Author Topic: Israel, and its neighbors  (Read 980996 times)

ccp

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exactly as predicted
« Reply #3000 on: May 29, 2024, 05:56:16 AM »
I read the delay of the invasion would give Hamas more time to set booby traps
and place hostages next to the traps:

https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2024/05/29/three-israeli-soldiers-killed-in-booby-trapped-gaza-building/

delay was/is a military mistake

VDH recently had podcast that Eisenhower removing Patton and caving in to the ego of Montgomery resulted in the battle of the bulge.
Montgomery MO was to advance a small amount the dig in , advance then dig in.
Patton was full speed ahead no delay.
The delay gave Nazis time to mount the offense later labelled battle of the bulge
the "bulge" describing their push through a weak gap in the allied lines.

This VDH guy is really something.  He writes two or more articles a week as well as his books.
He is writing machine.

Like Katherine tells me ,  real true writers can write and write and write.

ccp

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VDH on why we should support Israel
« Reply #3001 on: May 29, 2024, 06:07:54 AM »
he answers callers question who felt Israel is a leech who we support with $$$ and yet seemingly they do not provide us with much.
He also talks about how the Jews were mentioned in Egypt hieroglyphics 1200 BC then of course the Christians 1200 yrs later and not until the 600s did the Muslims come along and thus the notion of the "right of return" the Palestinians speak of is rather absurd.

Should Erdogon give Constantinople back to the Pope, etc.

Same March 28th podcast:

https://victorhanson.com/podcasts/

Body-by-Guinness

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The Value of Classical Studies
« Reply #3002 on: May 29, 2024, 02:51:35 PM »
VDH demonstrates that classical studies indeed have value and provide a powerful lens through which the decisions of the day can be evaluated and measured.

Is it any surprise American colleges are deemphasizing those studies?

Crafty_Dog

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Body-by-Guinness

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Secondary Explosions Cause of Palestinian Refugee Deaths?
« Reply #3004 on: May 30, 2024, 10:12:43 AM »
Support pics at the X post:

CNN Defense Analysts have now determined that the Israeli Airstrike on May 26th against a Hamas Compound in Western Rafah, which was believed to have possibly caused an Explosion and Fire which resulted in the Death of between 35-45 Palestinian Refugees, could not have been “Completely Caused” by the Israeli Airstrike due to the Size of the Explosion. Shrapnel and Parts which were Discovered in the Rubble of the Hamas Compound, which was roughly 200 Meters from the UNRWA Refugee Camp, suggest that the Strike was carried out using 2 GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb with 250lb Warheads; these Bombs would have not been nearly Powerful enough to have caused the Explosion at the Camp nor would the have been Large enough to cause any kind of “Splash Damage” to the Camp, which again was over a Kilometer from the Strike Location. This Analysis suggests that what Israeli Defense Officials have so far suggested is likely True, which is that Hamas Munitions which were Hidden roughly Half-Way between the Compound and Camp were Detonated by Shrapnel from the Airstrike, causing the Explosion of multiple Fuel Tanks at the Refugee Camp and the eventual Fire.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1796023788552778155?s=12

Crafty_Dog

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #3005 on: May 30, 2024, 02:40:27 PM »
Useful follow up for the cranial rectal interface crowd.

Pleasant surprise it comes from CNN.

Crafty_Dog

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Convo with an IDF soldier
« Reply #3006 on: June 06, 2024, 01:02:19 PM »
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Interview With an IDF Soldier


Jillian Butler

Interviewer’s note: A wise old mentor of mine told me that the dissemination of media, and its subsequent effect on public opinion and foreign policy boils down to the “recreational use of digitally augmented outrage.” This sentiment has rung true every day since October 7th, with the pseudo intellectuals, warhawks, and conspiracy theorists co-opting mass loss of lives and hard to look at images for their own benefit. Recently, the opportunity to interview a childhood friend serving as an officer in the IDF arose. I jumped at the opportunity to hopefully gain and share firsthand insight on the conflict, and bring humanity back to the increasingly polarized world and field of journalism. There is no political aim in this piece.  I have no desire nor intent to make you feel, think, or vote a certain way. The individual interviewed will remain anonymous. 

Q: What were you doing on October 7th? What was going through your mind?

A: So it was a Saturday, or maybe a Friday, I remember waking up in the morning because there were sirens going off. It could happen…but here in Tel Aviv, it doesn’t really happen that often…it could happen sometimes. So anyways, we woke up and were a bit surprised, so we went to the bomb shelter.  We came back and I looked at my phone to see if anything strange happened, but there wasn’t anything going on, so I went back to sleep actually. About half an hour later, again there were sirens, which was pretty strange, so I turned on the TV. It still wasn’t clear what was going on, but after watching TV and reading the news, it was still clear something’s going on, but it was clear it was something very bad. There were people calling from the bomb shelters in the southern part of Israel and the kibbutz and cities next to Gaza…saying they were hearing gunfire and Hamas is in the village and come help us.

In the beginning, as someone who was in the military for 5 years and have been next to Gaza a lot, it was kind of hard for me to believe that actually happened, because we always believed that Hamas isn’t really capable of doing a large attack like that. So, it's kind of sad to say right now, but I thought that maybe they were exaggerating a lot…maybe they heard some rockets and gunfire and were stressed and called the police and news station.  I didn’t really believe it.  But a few hours later, I got a phone call from my commander in the Army, and he told me that something serious is going on and, um, come to the South and bring all the soldiers with you. Then I understood finally, that was around 2PM…that something serious is going on.

Q: Do you think there is a “hearts and minds” aspect of the IDF strategy? If so, do you think the Rafah Offensive will hinder that?

A: Definitely in Israel, of course I am biased, but definitely we feel that we are not really fighting…the orders are very strict. You only fire if they fire back at you, like you don’t do the first move, always when you enter somewhere in Gaza, like you see a bunch of notes that were dropped from the sky…and they are saying “the Army is coming, go away”. Basically, you’re ruining the surprise, which is a very important strategy. But still, people are talking a lot about that in Israel, like we are doing everything so carefully, but on the other hand, there are reports of many casualties in Gaza that have nothing to do with Hamas, which of course is making Israel look bad.  I read something recently about war and war history; so like in every war there are innocent casualties, but they do think that there are more than usual wars.  There are more innocent casualties right now, so that’s definitely making us look bad in the global sense.

Q: Is there one thing that you always bring with you on a deployment?

A: Yes, definitely the one thing is the dog tags, I have the same dog tags around my neck since the first day in the army. Also, I do have a lucky magazine for my rifle. I think that’s it, nothing too special.

Q:What are your thoughts on the international reaction to the war?

A: I’m very frustrated about that situation (regarding the ICC). It's really interesting for me, I don’t completely understand why that’s going on.  A lot of people hearing the news and people you talk to about these protests and the ICC thing, they say “thats antisemitic”, maybe it is, but it feels like it's too simple….like life or death, black or white, so I still haven’t figured out why….in Syria at least, definitely in Syria and Yemen more people are dying on a daily basis and the wars going on over there are much more brutal, like people are suffering on a day to day basis, but still people are not going out and protesting about that, like as close to what’s going on in Israel. That’s very interesting for me.

