Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.


Messages - ppulatie

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 23
1
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: November 03, 2024, 04:35:17 PM »
Have been working on election worksheet for months, evaluating polls. I have 326 EV's for Trump. All swing states to Trump, Minn to Harris and NH and Virginia to Trump.

Am not counting the Trump undercounting issue. If Trump voters undercounted in polls by 4% or so, then somewhere about 410.

2
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: October 30, 2024, 08:02:06 AM »
Starting to look at things, saw this article suggesting that there could be a late breaking surge to Trump like with Reagan in 1980. (I do not know enough about 1980 because I was in the UK, stationed at RAF Bentwaters.)

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14013063/trump-harris-early-vote-swing-states-polls.html

3
This weekend, am going to do a deep dive into the last polls of key states to see if I can come to a conclusion of which way the states vote. For purposes of extrapolation, am going to use "undercount" of Trump at 3%.

Question:

Can there also be an undercount of Kamala support. People afraid to admit that they would vote for Kamala?

4
Morning all. Sorry I have not been around the last couple of weeks, but lost a family friend of 45 years to cancer, and then an old fried of 37 years that I worked for at one time. Life sucks.

Now to the point of this post.

I tend to look at things from a statistical data viewpoint. Things must make sense.

I am going to admit it now. I am flat out scared about next Tuesday's election. Have been apprehensive as we all have, but now apprehensive is upgraded to scared.

The pollsters are flat out doing something different this year. Instead of "tightening up" with the conservatives increasing support, they are showing Kamala either tied or ahead of Donald.

Polls are "revealing" essentially a 3 way equal split between Dem/Rep/Indies. So they are likely manipulating results through some other demographics that I cannot figure out. If so, the "sudden" increase in Kamala's support might be "attributed" to undecideds breaking to Kamala, though this is hard to believe.

All of this could be in conjunction with the upcoming steal. But it scares the hell out of me.

5
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: October 15, 2024, 06:27:50 AM »
CCP,

We are now 4th class citizens, deplorables, never to own anything again.

6
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: October 14, 2024, 12:30:37 PM »
Baier is going to softball her as well. Baier hates Trump.

7
Politics & Religion / Re: Political Economics
« on: October 14, 2024, 06:18:54 AM »
Good Morning Doug! Good to be back.

(You are likely aware of this, but I post for those who are not.)

Even as you have calculated the Inflation Rate at 21% cumulative so far for the Biden years, so sorry to say that it is in error due to the way Inflation is calculated.

For Core Inflation in food, the calculations have been deliberately underreported. That is because of the methodology.

Assume for purposes of an example, I am on a fixed income. I have a set of food items I always purchase, which includes steak priced at $6.99 a pound. However, the price jumps up to $12.99 a pound. I cannot buy that anymore, so instead of steak, I start buying hamburger meat at $5.99 a pound.

Calculations on food inflation would not include the steak now at $12.99. Instead, the food items for inflation calculations would "drop" the steak and instead would use hamburger meat. So for inflation reporting, the meat category would show "deflation" since hamburger is priced lower than steak was at the $6.99 level.

Bottom line is that the inflation numbers are manipulated to achieve lower results and do not affect the reality of the price increases.

Hope this makes since. Coffee has not yet kicked in.

8
Politics & Religion / Re: Our Out of Control Federal Law Enforcement.
« on: October 13, 2024, 07:24:11 PM »
Like they say, "Show me the person and I will show you the law broken."

9
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: October 13, 2024, 05:35:27 PM »
FYI

My oldest and dearest friend does Home Shows selling spas. He reports:

There are booths that cater to Harris and to Trump supporters. Harris booths have nobody going to it. Trump booths are swamped and they are continuously refilling stock.

And this is in liberal CA.

Now, my city is 2/3rds Dem/liberal. Have only seen 1 Harris sign. None for Trump but we don't advertise. Libs are dangerous. In fact, this morning saw one guy stealing political signs on roadways. Supporter of our BLM mayor.

10
Politics & Religion / Re: Sen JD Vance
« on: October 13, 2024, 05:23:48 PM »
To me, JD Vance is the most impressive new politician I have seen in decades. I can see him carrying the MAGA torch after Trump leaves the scene.

BTW, for those who were not around here in Jun 2015, I did not know much about Trump. Never watched Apprentice. But when he came down the escalator that fateful Jun day, I immediately posted here that he would win. I believe people thought I was nuts at the time. 2020, I told people I would be surprised if he were reelected.

Now, I believe he returns to White House, but nothing would surprise me any longer.

