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Working from memory, the CIA et al have a very uneven record on assessing threats, including under Bush 43 saying Iran was not working on nukes-- which had the effect of enabling the Euros to justify doing business with Iran as Bush 43 was trying to get our beloved allies to act as such in the effort to squeeze Iran.
There's more in this vein and there is the entire matter of the Obama intel apparatus (Brennan, Clapper, et al) playing Deep State. Who leaked Trump's conversations in his first month in office with PM of Australia? with the President of Mexico? and much more , , ,