Q: How high is your concern on the Lebanese front regarding Hezbollah?

A: It's definitely a much bigger concern than Hamas. On one hand Hamas got us with this much surprise, if Hezbollah surprised us, it would be much worse than what went on down there. On the other side, Hezbollah is not close in any way to the IDF, the war will be much harder, and I suppose there will be much more casualties. At the end of the day, everyone in Israel is sure that, if Israel goes to war with Hezbollah, everyone knows and is certain here that it is going to cost a lot of casualties but they have no chance. I suppose they know that as well.

When we fight in Gaza, it is obvious that the IDF and Hamas, they are not even in the same…it's just not fair, it's really not fair. There are a lot of casualties, but they just can’t compare to our forces. In a strange way, we really admire that kind of, their willpower, like if I was on Hamas’s side, I’m not sure that I would have the guts to go and fight against us. So there is kind of like a lot of admiration for what they are doing. I wouldn’t see myself doing the same thing. It’s very interesting to think about.

Q: Do you think part of that has to do with the religious aspect of their ideology?

A: So yeah, that’s what most of the people say, that there are two sides.  The first is the religious side, that if they will die…like during a fight or taking lives with them, they will be in their kind of heaven, some kind of brainwash thing like that. And the other side is that they are a group that has been trained for this day their whole lives, so they kind of like now are ashamed to run away from the fight, now that the fight has come to them. Like a psychological aspect, like you know in certain places you can be a little of a different person? So, you are in a Hamas group of soldiers, you have been trained for this your whole life, you can’t now when there is a war just walk away.

Q: So like you mentioned before, do you think both the IDF and Hezbollah know that if there was a major conflict, it would be a bloodbath, and do you think that’s what’s deterring Hezbollah?

A: Yes, I think so…war is always an ugly thing, so as much as Israel doesn’t want, and I personally don't want to go and fight against Hezbollah, I’m sure that most of the people in Lebanon are very much against that, and even in Hezbollah. They hate Israel, but I think most of them don’t really want to pay the price to go into a war with Israel.  But you know, every time, they are shooting rockets here and we are shooting rockets back–it's very risky, like one rocket hitting the wrong place could cause the other side to retaliate. Kind of like a snowball to make a bigger strike, and a bigger strike back.

Q: What do you think the endgame is?

A: I really, really hope that people are talking now about some kind of peace treaty, or like an agreement, and on the same deal maybe getting all the hostages back, and getting things tackled down in Lebanon as well. So, it's pretty optimistic, but I very much hope that will happen. I do think that if the hostages are still there, whether alive or dead, we still need to have some kind of mission, like a statement in Israel that we need to get them back, I am also kind of biased about that because, one of the hostages, Hadar Goldin, he’s a hostage from the previous war in 2014 – Protective Edge, that's the name.  So, he’s been kidnapped there, he’s a very good friend of mine, so I do want them to bring his body back as well, because his family is kind of religious and it’s very important for them that his body will be buried in Israel.

So, I hope for the optimistic endgame, maybe the more possible one will be that after we are done in Rafah, I think there is a good chance we’ll be sent also to Lebanon, and we will start a much more serious war there. As someone who has been an officer in the Army for a few years, a lot of very serious weapons that you don’t really use in Gaza will be used and it will be all in…I’m sure that we also wouldn’t have electricity and water here in Israel and it will be very serious. I think that is the most possible outcome.


Body-by-Guinness

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Al Jazeera News & Hostage Hosting Service
« Reply #3008 on: June 09, 2024, 02:49:39 PM »
There is so much asshattery being mewled in the wake of Israel’s rescue of their hostages it’s difficult to know where to start. However the fact these hostages were being held in the home of an Al Jazzera reporter, something that speaks volumes regarding numerous aspects of the whole post-Oct. 7 war, and that the usual suspects are notably silent about:

https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/06/confirmed-three-rescued-israeli-hostages-were-held-captive-by-gaza-journalist/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=confirmed-three-rescued-israeli-hostages-were-held-captive-by-gaza-journalist

ccp

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #3009 on: June 09, 2024, 02:52:45 PM »
The hostages appeared to be in good shape with the tiny public images.

Thank God.

God Bless IDF


Body-by-Guinness

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UN “Special Rapporteur” to Mid East & Antisemitic Activist
« Reply #3010 on: June 11, 2024, 01:39:27 PM »
Not acquainted with this source but, if true, it appears quite damning where the UN, UNRWA, the “peace process,” et al are concerned:

https://unwatch.org/exposed-francesca-albaneses-global-influence-network-targeting-israel/




ccp

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DougMacG

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Body-by-Guinness

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We Ordered a Famine, but All We Got were these Lousy Food Trucks
« Reply #3016 on: June 17, 2024, 09:40:04 PM »
Don’t you hate it when the pain and suffering you were planning to strut across the world stage fails to materialize?

The Famine Has Been Canceled

by Seth Mandel

Hamas’s desire to maximize Palestinian suffering is well known, but there’s an easy way to tell whether supposed pro-Palestinian advocates share that revolting instinct: How do they react to good news?

For example, thanks to a report issued quietly earlier this month by the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification’s Famine Review Committee (quite the name), we now know there is no famine in Gaza. Yet you will only see this discussed among pro-Israel Jews online. The vast digital army of Twitter martyrs is quiet. Western media appear to be experiencing a self-imposed blackout. The Palestinian cause seems nothing less than deflated at the news that children will not be dying of hunger.

As of this morning, two weeks after the UN agency that monitors “food insecurity” debunked its own hysteria, the closest thing to a reference in the New York Times is an item in a running liveblog that mentions Israel’s latest humanitarian pause. The Times says this brief pause could help “alleviate a severe hunger crisis.” But —hilariously—those words link to the paper’s April report warning that a famine would set in by May. Which is to say, there’s no mention of the fact that famine has been averted. But the Times does mention its own past report, which has been discredited by actual subsequent events.

The cherry on top of this agitprop sundae comes when the Times quotes a British activist complaining, “This is not what a famine response looks like.”

In fact, according to the international organizations that beat the steady drumbeat of famine, this is exactly what a famine response looks like. Sorry to disappoint the pro-Palestinian movement, but it appears the children will live.

The Famine Review Committee “does not find the [famine prediction] analysis plausible given the uncertainty and lack of convergence of the supporting evidence.” As Avi Bitterman, who spent months predicting there would indeed be no famine based on the available evidence, points out: “The food trucks FEWS NET used for its analysis is significantly less than reported by other sources. One of the reasons for this is the complete exclusion of private sector food trucks (something the UN currently still does, by the way — take note @UN). They also excluded [World Food Programme] deliveries to bakeries in northern Gaza in April.”

In other words, despite the availability of the full aid-truck data, the UN only counted some of the food being delivered to Gaza. What’s more, the WFP is an arm of the UN, which means the UN isn’t even counting all the food it delivers itself. And as Bitterman notes, the UN continues to do this. The methodology behind measuring Palestinian suffering, then, is: If you only count some of the food Gazans are eating, Gazans are not eating enough food.

I wish it were more complicated than this, but it really doesn’t appear to be.