11
Politics & Religion / Re: Third time not the charm: Attempt #3?
« on: October 13, 2024, 05:15:07 PM »
Mindy Robinson
@AmericanAFMindy
3h
·
·
The man they just arrested for supposedly "trying to kill" Trump in Coachella....is my good friend and business partner for America Happens, Vem Miller.

Vem had just exposed a huge Deep State cover-up involving the Feds and the Bundy Ranch scandal. So I firmly believe this is 100% some kind of set-up in retribution for exposing it. That, or Trump's security team is a bunch of dipshits trying to make up for how badly they failed in Pennsylvania with any kind of "win" they can get, fake or not.

12
Politics & Religion / Re: Third time not the charm: Attempt #3?
« on: October 13, 2024, 04:20:27 PM »
CCP...

Hearing the same.

13
I have a bit more insight into the events of J-6 than most people. I will explain.

My wife's nephew (Captain Robert Glover) by marriage was the CO of DC Metro Special Ops. Special Ops handled security planning for the Inauguration. They also handled VIP travel planning, escorts etc. When you see the Motor Cops on escort duty, that was his unit.

Glover was On Scene Commander at the Capital from early afternoon on. He had been all over the Capital area all day long. Transcripts of radio calls with him were played during the J-6 hearings as well as his own testimony before Congress.

From what I can gather, and cannot talk to him about it because he will not say a thing, he and the Capital Police really caused the escalation of violence. Cops panicked because of the large numbers of people there. They started with gas which set off questionable people in the crowds.

About 12:30pm, Glover was informed that some NG had arrived near the Capital and ready to be deployed. There were between 110 and 120 troops. Glover did not deploy them because there were "so few." Instead, he had the NG establish a "holding area" where arrested people would be placed, guarded by NG.

Radio transcripts reflect that Glover actually panicked as the crowd grew in size. He called for more cops, which were available because Virginia Highway Patrol cops were on scene, as well as many other VA state, county and city cops that were there through reciprocal aid. Plus FBI, etc.

Reading his testimony, I know that he lied to Congress on some key issues. But nothing was said. And there is what I believe to be the reason for lying.

Glover was Number 3 in the DC Metro Command structure. He would have eventually taken over Chief of Police, except for an important event. He was being investigated for having a website on a known site that hosted porn. Just a few months after his testimony, he was allowed to "retire" with full pension, while large numbers of DC cops were pissed and thought he should have been prosecuted. (This did not surprise me because there were some real indications that he was a perv that I heard about.)

It is my opinion that he was allowed to retire with pension in exchange for his lies.

BTW, the SOB called my wife all the time when he was having marriage problems. But he never once called me to offer condolences when my wife passed in Jan 2023.

Yes, I might have some bitterness towards him.


14
Politics & Religion / Re: I return!
« on: October 13, 2024, 03:43:30 PM »
Hi CCP and CD:

So good to be back. Honestly, did not believe I would be around by now. Been a long road, of which you may be knowledgeable of some of it.

Jan 6, 2021, I did like so many others, went to ground. Stopped writing articles except for a couple of non publicized websites. Did not want to have a visible footprint. Better safe than sorry.

Now, I await the coming financial collapse. With all the money creation by the Fed, it is inevitable. (4th Turning almost always has a financial collapse.) With it will come the newest Housing Crisis, which will make 2008-09 no big deal.

BTW, most banks remain insolvent, if traditional Mark to Market accounting processes are used. Instead, it is Mark to Mark, propped up by FED low interest rates. BASEL 3 standards still remain a joke. And when you see Reverse REPO actions, you know how bad a bank is doing.

If only people knew...





15
Politics & Religion / I return!
« on: October 12, 2024, 06:24:02 PM »
Good evening all! Hope you are all doing well.

After many years of extended absence, I return (from Trump's 2016 campaign.) No, I was not in jail or prison. Just trying to cope with life and living. Just so much has gone on, it does not seem real.

Thinking if we have honest elections, then Trump is reelected. If Kamala wins, America is finished as a country as we grew up in. Must say that this 4th Turning has been as expected, total chaos. Where it ends, who knows?

But, life goes on.




16
Appears that Michael Burry was behind the GameStop debacle.

He bought up over 5% stake in the company. Forced the company to buyback it's shares using around 200 million dollars. The buyback caused shorted stock to go over 100% of available stocks in the market.

Then he created the news cycle that lead to threads about undervalued stock and hedge funds shorting over 100% of the company's stock. Buying the stocks at $2-4 per share, he made perhaps billions in the trades.

Burry was the one who also led to the issuance of Credit Default Swaps (CDS) on Mortgage Backed Securities. He noticed the problems with MBS and recognized that at some point, they would begin to fail and default. Convinced Deutsche Bank to issue CDS in 2005 then all the banks started doing it thinking it was easy money to be made.

