Author Topic: The US Congress; Congressional races  (Read 303129 times)

Crafty_Dog

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WSJ: The stakes with the filibuster
« Reply #1650 on: March 08, 2024, 04:22:35 AM »
Does Kyrsten Sinema’s Exit Doom the Senate Filibuster?
Democrats want to kill the 60-vote rule so that one party can pass, well, everything it wants without compromise.
By The Editorial Board
March 7, 2024 5:31 pm ET


Sen. Kyrsten Sinema said this week she won’t run for re-election, and a question for voters to ponder before she departs is whether the Senate filibuster will probably go with her. If Democrats keep control under President Biden after November, there’s a real prospect the answer is yes. Then comes the progressive deluge.


Ms. Sinema was elected as a Democrat in 2018 but had an Arizona maverick streak. When Bernie Sanders tried to more than double the national minimum wage as part of a Covid relief bill, Ms. Sinema voted no. She resisted raising tax rates, arguing it would harm competitiveness. In 2022 she left the Democratic Party and re-registered as an independent.

Winning re-election this fall could have been a challenge, though three-way races can be unpredictable, and Ms. Sinema might have tried to run up the middle. The presumptive Democratic nominee, Rep. Ruben Gallego, supports Medicare for All and is nobody’s idea of a moderate. The Republican front-runner, Kari Lake, is a Stop the Steal enthusiast who lost the 2022 governor’s race. She recently got the state GOP chairman to quit, after the press was provided with audio of him in an unflattering conversation that she had secretly taped.

Mr. Gallego supported “filibuster reform” in 2021, urging Democrats not to “let a Jim-Crow era Senate procedure stop us from passing legislation to protect our democracy.” He has company: California Rep. Adam Schiff, who won his Senate primary this week, is campaigning on ending the filibuster to pass “a national right to abortion,” a 35% corporate tax, union favoritism, and more. With Ms. Sinema gone, and West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin also retiring, there isn’t another certain Democratic vote against killing the 60-vote filibuster rule.

Ending the need for Senate compromise, so that one party acting by itself could pass everything it wants, would raise the political stakes dangerously high. If Democrats could guarantee abortion and mail voting nationwide, Republicans could abolish them the next time they control Congress and the White House.

Preventing such extreme swings could be accomplished only by never losing an election. Is that what Americans want? The filibuster is on the ballot in Arizona, as well as Montana, Ohio and beyond.


Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1652 on: March 09, 2024, 08:35:10 AM »
This is correctly posted here (the Calfironia thread would have been an appropriate choice as well)  AND though I completely disagree with the proffered idea here (witness what happened in Alaska not too long ago) is really interesting from a structural issue for electoral politics POV so I will be posting it there as well.

ccp

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Ken Buck leaving early
« Reply #1653 on: March 12, 2024, 05:14:32 PM »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/ken-buck-announces-leaving-congress-185941234.html

lets see if he shows up on CNN  :wink:

which would be happy to have him and pay him leave Congress and narrow the gap even more.


DougMacG

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The three Senate seats most likely to flip
« Reply #1654 on: March 15, 2024, 09:52:46 AM »
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/03/12/the_10_senate_seats_most_likely_to_flip_150638.html

Nobody knows but Sean Trende is very good at reading past and current polls. Looks like he is only predicting these three to flip. If we only win two of the three, that makes a 51 to 49 senate.

I hate to go further because in his top five is Ted Cruz losing Texas.

Trump has a chance to win. Republicans have a chance to take the senate, barely. That leaves the House which for some reason people think Democrats are about to take over. Republicans need to win all three or this will only be a pause on the road to destruction.