How much does it matter? A ton: “Ultimately, these exclusions make the difference between 38-49% of coverage of caloric needs being covered and 75-109% of caloric needs being covered. This is a wild difference to not count, these figures literally make the difference between the plausible range of nutritional adequacy and straight up death in many cases. Also this is the conservative estimate range. The upper end is 157% of caloric needs being met.”

Mark Zlochin spells it out: “the daily kilocalories requirements have been clearly surpassed in April, even if the most conservative estimates are used.” (Zlochin had also questioned the data predicting a famine.)

Two questions remain. First, why isn’t everyone shouting this from the rooftops? The answer is reminiscent of a response I once heard a rabbi give to a young student, who asked if it were permissible for a Jew to be a nice person only to Jews but not to gentiles. The rabbi responded: You are either a nice person or you aren’t; it’s not possible to “be a nice person” only some of the time. Your essential character determines the rest. Similarly, one side in this conflict values life. There is no way to be a person who values life only some of the time. Israel takes pains to prevent the deaths of Israelis and Palestinians alike; Hamas seeks to maximize the number of casualties suffered by both. It is not surprising to see their supporters around the world reflect this.

Second question: Why the routine overexaggeration of suffering in Gaza? Just because there is no famine does not mean there is no hardship. Just because there is no genocide does not mean there is no death. Why must Israel’s misdeeds be invented or inflated?

I think the answer to that, too, is Hamas. Even if you are inclined to dislike Israel and oppose its every move, a war with Hamas must be deeply uncomfortable. Because whatever you may think of Israel’s security policies, the Jewish state exists within a framework of humanity and decency and ethics—and Hamas exists outside that framework. Seeing Israel as the perpetual bad guy must be difficult for even the most committed anti-Zionists when such a stance would require publicly supporting a barbarian terrorist gang such as Hamas. So the solution for the Israel-hater is to inflate Israeli perfidy to comparable levels.

The facts, of course, clearly contradict such positions.

https://www.commentary.org/seth-mandel/the-famine-has-been-canceled/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=website&utm_campaign=SocialSnap

Crafty_Dog

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GPF: If Israel wars with Hezbollah
« Reply #3017 on: June 20, 2024, 07:41:43 AM »


June 20, 2024
View On Website
Open as PDF

The Incomparable Risk of an Israeli War With Hezbollah
A conflict could quickly spread to Syria and Iraq – before enveloping the whole region.
By: Kamran Bokhari

Israeli forces have been waging war in Gaza for eight months, yet the countries to Israel’s north currently pose its greatest security challenge. On June 18, Lebanon’s Hezbollah militant group released nearly 10 minutes of drone footage – filmed in daylight – apparently overlooking Haifa in northern Israel. Captured in the video were residential and commercial areas near the port city, a military complex belonging to Israeli weapons manufacturer Rafael (complete with Iron Dome batteries, radar sites and missile stores), military and commercial ships, and oil storage depots. On the same day, Israel’s military brass approved operational plans for an offensive in Lebanon. Israel is “very close” to a decision to “change the rules of the game against Hezbollah and Lebanon,” said Foreign Minister Israel Katz after Hezbollah released the drone footage.

A war between Israel and Hezbollah would be much larger and longer than what the Israel Defense Forces are facing in Gaza against Hamas. Syria and Iraq could join the war and greatly enlarge the battlespace. Most important, the fighting could draw in Iran, whether because it senses an opportunity to build influence closer to the Mediterranean or because Israeli gains threaten the survival of its clients in the region or both.

Geography of Conflict in the Middle East

(click to enlarge)

Hezbollah and Israel have traded blows for months. IDF airstrikes have killed several commanders in the Lebanese Shiite militia, whose lethal but measured counterstrikes resulted in the unprecedented evacuation of border areas that tens of thousands of Israelis call home. In recent weeks, Hezbollah rockets have sparked wildfires across large swathes of northern Israel. Israeli military and diplomatic pressure has failed to compel Hezbollah to withdraw its fighters north of the Litani River, some 30 kilometers (19 miles) from the border. Therefore, Israel appears to be moving toward a major military campaign.

Israel is reluctant to initiate a major conflict with Hezbollah while the IDF is still fighting to dismantle Hamas’ regime in Gaza, where a very high civilian death toll and the hostage situation have impeded operations. Hezbollah is similarly hesitant; a financial meltdown and ensuing political crisis have weakened the group at home, while its support for the Assad regime in Syria has stretched its resources. But although Israel is wary of overstretching its forces and losing its remaining international backing, equally threatening is the risk that Iran and its allies could seek to take advantage of Israel’s fragile position. With its spy drone video, Hezbollah hopes to remind Israel of its capabilities and deter a larger Israeli assault against Lebanon.

The last major war between Israel and Hezbollah was in the summer of 2006. It ended inconclusively with a cease-fire after only 33 days. The strategic situation has changed significantly since then. Syria was the dominant external power in Lebanon until the 2011 Arab Spring uprising, which in Syria rapidly devolved into a full-blown civil war. The Assad regime traditionally had kept a lid on Israeli-Hezbollah hostilities, but amid a Sunni rebellion, the regime could no longer play this role. By December 2016, it was evident that the Assad regime would survive, but vast stretches of terrain in the country’s east had been lost to Kurdish separatists and the Islamic State group. The regime had relied heavily on support from Hezbollah and Iran, which together mobilized as many as 100,000 transnational Shiite fighters to defeat the Sunni rebels. Significant help also came from Russia, but since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 the Kremlin has been unable to offer the same level of support.

Today, the Syrian regime is effectively a vassal of Iran, heavily dependent on assistance from Tehran and its proxies. The Iranians’ entrenchment in Syria was a key reason that Israel and Iran went beyond simply fighting by proxy and started directly attacking one another in April. For Israel, the threat on its northern flank is no longer just from Hezbollah in Lebanon but also from Iranian proxies in Syria. Therefore, any major Israeli military operation in the north will not be confined solely to Lebanon but will also be fought in Syria. Hezbollah would have to divide its resources to fight Israel while maintaining its presence in Syria, but on the other hand, Syrian territory would provide the group with strategic depth.

By extension, the Iran-backed Shiite militias in Iraq could also be expected to join the fray, especially if Hezbollah were to suffer setbacks. Tehran’s formidable position in the region took decades to build and came at great cost to the domestic political economy. Iran will mobilize all its assets accordingly. In the event of a major escalation – and now with the precedent of direct attacks on each other – Israel could decide to strike at Iran as well. Iran's direct involvement would take the conflict to another level.

If it materializes, this war will decide the balance of power in the region. Should Israel inflict heavy losses on Hezbollah and its partners in Syria, it could loosen Iran’s grip in the region. The Sunni Islamist insurgency in Syria could try to stage a comeback against the Assad regime and its allied Shiite militias. The Islamic State group could also try to take advantage of the disorder and try to resurrect its lost caliphate.

The Syrian Kurds, who control large parts of the northern and eastern areas of the country, could also be drawn into the conflict. Most significantly, Turkey, which is currently blocked by Iran in the Levant and sees the Syrian Kurds as a threat, would also want to exploit the situation and enhance its strategic position on its southern flank. For the Gulf Arab states, this would be a nightmare scenario, especially with the threat from Iran’s Yemeni ally, the Houthis.

