forced to defend, particularly when the issue has more than two poles, while the question seems designed to force me to embrace one of two.

But hey, feel free to state your position, whereupon I can perform an informed juice v. squeeze evaluation, one including the other balls I have in the air, like the 20,000 word complaint I just dashed off that will likely involve me in some whistleblower drama.

562
The intended purpose of my question is enqire whether Harvard is legally compelled to apply First Amendment standards or is it free to pick and choose.
Uhm, as a private institution (albeit one that receives a shit ton of federal and other governmental funds and hence is bound by a metric ton of associated rules & regs, some of which I wrestle with as part of my day job) we both know the answer to that question, hence my joining regarding the larger issues.

563
Politics & Religion / Russel Brand on Tucker
« on: January 30, 2024, 08:42:16 PM »
I don’t recall hearing of this Brit before. Now I want to invite he and his family over for dinner. A great conversation about the current straights we find ourselves confronting:

https://x.com/tuckercarlson/status/1752466469454061656?s=12

565
Politics & Religion / You Can Tell What They Think of Us …
« on: January 30, 2024, 06:31:36 PM »
… by the lies they tell:

Turning the border against Trump
Democrats and RINOs desperately try to wipe the open borders off their shoes
JAN 30, 2024

If President Trump wins in November, he can thank Texas Governor Greg Abbott for the win. No one has done more to change public opinion about Biden’s Open Borders policy than Abbott. He shipped the invaders to sanctuary cities and lo and behold, black voters suddenly rose against Democrats who bent over backward for the illegal aliens.

In November, the Wall Street Journal reported, “By championing legal and illegal immigrants and largely ignoring border security, the Democrat Party has alienated key voting groups—including Hispanics.”

Hispanics? It is worse than that because the invasion of illegal aliens puts the black vote in jeopardy for Democrats. Black voters provide one out of four Democrat votes.

The New York Times chimed in, “Black voters are more disconnected from the Democrat Party than they have been in decades, frustrated with what many see as inaction on their political priorities and unhappy with President Biden, a candidate they helped lift to the White House just three years ago.

“New polls by The New York Times and Siena College found that 22% of black voters in six of the most important battleground states said they would support former President Donald J. Trump in next year’s election, and 71% would back Mr. Biden.

“The drift in support is striking, given that Mr. Trump won just 8% of black voters nationally in 2020 and 6% in 2016, according to the Pew Research Center. A Republican presidential candidate has not won more than 12% of the black vote in nearly half a century.”

The black vote is only part of the problem. Most Americans oppose Biden’s refusal to enforce immigration laws.

Paul Bedard reported yesterday, “A sizable majority of the public supports Texas’s construction of a wall along its border with Mexico and feels that President Joe Biden’s efforts to stop it are the first step toward civil war.

“In a sobering analysis of the escalating topic, 69% of likely 2024 voters said that they support the border wall and razor-wire fence that Gov. Greg Abbott (R-TX) has ordered. Among those, a majority, 51%, said they strongly back Texas in its fight to stop illegal immigration and the surge of gotaways getting past federal border agents.”

The governors of 25 states signed a letter of support and some sent National Guardsmen and state troopers to help guard the border.

Bedard wrote, “The topic threatens more than Biden’s re-election plans. A majority of voters told Rasmussen Reports that Biden is stoking the fires of civil war.”

Well, how does one spin their way out of this mess? The Obama-Ordered Open Borders policy is dog shit in the eyes of the electorate. Ever step in dog doo? Back when I was a kid and owners never picked up on their pets, I occasionally did and scraping it off your shoe is nearly impossible.

The Einsteins in DC believe they can do so by shifting the blame to President Trump — you know, the man the people elected to get the wall built that Democrats and RINOs refused to build.

The same pieces of, um, open borders now want to blame Mister Trump for the mess they made. The claim is Biden cannot defend our border unless we send billions more to Ukraine. If true, why didn’t the border close down when we gave that first $100 billion ($100,000,000,000) to Zelensky?

Democrats and RINOs in the Senate agreed to a bill that would allow 5,000 illegal aliens in each day — claiming they are refugees — before arresting even one. This is a compromise between those who want an open border and those who want no border at all.

The press is not going into details. Instead it shows Biden as a great man who wants to close the border door and Trump as a villain with his foot in the door.

On Sunday, Meet the Press showed two clips. One had Biden braying, “If that bill were the law today, I'd shut down the border right now and fix it quickly. A bipartisan bill would be good for America and help fix our broken immigration system and allow speedy access for those who deserve to be here. And Congress needs to get it done.”

The other showed Trump saying, “I'd rather have no bill than a bad bill, a bad bill you can't have and that's what was happening in the House.”

Then the show’s hostess interviewed Little Nikki, who said, “But the reality is every time he’s talking about defending himself in court, he's not talking about getting our economy back on track. He’s not talking about closing the border. He’s not talking about how we’re going to get our kids reading again and getting us focused again. He's not talking about law and order. That's the problem is — he’s not talking about what the American people want.”

His whole presidency is based on his desire to close the border. We all know where he stands. We also know he can fix the economy because he did so before. Haley and the rest of the in-crowd wants to erase our memories about the border.

It could be shut today. Biden says he cannot. He lies, but the press plays along and pretends that Biden cannot enforce the law until Ukraine gets more money.

The Hill screeched, “Former President Trump’s push to kill the border deal in order to deny President Biden a legislative win is upsetting members on both sides of the aisle as negotiators hope to wrap up work on an agreement within days.

“Trump had been the sleeping giant in the background of talks, but his wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, coupled with his recent remarks calling for Republicans to oppose any border package short of H.R. 2, have complicated the path forward for the Senate.

“Lawmakers say they are worried that killing the deal would be a major disservice given the situation at the border and in Ukraine.”

It quoted deranged Democrat Senator Debbie Stabenow, who said, “If politics get in the way of this — if Donald Trump who wants to help his friend [Russian President Vladimir Putin] with Ukraine and wants to keep the border alive as a major issue — if that prevails, that would be a really horrible disposition to all this.”

And delirous Democrat Senator Mitt Romney said, “The reality is that we have a crisis at the border, the American people are suffering as a result of what’s happening at the border, and someone running for president ought to try to get the problem solved as opposed to saying, ‘Hey, save that problem. Don’t solve it. Let me take credit for solving it later.’”

This strategy is stupid — so stupid that Larry, Curly and Moe wouldn’t touch it with Shemp’s pole.

Lemme show you why.

The Jeff Bezos Post said, “Republican front-runner Donald Trump said he wants to be held responsible for blocking a bipartisan border security bill in the works in the Senate as President Biden seeks emergency authority to rein in a record surge of unauthorized border crossings.”

Emergency authority?

They really want you to believe his hands are tied. Sheesh.

Trump said, “As the leader of our party, there is zero chance I will support this horrible open borders betrayal of America. I’ll fight it all the way. A lot of the senators are trying to say, respectfully, they’re blaming it on me. I say, that’s okay. Please blame it on me. Please.”

For more than 8 years, these America Last fools have called President Trump’s efforts to close the border racist and a bunch of other deplorable names. The attempt to reverse the political polarity and blame him for this mess is ridiculous and I cannot see how it works.

They know it.

The Bezos Post said, “The increase in apprehensions at the southwest border has become a top-level policy challenge for the Biden administration and a core theme of Trump’s bid for a rematch this November. Biden’s management of the southern border and immigration is his worst-rated issue in polls, while survey respondents say they trust Trump more on the issue.”

Increase in apprehensions? That’s like saying Biden reduced inflation. Politics is all smoke and mirrors, I suppose, but the public knows better on these two issues. It sees open borders for what it is — something you cannot easily scrape from your shoe. The stench stays with them.

I thank Governor Abbott for changing public opinion about the invasion by sending the invaders to those smug, self-righteous sanctuary cities.

https://donsurber.substack.com/p/turning-the-border-against-trump?r=1qo1e&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email&fbclid=IwAR0HhnRKr1ZhkCZumvajdXR3VDKgNqKxuysoOEXEZ40rR6XC8Zs078UHc5I

566
Read a couple different sources claiming just prior to publicly cutting UNRWA of from funds due to its support of Oct. 7 atrocities the Biden admin quietly slipped them $10 million to tide them over. Rumor has it Trudeau of Canada did the same. Will update if further confirmed or disproven.

567
A take on the nature/nurture debate I have not seen before postulating that parents invest more nurturing in children displaying an education seeking nature, in other words meaning nature influences nurturing commitment, while nurturing resources impact a child’s nature. Bottom line: nurture has an impact on genetic nature, while genetic nature can incentivize (or not) nurturing investments. The take away is that the two are not ends of spectrums to be debated, but intertwined variables that impact the other.

Full disclosure, I gave the lay sections a quick read, and utterly scrolled past the formula laden sections, but nonetheless find myself intrigued by this new (to me at least) synthesis of the nature/nurture question, particularly in view of the dysfunctional wolves I was raised by.

Conclusion posted here:

To better understand the interplay between genetics and family resources for skill formation and its relevance for policy, we incorporated genetic endowments measured by an EA PGS into a dynamic model of skill formation. We modelled and estimated the joint evolution of skills and parental investments throughout early childhood (ages 0 to 7 years). We observed both child and parental genetic endowments, allowing us to estimate the independent effect of the child’s genes on skill formation and to estimate the importance of parental genes for child development. Furthermore, by incorporating (child- and parent-) genetics into a formal model, we were able to evaluate the mechanisms through which genes influence skill formation.

Using the model, we document the importance of both parental and child genes for child development. We show that the effect of genes increases over the child’s early life course and that a large fraction of these effects operate via parental investments. Genes directly influence the accumulation of skills; conditional on their current stock of skills and parental investments, genetics make some children better able to retain and acquire new skills (the direct effect). In addition, we show that genes indirectly influence investments as parents reinforce genetic differences by investing more in children with higher skills (the nurture of nature effect). We also find that parental genes matter, as parents with different genetic makeups invest differently in their children (the nature of nurture effect). The impact of genes on parental investments is especially significant as it implies an interplay between genetic and environmental effects. These findings illustrate that nature and nurture jointly influence children’s skill development, a finding that highlights the importance of integrating biological and social perspectives into a single framework.