7 months out is too early to give up!

ccp

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Does Trump have coat tails
« Reply #1655 on: March 15, 2024, 10:13:23 AM »
time and again - NO

I keep reading we are gaining with Blacks Latinos Gen Z
etc Trump has the highest approval among Blacks in history blah blah blah

I just don't see what these people are talking about
if we can't even win the Senate with more than one vote majority or even Congress

with an administration at record lows.

no we cannot give up
but very dejected in Jersey



Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1656 on: March 15, 2024, 10:33:55 AM »
90% of life is a matter of showing up!!!

Remember, polls normally skew Dem by several points.

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1657 on: March 21, 2024, 04:55:27 AM »

ccp

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MTG to hold up bill
« Reply #1658 on: March 22, 2024, 09:41:20 AM »

ccp

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after 4/19 the Repub majority down to 1
« Reply #1659 on: March 23, 2024, 11:05:40 AM »
https://pjmedia.com/rick-moran/2024/03/23/rep-mike-gallagher-will-resigned-from-congress-in-april-n4927577

for God's sake he can't wait 6 more months till Nov?

We will be in big trouble if we lose only one more.

Trump better not screw us over again with the down races....!


Crafty_Dog

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WSJ: Honey, we shrunk the GOP majority
« Reply #1661 on: March 25, 2024, 04:32:03 AM »

Honey, We Shrunk the GOP Majority
Too many House Republicans would prefer to be in the minority.
By The Editorial Board
March 24, 2024 4:44 pm ET



Democrats are lapping Republicans in this year’s election fund-raising, and could that be because GOP donors are wondering what they get for their money? Donors, both small-dollar and large, helped Republicans retake the House in 2022, and all they’ve received in return is a majority that revels in operating like a functional minority.


Soon it may not even be a majority at all. Wisconsin Rep. Mike Gallagher, one of the GOP’s best Members, announced on Friday that he’s resigning from the House on April 19. Colorado Rep. Ken Buck’s last day was Friday. You can criticize both for leaving early, but who can blame anyone sane for wanting to do something more useful with his life than serving in this House of horribles?

Their departures take the GOP majority down to 217-213, which means the party is a heart attack and absences or flipped votes away from putting Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries in charge. In some sense Mr. Jeffries already is in charge. Speaker Mike Johnson can’t pass legislation the usual way through the Rules Committee and then onto the floor with a simple majority. Every sensible majority that wants to govern packs the Rules Committee with Speaker loyalists. Not this crowd.

The anti-governing wing of the House GOP insisted on three of their own for Rules as one price of voting for Kevin McCarthy as Speaker in January 2023. They refuse to vote for Mr. Johnson’s inevitable compromises with Senate Democrats, so Mr. Johnson has to move legislation via the suspension calendar, which requires a two-thirds vote to pass anything. This means he needs Democratic votes, and a lot of them, because Republicans prefer to make futile gestures of opposition rather than vote to fund the government.

The practical effect is to reduce Republican leverage in a divided government and make it harder to achieve conservative policy victories. But then the same Members who undercut the majority boast on the House floor and social media that they are the only honest conservatives in Washington. They’re posers masquerading as principled, and they’re treating the voters at home like rubes.

Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s motion Friday to oust Mr. Johnson as Speaker exposes the deception behind the coup against Mr. McCarthy. After we criticized that October coup as destructive and self-serving, Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz wrote us a letter saying that in electing Mr. Johnson the GOP now had a real conservative as leader.

So what’s wrong with Mr. Johnson now? Apparently because he’s not willing to indulge kamikaze acts like shutting down the government, Mr. Johnson is a sellout too.

Conservatives have long had a strong anti-Washington impulse, which is useful given the federal government’s relentless drive to expand its own power. But breaking that drive, and rolling back that power, requires calculation and often incremental gains. All the more so in a divided government.