Considering the circumstances, it is little wonder why the United States has been trying to contain the existing conflict. What is most alarming is that it is not succeeding.

Body-by-Guinness

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UNWRA Lawsuit Filed
« Reply #3018 on: June 24, 2024, 01:53:50 PM »
Hopefully they bankrupt the UN:

UNRWA Faces Lawsuit Over Hamas Terror Links
Last updated
37 minutes ago
On June 24, 2024, over 100 victims of the Hamas attacks on October 7, including survivors and relatives of the deceased, filed a lawsuit in a federal court in New York against the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA). The plaintiffs allege that UNRWA, which oversees Palestinian refugees, has been complicit in supporting Hamas through a money laundering scheme that funneled over $1 billion to the terrorist group. The lawsuit claims that UNRWA knowingly funded Hamas, hired terrorists, and provided them with shelter and diplomatic cover. The plaintiffs include a woman who was held hostage by an UNRWA teacher and relatives of the Kedem family members who were murdered on October 7. The lawsuit accuses UNRWA of strengthening Hamas and financing murders, and being complicit in torture and rape.

Crafty_Dog

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WSJ: War with Iran is invevitable
« Reply #3019 on: June 25, 2024, 12:03:01 PM »
War Between Israel and Iran Is Inevitable
The question is now or later. Strategy argues for now, even if the politics might be better later.
By Seth Cropsey
June 25, 2024 12:23 pm ET



Israel faces a strategic choice with regard to Iran—war now or war later. The political conditions for war now are poor. The strategic conditions later will only grow worse.

Iran’s goal is to destroy Israel as a uniquely Jewish state through a strategy of attrition. The mullahs hope to bind Israel in a series of conflicts and pressure it from multiple angles while using diplomacy and media manipulation to prolong the conflict. Tehran understands the potency of Israel’s military, which has adapted well to difficult urban and subterranean combat conditions in Gaza. The Israel Defense Forces field formidable air, artillery and armored units that, if unleashed in the north, would threaten the existence of Hezbollah, Iran’s most capable proxy. The Iranian deterrence strategy couples pressure on the U.S. with the threat of large-scale rocket and missile attacks against critical Israeli infrastructure.

Hamas is the most apparent element of Iran’s strategy. Iran wants the terrorist organization not only to maintain control of Gaza but to catapult itself into control of the Palestinian movement. The best way to do that is to compel the Israelis to accept a cosmetically appealing “peace agreement” involving the Arab states that allows Hamas to integrate into the Palestinian Authority and co-opt its necrotic rival, Fatah. The West Bank could then become another axis of pressure on Israel.

The only way for Israel to prevent this is through a de facto occupation of Gaza. Israel must demonstrate to Gazans that whatever the formal governing authority in the territory, the IDF won’t allow Hamas or a similar terrorist organization to return. As in all totalitarian regimes, Hamas has created overwhelming incentives for cooperation, and killed all possible opposition. Only by demonstrating staying power can the IDF break this cycle and encourage an alternative political structure.

Iran understands this and has activated a network of global Islamist sympathizers to ramp up public pressure on Israel. The goal is to get Western politicians to back a cease-fire that will achieve Iranian objectives. By slowing the conflict down and splitting Israel from the U.S. and its allies, Iran aims to make Israel an international pariah. In the mullahs’ wildest dreams, migration would hollow out Israel, setting the stage for its conversion from a Jewish State into an Arab Islamic one.

Since the mid-2000s, Israel’s Iran policy has been one of deferred confrontation. Israel built the Iron Dome air-defense system to destroy low-tech rocket and mortar salvos from the West Bank, Gaza and Lebanon, mitigating the need for ground operations in all but the worst circumstances. Throughout the 2010s, Israel executed a persistent air campaign in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq to interdict Iranian supply lines. Israel also conducted cyberattacks, sabotage efforts and assassinations in Iran to hamper Tehran’s nuclear ambitions. Nothing worked to eliminate the threat, but the strategy bought time and established a balance of forces that discouraged aggressive action. This balance was upended on Oct. 7. The only way to reset it is by eliminating one of Iran’s threats. The obvious candidate is Hezbollah.

By manipulating the U.S. into restraining Israel, Iran hopes to keep Israel frozen and slowly erode its will. At some point in the coming months, Iran expects a cease-fire that will allow it to capture the West Bank and threaten Israel’s existence.

Israel isn’t the first power faced with an unpleasant choice between undermining an alliance relationship and acting decisively against a threat. France had a similar dilemma in the 1930s. From 1935 through 1940, France balked at acting alone against Nazi Germany even though it had several opportunities to do so with reasonable chances of success. The French political establishment assumed that when war with Germany came, France would fight alongside Britain in a revived Entente Cordiale. France ended up facing the German threat in 1940 in its preferred strategic format. Paris fell regardless.

Israel’s situation is remarkably similar. The Jewish state is small and vulnerable. Lacking naval forces to protect its maritime depth, Israel requires American military resupply and relies on the U.S. to deter other great-power interventions. Yet this has become a strategic straitjacket, in part because of poor Israeli communication but primarily because of American strategic irrationality. The result is a growing assumption that war in Lebanon can be deferred until next year, once the U.S. president is free of political pressure, and ideally with a friendlier administration in the White House.

Yet Israel doesn’t have another year. The longer it waits to move on Hezbollah, the more likely a real rupture with America becomes. Constant mobilization is eroding military and economic morale in Israel. There should be rapid action in the north, with or without American approval. It should take the form of a large-scale air campaign that hits Iranian command nodes and Iranian allies in Syria and Lebanon. The strategic conditions aren’t ideal, but waiting won’t make them any better.

ccp

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ccp

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doctor working with doctors without borders was Hamas soldier
« Reply #3021 on: June 27, 2024, 07:16:14 AM »
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2024/06/26/photo-idf-shows-proof-after-doctors-without-borders-denies-colleague-was-terrorist/

I remember circa 1990 I went to a medical conference and there was a Doctor w/o Borders booth.
I approached heard a bit about it and was kind of snotty .   I said what about all the poor people in the US who need care.
 
He was a bit offended and I walked away

Perhaps I was wrong.
Perhaps they do good charity work abroad.  Noble I guess.



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WSJ: Israel struggles against global amnesia
« Reply #3023 on: June 28, 2024, 11:42:19 AM »



Israel Struggles Against Global Amnesia
Even friends of the Jewish state press it to forget the lessons it learned from Hamas’s Oct. 7 massacre.
By Elliot Kaufman
June 27, 2024 5:05 pm ET


“We pray that one day there will be peace,” says Nina Tokayer, half of the Israeli musical duo Yonina, after a candle is extinguished to bring the Sabbath to a close. “Sometimes that means eliminating our enemies, who hate peace and want to destroy us. For some reason, a lot of people around the world don’t understand that.”

Israelis don’t understand what the world doesn’t understand about Oct. 7. Hamas is the Palestinian majority party, and Oct. 7 was its apotheosis. It will try it again if Israel quits Gaza too early, and it will do worse if Israel surrenders the West Bank. Yet the world demands both, leaving Israelis to conclude that the world has little problem subjecting them to more massacres. Israelis feel as if a mandatory form of amnesia is being imposed on them: Thou shalt not remember what actual Palestinian nationalism looks like.

