Author Topic: US-China (& Japan, South China Sea-- Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, etc)  (Read 330988 times)


ccp

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Re: US-China (& Japan, South China Sea-- Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, etc)
« Reply #1651 on: December 10, 2023, 07:28:20 AM »
I read somewhere or on news that the CCP is using fishing and other non military vessels to block waters in South China Sea.

Taking a page from Hamas.  Use civilians as military shields.

Sounds like they are provoking a response to give CCP an excuse to take military action.





Crafty_Dog

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GPF: Japan and Malaysia
« Reply #1656 on: December 18, 2023, 01:01:36 PM »
Maritime security. Japan and Malaysia announced that they will elevate their relations to a comprehensive strategic partnership. During a meeting between the Japanese and Malaysian leaders over the weekend, Tokyo also announced that it will grant $2.8 million to boost maritime security along Malaysia’s coast as part of its new Overseas Security Assistance initiative.

DougMacG

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Xi told Biden he will take Taiwan by whatever means necessary
« Reply #1657 on: December 20, 2023, 01:25:16 PM »
« Last Edit: December 20, 2023, 01:30:04 PM by DougMacG »

ya

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Re: US-China (& Japan, South China Sea-- Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, etc)
« Reply #1658 on: December 24, 2023, 05:58:29 AM »
Myanmar is not quiet. Lots of internal strife happening.


Crafty_Dog

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GPF: US-China, Philippines
« Reply #1659 on: December 27, 2023, 08:34:48 AM »
December 27, 2023
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China and the Philippines Square Off
By: George Friedman
The Philippines has long been an important component of Washington’s alliance network in the Asia-Pacific. Its geography is such that Manila can help to make or break China’s access to the maritime transport corridors its export-oriented economy depends on. But that same geography has usually meant that the Philippines has maintained some semblance of balance between Beijing and Washington.

The status quo changed in 2022, when Ferdinand Marcos Jr. was elected president. He has pursued a much more pro-U.S. foreign policy, one best exemplified by an agreement this year that allows Washington to establish military bases in the country. Add to this the fact that Australia, also a U.S. ally, signed a similar agreement with Papua New Guinea, and China is left looking at a potential wall stretching from the Aleutian Islands to Japan to Australia built for no other reason than to contain its expansion, armed with entrenched artillery and missiles and several ports of call.

Since then, the question has been whether China would respond – and if so, how. Previous efforts in that regard included attempts to drive a wedge between the Philippines and the United States; they failed because the U.S. had more to offer the Philippines economically than China. Beijing is now trying a different approach. Chinese President Xi Jinping had many reasons to speak with U.S. President Joe Biden in California earlier this year, and one of them surely included ways to limit the threat of a potential U.S. blockade. Whatever was or was not agreed to in California clearly did not satisfy China, which has begun a campaign designed to seduce Manila and discourage it from honoring its military agreement with the U.S. It has also threatened to intrude on the Philippines at will, has reissued a territorial claim in the South China Sea that runs counter to international law, and has even had its aircraft close in on U.S. bombers in the region in an attempt to force the U.S. to reevaluate its position in the region.

To be clear, no combat has yet taken place. These are merely gestures in a region where gestures are common currency. But what is clear from these events is that no stable understanding was achieved on military matters or the South China Sea. China is signaling that it will not tolerate American bases in the Philippines. But the U.S. has just substantially strengthened its position against China and is in no position to back down voluntarily.

This is the kind of situation that threatens to escalate into something much more deadly. The prospect of war, however, depends on the military capabilities of the two belligerents. The U.S. Navy has always been more powerful than China’s, and its new land-based defensive and offensive positions in the Philippines and Papua New Guinea undermine China’s ability to mount a naval assault even further. (If nothing else, they limit China’s aggression by making the risk of defeat too expensive to bear.)

That said, it was believed that China’s economic problems and America’s preoccupation with Ukraine would force the two into an accommodation. Sometimes a negotiation requires a final gut check to make sure nothing is left on the table. Perhaps this is the case, but it's more likely that Beijing doesn’t believe the U.S. can solve its economic problems, and Washington doesn’t believe China wants a military accommodation.

Crafty_Dog

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Crafty_Dog

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The Bashi Channel
« Reply #1661 on: January 06, 2024, 11:25:59 AM »


ccp

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Gertz: Pentagon releases that 46 Chinese linked military firms in US
« Reply #1663 on: February 06, 2024, 08:16:29 AM »
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/jan/31/list-of-chinese-military-linked-firms-in-us-surges/

 :x

The LEFT too worried about McCarthyism, Red Scare ?
We should be worried and taking real action.
This is worse, far worse then the 50s.

Crafty_Dog

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Re: US-China (& Japan, South China Sea-- Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, etc)
« Reply #1664 on: February 06, 2024, 09:02:11 AM »
Please post that in the Chinese Penetration thread.   Thank you.

Crafty_Dog

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GPF: Philippines boosting presence near Taiwan
« Reply #1665 on: February 07, 2024, 10:08:31 AM »


Boosting presence. The Philippines plans to enhance its military presence and infrastructure in Batanes province near Taiwan, its defense secretary said. The secretary made the comment during a visit to a naval detachment in the province where a naval base is under construction. Tensions have been rising in the South China Sea in recent months, with repeated confrontations between Chinese and Philippine vessels and with the U.S. and the Philippines resuming joint patrols in November.