The posers of the House GOP remind us of a comment by former Sen. Jim DeMint that he’d rather have 30 Senators who agreed with him than a Republican majority. Congratulations to Mr. DeMint. The current House GOP is close to realizing his ambition.

ccp

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Mike Gallagher
« Reply #1662 on: March 31, 2024, 06:38:01 PM »
quits Congress with 8 months to go in his 2 yr tenure

as Greg Kelly points out over and over 200,000 people in his district voted for him

also it is now too late for a special election to get a replacement.

take likely cush job with self described socialist who voted for Hillary Clinton at Palantir whose stock tripled in past few months. (Alex Karp)

sounds like a sell out to me.

sounds like smart move by a Dem who bought him off.........

if Dems can pick off one more then we have no power

no Congress no Senate no White House till (praying for ) January next yr.

I have numerous names I can think of for Mike Gallagher... and I will not post them needlessly.

DougMacG

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Re: Mike Gallagher
« Reply #1663 on: April 01, 2024, 05:35:06 AM »
quits Congress with 8 months to go in his 2 yr tenure

as Greg Kelly points out over and over 200,000 people in his district voted for him

also it is now too late for a special election to get a replacement.

take likely cush job with self described socialist who voted for Hillary Clinton at Palantir whose stock tripled in past few months. (Alex Karp)

sounds like a sell out to me.

sounds like smart move by a Dem who bought him off.........

if Dems can pick off one more then we have no power

no Congress no Senate no White House till (praying for ) January next yr.

I have numerous names I can think of for Mike Gallagher... and I will not post them needlessly.

There is something fishy about this whole story. Gallagher is a regular guest on Hugh Hewitt, who I like. Gallagher is a military veteran, foreign policy expert, hawk, good guy, represents Green Bay I think, conservative Wisconsin district.  Then one day he was suddenly on the 'wrong side' of impeaching Mayorkis.  He explained it pretty well in the WSJ.  Impeaching cabinet officials instead of winning elections will most certainly come back to bite Republicans.  Now suddenly he needs to spend more time with family and can't wait til the end of the term. Something  went wrong.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1664 on: April 01, 2024, 05:50:22 AM »
I agree

we are missing something

could it be a die hard dem bought off one of our R Congressman?

Karp called himself a Democrat Socialist
voted for Hillary

his father is Jewish his mother is African American

he is very rich

just suppose he made contact with Gallagher and said I can offer you a very well paid position (maybe even work from home)
if you leave the Congress just at the worst time for R's

Just supposing

Could we get Mrs Adelson to offer lucrative jobs to Dems in Congress and 10 in Senate?
« Last Edit: April 01, 2024, 05:52:16 AM by ccp »

Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1665 on: April 01, 2024, 06:00:57 AM »
Agree-- some unseen force is at work here.

Crafty_Dog

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ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1667 on: April 16, 2024, 10:07:46 AM »

J.D. Vance
@JDVance1
·
Follow
I’ve heard multiple people who hate Donald Trump argue that the REPO Act will be used to control him in the next administration. So why is a Republican House speaker pushing it through Congress?


what do you mean you have heard?
don't you know any more then we do reading media reports?

absurd the whole thing.
 :x

so disorganized it appears
acting saying things on rumors - for goodness sakes


Crafty_Dog

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PP
« Reply #1669 on: April 16, 2024, 10:41:13 AM »
Johnson announces stand-alone bills on Israel, Ukraine, and more: It's been anything but a cakewalk since Mike Johnson was elected to the speakership last October, with his Republican ranks having dwindled, his margin for error having all but vanished, and certain of his GOP colleagues having decided that posturing is more important than governing. Despite this, and no doubt buoyed by his Christian faith, Johnson has persevered. Indeed, yesterday he announced his plan to introduce three separate bills for aid to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. "What we'll do," he said, "is bring to the House floor independent measures. We won't be voting on the senate supplemental in its current form, but we will vote on each of these measures separately in four different pieces." Thus, at least for the nation's three major geopolitical interests, instead of trying (and, thankfully, failing) to ram through a single $118.3 billion abomination as Chuck Schumer's Democrat-controlled Senate did in early February, lawmakers will now be allowed to vote their consciences on independent bills with independent aims. As for that fourth piece Johnson referred to, that bill would muddy things up by facilitating the seizure of Russian assets, a lend-lease option for Ukraine funding, additional sanctions on Iran, and the divestiture of that poisonous ChiCom spyware known as TikTok. But, hey, with apologies to Meatloaf: Three out of four ain't bad.