The struggle for memory has strategic significance. Micah Goodman, a leading intellectual of the Israeli center, says the first lesson of Oct. 7 is: “When we leave territory, we’re not protected from that territory.” This has become a national consensus.

“We had Oct. 7 before—in 1929,” Mr. Goodman says. Then, Arab mobs massacred more than 100 Jews across Hebron, Safed, Jerusalem and Jaffa and left more than 300 wounded. “Jews were attacked in the streets, in their homes, with all the terrible atrocities that we saw on Oct. 7. This was before the nakba of 1948, before the occupation of 1967.”

I thought of the struggle for memory on a visit to an Israeli military base, home to an elite combat unit whose members’ full identities are kept secret. “The world doesn’t understand the pain,” says Maxim, a young soldier, “and I don’t think it cares.” He allows that people may have forgotten Hamas’s Oct. 7 attack. Roi, his comrade, doesn’t buy it: “They know what happened, but they don’t give a s—. Or they support it and call it ‘resistance.’ ”

Asaf, a 21-year-old fighter, says, “The Arabs win because they are patient. We can defeat Hamas, but if we leave, they’ll rebuild it all and in 10 years they will attack again.” In his view, as one soldier, “the only way we win is if we take the land.”

He shouldn’t say that. What could be more repulsive to foreign ears than an Israeli reoccupation of Gaza? Much less repulsive to the world is Asaf’s other scenario: Hamas keeps Gaza and plots the next Oct. 7.

In the border kibbutz of Kfar Aza, Chen Kotler works to prevent Oct. 7 from being forgotten. She tells of terrorists on her roof and in her sister’s house. “Along this pavement, eight people were murdered,” she says at one spot. Hamas still holds hostage five of her neighbors: Gali and Ziv Berman, Emily Damari, Doron Steinbrecher and Keith Siegel, a 65-year-old U.S. citizen. Buildings have been wrecked, and the community will have to fight to survive.

But aren’t more people dying in Gaza? The media is happy to obscure the relevant distinctions. Activists promoted the “genocide” lie even before the war. Eylon Levy, until recently Israel’s government spokesman, explains, “The slanders of Israel today are preparing the response to the next Oct. 7: ‘The Jews had it coming.’ ”


Perhaps Israel can’t satisfy the Western gaze. A sign on one destroyed home in Kfar Aza reads: “Aviad Edri was brutally murdered in this house.” But the West wants to see the body left out on the ground. Israelis won’t—and shouldn’t—cooperate. Some of Ms. Kotler’s surviving neighbors even oppose the tours and don’t allow photos. “This will soon be history,” she says. “The tractors will come to repair. So, you’ll have to carry it for your whole life.”

The world is unwilling to bear the weight for long. While President Biden made clear after Oct. 7 that Hamas must not remain in power, by February he wasn’t so sure. He called Israel’s counterattack “over the top.” At a Holocaust remembrance event in May, he urged the world to “never forget” Oct. 7 while withholding arms from Israel to prevent an attack on Hamas’s stronghold.

Thomas Friedman now writes what is implicit in Biden policy: It’s OK to leave Hamas in power. Maybe there will be a power-sharing agreement. Maybe the people of Gaza will restrain Hamas. Or maybe the West has learned nothing from Oct. 7.

There’s a story the West tells itself: After the massacre, Israel had the world’s sympathy and support. But Israel went too far, and the world turned against it. Right-thinking Westerners like this story because right-thinking Westerners are its stars. They are moved by the plight of Kfar Aza and the Nova festivalgoers to denounce Hamas, but not so much that, like those vengeful Israelis, they lose their impartiality and humanitarian instinct.

The truth is darker. Much, perhaps most, of the world didn’t condemn Oct. 7 or repudiate Hamas. Qatar and Egypt, the mediators, both blamed Israel on Oct. 7. On Oct. 8, China called on Israel to “immediately end the hostilities.” Russia still hosts Hamas delegations. None of Hamas’s patrons have abandoned it or been seriously pressured to do so.

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WSJ: Post War Gaza
« Reply #3024 on: June 29, 2024, 02:00:10 PM »


The Postwar Vision That Sees Gaza Sliced Into Security Zones
Competing ‘Day After’ proposals from outside the enclave envision transforming its geography and governance
A Palestinian on Friday surveys the damage to the Deir al-Balah municipal building following an Israeli bombardment in the central Gaza Strip.
A Palestinian on Friday surveys the damage to the Deir al-Balah municipal building following an Israeli bombardment in the central Gaza Strip. BASHAR TALEB/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
By Rory JonesFollow
, Anat PeledFollow
 and Dov LieberFollow
Updated June 29, 2024 12:01 am ET


As Israel prepares to wind down major military operations in Gaza, one question looms large: What happens next?

A plan that is gaining currency in the government and military envisions creating geographical “islands” or “bubbles” where Palestinians who are unconnected to Hamas can live in temporary shelter while the Israeli military mops up remaining insurgents.

Other members of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party are backing another, security-focused plan that seeks to slice up Gaza with two corridors running across its width and a fortified perimeter that would allow Israel’s military to mount raids when it deems them necessary.

The ideas come from informal groups of retired army and intelligence officers, think tanks, academics and politicians, as well as internal discussions inside the military. While Israel’s political leadership has said almost nothing about how the Gaza Strip will look and be governed after the heaviest fighting ends, these groups have been working on detailed plans that offer a glimpse of how Israel is thinking about what it calls the Day After.

The plans—whether or not they get adopted in full—reveal hard realities about the aftermath that rarely get voiced. Among them, that Palestinian civilians could be confined indefinitely to smaller areas of the Gaza Strip while fighting continues outside, and that Israel’s army could be forced to remain deeply involved in the enclave for years until Hamas is marginalized.

The need to settle on an answer is growing more urgent, as Israel is expected to shift soon to a counterinsurgency phase of fighting that will reduce troops in Gaza and could leave the enclave mired in lawlessness and violent instability if no alternative is found. Adding to the pressure, fighting with Hezbollah on Israel’s border with Lebanon threatens to escalate.


Palestinians arrive at Deir al-Balah after being displaced from Rafah, in the southern Gaza Strip. PHOTO: ABED RAHIM KHATIB/DPA/ZUMA PRESS

An Israeli tank takes a position as displaced Palestinians evacuate an area on the outskirts of Rafah on Friday. PHOTO: BASHAR TALEB/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
“Decisions have to be taken today,” said Israel Ziv, a former Israeli general who helped provide ideas for a plan for Hamas-free humanitarian bubbles in Gaza.

Netanyahu, in rare comments addressing the issue last week, said the government would soon begin a phased plan to establish a civil administration run by local Palestinians in areas of the north—ultimately, he said he hopes, with security help from Arab states.

He didn’t explain how any plan would be structured or implemented, and some analysts cautioned against assuming that something concrete was close to fruition. Netanyahu’s office declined to comment on postwar planning.

Current and former Israeli officials said Netanyahu was likely referring to the “bubbles plan” discussed among government decision makers.