We highlight the critical implications of our findings using two simulation counterfactu- als. In one counterfactual, we show that the association between genetics and skills is smaller in a world where parental investments are equalized across families. This finding shows that the existence of genetic effects is not at odds with the value of social policies in reducing inequality. The presence of genetic effects makes these policies even more relevant since genetic inequality increases inequality in parental investments. In another counterfactual, we demonstrate how it is possible to negate completely all genetic influences on skills with a change in how parental (or public) investments are allocated across children. This shows that skill disparities due to genetic differences may be mitigated via social behavior and social policy. In particular, whether parents (and schools) compensate for or reinforce initial disparities can significantly impact the relative importance of genetics in explaining inequal- ities in skill, and might explain why estimates of the importance of genes differ significantly across countries (Branigan, McCallum, and Freese, 2013).

A limitation of our work is that genetic endowments are measured using polygenic scores. It is possible for genes unrelated to educational attainment also to influence children’s skill formation. For example, genetic variation related to mental health and altruism may poten- tially be unrelated to education but might influence how parents interact with their children. If this is true, we are missing a critical genetic component by using a PGS for educational attainment. Another limitation of using polygenic scores is measurement error. Since poly- genic scores are measured with error, our estimates are lower bounds of the true genetic effects. An interesting extension of our work would be to use different methods, such as genome-based restricted maximum likelihood (GREML), to sidestep the measurement prob- lem and document whether different genetic variants are related to the various mechanisms we outline in Section 2.

Lastly, it is important to recognise that we only include individuals of European ancestry in our analysis. This opens the question whether our findings would extend to other ancestry groups. Unfortunately, this is not something we can test. This is a major issue in the literature since the majority of polygenic scores are constructed from GWAS’ performed in Europeans, and their transferability to other populations is dependent on many factors (see Martin et al. (2017) for a discussion of the transferability issues of GWAS results, and Mostafavi et al. (2020) for an empirical comparison of PGS’ across ethnic groups). This also illustrates a problem of inequity in research, where the only individuals being studied are those of European ancestry. This opens the possibility that other ancestry groups will not benefit from the advances in genetics research (see the discussion in Martin et al., 2019). While the key insights from our research apply to all ancestry groups, we cannot test for any differences in the role of genetics across groups until we have solved the transferability issue. We hope future work will address these issues and lead to a more inclusive research agenda.

https://docs.iza.org/dp13780.pdf

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Interesting claim by J6 defendant who claims that, while caught in a human crush in a tunnel where police had deployed gas he assisted one person who was being trampled, picking up a bat along the way to protect himself and the other victim from a life threatening onslaught in a confined space:

https://pjmedia.com/catherinesalgado/2024/01/29/exclusive-j6-prisoner-jake-lang-on-weaponized-govt-and-biased-juries-n4925929

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Question:  The First Amendment applies to the Government.   Does it apply to private institutions such as Harvard?  Could Harvard not kick out a KKKer for running around calling black students "niggers"?
Harvard can call a person with a set of X/Y chromosomes a woman, and likely has done just that. What it can’t do is embrace the precepts of free inquiry when speech it favors is in play, abandon the same when speech it seeks to suppress instead emerges and then pretend free inquiry is indeed a heartfelt value, or apply civility standards to one side of an argument and then fail to when the other side of the argument displays analogous behavior and then feign surprise when donors, politicians, students, faculty, staff, or the general public calls them on aforesaid rank hypocrisy.

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Politics & Religion / A Tantrum Masquerading as a Policy Deliberation
« on: January 30, 2024, 04:38:40 PM »
Fine indictment of Biden’s recent LNG edict. Lots of useful tables/graphics at the link:

Biden’s 'Pause' on LNG Exports Is Impulsive and Destructive
US LNG pause impacts industry
•Cato @ Liberty / by Travis Fisher / January 30, 2024 at 12:01PM
Travis Fisher

LNG tanker
On January 26, the Biden administration announced it would pause new approvals of liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports. The official news followed several leaked stories—including one prominent article by The New York Times—that triggered criticism from LNG supporters and praise from climate activists.

The announcement appears to be a concession to the “keep it in the ground” movement and the 65 federal lawmakers who asked for the policy change in November 2023. However, some pragmatic progressives see the pause as misguided: “The urgency of the energy transition cannot excuse counterproductive purity tests,” wrote Elan Sykes and Neel Brown of the Progressive Policy Institute.

From the libertarian perspective, the pause is unwise energy policy, an encroachment on free trade, and a continuation of the Biden administration’s use of uncertainty as a political weapon against energy suppliers. Let’s dig in.

What Is Changing, Exactly?

LNG is the liquefied version of natural gas (mostly methane, CH4). Shippers cool the gas to approximately negative 260 degrees Fahrenheit to make it a liquid that is portable via tanker ships. International trade in LNG has spiked in part because of the abundant natural gas resources in the United States, which were enabled by technological improvements in unconventional production from shale formations.

The United States did not export significant quantities of LNG until about 2015, so one might say the industry is in uncharted waters. The aggressive growth in LNG exports (particularly relative to historic levels of imports) can be seen in the graph below.

Liquefied natural gas imports and exports, 1985-2022
(Source.)

Although the large quantities of exports are new, the legal apparatus is not. Specifically, under the Natural Gas Act (NGA), the Department of Energy (DOE) must approve any import or export of natural gas. Congress passed the NGA in 1938, so the statute predates the organization of the DOE itself, which was formed by Congress in 1977 by the DOE Organization Act.

Before the DOE was established the responsibilities in this section of the NGA were carried out by the Federal Power Commission (renamed in 1977 to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission or FERC). Now the two agencies each regulate different parts of the LNG industry. DOE explains their roles as follows:

The NGA directs DOE to evaluate applications to export LNG to non‐​FTA [Free Trade Agreement] countries. … Typically, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has jurisdiction over the siting, construction, and operation of LNG export facilities in the US In these cases, FERC leads the environmental impact assessments of proposed projects consistent with the National Environmental Policy Act, and DOE is typically a cooperating agency as part of these reviews. Obtaining a DOE authorization to export LNG to non‐​FTA countries is an important step for most projects in their path toward financing and construction.

The Biden administration said the DOE will now scrutinize applications to export LNG through the lens of climate change and other factors in determining whether additional US LNG exports are in the public interest. The White House stated:

The current economic and environmental analyses DOE uses to underpin its LNG export authorizations are roughly five years old and no longer adequately account for considerations like potential energy cost increases for American consumers and manufacturers beyond current authorizations or the latest assessment of the impact of greenhouse gas emissions. Today, we have an evolving understanding of the market need for LNG, the long‐​term supply of LNG, and the perilous impacts of methane on our planet.

The DOE has never denied an LNG export application, so this is a big shift in public policy.

Who Carries the Burden of Proof?

The rise of low‐​cost natural gas production in the United States—combined with high prices and resource constraints in other parts of the world—means US producers can profitably refrigerate, ship, and deliver gas to other countries. In contrast to other energy resources that require mandates and subsidies, LNG exports merely require approval from the federal government. All the government has to do is get out of the way.

The text of the NGA establishes approval as the default position. The statute says the DOE “shall” issue an order approving a project “unless, after opportunity for hearing, it finds that the proposed exportation or importation will not be consistent with the public interest.” Hence a pause to further consider new factors is the wrong posture—LNG approvals should continue until and unless DOE makes a new finding that LNG exports are inconsistent with the public interest. Ideally, of course, the government shouldn’t have the power to bar energy exports in peacetime.

There is a case to be made on either side of the climate debate regarding LNG.

Supporters of LNG exports cite the lower CO2 emissions of natural gas combustion over coal. By exporting natural gas and displacing the use of coal globally, the argument goes, the United States can help other countries reduce their CO2 emissions. We have certainly seen coal‐​to‐​gas switching bring down emissions in the United States.

Opponents of LNG exports, however, argue that the energy required to cool and transport natural gas—not to mention leakage of uncombusted methane, itself a potent greenhouse gas—makes it little better for climate change than burning coal.

The Administration’s Action is Arbitrary and Capricious

As experts debate the net impact of natural gas exports on factors like global climate change, the structure of the NGA indicates that approvals should move forward while the DOE deliberates. In July 2023, the DOE rejected a petition by environmental groups to do precisely what it now accepts—to undertake a blanket review of its LNG policy.

In fact, the DOE’s rejection notes in the first sentence of the document that the Administrative Procedure Act (APA) provides that each agency “shall give an interested person the right to petition for the issuance, amendment, or repeal of a rule.” The DOE’s new policy of a “pause” runs afoul of the APA and deprives interested parties the ability to challenge it before it goes into effect.

The new stated policy of a pause is especially capricious—meaning impulsive or unpredictable—given how the DOE responded to the environmental petitioners just six months ago:

After carefully considering Petitioners’ request, DOE is denying the Rulemaking Petition. As discussed below, DOE has reasonably exercised its discretion to implement its LNG export program through a combined approach of individual adjudications and export‐​focused regulatory actions, rather than a single rulemaking of broad applicability. DOE‘s existing LNG export regulatory program is responsive to Petitioners’ principal concerns—namely because, since 2013, DOE has, in fact, established a decision‐​making process under NGA section 3(a) that “respond to the complex issues raised by LNG export and appropriately serve the Natural Gas Act,” as Petitioners request. (emphasis in original)

How can the DOE now claim that it does not need to go through a formal rulemaking process in reversing course and implementing a new LNG approval regime? Even the environmental groups that want the DOE to shut down LNG exports should agree that their petition for a new rulemaking was the appropriate vehicle for enacting new policy.