Crafty_Dog

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GPF: China-Philippines
« Reply #1666 on: February 14, 2024, 01:15:56 PM »
Manila's response. The Philippines deployed a warship off the coast of Palawan Island in the South China Sea, days after China expelled a Philippine coast guard vessel it said intruded into waters near a Chinese-controlled island in the region. Manila said it made the move to “protect its maritime interests.”



ccp

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China flooding markets with cheap goods
« Reply #1669 on: March 03, 2024, 06:01:41 AM »







The World Is in for Another China Shock
China is flooding foreign markets with cheap goods again. This time it isn’t buying much in return.
By
Jason Douglas
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Updated March 3, 2024 12:15 am



Vehicles awaiting export in Fuzhou, China. The country is making more cars than its domestic economy can absorb. PHOTO: CFOTO/ZUMA PRESS
In the late 1990s and early 2000s, the U.S. and the global economy experienced a “China shock,” a boom in imports of cheap Chinese-made goods that helped keep inflation low but at the cost of local manufacturing jobs. 

A sequel might be in the making as Beijing doubles down on exports to revive the country’s growth. Its factories are churning out more cars, machinery and consumer electronics than its domestic economy can absorb. Propped up by cheap, state-directed loans, Chinese companies are glutting foreign markets with products they can’t sell at home.

Some economists see this China shock pushing inflation down even more than the first. China’s economy is now slowing, whereas, in the previous era, it was booming. As a result, the disinflationary effect of cheap Chinese-manufactured goods won’t be offset by Chinese demand for iron ore, coal and other commodities.

China is also a much larger economy than it was, accounting for more of the world’s manufacturing. It had 31% of global manufacturing output in 2022, and 14% of all goods exports, according to World Bank data. Two decades earlier China’s share of manufacturing was less than 10% and of exports less than 5%.

Everyone is investing in manufacturing
In the early 2000s, overproduction mainly came from China, while factories elsewhere shut down. Now, the U.S. and other countries are investing heavily in and protecting their own industries as geopolitical tensions rise. Chinese firms such as the battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology are building plants overseas to soothe opposition to imports, though they already produce much of what the world needs at home.

The result could be a world swimming in manufactured goods, and short of the spending power to buy them—a classic recipe for falling prices.


Strollers at a factory in Handan, China. Chinese producer prices have been falling for 16 months. PHOTO: STR/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
“The balance of China’s impact on global prices is tilting even more clearly in a disinflationary direction,” said Thomas Gatley, China strategist at Gavekal Dragonomics. 

There are some countervailing forces. The U.S., Europe and Japan don’t want a rerun of the early 2000s, when cheap Chinese goods put many of their factories out of business. So they have extended billions of dollars in support to industries deemed strategic, and imposed or threatened to impose tariffs on Chinese imports. Aging populations and persistent labor shortages in the developed world could further offset some disinflationary pressure China exerts this time.

“It won’t be the same China shock,” said David Autor, a professor of economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and one of the authors of a 2016 paper that described the original China shock.

A different sort of China shock
Even so, “the concerns are more fundamental” now, Autor said, because China is competing with advanced economies in cars, computer chips and complex machinery—higher-value industries that are viewed as more central to technological leadership.

The first China shock came after a series of liberalizing reforms in China in the 1990s and its accession to the World Trade Organization in 2001. For U.S. consumers, this brought considerable benefits. One 2019 paper found that consumer prices in the U.S. for goods fell 2% for every extra percentage point of market share grabbed by Chinese imports, with the biggest benefits felt by people on low and middle incomes.

But the China shock also piled pressure on domestic manufacturers. In 2016, Autor and other economists estimated that the U.S. lost more than two million jobs between 1999 and 2011 as a result of Chinese imports, as makers of furniture, toys and clothes buckled under the competition and workers in hollowed-out communities struggled to find new roles.

A sequel of sorts appears to be under way.

China’s economy expanded 5.2% last year, a subdued rate by its standards, and is expected to slow further as a drawn-out real-estate crunch crushes investment and consumers rein in spending. Capital Economics, a consulting firm, thinks annual growth will slow to around 2% by 2030. Beijing is seeking to engineer an economic turnaround by plowing money into factories, especially for semiconductors, aerospace, cars and renewable-energy equipment, and selling the resulting surplus abroad.

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Deflation in China
But weak demand and overcapacity means Chinese producer prices have been falling for 16 months, led by consumer and durable goods, food products, metals and electrical machinery.

That disinflationary impulse is showing up around the world. The price of U.S. imports from China fell 2.9% in January from a year earlier, while the price of imports from the European Union, Japan and Mexico all rose.

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS
How can the world economy combat China’s deflation? Join the conversation below.