According to people familiar with the effort, it aims to work with local Palestinians who are unaffiliated with Hamas to set up isolated zones in northern Gaza. Palestinians in areas where Israel believes Hamas no longer holds sway would distribute aid and take on civic duties. Eventually, a coalition of U.S. and Arab states would manage the process, these people said.


Members of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s party are backing a security-focused plan for postwar Gaza that seeks to slice it into two corridors. PHOTO: JACK GUEZ/DPA/ZUMA PRESS
The Israeli military would continue to battle Hamas outside the bubbles and set up more over time as areas of Gaza are cleared.

Ziv, who oversaw Israel’s exit from Gaza in 2005, proposes that Palestinians who are ready to denounce Hamas could register to live in fenced-off geographic islands located next to their neighborhoods and guarded by the Israeli military. This would entitle them to reconstruction of their homes.

The process would be gradual, and in the longer term, Ziv envisages bringing the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority back to Gaza as a political solution, with the whole process taking roughly five years as the military fights Hamas insurgents. Under his plan, Hamas could be part of Gaza’s administration, if it frees all the hostages held there and disarms, becoming purely a political movement.


It is a plan fraught with challenges, and a similar approach has failed before. Earlier this year, the Israeli military quietly attempted to work with local Gaza families to distribute aid and replace Hamas, but they were scared off by the militant group’s threats of violence. Netanyahu has said some Gaza Palestinians involved in the earlier plan were killed by Hamas.

Hamas vowed this week to resist Israel’s plans and to “sever any hand of the occupation attempting to tamper with the destiny and future of our people.”

Palestinians are reluctant to facilitate Israeli control of Gaza after its air-and-ground campaign, which Gaza health authorities say has left more than 37,000 people dead, a majority of them civilians.

Arab governments have expressed a willingness to play a greater role, with some offering funding and soldiers to manage security. But they have conditioned that support on a broader political track that includes a return to Gaza of the Palestinian Authority and a commitment by Israel to a two-state solution, outcomes the U.S. also seeks.


Netanyahu has refused to consider either of those demands, arguing the Palestinian Authority is too weak and supportive of terrorism. He also faces internal political pressures. Members of the right wing of his narrow governing coalition oppose a Palestinian state, and some even want Gaza to be resettled by Israelis, limiting his ability to address the issue.


A medic carries casualties of Israeli strikes in Gaza City. PHOTO: AYMAN AL HASSI/REUTERS

Women mourn in Deir el-Balah. PHOTO: BASHAR TALEB/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
“Because the Israeli government continues to refuse or to reject the only viable path forward,” said Hugh Lovatt at the European Council on Foreign Relations, “it will be left with the worst outcome from its perspective, which will be continued open-ended conflict and reoccupation of Gaza.”

Some Israeli think tanks, recognizing that encouraging Arab participation in administering Gaza will be difficult, are pushing for an outright Israeli occupation.

The Misgav Institute for National Security and Zionist Strategy, a right-wing think tank headed by former head of national security Meir Ben-Shabbat, argues that the Israeli military needs to ensure about 75% of the Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters in Gaza are no longer capable of fighting before another security force can capably take over the strip. The military estimates it has killed about half the Hamas fighters it believes were operating in Gaza at the start of the war.


“There may be a period of a year or five years, or more or less, where we need some kind of military administration,” Asher Fredman of Misgav said.

Misgav says its thinking helped inform a plan put forward by members of Netanyahu’s Likud party earlier this year, which included the creation of a security perimeter around Gaza and two Israeli corridors cutting across its width.

Northern Gaza, under the plan, would remain without reconstruction, and Palestinians there wouldn’t be allowed back to their homes until Hamas’s miles-long tunnel network was destroyed. Like the bubbles plan, it promotes the notion of de-escalation zones where aid can be delivered by the Israeli military or by international forces, but stops short of articulating an idea for governance.

Amichai Chikli, a Likud minister who formulated the plan, personally presented it to the prime minister, according to Chikli’s office.

Another plan, developed by a nonprofit led by a former head of Israeli military intelligence, argues that the Oct. 7 attacks and the subsequent war mean Israelis and Palestinians can no longer engage with each other in good faith. It advocates working with the U.S. and Arab governments to create a new Palestinian governing body that would work to stop terrorism against Israel.

To thread the needle between Arab reluctance to engage in Gaza without commitments toward a two-state solution and Netanyahu’s refusal to address the matter, the proposal says discussions about the establishment of a Palestinian state should start five years after the war. Hamas’s Oct. 7 attacks, in which Israeli authorities say militants killed about 1,200 people, mainly civilians, and took approximately 250 hostages, shouldn’t be rewarded with the establishment of a state now, the proposal says.


Families of victims and survivors of the Hamas attacks in southern Israel attend a memorial event in Tel Aviv on Thursday. PHOTO: GIL COHEN-MAGEN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
“We need to build something new, and in order to build it we need a coalition,” said Avner Golov, of Mind Israel, the nonprofit that helped provide ideas for the plan.

Another plan published by the Washington-based Wilson Center also advocates a coalition-style approach to the conflict but refrains from calling for Israel to consider the adoption of a Palestinian state. It says the U.S. should establish an international police force to manage security in Gaza and over time hand the job to a yet-to-be-defined Palestinian administration.

Robert Silverman, a former U.S. diplomat in Iraq who is a co-author, said his team discussed the plan with Israeli officials for months, even changing parts of the proposal to make it more agreeable to Israel’s war objectives and political dynamics, but it stalled with the prime minister’s office.

“He believes we finish the war first and then plan the postwar,” Silverman said of Netanyahu. “All the people who have done this before say that’s a huge mistake.”

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS
What should be the key points in a postwar plan for Gaza? Join the conversation below.

Another document, drafted by Israeli academics, that has made its way to the prime minister’s desk draws on historical precedents in rebuilding the war zones in Germany and Japan after World War II, and more recently in Iraq and Afghanistan. It considers how to tackle Hamas’s Islamist doctrine by learning from the defeat of ideologies such as Nazism and that of Islamic State.

The 28-page document viewed by The Wall Street Journal acknowledges that the process of deradicalizing education and identifying new leadership will be long and complicated and should start as soon as possible, especially in light of the humanitarian situation in Gaza.

All of the floated plans assume that Israel will eventually leave Hamas politically and militarily defunct. That’s a blind spot, say Israeli critics of their government’s current policy.

The militant group has its own plans for postwar Gaza, aiming to at least retain security control over the strip and remain a force in Palestinian politics. The group’s organized battalions have been crushed, but its remaining capabilities still leave it the most powerful Palestinian force in the Gaza Strip, and it isn’t content to be sidelined.

“Hamas is already working on their own Day After plan,” said Ehud Yaari, a fellow with the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

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An Israeli POV:
« Reply #3025 on: June 30, 2024, 08:52:48 AM »

"All the wars Israel won in the past were before we had ISIS level terrorist groups at our throats at our borders. We had armies against us. You defeat an army, war is done. Having Hezbollah with all its power and other terrorist organizations right in our backyard is a whole other thing and we hadn’t faced anything of this scale before. It’s a new war and it’s not looking for us unless the US puts a huge as ship in front of Lebanon shore and and starts bombing the shit out of Hezbollah from the west while we do it from the south. Only then they will back off - when they see that the US got our back."