Further, in the event of an administrative policy change at DOE that rises to the level of national significance—I think an indefinite LNG export pause qualifies—the Supreme Court’s “Major Questions Doctrine” should come into play. As the Congressional Review Service summarized the doctrine, “if an agency seeks to decide an issue of major national significance, its action must be supported by clear congressional authorization.” (emphasis in original) Did Congress give the DOE clear authorization to deny LNG export applications based on the factors DOE now finds important?

Political Uncertainty as Punishment

We have already seen the playbook of capricious policy in action. In February 2022, FERC issued new policy statements “providing guidance for future consideration of natural gas projects by the Commission.” The policy change—which suggested that an unspecified level of climate mitigation would be necessary to serve the public interest and receive FERC approval of gas pipeline projects—injected enormous uncertainty into the pipeline approval process.

The concept of the February 2022 policy statement was also the subject of a series of rebuttals (prebuttals?) by Commissioner Bernard McNamee, who argued forcefully beginning in 2019 that “the commission does not have the authority under the NGA or [the National Environmental Policy Act] to deny a pipeline certificate application based on the environmental effects of the upstream production or downstream use of natural gas nor does the commission have the authority to unilaterally establish measures to mitigate” emissions.

Ultimately, FERC withdrew its proposal after receiving blistering blowback from members of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee (ENR). Senator Joe Manchin (D‑WV), ENR chairman, said FERC was “constructing additional road blocks that further delay building out the energy infrastructure our country desperately needs.” Delay is the practical impact of political uncertainty.

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) appears to be using the same strategy. Last year, the EPA proposed in its power plant rulemaking to mandate two unproven technologies—green hydrogen and carbon capture—for new or reconstructed power plants to meet greenhouse gas emission targets. The EPA proposed that “affected sources that commenced construction or reconstruction after May 23, 2023” would need to meet the requirements of the final rule.

The electricity generation industry remains in the middle of the uncertainty caused by the EPA’s unworkable proposal. For any new or reconstructed natural gas‐​fired power plant (affected source) subject to EPA’s new standard, a company can construct the unit today and be held—at some future date—to a standard that does not yet exist and may be impossible.

Given the recent track records at DOE, FERC, and EPA, crippling uncertainty is beginning to look like the aim of energy policy rather than an unfortunate side effect.

LNG Export Pause Offers a Lesson in Economic Thinking

The White House listed “potential energy cost increases for American consumers and manufacturers” as one justification for the LNG pause. It is true that, in the very short term, an announcement that the federal government will forcibly restrict the export of natural gas would likely cause its domestic price to fall. But, as French economist Frederic Bastiat implored, we should attempt to foresee long‐​term impacts. Bastiat wrote:

There is only one difference between a bad economist and a good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen.

Yet this difference is tremendous; for it almost always happens that when the immediate consequence is favorable, the later consequences are disastrous, and vice versa. Whence it follows that the bad economist pursues a small present good that will be followed by a great evil to come, while the good economist pursues a great good to come, at the risk of a small present evil.

Restricting the sale of LNG abroad would send ripple effects up the supply chain, blunting incentives to explore for more natural gas and to produce what’s already been found. Advocates of thwarting the global natural gas trade—and of hoarding domestic natural gas—are focused on temporary, short‐​term impacts to commodity prices and ignoring long‐​term impacts to natural gas supply infrastructure.

Whose Gas Is It Anyway?

Economics aside, what business does the federal government have in dictating the direction of an industry that delivers a product that so many people find valuable? Advances in directional drilling and hydraulic fracturing technology (commonly referred to as “fracking”) allowed American firms to produce astonishing amounts of useful energy from hydrocarbons trapped over a mile deep in rock formations. (Turn useless, 6,000-foot-deep rock into electricity? Yes, please.)

People here and abroad want to use that energy. Natural gas is a valuable resource—we use it not just to fuel power plants but to cook food, heat homes, and fabricate a dizzying array of plastics, fibers, and even medicines. Natural gas liquids like propane and ethane are especially useful as a material feedstock but also have energy‐​related applications.

The DOE, EPA, and FERC may try to stifle the progress of the natural gas industry in the name of climate change (or industry protectionism), but the demand for energy will always be there. Globally, energy consumption continues to increase, as shown below.

Increase in global energy use 1900-2022
(Source.)

The challenge to meet growing demand should be exciting because energy consumption reflects the increasing living standards of countless millions (hopefully billions) across the globe. The US Energy Information Administration stated in its 2023 International Energy Outlook: “as incomes and population rise over time, energy consumption increases as more people can afford to drive, use commercial services, demand goods, and control building temperatures.”

For the hundreds of millions of people worldwide who still lack access to electricity, LNG exports could be the difference between dark and light.

https://www.cato.org/blog/bidens-pause-lng-exports-impulsive-destructive

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https://news.yahoo.com/trans-woman-shares-her-dating-003348569.html
I believe, sir, this is what is referred to as “cruel and unusual punishment.”

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Even handed examination of DEI, cancel culture, Harvard’s former President Gay, free inquiry, and so on. I confess this piece modified my thinking some as, for instance, I feel less strongly that Palestinian protests embracing unabashed anti-Semitic elements should be sanctioned, albeit so long as the same standards are applied to all political speech:

The Future of Academic Freedom
As the Israel-Hamas war provokes claims about unacceptable speech, the ability to debate difficult subjects is in renewed peril.

By Jeannie Suk Gersen
January 27, 2024

On January 2nd, after months of turmoil around Harvard’s response to Hamas’s attack on Israel, and weeks of turmoil around accusations of plagiarism, Claudine Gay resigned as the university’s president. Any hope that this might relieve the outsized attention on Harvard proved to be illusory. The week after Gay stepped down, two congressional committees demanded documents and explanations from Harvard, on topics ranging from antisemitism, free speech, discrimination, and discipline, to admissions, donations, budgets, and legal settlements. Some at Harvard might say this is a crisis sparked by external forces: the government, donors, and the public. But it developed long before Gay became president and won’t end with her fall. Over time, Harvard, like many other universities, has allowed the core academic mission of research, intellectual inquiry, and teaching to be subordinated to other values that, though important, should never have been allowed to work against it.

Sometime in the twenty-tens, it became common for students to speak of feeling unsafe when they heard things that offended them. I’ve been a law professor at Harvard since 2006. The first piece I wrote for The New Yorker, in 2014, was about students’ suggestions (then shocking to me) that rape law should not be taught in the criminal-law course, because debates involving arguments for defendants, in addition to the prosecution, caused distress. At the very least, some students said, nobody should be asked in class to argue a side with which they disagree. Since then, students have asked me to excuse them from discussing or being examined on guns, gang violence, domestic violence, the death penalty, L.G.B.T.Q. issues, police brutality, kidnapping, suicide, and abortion. I have declined, because I believe the most important skill I teach is the ability to have rigorous exchanges on difficult topics, but professors across the country have agreed to similar requests.

Over the years, I learned that students had repeatedly attempted to file complaints about my classes, saying that my requiring students to articulate, or to hear classmates make, arguments they might abhor—for example, Justice Antonin Scalia saying there is no constitutional right to same-sex intimacy—was unacceptable. The administration at my law school would not allow such complaints to move forward to investigations because of its firm view that academic freedom protects reasonable pedagogical choices. But colleagues at other schools within Harvard and elsewhere feared that their administrators were using concepts of discrimination or harassment to cover classroom discussions that make someone uncomfortable. These colleagues become more and more unwilling to facilitate conversations on controversial topics, believing that university administrators might not distinguish between challenging discussions and discrimination or harassment. Even an investigation that ended with no finding of wrongdoing could eat up a year of one’s professional life and cost thousands of dollars in legal bills. (A spokesperson for Harvard University declined to comment for this story.)

The seeping of D.E.I. programs into many aspects of university life in the past decade would seem a ready-made explanation for how we got to such a point. Danielle Allen, a political philosopher and my Harvard colleague, co-chaired the university’s Presidential Task Force on Inclusion and Belonging, which produced a report, in 2018, that aimed to counter the idea that principles of D.E.I. and of academic freedom are in opposition, and put forward a vision in which both are “necessary to the pursuit of truth.” Like Allen, I consider the diversity of thought that derives from the inclusion of people of different experiences, backgrounds, and identities to be vital to an intellectual community and to democracy. But, as she observed last month in the Washington Post, “across the country, DEI bureaucracies have been responsible for numerous assaults on common sense.” Allen continued, “Somehow the racial reckoning of 2020 lost sight of that core goal of a culture of mutual respect with human dignity at the center. A shaming culture was embraced instead.”

Last year, students at Harvard’s public-health school discovered that Tyler VanderWeele, an epidemiology professor and a Catholic, had signed on to an amicus brief in the Supreme Court in 2015, arguing that the Constitution does not contain a federal right to same-sex marriage and that the issue should be decided by the states—a view similar to that of President Barack Obama until 2012. After some students called for VanderWeele’s firing or removal from teaching a required course, administrative leaders at the school e-mailed parts of the community explaining that it seeks “to nurture a culture of inclusion, equity, and belonging,” that everyone has a right to express their views, even though free expression “can cause deep hurt, undermine the culture of belonging, and make other members of the community feel less free and less safe.” In light of the harm and betrayal students reported because of VanderWeele’s views, the school hosted more than a dozen restorative “circle dialogue” sessions, “for people to process, share, and collectively move forward from the current place of pain.” (A spokesperson for the School of Public Health pointed out that students exercised free-speech rights when they demanded VanderWeele’s firing and said that the administration never considered disciplinary action against him.)

In 2021, Carole Hooven, a longtime Harvard lecturer on human evolutionary biology who wrote a well-reviewed book about testosterone, stated in a Fox News interview, “The facts are that there are in fact two sexes . . . male and female, and those sexes are designated by the kind of gametes we produce.” She added that “understanding the facts about biology doesn’t prevent us from treating people with respect,” and that we can “respect their gender identities and use their preferred pronouns.” The director of her department’s Diversity and Inclusion task force, a graduate student, denounced Hooven’s remarks, in a tweet, as “transphobic and harmful.” A cascade of shunning and condemnation ensued, including a petition, authored by graduate students, which implied that Hooven was a threat to student safety. Graduate students also refused to serve as teaching assistants for her previously popular course on hormones, making it difficult for her to keep teaching it. Hooven found it untenable to remain in her job, and she retired from the department.