It was easy money, at least for Burry, when the loans began to fail. Reportedly made over $1b on CDS.

17
Politics & Religion / Re: Rules of the Road/Fire Hydrant/Self Intro
« on: January 21, 2021, 09:26:13 AM »
SpartaReport closed down on Jan 6. We were too high profile for some of the mods who either worked for the government or else had contracts with it. A couple of others had businesses that they feared could be targeted by the Left.

New site opened by one commenter where Spartans and others can play.  www.cafe76.org.  Been doing a few articles there to get started.

18
Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« on: January 06, 2021, 09:41:21 PM »
Have no idea who can pick up the reins of leadership now and start a new party.  GOP is totally finished now. Just like the Whigs.

19
Politics & Religion / Re: Second American Civil War
« on: January 06, 2021, 09:36:30 PM »
Am just stunned and remain in total disbelief of what happened today.  Daughter had friends there who saw the incident where the woman got shot. Said it was a Capital Police officer who was a bodyguard for Schumer.  Also said that ANTIFA had definitely penetrated the crowds in that area.

Trump should now pardon himself and family and resign. Else he will be removed from office before this weekend is out. Will be Pence trying to move him out.

Who is left to take the reins of leadership for the conservative movement now?

20
Politics & Religion / Color Revolutions and the Second American Civil War
« on: November 24, 2020, 12:48:25 PM »
All, this is an article about Color Revolutions by one who was involved in the Romanian Revolution.

https://www.spartareport.com/2020/11/color-revolutions-a-primer/

Color Revolutions – A Primer


Hi all. As many of you know, I am an immigrant from Romania. (Yes, I did it legally.) I participated in the Color Revolution in Romania when I was 24 years old. So I feel I can report about Color Revolutions with some degree of authority.

Here in America, we are now living in the incipient phases of a Color Revolution.

Color Revolution movements are fueled primarily by a stolen election. It is always the representative of the oligarchy who is declared the winner to the detriment of the rightful winner of the election and it is always the propaganda arm of the oligarchy that pushes this narrative.

I have always maintained that Color Revolutions can be long or short lived depending on the outcome of the contested elections. However, no matter the final result, or who will “officially” occupy the seat of power, Color Revolutions evolve into a protest against the status quo that allowed the fraud to take place.

I also said that Color Revolutions start as a cry of the masses to which the classical politicians adhere very late and only because they want to preserve themselves.

Let’s see what we have experienced so far.

A popular president, with high approval ratings, is defeated through massive fraud by the representative of the oligarchy with the consent of important segments of the state.

(I speak without a doubt about the FBI, the DOJ, the Democrat Party leadership, the media, and possibly some elements from inside the GOP being involved. We can also speculate, because we have no definitive proof, that foreign actors might have been involved as well.)

Like in any Color Revolution, the party/candidate that was robbed of the victory does not recognize this loss as legitimate and a large part of his base agrees with him and it is furious. However, the base is still debating about the course of the action. Some still have faith in the system, some are ready to give up and others, while angry, have the lucidity to look forward.

I will also add that looking ahead, we need to understand that if we want to have a chance of taking this country back, we will have to look at a long battle, and not one that will end in a few weeks or months. We need to learn from the mistakes of the past and act accordingly.

The United States experienced a proto Color Revolution in the past. I speak about the Tea Party movement.

Let us remember how and why the Tea Party movement started. It began from the frustration with the authoritarianism and corruption of the Obama administration, and with the inaction of the GOP. Moreover, the Tea Party was formed by several groups around the country with loose connections among themselves, that did not have a central leadership or a final objective. That made the Tea Party movement an easy prey for venal politicians who rode the wave of popular discontent to their own benefit without understanding what the movement was about.

Paul Ryan is probably the poster boy for such a politician. He managed to say the right words, he put himself on the map, became the VP candidate, and then the Speaker of the House. However, he was an absolute failure both as a candidate and as the Speaker. I have no doubt that as we speak, there are already similar politicians ready to jump into the frame and ride this wave of discontent when the moment will be right.

However, this time the situation is different.

The movement already has a leader, President Trump. It also has an agenda, a goal: that of the restauration of America the Free, America the Great. It is a nationalist movement first, and only secondary, a center right/conservative movement.

It is not a right/left movement because it brings together disfranchised conservative, upset old time Republicans and the Democrats who left their party in disgust of their policies. It is a diverse movement that has whites, Hispanics, blacks, Christians, orthodox Jews and Muslims.