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #3027 on: July 10, 2024, 03:18:40 PM »
I have nothing to add.
Images speak for themselves.
 :x



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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #3028 on: July 10, 2024, 08:08:49 PM »
Mark Levin was right
Everyone should see this video

over the age of 18 or 21

I want Talib and Omar to see this.
Of course they will probably cheer.

How about you AOnotabletoC

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Hamas “Prepared to Relinquish Authority” in Gaza?
« Reply #3029 on: July 11, 2024, 12:28:46 PM »
Hope this is correct:

@HilzFuld

A senior U.S. official says Hamas is “prepared to relinquish authority” in Gaza to an interim government approved by Israel.

This is a very big deal. It might not be the final implemented policy but the fact that Hamas agreed to let Gaza go means the military pressure is doing its job.

Security would be provided by a force trained by the United States and backed by moderate Arab allies, drawn from a core group of about 2,500 supporters of the Palestinian Authority in Gaza who have already been vetted by Israel.

A huge step in the right direction and one step closer to Hamas disappearing off the face of the earth!

Gaza needs to be denazified from the ground up and this new development might be the most important step in that direction.
Like I said, this is a very big deal.

https://x.com/hilzfuld/status/1811284749010321478?s=61

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #3030 on: July 11, 2024, 02:15:39 PM »
IF TRUE, THEN  :-o :-o :-o :-o :-o :-o :-o :-o :-o

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Jo and Mika embarassed
« Reply #3031 on: July 18, 2024, 06:58:04 PM »

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About That Speech …
« Reply #3033 on: July 25, 2024, 11:31:34 AM »
A good analysis IMO:

Hillel Fuld
  ·
I’ve done probably close to a thousand talks over the last 15 years.

I like to think I’m a decent speaker. I gave a commencement speech. I spoke to crowds of thousands. I gave lectures in probably close to 50 cities. I have some experience with public speaking.

Netanyahu’s speech in congress was an absolute masterpiece.

I’m not even talking about the content. We’ll get to that.

The strong beginning, the knowledge, the mastery of knowing when to pause, when to increase the volume, when to press the gas and up the speed and when to slow down and emphasize the words he was saying. The tremendous ending.

The way he became a story teller and shared the heroic tales of the soldiers and hostages who joined him in congress was just flawless.
It was, as I said, the Mona Lisa of speeches.

I realize he probably didn’t write the speech himself, although I personally stood next to Bibi at a private event years ago as he wrote a speech he was going to deliver. That’s where this photo was taken.

He definitely played a significant role in writing, or at the very least modifying this speech. But again, forget the content for a second.

One of the most impressive things was the insane number of standing ovations he got, 55 to be precise, the most standing ovations given to any foreign leader addressing congress. But you know what was even more impressive than the applause? At one point, the audience began to clap and he felt that applause was inappropriate at that moment so he stopped them and said “No. don’t applaud. Listen.”

The man had complete control over the room. 

If for no other reason, you know he did incredibly well when those who hate him were so bothered by his speech that they felt the need to make public statements bashing him and his presentation.

Pelosi, for example, said, “Benjamin Netanyahu's presentation in the House Chamber today was by far the worst presentation of any foreign dignitary invited and honored with the privilege of addressing the Congress of the United States.”

I believe that is what we call a sore loser.

Also, before we get to his brilliant words, public speakers, take note. The way he has those index cards with a small number of words on them so he can emphasize them and not run ahead is the way to go. He’s done this for years and it’s very effective.

And then there was the content. The man could not get a single sentence out of his mouth without the crowd going crazy.

His words were inspiring. They were insightful. They were informative. They demonstrated his brilliance of history and geo politics, on the one hand, combined with his genuine love for his country and his people, on the other.

At some points, his words made me cry and at others, they gave me chills running through my spine.

Some of his words were said ferociously and with strong conviction, while others expressed sensitivity and gratitude to his friends in America, those in the room, in the state department, both current and past, and even those who decided not be in the room. A true class act.

Here are some of the quotes that stood out to me as total brilliance.

“This is not a clash of civilizations. It's a clash between barbarism and civilization.”

This sentence was just perfect. Samuel P. Huntington famously wrote a book called The Clash of Civilizations. I’ve personally quoted it many times. But Bibi declaring this thesis dead while correcting it to a clash between barbarism and civilization was just masterful.

“On the morning of October 7th, the entire world saw Noa’s look of desperation as she was violently abducted to Gaza on the back of a motorcycle.

I met Noa’s mother Liora a few months ago. She was dying of cancer. She said to me, “Prime Minister, I have one final wish. I wish to hug my daughter Noa one last time before I die.”

Two months ago, I authorized a breathtaking commando rescue operation. Our Special Forces, including a heroic officer named Arnon Zmora, who fell in this battle, rescued Noa and three other hostages.

I think it’s one of the most moving things, when Noa was reunited with her mother, Liora, and her mother’s last wish came true.”
Now you tell me, how can you hear this story and not tear up? When we talk about Israel losing the PR war, there are many reasons, but the main one is that our enemies appeal to the hearts of the masses while we try to appeal to their brains. Emotion will always resonate more than facts.
 
“You’re committing genocide!”

“But what about cherry tomatoes, drip irrigation, and Waze?” 🤦

This story pierces your heart. If it doesn’t, then you’re not human. Some say it was cynical for Bibi to bring Noa and the others with him to congress. I say it was brilliant.

“With us today is Lieutenant Avichail Reuven. Avichail is an officer in the Israeli paratroopers. His family immigrated to Israel from Ethiopia. In the early hours of October 7th, Avichail heard the news of Hamas’ bloody rampage.

He put on his uniform, grabbed his rifle, but he didn’t have a car. So he ran eight miles to the frontlines of Gaza to defend his people. You heard that right. He ran eight miles, came to the frontlines, killed many terrorists and saved many, many lives. Avichail, we all honor your remarkable heroism.”

How can you read this and not get chills? How can you read this and not feel incredible pride to have such a hero in the room?
 
“Another Israeli is with us here today. He’s standing right next to Avichail. This is Master Sergeant Ashraf al Bahiri.

Ashraf is a Bedouin soldier from the Israeli Muslim community of Rahat. On October 7th, Ashraf too killed many terrorists. First, he defended his comrades in the military base, and he then rushed to defend the neighboring communities, including the devastated community of Kibbutz Be’eri.

Like Ashraf, the Muslim soldiers of the IDF fought alongside their Jewish, Druze, Christian and other comrades in arms with tremendous bravery.”

I don’t think I need to tell you why this was such a brilliant move.

It’s as if he said, “Apartheid? Yea, allow me to introduce you to the Bedouin soldier from the Israeli Muslim community of Rahat.” Just so smart.

Next.

“These protesters chant “From the river to the sea.” But many don’t have a clue what river and what sea they’re talking about. They not only get an F in geography, they get an F in history. They call Israel a colonialist state.