Students across the political spectrum, but largely liberals, have told me that they felt it would be foolish to volunteer their opinions in class discussions, or even that they routinely lied about their views when asked. These self-censorious habits became even more conscious with the rise of the #MeToo and Black Lives Matter movements, such that a large range of political remarks—questioning abortion rights, calling a fetus an “unborn child,” doubting the fairness of affirmative action, praising “color-blindness,” or asking who should compete in women’s sports—could be perceived as being on a continuum of bigotry. In this climate, it became increasingly difficult to elicit robust discussions because students were so scared of one another.

In 2021, feeling that the environment for open inquiry was dire, I helped form the Academic Freedom Alliance, a national organization that supports faculty who are threatened with penalties for their exercise of academic freedom. It defends the freedom of thought and expression in research, writing, teaching, and “extramural speech,” and provides funds for the legal defense of faculty who face official reprisals. The people whose rights we’ve defended have usually expressed views that I happen to find objectionable and even offensive. For example, the University of Pennsylvania law professor Amy Wax wrote that “the United States is better off with fewer Asians” and, on a podcast, suggested that “the spirit of liberty” may not “beat in their breast.” I wished she hadn’t said that, but I held my nose and defended her right not to be fired or otherwise punished, which many at Penn demanded.

A year ago, I became a co-president of a new group, the Council on Academic Freedom, founded to promote “free inquiry, intellectual diversity, and civil discourse” at Harvard. That summer, Gay took office as Harvard’s president, and the group’s leaders soon met with her to press the case that academic freedom desperately needed her attention. In her inaugural speech, in September, Gay acknowledged Harvard’s “long history of exclusion” and “the weight and honor of being a ‘first,’ ” as its first Black president. I was very relieved when she also pointedly said that the goal of intellectual inquiry is knowledge, “not comfort.” She stated, “We serve that purpose best when we commit to open inquiry and freedom of expression as foundational values of our academic community. Our individual and collective capacity for discovery depends on our willingness to debate ideas; to expose and reconsider assumptions; to marshal facts and evidence; to talk and to listen with care and humility, and with the goal of deeper understanding and as seekers of truth.” At that time, Gay’s emphasis on free speech was at odds with the prevailing tone on campus, but she was known as a supporter of D.E.I., which dampened the risk of her words being seen as reactionary or insensitive.

The events of October 7th—and an open letterissued that day with signatures from more than thirty Harvard student groups, holding “the Israeli regime entirely responsible for all unfolding violence”—changed the terms of the academic-freedom debate. In a state of horror that fell over many people following October 7th, I was among thousands who signed a Harvard Hillel letter “unequivocally” standing “behind Israel and the Jewish people.” It called on the student groups to retract the “completely wrong and deeply offensive” letter, and on Harvard’s administration to condemn Hamas’s terror attacks, saying that the “failure to denounce these atrocities unequivocally is a moral stain on the university and its leadership.” In the following weeks, hundreds of students marched through the campus chanting slogans such as “From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free,” and some protests disrupted classes and events. Students affiliated with Harvard Jews for Palestine occupied University Hall, which houses administrative offices, and which Vietnam War protesters also occupied in 1969. (The Crimson reported that multiple students were facing discipline for disruptions and the building occupation.) As members of the Harvard academic-freedom council feverishly shared their thoughts on our Listserv, I saw a number of faculty—who’d signed up for an organization devoted to the idea that speech that some considered offensive should be protected—endorse the view that the anti-Israel expression we were seeing was antisemitic, and should be treated not as free speech but as harassment, threats, or incitements to violence and declared beyond the pale.

The two sides had effectively flipped: activist students, whose politics overlapped with principles of D.E.I., were engaged in speech that some faculty members, who were supportive of academic freedom, now wanted the university to treat as harmful. As large video screens on a truck in Harvard Square, sent by the right-wing media company Accuracy in Media, displayed names and faces of students and labelled them “Harvard’s Leading Antisemites,” some in my faculty academic-freedom council did not want its début to be speaking on those students’ behalf. Perhaps faculty members reasoned that the exposure was a form of harsh criticism that might be expected as a consequence of provocative speech. I was increasingly concerned about the students’ safety and about my own responsibility to stand up for their academic freedom. By then, it had dawned on me that my signature on a letter calling on the university to condemn the attack in Israel, in a moment when students were being criticized for political speech against Israel, was implicitly—or not so implicitly—urging the university to denounce its own students.

In response to calls to punish the students, Gay said, “Our University embraces a commitment to free expression. That commitment extends even to views that many of us find objectionable, even outrageous. We do not punish or sanction people for expressing such views.” This is what a university president should say. But, to many who believed that Gay would have condemned speech that offended Black or transgender people, the invocation of free speech was an outrageous permission to offend Jews, exceptionally, at Harvard. (She later did condemn the phrase “from the river to the sea.”) A lawsuit filed earlier this month, claiming that Harvard “has become a bastion of rampant anti-Jewish hatred and harassment,” accuses the university of deliberate indifference to antisemitism, in violation of Title VI, which prohibits institutions that receive federal funding from discriminating “on the ground of race, color, or national origin.” The plaintiffs, a group of Jewish students, want a court to force Harvard to, among other things, suspend or expel students and fire employees for engaging in “antisemitic discrimination and abuse.” Resting on the assertion that “anti-Zionism is antisemitism,” the complaint describes a series of events that allegedly demonstrate that Harvard is hostile to Jews, mostly because it tolerates anti-Zionist speech.

The lawsuit claims, among other things, that Harvard should enforce its own harassment-and-bullying policies to discipline people. Understandably, many people believe that broad definitions of harassment and bullying prevail at Harvard. Yet most of the lawsuit’s descriptions of student protests, even the disruptive ones, do not appear to satisfy Harvard’s current definitions of discriminatory harassment or bullying, especially because the policies are supposed to be interpreted in light of the university’s commitment to academic freedom. The lawsuit describes a Jewish Israeli student being physically surrounded by protesters; the incident was captured in a viral video and is being investigated by law enforcement as a crime. That aside, the lawsuit appears less likely to succeed under federal anti-discrimination law, which makes it exceedingly difficult to prove an institution’s intentional discrimination, than to help move the Overton window on what can acceptably be said at a university about Israel and Palestine. (A pressure campaign against Derek Penslar, a highly respected professor of Jewish history, appears to have a similar goal. Penslar was recently appointed as co-chair of a new Harvard task force on antisemitism. Prominent critics objected, such as the former Harvard president Larry Summers, who called on Penslar to resign from the role, because of his past comments, which include the use of the word “apartheid” to describe Israel’s treatment of Palestinians.)

One reason that the disciplinary policies are drawn narrowly is so they won’t curtail the exchange of ideas on controversial matters. When Gay was asked by the congresswoman Elise Stefanik at a hearing in December whether “calling for the genocide of Jews” violates Harvard’s policies on harassment and bullying, Gay answered that it can, “depending on the context.” That outraged many people, because there should be no context in which a call for genocide is allowed. Gay could, indeed, have said that calls for genocide are unacceptable. And, as Harvard’s leader, Gay could also have educated Congress and the public about why a university that is devoted to open inquiry must have disciplinary policies that rarely treat offensive slogans or viewpoints as tantamount to actual “calls for genocide,” and even be wary of punishing “hate speech,” which in the U.S. is also constitutionally protected. Imagine if a university had a code of conduct under which expression of the viewpoint “the State of Israel should not exist,” or “Israel’s killing of Palestinians in Gaza is justified,” or, for that matter, “George Floyd’s death had nothing to do with race,” was punishable, rather than merely subject to sharp criticism by those who disagree or feel offended. The treatment of such controversial viewpoints as discrimination, harassment, or bullying would make any semblance of open inquiry on those topics impossible.

In response to congressional demands that Gay be fired following her testimony, I was one of more than seven hundred faculty who signed a letter to the Harvard Corporation, the university’s governing body, urging it to “resist political pressures that are at odds with Harvard’s commitment to academic freedom” and not fire her. The Corporation did, at first, back Gay. What her embattled leadership couldn’t survive in the end was the drip-drip of plagiarism accusations, which allowed the public to question whether academic standards were relaxed for Gay in her rise to the presidency. Having taken office just as Harvard was defeated in the Supreme Court case that eliminated race-based affirmative action in university admissions, she became the university’s first Black president at a moment of predictably gleeful bashing of diversity. And, as the first, she was inevitably going to be associated with affirmative action, as if her presidency were a holdover of a system that was now legally discredited. Gay was the perfect avatar for universities’ alleged abandonment of excellence and meritocracy in favor of efforts to promote diversity in élite institutions. Add to this brew the accusations of antisemitism and plagiarism, and her resignation seemed overdetermined. I don’t doubt that, as she wrote in the Times, her “inbox has been flooded with invective, including death threats,” and that she “has been called the N-word more times than I care to count.”

In her resignation letter, Gay wrote that, going forward, she hoped that the university “can navigate this moment of extraordinary challenge with a focus on the institution rather than any individual.” Congress’s continuing scrutiny of Harvard will surely bring proposals for institutional change. The House Committee on Education and the Workforce is investigating Harvard’s “response to antisemitism and its failure to protect Jewish students.” The House Committee on Ways and Means wrote to the current presidents of Harvard, M.I.T., the University of Pennsylvania, and Cornell that, “given the disappointing and lackluster responses by your respective universities to Hamas’ attacks and your subsequent failure to adequately protect Jewish students from discrimination and harassment,” the schools’ nonprofit, tax-exempt status may be at risk—which puts at stake billions of dollars. The committee, dominated by Republicans, juxtaposed the alleged inaction regarding antisemitism with Harvard’s alleged warning to students in a Title IX training that failing to use classmates’ preferred pronouns could constitute harassment, disinvitation of a feminist philosopher for comments on transgender issues, choice not to renew the contract of an instructor who had invited Charles Murray to speak in class, and request that students remove from their dormitory window an American flag printed with an image of a saluting, bikini-clad Nicki Minaj. The point was that Harvard has no credibility in invoking free speech because it has stifled other speech it considers discriminatory.