Unlike in the early 2000s, however, the Western world now sees China as its chief economic rival and geopolitical adversary. The EU is considering whether Chinese-made electric vehicles are unfairly subsidized and should be subject to tariffs or other import restrictions. Former President Donald Trump, who is seeking the Republican nomination for November’s presidential election, has floated the idea of hitting imports from China with tariffs of 60% or higher.

Such protectionism might shift some of the deflationary impact to other parts of the world, as Chinese exporters look for new markets in poorer countries. Those economies could see their own fledgling industries shrivel in the teeth of Chinese competition, much as the U.S. did in an earlier era. Unlike Japan or South Korea, which abandoned low-cost manufacturing as they progressed to higher-value exports, China has maintained a commanding position in low-cost sectors even as it pushes into products typically dominated by advanced economies. China represents “a unique mercantilist challenge,” said Rory Green, chief China economist at GlobalData–TS Lombard.

Write to Jason Douglas at jason.douglas@wsj.com

https://www.wsj.com/world/china/the-world-is-in-for-another-china-shock-3d98b533


DougMacG

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Re: China trying to bully Philippines
« Reply #1671 on: March 05, 2024, 11:01:49 AM »
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-fumes-after-us-ally-s-ominous-warning/ar-BB1jiRdA?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=0d0cbfe23a9c40a289eb4f641dd95a4f&ei=10

Good to see pushback from Philippines after the disaster of his predecessor:
https://www.cfr.org/article/dutertes-ingratiating-approach-china-has-been-bust

The tyrants of China are so used to suppressing free thought and free speech they forget Philippines in a sovereign nation not (yet) completely under their control.

Mr. Jinping - if you come in peace - give back the freedoms of (former) Hong Kong.

ccp

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serious legislation to protect us from TikTok in the works
« Reply #1672 on: March 06, 2024, 08:35:38 PM »
https://redstate.com/benkew/2024/03/06/why-an-outright-ban-on-tiktok-is-now-closer-than-ever-n2171046

appears bipartisan

This could be a win for the country if they don't screw it up.


Crafty_Dog

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FO
« Reply #1676 on: March 25, 2024, 03:26:14 PM »


(1) U.S. FALLING BEHIND CHINA IN GREAT POWER COMPETITION: During a House hearing, Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX) said, “We’re beyond the point of a wake-up call” that foreign adversaries are using U.S. innovation to undermine U.S. national security interests, and the U.S. needs to open new markets to remain competitive in a great power competition.

Arnold & Porter law partner John Bellinger said, “We are not only not at the table but off the field” on deep-sea critical mineral mining, and the U.S. has the most to lose by not ratifying a U.N. treaty on deep-sea mining.

Why It Matters: U.S. officials are increasingly calling out the global reordering from the “unipolar moment” to an era of great power competition. The U.S. is playing catch-up to China, which has significantly expanded its influence into the Western Hemisphere through infrastructure and deep water port investments. The U.S. previously spurned investment in critical mineral mining in resource-rich regions like Africa and Latin America, and the slow development of U.S. mining investments is unlikely to secure critical mineral supply chains and block Chinese access ahead of an expected 2027 conflict. China is also moving to corner the global deep-sea critical mineral mining market, while the U.S. has resisted investing in the sector. – R.C.

(2) NEW BIDEN AIDE A SIGN CHINA TECH WAR ESCALATING: According to senior Biden administration officials, President Biden will appoint Navtej Dhillon and Mike Konczal to the National Economic Council (NEC).

Navtej Dhillon will be appointed as the NEC deputy director to focus on industrial policy and unfair Chinese economic practices.
Why It Matters: The Biden administration has continued to ratchet up its tech trade war with China. Biden appointing Dhillon to the NEC is a sign that the Biden administration will likely escalate the trade war ahead of a conflict with China that U.S. officials expect by 2027. – R.C.

Crafty_Dog

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GPF
« Reply #1677 on: March 27, 2024, 11:39:50 AM »
Shared space. South Korea and Japan signed a memorandum of cooperation to develop and operate regional satellite navigation systems in East Asia, Seoul’s science ministry announced. The memorandum outlines that both countries will collaborate on the development of their satellite systems, the Korean Positioning System and Japan's Quasi-Zenith Satellite System, focusing on coexistence and cooperation. The agreement took shape during the first technical working group meeting in Seoul

ccp

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Re: US-China (& Japan, South China Sea-- Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, etc)
« Reply #1678 on: March 27, 2024, 01:10:39 PM »
"Navtej Dhillon will be appointed as the NEC deputy director to focus on industrial policy and unfair Chinese economic practices.

Why It Matters: The Biden administration has continued to ratchet up its tech trade war with China. Biden appointing Dhillon to the NEC is a sign that the Biden administration will likely escalate the trade war ahead of a conflict with China that U.S. officials expect by 2027. – R.C."

Why it really matters :  election coming up.  period

Oh so all of sudden trade war is ok
now, after Trump pointed this out for many many yrs.    :roll:

Crafty_Dog

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Japan plans airport upgrades to prepare for war
« Reply #1679 on: Today at 08:45:20 AM »
FO

Japan plans to upgrade five commercial airports and eleven seaports the Self-Defense Force and the Japanese Coast Guard to use in preparation for a war in the Pacific.