ccp

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no border security in bill
« Reply #1670 on: April 16, 2024, 02:28:47 PM »
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/04/16/house-dissatisfaction-with-johnson-explodes-over-foreign-aid-insanity-that-neglects-southern-border/

what good would more border security money do if the administration that uses it will use it only to speed up the process of bringing more illegals into the US?







Crafty_Dog

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FO: Reps backing off from Motion to Vacate-- check out the reasoning!
« Reply #1673 on: April 22, 2024, 10:02:25 AM »


(1) GAETZ: “RINOS” COULD RESIGN HANDING DEMS HOUSE MAJORITY: Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) said he no longer supports a Motion to Vacate against House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA), adding that “RINOs” (Republicans in Name Only) will “take a bribe” to resign from the House, and a new Democrat majority will “declare Trump an insurrectionist.”

Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) said she heard that moderate Republicans in the House would immediately resign if a Motion to Vacate against Johnson is introduced.

Why It Matters: It is plausible that moderate Republicans could resign from the House, giving Democrats enough votes to take a majority and the House Speakership. If this happened, Democrats would have enough votes to pass Reps. Jamie Raskin’s (D-MD) and Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s (D-FL) bill disqualifying former President Trump from office. However, it looks like the Motion to Vacate against Johnson is very likely dead now, and Republicans are walking back their support. – R.C.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1674 on: April 22, 2024, 10:09:30 AM »
" However, it looks like the Motion to Vacate against Johnson is very likely dead now, and Republicans are walking back their support"

I think Gallagher might have been bribed by the LEFT to resign......

Mark Levin , no Rino , and I greatly admire thinks Gaezt and MTG etc are foolish .  He probably has other names for them too.

I agree.




DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1675 on: April 22, 2024, 11:42:14 AM »
"I think Gallagher might have been bribed by the LEFT to resign......"


I see a lot of hate elsewhere directed at (former?) Rep Mike Gallagher from the right.  My take is give him a break until we know more.

He broke with the party on the impeachment of Mayokas - and explained it very well in the WSJ.  And he may have been right.  Republicans started something, the impeachment of cabinet officials (largely) on policy differences, and it led to no trial in the Senate.

He made a promise to serve this term and he broke it for "family reasons" and never elaborated on it.  Until I learn otherwise, I believe him.  He has a wife and two young daughters at home in Green Bay where he now lives.  He may have had to save his marriage or who knows what issues they face privately, health or otherwise.

Wikipedia already lists him as a defense contractor, so maybe it was all about money. (But not a bribe from the Left.) Maybe it was about fellow Republicans making his life miserable in Congress.  If you want to draw a line against Russian expansionism, you're a traitor, etc.  Who needs it.


"Mark Levin, no Rino, and I greatly admire thinks Gaetz and MTG etc are foolish."

Being very conservative, it's very disappointing to me that the most conservative members of the House are flakes.  I get that they get portrayed that way, but they keep living up to it.

Republicans are divided roughly 50-50 on Ukraine support.  If you want a party at all, recognize that.  Two valid views. The southern border is not being guarded by choice, not because we don't spend enough or have enough laws.  Recognize that, and start winning elections rather than fight with each other.  The House and the party in disarray is not how you show the country you can govern.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1676 on: April 22, 2024, 12:10:22 PM »
All good points Doug

Except I am not sure if I agree with :

"He broke with the party on the impeachment of Mayokas - and explained it very well in the WSJ.  And he may have been right.  Republicans started something, the impeachment of cabinet officials (largely) on policy differences, and it led to no trial in the Senate."