To demonstrate that it is against antisemitism, Harvard may face pressure to expand its definitions of discrimination, harassment, and bullying, so as to stifle more speech that is deemed offensive. In order to resist such pressures, the university needs to acknowledge that it has allowed a culture of censoriousness to develop, recommit itself to academic freedom and free speech, and rethink D.E.I. in a way that prizes the diversity of viewpoints. Though some argue that D.E.I. has enabled a surge in antisemitism, it is the pervasive influence of D.E.I. sensibilities that makes plausible the claim that universities should always treat anti-Zionist speech as antisemitism, much in the way that some have claimed that criticizing aspects of the Black Lives Matter movement—or even D.E.I. itself—is always discrimination. The post-Gay crisis has created a crossroads, where universities will be tempted to discipline objectionable speech in order to demonstrate that they are dedicated to rooting out antisemitism and Islamophobia, too. Unless we conscientiously and mindfully pull away from that path, academic freedom—which is essential to fulfilling a university’s purpose—will meet its destruction.

https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-weekend-essay/the-future-of-academic-freedom

574
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Bunch o’ Tech Thoughts & Links
« on: January 30, 2024, 02:42:57 PM »
This could have gone a couple places given the AI nods, but I think it’s best left here. Many links herein:m


[Stewart Baker] Going deep on deep fakes
The Volokh Conspiracy / by Stewart Baker / January 30, 2024

Apple launched what looks like an expensive dud – the Vision Pro
[Plus an interview with Rob Silvers on the Cyber Safety Review Board]

This was a big week for AI-generated deep fakes. Sultan Meghji, who's got a new AI startup of his own, walked us through four stories that illustrate how AI will lead to more confusion about what's real and what's not. First, a fake Biden robocall urged people not to vote in the New Hampshire primary. Second, a bot purporting to offer Dean Phillips's views on the issues was penalized by OpenAI because it didn't have Phillips's consent. Third, fake nudes of Taylor Swift led to a ban on Twitter searches for her image. And, finally, podcasters used AI to resurrect George Carlin and got sued by his family for violating copyrightish law. The moral panic over AI fakery meant that all of these stories were too long on "end of the world" and too short on "we'll live through this."

Regulators of AI are not doing a much better job of maintaining perspective. Mark MacCarthy reports that New York City's AI hiring law, which has punitive disparate-impact disclosure requirements for automated hiring decision engines, seems to have persuaded NYC employers, conveniently, that none of them are using automated hiring decision enginess, so they don't have to do any disclosures. Not to be outdone, the European Court of Justice has decided that pretty much any tool to aid in decisions is an automated decision making technology subject to special (and mostly nonsensical) data protection rules.

Is AI regulation beginning to suffer from backlash? Could be. Sultan and I report on a very plausible Republican plan to attack the Biden AI executive order on the ground that its main enforcement mechanism, the Defense Production Act, simply doesn't authorize the measures the order calls for.

In other Big Tech regulation, Maury Shenk explains the EU's application of the Digital Markets Act to tech companies like Apple and Google. Apple isn't used to being treated like just another tech company, and its contemptuous response to the EU's rules for its app market could easily spur regulatory sanctions. Looking at Apple's proposed compliance with the California court ruling in the Epic case and the European Digital Market Act, Mark says it's time to think about price regulating mobile app stores.

Even handing out big checks to technology companies turns out to be harder than it first sounds. Sultan and I talk about the slow pace of payments to chip makers, and the political imperative to get the deals done before November (and probably before March).

Senator Ron Wyden, D-Ore. is still flogging NSA and the danger of government access to personal data. This time, he's on about NSA's purchases of commercial data. So far, so predictable. But he's also misrepresenting the facts by claiming flatly that NSA buys domestic metadata, ignoring NSA's clear statement that the metadata it buys is "domestic" only in the sense that it covers communications with one end inside the country. Communications with foreign countries that flow into and out of the U.S. have long been considered appropriate foreign intelligence targets, as witness the current debate over FISA section 702.

Maury and I review a Jim Dempsey's effort to construct a liability regime for insecure software. His proposal looks reasonable, but Maury reminds me that he and I produced something similar twenty years ago, that is still not even close to adoption anywhere in the U.S.

I can't help but rant about Amazon's arrogant, virtue-signaling, and customer-hating decision to drop a feature that makes it easy for Ring doorbell users to share their videos with the police. Whose data is it, anyway, Amazon? Sadly, I'm afraid we know the answer.

It looks as though there's only one place where hasty, ill-conceived tech regulation is being rolled back. China. Maury reports on China's decision to  roll back video game regulations, to fire its video game regulator, and to start approving new games at a rapid clip—though only after a regulatory crackdown had knocked more than $60 billion off the value of its industry.

We close the news roundup with a few quick hits:

Outside of AI, VCs are closing their wallets and letting startups run out of money
Apple launched what looks like an expensive dud – the Vision Pro
Quantum winter may be back as quantum computing turns out to be harder than hoped
And, speaking of winter, consumers and regulators seem to be cooling fast on self-driving cars in the wake of serious missteps by Cruise

Finally, as a listener bonus, we hear from Rob Silvers, Under Secretary for Policy at the Department of Homeland Security and Chair of the Cyber Safety Review Board (CSRB). Under Rob's leadership, DHS has proposed legislation to give the CSRB a legislative foundation. The Senate homeland security committee recently held a hearing about that idea. Rob wasn't invited, so we asked him to come on the podcast to respond to issues that the hearing raised – conflicts of interest, subpoena power, choosing the incidents to investigate, and more.

Download 489th Episode (mp3)

You can subscribe to The Cyberlaw Podcast using iTunes, Google Play, Spotify, Pocket Casts, or our RSS feed. As always, The Cyberlaw Podcast is open to feedback. Be sure to engage with @stewartbaker on Twitter. Send your questions, comments, and suggestions for topics or interviewees to CyberlawPodcast@gmail.com. Remember: If your suggested guest appears on the show, we will send you a highly coveted Cyberlaw Podcast mug! The views expressed in this podcast are those of the speakers and do not reflect the opinions of their institutions, clients, friends, families, or pets.

The post Going deep on deep fakes appeared first on Reason.com.

https://reason.com/volokh/2024/01/30/going-deep-on-deep-fakes/

576
Politics & Religion / Re: Environmental issues
« on: January 30, 2024, 06:19:29 AM »
I don't trust 'Scientific American' in general but no doubt at least parts of this story are true. I'm surprised they missed fracking as a big use of sand.


I'm in utter agreement, Doug, and treat pieces like this as potential stopped clocks: right twice a day.

577
Politics & Religion / Biden's First Days Executive Orders Re Immigration
« on: January 30, 2024, 06:17:59 AM »
Much of the current border debate, at least from the "Progressive" side of the aisle, appears predicated on the opinion that some sort of bipartisan agreement (with some already proposed as shown above) is required to address the issues there, issues that all sorts of very nothing-behind-the-curtain-here maybe possibly is perhaps inspired by the damage being done to Biden's presidential bid due to his administration's handling of the border. Well for the sake of the Memory Hole let's paste what currently appears on the White Houses website re Biden's executive actions on immigration taken on the first days of his administration:

Quote
FEBRUARY 02, 2021
Executive Order on Restoring Faith in Our Legal Immigration Systems and Strengthening Integration and Inclusion Efforts for New Americans
HOME
BRIEFING ROOM
PRESIDENTIAL ACTIONS
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered as follows:

Section 1.  Policy.  Over 40 million foreign-born individuals live in the United States today.  Millions more Americans have immigrants in their families or ancestry.  New Americans and their children fuel our economy, working in every industry, including healthcare, construction, caregiving, manufacturing, service, and agriculture.  They open and successfully run businesses at high rates, creating jobs for millions, and they contribute to our arts, culture, and government, providing new traditions, customs, and viewpoints.  They are essential workers helping to keep our economy afloat and providing important services to Americans during a global pandemic.  They have helped the United States lead the world in science, technology, and innovation.  And they are on the frontlines of research to develop coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines and treatments for those afflicted with the deadly disease.

Consistent with our character as a Nation of opportunity and of welcome, it is essential to ensure that our laws and policies encourage full participation by immigrants, including refugees, in our civic life; that immigration processes and other benefits are delivered effectively and efficiently; and that the Federal Government eliminates sources of fear and other barriers that prevent immigrants from accessing government services available to them.  Our Nation is enriched socially and economically by the presence of immigrants, and we celebrate with them as they take the important step of becoming United States citizens.  The Federal Government should develop welcoming strategies that promote integration, inclusion, and citizenship, and it should embrace the full participation of the newest Americans in our democracy.

Sec. 2.  Role of the Domestic Policy Council.  The role of the White House Domestic Policy Council (DPC) is to convene executive departments and agencies (agencies) to coordinate the formulation and implementation of my Administration’s domestic policy objectives.  Consistent with that role, the DPC shall coordinate the Federal Government’s efforts to welcome and support immigrants, including refugees, and to catalyze State and local integration and inclusion efforts.  In furtherance of these goals, the DPC shall convene a Task Force on New Americans, which shall include members of agencies that implement policies that impact immigrant communities.

Sec. 3.  Restoring Trust in our Legal Immigration System.  The Secretary of State, the Attorney General, and the Secretary of Homeland Security shall review existing regulations, orders, guidance documents, policies, and any other similar agency actions (collectively, agency actions) that may be inconsistent with the policy set forth in section 1 of this order.