The movement is mainly a working class and low middle class movement. At it’s basic premise, this movement is angry at the status quo that allowed this miscarriage of democracy to take place.

The movement has very little in common with the GOP base of the Bush era: the suburbs and the upper middle class. The Bush GOP base is right now strongly in the Democrat camp. It is a population segment more preoccupied by virtue signaling and keeping up with the fashions than with the future of the country, and that is as disconnected by the problems of the general populations as were the European aristocrats pre 1848.

The Bush GOP might not like the authoritarian strikes of the Left but they cannot bring themselves to mix with the unwashed and unculturated masses.

Where are we going? To a turbulent time.

The Biden/Harris Administration will be an Obama third term. It will be authoritarian, cosmopolitan, and catering to the oligarchy interests. It will be a corrupt administration that will put everybody’s interests above those of the United States and it will be an administration that will engage in ill fated military expeditions around the world.

What can we do?

It will take some time for the scattered MAGA army to get its footing. We will probably have to start organizing ourselves, petition and picket the offices of the useless GOP representatives and state legislators and get ready to start massive protests all over the country.

Like always, the GOP will join us when it sees that their appeasement policy puts them in danger.

I expect that the House GOP will be more in tune with this Color Revolution than the Senate. I also expect that elements of the GOP will try hard to sideline President Trump.

There are already critters in the GOP who mulling over the idea of a 2024 presidential run. There are already people inside the GOP who want to return to the “compassionate conservatism” of the Bush era. We need to yank these people away from any cooperation with an illegitimate administration.

We need to be ready for action because the time of mass protests might come sooner than we expect.

Clemycali

21
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 23, 2020, 06:22:21 PM »
Only thing I know now about what is going on is that I do not know what is going on.

Whole thing is one confused messed. Not optimistic of outcome.

22
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 17, 2020, 09:54:24 AM »
Am scheduled for the reeducation camps now.  Just waiting for the Harris/Biden team to let me know when and where.

23
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 14, 2020, 09:49:37 AM »
Here is an article written by some Cuckservative on a Cuck website.

https://www.spartareport.com/2020/11/election-day-11-why-did-dems-commit-such-blatant-fraud/

Might be worth a read.

24
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 10, 2020, 07:29:05 AM »
We shall see.............

25
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 09, 2020, 07:28:19 PM »
Barr has ordered DOJ to look into election fraud. They can begin fully investigating on Friday, after the 10 day grace period of the election.

U.S. DOJ Elections Crime Branch Director Richard Pilger has resigned in response to Attorney General William Barr's memo authorizing an election fraud investigation (NYT). Pilger was the one who let Lois Lerner off the hook with the IRS and Tea Party fame.

Was he told to resign........or get fired?

Trump beginning to clean house. He must know he has the Dems by the balls.

26
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 06, 2020, 11:24:49 AM »
Don't know what CD felt about you then, and don't care.  Only know what I know, which as I age, becomes more apparent that I know nothing at all.

27
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 06, 2020, 10:45:41 AM »
My guns were lost in the Sacramento River during a boating accident. They all went overboard.

28
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 06, 2020, 10:37:25 AM »
Hey, it is life.

When one sees their own mortality coming up fast, it changes everything about how he feels and life. Just natural I think.

29
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 06, 2020, 10:22:07 AM »
Which part is dramatic?

1. Have worked in the Court system for 13 years now. Understand how the courts work. IMO, SCOTUS will do nothing, especially after Gore v Bush in 2000.

2. America of the 50's and 60's is gone forever. It will not return, no matter what one wishes.

3. The 4th Turning is a way of looking at history. Among other things, it states that when a 4th Turning occurs, society will engage in a reformation of everything. Outcomes can never be predicted. But now, we can see the handwriting on the wall.

4. My expiration date?  FYI, I am Stage 4 terminal cancer. Docs and I have managed to keeping holding it at bay, but at some point, it will begin attacking my body again. So why do I want to bother with any more fighting when I have so little time to go? Better to make the best of and enjoy the time I have left.

30
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 06, 2020, 09:59:45 AM »
Well, I have conceded the election. SCOTUS will not side with Trump, no matter what. They do not want to see the debacle to come in civil unrest if they do.

The America of my youth is gone forever. Just a distant memory now. Never to return.

The 4th Turning has shown where it is leading. A socialist America for a decade at least, then who knows?

In the meantime, I shall just hunker down and make my little carve out of life as comfortable and easy as I can, until my expiration date hits.

31
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 04, 2020, 08:49:27 AM »
Trump will not run again. Maybe Pence, who would lose. Or Don Jr.

Biden will be 25th Amendment out by Jun. Harris in and will run in 2024.