I agree with Levin - I can't think of a more worthy impeachment then of Myorkas (although Biden would be worthy as well)

Do you have the link to the WSJ piece.
Perhaps I could be convinced by it.

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1677 on: April 22, 2024, 12:37:47 PM »
https://www.wsj.com/articles/impeaching-mayorkas-was-a-mistake-this-precedent-will-be-used-against-gop-d0bf4956

Why I Voted Against the Alejandro Mayorkas Impeachment
Ousting a cabinet secretary for ‘maladministration’ would have opened Pandora’s box. The real problem is Biden.
By Mike Gallagher
Feb. 6, 2024 10:08 pm ET

President Biden has created a disaster at our southern border. In his first 100 days in office, Mr. Biden halted border-wall construction, ended President Trump’s successful Remain in Mexico policy, and implemented a catch-and-release regime. Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas is faithfully implementing the president’s ruinous policies, which are contributing to immense human suffering, placing a massive financial burden on states and cities, and threatening our national security. His performance has been a disgrace.

But I disagree with my Republican colleagues who voted on Tuesday to impeach Mr. Mayorkas. Impeachment not only would fail to resolve Mr. Biden’s border crisis but would also set a dangerous new precedent that would be used against future Republican administrations.

The first article of impeachment lays out in grueling detail Mr. Mayorkas’s manifest incompetence. But incompetence doesn’t rise to the level of high crimes or misdemeanors. Proponents of impeachment concede the framers rejected the idea that policy disputes or “maladministration” constitute grounds for impeachment. They argue instead that Mr. Mayorkas’s underenforcement goes beyond maladministration, even though it doesn’t reach the level of a criminal offense.

Their primary evidence is a 2021 memo signed by Mr. Mayorkas ordering immigration officials to consider more than illegal aliens’ criminal history when determining which ones should be detained and removed. They cite district and circuit court decisions that the order contained in this memo was against the law, even though the Supreme Court reversed those rulings in U.S. v. Texas (2023). They cite Justice Samuel Alito’s dissent in that case to claim Mr. Mayorkas broke the law.
(Oops the rest is subscription required.) 
--------------------------------------------
Here the WSJ called him a rising star and China watchdog.  I would argue he was one of the good guys.  Strong China hawk.  I saw him elsewhere called a RINO - by a commenter in his district.  He voted 93% with his party, and on votes like this, it was out of what he viewed as principles, agree or disagree with them.  He was ranked roughly in the middle of the GOP on the liberal-conservative spectrum.

A Marine, active duty 7 years, twice deployed to Anbar Province, served on General David Petraeus's CENTCOM Assessment Team, both as a commander of intelligence teams in Al-Qa'im near the Syrian border.  Degrees Princeton (B.A.) and Georgetown (PhD).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Gallagher_(American_politician)

Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1678 on: April 22, 2024, 04:03:54 PM »
Mayorkas broke various laws and perjured himself in front of Congress.

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1679 on: April 22, 2024, 08:16:52 PM »
Mayorkas broke various laws and perjured himself in front of Congress.

Agree and I should clarify I wasn't taking Gallagher's side.  I side with Levin. 

But...  no elected Democrats agreed.  He wasn't going to be removed.  If he was removed, it wouldn't change the policy.  I favored the impeachment because it would force a trial - but it didn't.  I thought they would need 60 votes to shut it down. Nope.  It wasn't even dismissed; it was declared "unconstitutional".   Umm the constitution says conduct a trial.  Strange that Manchin and Sinema fell in line. Lame ducks. Exposed their true colors.

The Senate didn't handle it right but there is no oversight of the US Senate.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1680 on: April 23, 2024, 06:50:07 AM »
it was declared "unconstitutional".

By one person => Schumer

probably after a communication exchange with Larry Tribe who I would guess is orchestrating a lot of this.

I don't believe the founders contemplated it is ok for one Senator to shut down the process with inaccurate interpretation of the Constitution.