(a)  In conducting this review, the Secretary of State, the Attorney General, and the Secretary of Homeland Security shall:

(i)   identify barriers that impede access to immigration benefits and fair, efficient adjudications of these benefits and make recommendations on how to remove these barriers, as appropriate and consistent with applicable law; and

(ii)  identify any agency actions that fail to promote access to the legal immigration system — such as the final rule entitled, “U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services Fee Schedule and Changes to Certain Other Immigration Benefit Request Requirements,” 85 Fed. Reg. 46788 (Aug. 3, 2020), in light of the Emergency Stopgap USCIS Stabilization Act (title I of division D of Public Law 116-159) — and recommend steps, as appropriate and consistent with applicable law, to revise or rescind those agency actions.

(b)  Within 90 days of the date of this order, the Secretary of State, the Attorney General, and the Secretary of Homeland Security shall each submit a plan to the President describing the steps their respective agencies will take to advance the policy set forth in section 1 of this order.

(c)  Within 180 days of submitting the plan described in subsection (b) of this section, the Secretary of State, the Attorney General, and the Secretary of Homeland Security shall each submit a report to the President describing the progress of their respective agencies towards implementing the plan developed pursuant to subsection (b) of this section and recognizing any areas of concern or barriers to implementing the plan.

Sec. 4.  Immediate Review of Agency Actions on Public Charge Inadmissibility.  The Secretary of State, the Attorney General, the Secretary of Homeland Security, and the heads of other relevant agencies, as appropriate, shall review all agency actions related to implementation of the public charge ground of inadmissibility in section 212(a)(4) of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), 8 U.S.C. 1182(a)(4), and the related ground of deportability in section 237(a)(5) of the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1227(a)(5).  They shall, in considering the effects and implications of public charge policies, consult with the heads of relevant agencies, including the Secretary of Agriculture, the Secretary of Health and Human Services, and the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development.

(a)  This review should:

(i)    consider and evaluate the current effects of these agency actions and the implications of their continued implementation in light of the policy set forth in section 1 of this order;

(ii)   identify appropriate agency actions, if any, to address concerns about the current public charge policies’ effect on the integrity of the Nation’s immigration system and public health; and

(iii)  recommend steps that relevant agencies should take to clearly communicate current public charge policies and proposed changes, if any, to reduce fear and confusion among impacted communities.

(b)  Within 60 days of the date of this order, the Secretary of State, the Attorney General, and the Secretary of Homeland Security shall each submit a report to the President describing any agency actions identified pursuant to subsection (a)(ii) of this section and any steps their agencies intend to take or have taken, consistent with subsection (a)(iii) of this section.

Sec. 5.  Promoting Naturalization. (a)  Improving the naturalization process.  The Secretary of State, the Attorney General, and the Secretary of Homeland Security shall, within 60 days of the date of this order, develop a plan describing any agency actions, in furtherance of the policy set forth in section 1 of this order, that they will take to:

(i)    eliminate barriers in and otherwise improve the existing naturalization process, including by conducting a comprehensive review of that process with particular emphasis on the N-400 application, fingerprinting, background and security checks, interviews, civics and English language tests, and the oath of allegiance;

(ii)   substantially reduce current naturalization processing times;

(iii)  make the naturalization process more accessible to all eligible individuals, including through a potential reduction of the naturalization fee and restoration of the fee waiver process;

(iv)   facilitate naturalization for eligible candidates born abroad and members of the military, in consultation with the Department of Defense; and

(v)    review policies and practices regarding denaturalization and passport revocation to ensure that these authorities are not used excessively or inappropriately.

(b)  Implementing improvements to the naturalization process.  Within 180 days of the issuance of the plan developed pursuant to subsection (a) of this section, the Secretary of State, the Attorney General, and the Secretary of Homeland Security shall each submit a report to the President describing the progress in implementing the plan, any barriers to implementing the plan, and any additional areas of concern that should be addressed to ensure that eligible individuals are able to apply for naturalization in a fair and efficient manner.

(c)  Strategy to promote naturalization.  There is established an Interagency Working Group on Promoting Naturalization (Naturalization Working Group) to develop a national strategy to promote naturalization.  The Naturalization Working Group shall be chaired by the Secretary of Homeland Security, or the Secretary’s designee, and it shall include the heads of the following agencies, or senior-level officials designated by the head of each agency:

(i)    the Secretary of Labor;

(ii)   the Secretary of Health and Human Services;

(iii)  the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development;

(iv)   the Secretary of Education;

(v)    the Secretary of Homeland Security;

(vi)   the Commissioner of Social Security; and

(vii)  the heads of other agencies invited to participate by the Working Group chair.

(d)  Within 90 days of the date of this order, the Naturalization Working Group shall submit a strategy to the President outlining steps the Federal Government should take to promote naturalization, including the potential development of a public awareness campaign.

Sec. 6.  Revocation.  The Presidential Memorandum of May 23, 2019 (Enforcing the Legal Responsibilities of Sponsors of Aliens), is revoked.  The heads of relevant agencies shall review any investigations or compliance actions initiated pursuant to that memorandum and shall determine whether to suspend, as appropriate, any investigations or compliance actions inconsistent with the policy set forth in section 1 of this order.  The heads of relevant agencies shall review any agency actions developed pursuant to that memorandum and, as appropriate, issue revised guidance consistent with the policy set forth in section 1 of this order.

Sec. 7.  General Provisions.  (a)  Nothing in this order shall be construed to impair or otherwise affect:

(i)   the authority granted by law to an executive department or agency, or the head thereof; or

(ii)  the functions of the Director of the Office of Management and Budget relating to budgetary, administrative, or legislative proposals.

(b)  This order shall be implemented consistent with applicable law and subject to the availability of appropriations.

(c)  This order is not intended to, and does not, create any right or benefit, substantive or procedural, enforceable at law or in equity by any party against the United States, its departments, agencies, or entities, its officers, employees, or agents, or any other person.

                                JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR.

Next Post: Executive Order on Creating a Comprehensive Regional Framework to Address the Causes of Migration, to Manage Migration Throughout North and Central America, and to Provide Safe and Orderly Processing of Asylum Seekers at the United States Border

Executive Order on Creating a Comprehensive Regional Framework to Address the Causes of Migration, to Manage Migration Throughout North and Central America, and to Provide Safe and Orderly Processing of Asylum Seekers at the United States Border
FEBRUARY 02, 2021


The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Ave NW
Washington, DC 20500

WH.gov

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/02/02/executive-order-restoring-faith-in-our-legal-immigration-systems-and-strengthening-integration-and-inclusion-efforts-for-new-americans/

578
Politics & Religion / Mann's Suit: The Process is the Punishment
« on: January 30, 2024, 06:04:12 AM »
This piece accompanies one made in Pathological Science re Michale Mann's (of Hockey Stick infamy) attempt to bankrupt those who point out his hamfisted willingness to seek the destruction of all who point out his abject unscientific embrace of supposed "science." I'm surprised to learn here that one such defendant--Mark Sty]eyn--is representing himself in, as seen during current J6 prosecutions, a notoriously biased DC court. It's well worth noting the various pathological techniques embraced by Mann as they are something of a roadmap where "Progressive" tactics meant to stifle free speech among other rights are concerned:


Mann Overboard (WSJ opinion piece)

Anthony Fauci isn’t the only oracle of science who regards dissent from his findings as heresy.

Meet Michael Mann. He is the climate scientist who gave us the iconic “hockey stick” graph showing a sharp rise in the global temperature in the 20th century. He has been pursuing two of the stick’s critics—conservative author Mark Steyn and policy analyst Rand Simberg—through the courts for 12 years, saying they defamed him by attacking his personal and professional integrity. Their fate will be decided any day now by a District of Columbia Superior Court jury.
This isn’t Mr. Mann’s first legal rodeo. In 2011 he sued geographer Tim Ball in Canadian court for saying in an interview that “Michael Mann at Penn State should be in the state pen, not Penn State.” In 2019 a Canadian judge dismissed the charges because of the “inexcusable” delay in the trial and ordered Mr. Mann to pay Ball’s legal costs. But news reports say Mr. Mann never paid, and Ball died in 2022.

But back to the science. Mr. Mann’s hockey stick charts the Earth’s temperatures since the year 1000, showing a slow decline that turned sharply upward in the 20th century. Critics have questioned Mr. Mann’s statistical methods and the proxies he used. These proxies include the data from tree rings with which he estimated surface temperatures in medieval times.

In a 2012 post on the Competitive Enterprise Institute blog, Mr. Simberg let it rip. He likened Mr. Mann to a Penn State football coach just found guilty of having sexually abused boys: “Mann could be said to be the Jerry Sandusky of climate science, except that instead of molesting children, he has molested and tortured data in the service of politicized science that could have dire economic consequences for the nation and planet.” 

Mr. Steyn then quoted Mr. Simberg in his own post for National Review Online. “Not sure I’d have extended that metaphor all the way into the locker-room showers with quite the zeal Mr. Simberg does, but he has a point.” 
Mr. Steyn was referring to leaked emails from climate scientists at the University of East Anglia in the U.K. These showed there was far from a scientific consensus about the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change decision to feature the hockey stick in its 2001 report. Both Mr. Steyn and Mr. Simberg suggested that Penn State had covered for Mr. Mann just as it had for Mr. Sandusky.

So Mr. Mann sued. He pointed to independent investigations by the National Science Foundation and Penn State that had cleared him of any research misconduct.

Three years ago, a judge dropped National Review and CEI from the suit, ruling they weren’t liable because Messrs. Steyn and Simberg weren’t their employees. But the judge’s decision can be appealed once the lawsuit itself is resolved—so CEI and National Review could still find themselves on the hook. 

Meanwhile in Washington, Mr. Steyn is acting as his own counsel, which may not be wise but is entertaining. He obviously feels passionately about free speech and equally passionately that he can defend it. At the end of each day of the trial, his website features re-enactments of some of the more spirited encounters.