DOOM is here.

32
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 04, 2020, 07:06:11 AM »
At least we have the Senate still and also SCOTUS

33
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 04, 2020, 06:17:58 AM »
Not a good morning to wake up to here.  Am in shock.

Looks like 264 for Trump, unless he can get either AZ or NV.  Otherwise it is Prez Harris.

What the hell is wrong with Americans?  Have they lost their ever loving mind?

34
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 03, 2020, 02:08:04 PM »
Florida Rep voting is now 200k plus over Dems.  This would mean extrapolated out 5% victory margin.

Just depends upon Indy vote and how it breaks.

Michigan huge turnout.

PA blacks are voting in record numbers for Trump.

AZ close but should be a win.

NV up in the air. Rep votes leading in Washoe County. Clark is close.

35
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 03, 2020, 07:35:28 AM »
Florida R voting is now 36k OVER D voting.

PA is pulling some shenanigans. Machines in 2 heavy Trump counties are broken.

In AZ, so far R's are under performing to 2016.

36
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 03, 2020, 06:32:12 AM »
Voted by mail and accepted 2 weeks ago.

Florida

Dems finished yesterday with 112k early vote lead.

Heavy voting all over. Lead is now down to 5k.  This took 1:20 minutes.

If this happens all over Murica, then the Red Wave may be the Red Tsunami!

37
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 02, 2020, 10:06:29 PM »
First votes have been counted in New Hampshire.  Trump leading with over 60% of the vote.  Landslide

Votes counted:  16-10

Hey, gotta have some fun.

38
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 02, 2020, 02:46:50 PM »
Let me just say...........given all of that and all of the analysis the other Mods and I have been doing behind the scenes, I am still scared shitless that I am wrong and Biden wins.

39
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 02, 2020, 10:18:56 AM »
Here is the Sparta Report Official Moderator Prediction thread.

https://www.spartareport.com/2020/11/sparta-report-election-predictions/

40
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 02, 2020, 09:05:46 AM »
IBD poll.  Indies flipping to Trump.  Biden lost 2 points overnight to Trump.  3.2 lead.

Remove skewing towards Dems, shy Trump voter and Trump is leading.

41
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 02, 2020, 07:14:24 AM »
Final Early Vote totals in for Florida. Dems lead by 108k, when they need to be ahead by at least 300k to offset GOP vote turnout on Tuesday.

Florida should be in the bag for Trump.

42
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 01, 2020, 03:58:15 PM »
Dems in Florida have only 104k left of super voters to go. Reps have 276k. Net gain of 172k.

Super voters are those who have voted in all of the past 4 elections. 


43
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 01, 2020, 03:51:38 PM »
Dems in Florida got the Early Vote back up to about 101k ahead. But 7 Rep counties were closed.

Still need at least 300k up to 650k to offset Rep Election Day voting.  With some polls now showing Trump leading, Florida should be secure.


44
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: November 01, 2020, 12:58:10 PM »
Now have Trump at 320 EV with potential for 6 more, NV.

Undecided's are breaking to Trump.  Also some pollsters are trying to get things closer so that their loss will look more credible.

Biggest problem I am facing now is that there is "too much data" coming in. Mail in and Early Voting has totally warped traditional methods and statistical analysis. Plus with Covid, a dementia riddled candidate, pollsters trying to appease their clients and others not revealing their internal methodologies, pulling my hair out.


45
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: October 31, 2020, 11:34:27 AM »
Rumors are that Biden staffers are shopping resumes all across DC.

In NV, men are voting 48% to 46% women. That is unheard of.  (Other 6% claim they are furries.)

46
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: October 31, 2020, 08:33:55 AM »
How can anyone get a damned thing done with this election coming up?  Totally obsessed with it.

47
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: October 30, 2020, 02:58:27 PM »
115,198 Democrat vote lead in Florida now

Democrats are 39.57% total vote vs 38.17% Republicans in Florida in early voting. This is exceptional news for us.

48
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: October 30, 2020, 02:32:39 PM »
Black and Hispanic vote appears to be cratering.  But increasing for Trump.

49
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: October 30, 2020, 02:31:25 PM »
Florida

116k difference with 2 hours to go today
-4K every half hour!
86.22% of 2016 turnout in Florida now
217,220 Democrat supervoters remaining
414,350 Republican supervoters
Trump has 0.03% advantage in early voting in Florida now

IT"S HAPPENING!

50
Politics & Religion / Re: 2020 Presidential election
« on: October 30, 2020, 09:58:51 AM »
Trafalgar has Indies breaking 13+ for Trump. That occurs and FL is totally in the bag.

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 23