During the trial, Mr. Steyn characterized Mr. Mann as a “guy who can dish it out but can’t take it.” In an April 2023 tweet touting his own book on the climate wars, Mr. Mann said one criticism of the hockey stick had “a disturbing connection w/ the bad stats used to support early theories of white supremacy.” In addition, one of Mr. Mann’s witnesses in the trial, Raymond Bradley of the University of Massachusetts, had admonished Mr. Mann more than two decades ago that his “scorched earth” approach to criticism—even criticism that is unreasonable—wasn’t doing his reputation any good.

On the stand last week, Mr. Mann also admitted that 12 years of litigation had cost him nothing, though he declined to name who was funding it. In sharp contrast, National Review’s legal defense has gone through millions in insurance claims and significant out-of-pocket expenses.

That seems to be the goal, judging by one of Mr. Mann’s emails explaining his rationale: “Going to talk w/ some big time libel lawyers to see if there is the potential to bring down this filthy organization [National Review] for good.”
The beauty of “bringing down” National Review or any of the other defendants is that Mr. Mann doesn’t have to prevail to do it; he just has to keep the suit going in hopes the legal fees bury them. This is lawfare. The message is: If you don’t like a critic’s tweet or blog posts, just drag him through the courts. It’s especially sweet if someone else foots your bill.

That isn’t the way science ought to be practiced. We know now, for example, that Dr. Fauci tried to quash those who questioned lockdowns. With both Dr. Fauci and Mr. Mann, the real issue is not so much that they got things wrong but that they tried to suppress the robust debate that is necessary for scientific truth.

Three years ago, a judge dropped National Review and CEI from the suit, ruling they weren’t liable because Messrs. Steyn and Simberg weren’t their employees. But the judge’s decision can be appealed once the lawsuit itself is resolved—so CEI and National Review could still find themselves on the hook.

Meanwhile in Washington, Mr. Steyn is acting as his own counsel, which may not be wise but is entertaining. He obviously feels passionately about free speech and equally passionately that he can defend it. At the end of each day of the trial, his website features re-enactments of some of the more spirited encounters.

During the trial, Mr. Steyn characterized Mr. Mann as a “guy who can dish it out but can’t take it.” In an April 2023 tweet touting his own book on the climate wars, Mr. Mann said one criticism of the hockey stick had “a disturbing connection w/ the bad stats used to support early theories of white supremacy.” In addition, one of Mr. Mann’s witnesses in the trial, Raymond Bradley of the University of Massachusetts, had admonished Mr. Mann more than two decades ago that his “scorched earth” approach to criticism—even criticism that is unreasonable—wasn’t doing his reputation any good.

On the stand last week, Mr. Mann also admitted that 12 years of litigation had cost him nothing, though he declined to name who was funding it. In sharp contrast, National Review’s legal defense has gone through millions in insurance claims and significant out-of-pocket expenses.

That seems to be the goal, judging by one of Mr. Mann’s emails explaining his rationale: “Going to talk w/ some big time libel lawyers to see if there is the potential to bring down this filthy organization [National Review] for good.”
The beauty of “bringing down” National Review or any of the other defendants is that Mr. Mann doesn’t have to prevail to do it; he just has to keep the suit going in hopes the legal fees bury them. This is lawfare. The message is: If you don’t like a critic’s tweet or blog posts, just drag him through the courts. It’s especially sweet if someone else foots your bill.

That isn’t the way science ought to be practiced. We know now, for example, that Dr. Fauci tried to quash those who questioned lockdowns. With both Dr. Fauci and Mr. Mann, the real issue is not so much that they got things wrong but that they tried to suppress the robust debate that is necessary for scientific truth.

https://apple.news/A4_h4ZXamS4qtJjgmSw2U3Q

579
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Mann Down
« on: January 30, 2024, 04:36:10 AM »
This is delicious! After decrying rumored right wing big meanies and dragging detractors to court whereupon he dragged his feet through discovery for YEARS, Michael Mann is on the stand testifying in the libel suit he initiated, and is screwing the pooch.

In many ways he’s already lost. His Hockey Stick hyperbole which, at one time, you couldn’t turn a corner without being smacked in the face with has been utterly memory holed, and indeed despite refusing to share either his data our source code because science doesn’t have to be replicable if you claim those seeking to follow this basic tenet of science are big meanies, the math behind his inane graph was backward engineered and shown to be so poorly construed one could drop the recipe for chicken salad into it and have a hockey stick shaped line plot emerge. Alarmist these days tend to turn pink when you mention that chapter in their panic mongering, yet Mann proceeded with his lawfare nonetheless. Now that’s chutzpah!

It’s a DC court and Mann is playing the right wing extremist card so it’s likely too soon to count chickens, but it’s fun to watch him squirm and equivocate on the stand.

I began this thread with Mann in mind; hope to punctuate it with a trial loss here:


The Emperor Has No Clothes
by Amy K. Mitchell
Mann vs Steyn Trial Day Eight
January 29, 2024

Michael Mann took the stand for the third day at the trial of his own making to start Week 3. Mark's cross-examination continued in full force today. By the end of the day, Mann's lawyers were clearly flustered as illustrated by their attempts to rebut Mann's own testimony (in vain).

C.S. Lewis (yes, that C.S. Lewis) once said, "Hell begins with a grumbling mood, always complaining, always blaming others." We witnessed a lot of blame in Room 132 of the DC Superior Court today, so hell must be near.

As Mark detailed in exhibit after exhibit, Mann, despite his protestations to the contrary of double-checking (nigh, triple checking) his work and always ensuring that he has facts right each and every time, had to resort time and again to the common refrain, "it was an honest mistake."

What mistakes you ask?

Well, let's start with Mann's own deposition — the deposition that was signed under penalty of perjury. Mann failed to disclose all persons who he believed had "communicated false statements of fact about you or your work that caused damage to your reputation, as well as the statements."

Mann's response: "It fell through the cracks. It was an honest mistake... there were hundreds of pages." Hundreds of pages? This from the man whose entire profession (and career) is contingent upon hundreds of, if not thousands, points of data? And those other persons? Well, they "didn't have nearly the reach" as Mark and the other defendants.

The discrepancy in the alleged decline in the Plaintiff's grant funding submitted in his own documentation admitted as evidence? "It was the lawyers."

The distortion of Hockey and Football, one of the "statements at issue," in Mann's book in which the word "mad" was added to a direct quote attributed to Mark, as in, "Mad Michael Mann was the man behind..." Oh, that is a "typo." No wait, it was "the editors."

Mann is never to blame. He is innocent. Perfect, if one will.

Let's turn to Mann's emails, which in discovery included the following gem about Judith Curry:

"... folks here were relieved to see her go. I don't know all the details. What I do know is that Peter Webster was a married faculty member and Judy Curry was a graduate student. Affairs, ugly divorce, et cetera, yada, yada. Webster and Curry left together... to the relief of everyone I know here who was around then. mike."

Except the woman in question wasn't actually a graduate student, but was in fact another faculty member. Mann admitted: "These are rumors I was passing along" (lovely), and his "facts could be wrong," AND wait for it... "she is what I would a call a serial misinformer when it comes to science."

Ah ha. So spreading rumors of an affair in academic circles if you're Michael Mann — on purpose — to discredit someone who doesn't agree with you to ruin their reputation isn't defamation? Got it.

Finally, ICYMI — This evening, Bill McGurn in the Wall Street Journal writes, "This is lawfare. The message is: If you don't like a critic's tweet or blog posts, just drag him through the courts. It's especially sweet if someone else foots your bill." Read the full column here.

National Review is also tracking the trial, with coverage here.

And Mark's Opening Statement can be found here.

https://www.steynonline.com/14056/the-emperor-has-no-clothes?fbclid=IwAR1ww5SwRU6uHGqNPnkx1B8E0IwA5nKoWouZvmlghlEaBF_K0dgEe1GvzoQ

580
Politics & Religion / Kicking Sand Off the Beach
« on: January 29, 2024, 11:34:52 PM »
An unlikely resource being depleted: sand used for construction. Having lived through various bits of peak oil doomsaying over the years I bring a healthy skepticism to this issue, but given this unique claim I figured I’d share.

Note, too many tables & pics to try to drop the whole piece here:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/sand-mafias-are-plundering-the-earth/?s=08

581
Politics & Religion / Re: WSJ: Apple, Roomba, and Pocahontas
« on: January 29, 2024, 11:22:23 PM »
Trump has a very funny riff about Biden wandering around the stage after a speech like a Roomba , , ,

=======
One might say Elizabeth Warren got her robot. The Massachusetts Senator has prodded antitrust regulators to block Amazon’s acquisition of Roomba manufacturer iRobot. On Monday the two companies called off their deal amid opposition from competition regulators. What a coup—for the Chinese.
Given Bezos’ “Progressive” bona fides I’m left wondering what the non-gender specific term for “fratricide” is?

582
Politics & Religion / Regime Math
« on: January 29, 2024, 08:14:14 PM »
It’s been far too long since I checked in with Wm Briggs:

The Border Happening & The Weakness Of The Regime
BY BRIGGS ON JANUARY 29, 2024 • ( 12 COMMENTS )
Simple math: 5,000 x 365 = 1,825,000. Check me. Is it right?

That 5,000 is the number of “migrants” the Regime Senate would allow in each day—each and every day of the year, in perpetuity. Five thousand a day is just under 2 million a year. Every year.

This daily number, instead of annual, is well calculated to assist propagandists. You will hear idiotic things like, “They’re only letting 5,000 in.” Listen for this.

Special addition! No sooner did I write this article, then I heard on the radio news: “The new Senate deal would allow President Biden to shut the border down if migrants reached 5,000 or more”. With not a word about this being daily. And notice who it allows the power. This was Fox News radio.

Those 5,000 are just the legal ones. How many daily illegal “migrants”? Who knows. Not zero. One guy says there are now nearly 7,000 “migrant encounters” at the border daily.

Migrant encounters. Lord help us.

That 5,000 a day is the “deal” the Senate is “offering” to fix the wholly manufactured “crisis” at the border. English demands an outcome cannot be a crisis if it was desired, aided, and abetted. Yet English has already been sacrificed to the woke, who have lunatics strutting around announcing “their” pronouns.

Now some of this is surely also due to incompetence. If there is anything we learned these last three years is how incompetent our elite are. But it is a directed incompetence, especially with its emphasis on DIEing.

The only real solution, therefore, is replacing that elite.

At any rate, you will have heard the news. Last week, Governor Abbott declared an “invasion” and Texas forbade the Feds from monkeying with its border razor wire. This incensed, quietly, those same Feds. Biden issued an ultimatum: back down or else! Abbott did not back down. Then a slew of other governors announced “support” of Abbott. As of this writing, nobody really knows what this “support” means in practice.

Yet what was hilarious was Biden’s “or else.” After Abbott held, Biden issued some penny-ante decree pausing approval of natural gas terminals, which will sting Texas (and other states) in some small way. Biden blamed “the devastating toll of climate change” for the pause, and not Abbott.

Not only this, but then the White House starting touting the Senate deal as the “solution”, which we might call Open Borders Lite, the math of which we saw above. And then Biden backed down again!

He had somebody issue a hilarious tweet declaring the border is “broken” and saying that “It’s long past time to fix it”. And he said if he got Open Borders Lite, he would act.

Gorgeous propaganda! It will certainly fool every NPR listener and suchlike folk who are eager to find an excuse, any excuse, to continue to support the Regime. None of them will even pause to consider Abbott has already acted after Biden refused to. Consistently refused to, and, of course, abetting the invasion.

On the other hand—and here comes our main point—those NPR types might not ever hear of any of this. A quick scan at the time of writing (Sunday evening), and I don’t see word one on the New York Times on-line site. Last relevant article about Abbott or Texas was from the 22nd about another SCOTUS ruling issued before Abbott’s declaration.

Regime propaganda outlets are doing their absolute best to remain as quiet as they can about this genuine crisis, even though the Governors of half the States have issued declarations of support and against the Regime. Which one would assume is both shocking and newsworthy.

The reason for the hush is that the Regime is pathetically weak, and know it, and they look it. They tried muscle and blew it. Which weakens them. Abbott, so far anyway, has refused to budge, and he got Biden to surrender twice.

Yes, it’s all small stuff. So far. But the Regime could have done much more, if they really had the strength. For instance, many on-line lefties (none of whom are in any power) have called for the Regime to nationalize the Texas National Guards, which they have the authority to do.

Can you imagine them doing that in an election year, though? This would be the equivalent to the campaign slogan Vote for Biden and Open Borders — Or Else!

Probably the Regime is preparing some sort of “devastating” legal move, which might even work. Don’t forget, “conservatives” pride themselves on following the law, even when the law is insane. (The left has no such compunction.) Abbott may back down.

Yet now is the time to push them. Any use of force on the Regime’s part is the beginning of their end

583
Politics & Religion / Re: Rules of the Road/Fire Hydrant/Self Intro
« on: January 29, 2024, 07:57:01 PM »
I delete the extraneous stuff so as to have a smooth read.
Easy to do on a laptop or desktop. iPad? Not so much.

584
Politics & Religion / Some Old Ones
« on: January 29, 2024, 06:04:39 PM »
Marc suggested I use Qwant for a search engine. Plunked in “FBI entrapment cases) as I did before in DuckDuckGo, and got far more early returns, including this one:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/nov/16/fbi-entrapment-fake-terror-plots

ETA: a couple more:

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2022/sep/22/fbi-whistleblower-counterterrorism-cases-against-a/

https://theintercept.com/2023/06/15/fbi-undercover-isis-teenager-terrorist/

I’m digging Qwant.

585
Politics & Religion / Re: Rules of the Road/Fire Hydrant/Self Intro
« on: January 29, 2024, 05:53:58 PM »
Frankly not too worried because:

a) We woud respect a cease and desist letter;
b) We're not making any money and/or it would be really hard to prove damages;
c) their lawyers would cost more than I am worth haha
d) a bit more seriously, there is the fair use doctrine combined with the gneral nature of this forum.
e) we have a valid purpose in protecting content from the Memory Hole.
Kewl! I won’t worry about complicating your life, though reserve the right to forgo full posts off sites that toss in all sorts of erratic formatting to forestall doing so.

587
Jackasses don’t like their self-inflicted asshattery mentioned by those fleeing CA due to it:

https://www.independent.org/news/article.asp?id=14813

588
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Smoke ‘n Mirrors
« on: January 29, 2024, 12:14:53 PM »
Like my grandpa used to say “figures never lie, but liars always figure.” Juking wildfire stats:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p-__pY6Dp5M&t=345s

589
Interesting thought piece with several elements worth mulling like the amazing thing about the temperature record is not it’s minor rise, but that over the timeframes for which we have data temps have fluctuated so little. This realization leads to a pretty damning indictment of AI’s ability to have flashes of insight:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/01/29/more-about-artificial-ignorance/

590
Politics & Religion / Re: Rules of the Road/Fire Hydrant/Self Intro
« on: January 29, 2024, 10:20:49 AM »
"Behind an educrat paywall so pasted in full below."

I get and respect the logic here AND I would like to add that sometimes there is an additional, and countervailing consideration.

Some links allowed to expire for whatever reason, but all too often they are deleted by the Controligarch forces of the Goolag.  Try finding now that footage of the Capitol Police waving in the J6 protestors for example!  I had a link of a subtitled evil Chinese scientist talking about developing viruses that could target particular ethnic/racial groups-- but it is now gone down the Memory Hole.  Also, sometimes links are allowed to expire for whatever reason.

To protect against such and to further the purposes of this forum, I would ask that whenever the contents are such that they should not be lost to posterity, to paste in full.

Are you worried about getting hit with a copyright/takedown notice? Has it occurred before?

I confess I minimize my full cut and pastes due to the fear, but I’ve managed college computer labs were “quit downloading and sharing our music” notifications were a regular issue.

With that said, moving forward I’ll try to do a full cut and paste if a site seems like it might be fleeting.

And hey, while we are at it … is there an easy way to upload images here that I’ve missed? While going through old posts I often find the words still there, but the linked images have fled.

591
Politics & Religion / Importing Voters: It’s a Feature, not a Bug
« on: January 29, 2024, 10:00:49 AM »
As well as a Ponzi scheme, according to this piece which paints a bleak picture for blue states:

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/open-border-policy-not-accident

592
Politics & Religion / Causation, Correlation, & Claimed Psychosis
« on: January 29, 2024, 08:41:38 AM »
Posted primarily as I’ve seen sundry “weed causes psychosis” pieces tither and yon of late:

https://www.cato.org/blog/wall-street-journal-columnist-triggers-reefer-madness-flashback

593
Politics & Religion / “And,” “The,” & All the Other Lies
« on: January 29, 2024, 08:29:04 AM »
Takedown of the WEF & their habit of uncritically carrying China’s currently quite dry economic water:

https://amgreatness.com/2024/01/28/the-mary-mccarthy-rule-for-discussing-the-prcs-economy-and-economic-data-and-the-wef/

594
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Fun w/ Fuzzy Variables
« on: January 29, 2024, 08:17:36 AM »
If you see a mark on Dr. Hansen, this is what left it:

https://archive.is/TTPP8

595
Politics & Religion / Re: Trade and Globalization Issues:
« on: January 29, 2024, 08:09:06 AM »
Not bad, :-D but this thread would be more specific to your point:

https://firehydrantoffreedom.com/index.php?topic=2811.msg144445#msg144445

Also, the Yemen thread would be a valid dual post.

Okay, but what’s a “PanFa?” DuckDuckGo returns “Panda Express” and “pandas.”

597
Politics & Religion / Four Font Fear Redux
« on: January 29, 2024, 07:52:46 AM »
Attempting to spread the topics addressed broadly here among the relevant threads.

This piece contains references to LOTS of scary prescience, noting predictions of current entanglements made earlier. Indeed, allow me to pile on: if Biden is reelected or some other “Progressive” torchbearer replaces the ambulatory corpse he appears to have become, the partially executed four front World War III will be fully realized as our enemies know Biden and his “Progressive” handlers don’t have the aptitude or stomach for a world war, that the US is currently as politically fractured (and intentionally made so) as it has been since the 1860s, and that in our environmental and Ukraine munition supply zeal we’ve demonstrated that we are unable to arm ourselves to the degree needed to engage on the scale imagined here:

https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2024/01/27/the_geopolitics_of_world_war_iii_1007840.html

598
Politics & Religion / Four Front Fears
« on: January 29, 2024, 07:50:35 AM »
This piece contains references to LOTS of scary prescience, noting predictions of current entanglements made earlier. Indeed, allow me to pile on: if Biden is reelected or some other “Progressive” torchbearer replaces the ambulatory corpse he appears to have become, the partially executed four front World War III will be fully realized as our enemies know Biden and his “Progressive” handlers don’t have the aptitude or stomach for a world war, that the US is currently as politically fractured (and intentionally made so) as it has been since the 1860s, and that in our environmental and Ukraine munition supply zeal we’ve demonstrated that we are unable to arm ourselves to the degree needed to engage on the scale imagined here:

https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2024/01/27/the_geopolitics_of_world_war_iii_1007840.html

599
Piece states various cascades ensuing as Russian tankers were thought safe from Red Sea attacks. Energy markets rethinking viability of Russian oil, with markets rising 2% so far today:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/houthi-hit-russian-fuel-oil-093000321.html

I assume these tankers are being filled in Black Sea ports. If so an interesting tidbit in view of Russia’s war with Ukraine. 

600
Politics & Religion / Carr Runs Down FBI
« on: January 29, 2024, 06:38:04 AM »
Howie Carr slaps around some federal bitches and incompetents:

https://www.bostonherald.com/2024/01/27/howie-carr-this-is-your-fbi-thanks-to-dei/

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