Don’t they know that the Land of Israel is where Abraham, Isaac and Jacob prayed, where Isaiah and Jeremiah preached and where David and Solomon ruled?

For nearly four thousand years, the land of Israel has been the homeland of the Jewish people. It’s always been our home; it will always be our home.”

What conviction. No apologies. This is our home and it will always be our home. A strong statement that the Jew with shaky knees is long gone!

“And one more thing. When Israel acts to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, nuclear weapons that could destroy Israel and threaten every American city, every city that you come from, we’re not only protecting ourselves. We’re protecting you.”

Genius. Align their interests with ours.

“My friends,

If you remember one thing, one thing from this speech, remember this: Our enemies are your enemies, our fight is your fight, and our victory will be your victory.”

Ditto. The underlying message: “If you don’t care about Israel’s protection, surely you care about your own!”

“Last Friday, a third Iranian proxy, the Houthis, attacked Tel Aviv with a deadly drone. It exploded a few hundred feet from the American consulate, killing one person and injuring nine. On Saturday, I authorized a swift response to that attack.

All our enemies should know this. Those who attack Israel will pay a very heavy price.

And as we defend ourselves on all fronts, I know that America has our back. And I thank you for it. All sides of the aisle. Thank you.”
Very strong. Gratitude is powerful. This was the ultimate flex! 🤣

“In World War II, as Britain fought on the frontlines of civilization, Winston Churchill appealed to Americans with these famous words: “Give us the tools and we’ll finish the job.” Today, as Israel fights on the frontline of civilization, I too appeal to America: “Give us the tools faster, and we’ll finish the job faster.”

Such a strong quote and so brilliant to bring in such a historic quote and draw a parallel to today.

“My dear friends, Democrats and Republicans,

Despite these times of upheaval, I’m hopeful about the future. I’m hopeful about Israel because my people, the Jewish people, emerged from the depths of hell, from dispossession and genocide, and against all odds we restored our sovereignty in our ancient homeland, we built a powerful and vibrant democracy, a democracy that pushes the boundaries of innovation for the betterment of all humanity.

I’m hopeful about America because I’m hopeful about Americans. I know how much the people of this country have sacrificed to defend freedom. America will continue to be a force for light and good in a dark and dangerous world. For free peoples everywhere, America remains the beacon of liberty its extraordinary founders envisioned back in 1776.”

Unifying both sides. Thanking them. Aligning them with us. Flattering the American people. Expressing hope and optimism. Bringing in American history.

So genius. All of it.

This was a once in a lifetime speech. No, it was a once in a generation speech. You couldn’t watch this speech and not get emotional. It made me cry multiple times. Whatever Netanyahu’s goal was in coming to congress, I have no doubt that he accomplished that mission with flying colors.
 
I truly don’t care what you think of Netanyahu. This isn’t about politics. This is about a man with a vision and the ability to articulate that vision better than any leader in modern history, and maybe even ever. 

The dems that boycotted this speech didn’t only show the world their true colors, they also missed the opportunity to witness the creation of the Sistine Chapel of speeches, a speech that’ll go down in history as one of the most powerful presentations ever.

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GPF: Bibi's plan
« Reply #3034 on: July 27, 2024, 03:49:48 PM »
Netanyahu's plan. In a speech delivered before the U.S. Congress on Wednesday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called for the creation of a security alliance in the Middle East to counter Iran. He said the bloc would be similar to the United States’ security pact with Europe following World War II to counter the Soviets and would include countries that are willing to make peace with Israel. It would, according to Netanyahu, be a “natural extension” of the Abraham Accords, which normalized ties between Israel and certain Arab states.


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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #3036 on: July 28, 2024, 01:50:02 PM »
The man in blue refused to shake hands with the Israeli competitor. and shouted "Allah Akbar".   When he went up against the Japanese he dislocated hsi shoulder.

https://x.com/ArchRose90/status/1817584923815149881/video/1

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Israel-Hezbollah/Lebanon
« Reply #3037 on: July 28, 2024, 02:18:51 PM »
« Last Edit: July 29, 2024, 05:42:04 AM by Crafty_Dog »


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Gaza supports Hamas
« Reply #3039 on: July 29, 2024, 05:48:58 AM »

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Palestinians supporting Hamas in previous post.
« Reply #3040 on: July 29, 2024, 06:25:28 AM »
You won't see this tik tok video on CNN.

Why in the world do the Dems keep telling us a two state solution is the answer when one side will not accept it?
The pressure is always on the Israelis.


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WSJ
« Reply #3041 on: July 30, 2024, 01:06:10 PM »
The war in the Gaza Strip is more about losing time than capturing territory. Time works in Israel’s favor because it is a half-trillion-dollar economy contending with a few thousand terrorists who lack supply routes, hospitals for treating the wounded and camps for training fighters. But time also works in Hamas’s favor because international acceptance of action in densely populated Gaza is eroding, along with Israel’s economy and its army’s weapons.

Who will run out of time first?

In the spring, it seemed Israel would. President Biden turned a cold shoulder to the Jewish state as support for destroying Hamas morphed into a call to end the war and a warning against entering Rafah. Strategic weapons shipments were delayed in American ports. The prosecutor of the International Criminal Court is seeking arrest warrants for the Israeli prime minister and defense minister, effectively equating them with Hamas leaders. No wonder Hamas refused any deal offered, however generous. If the U.S. president seeks to end the war and the world will soon force the Israel Defense Forces to stop, why give up Israeli hostages?

Sometime last month, the hourglass turned. It happened because Israel didn’t yield to Mr. Biden and in May entered Rafah, cutting off Hamas’s last lifeline to the world. Mr. Biden found himself facing troubles of his own at home, while his presidential rival, whose only complaint against Israel was that it wasn’t destroying Hamas fast enough, began climbing in the polls. Suddenly, Hamas showed it could be flexible. It begged to restart negotiations even as Israel dropped 9 tons of precision bombs on its chief of staff, and agreed not to end the war.

Then Mr. Biden withdrew from the presidential race. Vice President Kamala Harris became the de facto nominee and gave Hamas an important gift. Never mind her childish boycott of Benjamin Netanyahu’s address to Congress last Wednesday. Why was it necessary to side with the Palestinian narrative that places the blame for the war on Israel? “We cannot look away in the face of these tragedies,” she said the next day, after meeting with Mr. Netanyahu. “We cannot allow ourselves to become numb to the suffering. And I will not be silent.” This is a direct threat to Israel if it continues the war, a war the Biden-Harris administration itself supported and called “just.”

Ms. Harris, who in a recent interview said she was “hearing stories” about people in Gaza “eating animal feed, grass,” is apparently unaware that food prices there are significantly lower than in Israel. In any other war in the past century, has one side regularly supplied food and goods to the enemy’s civilians—and still been attacked by the White House?

By adopting the anti-Israel narrative, Ms. Harris is giving Hamas’s leader, Yahya Sinwar, every reason in the world to refuse a hostage deal. Why give Israel the hostages without ending the war if there is a possibility the 47th president will force Israel to end it anyway? “Let’s get the deal done so we can get a cease-fire to end the war,” Ms. Harris said Thursday, distancing the deal with her words.

This is more than diplomatic incompetence. Ms. Harris’s worldview is troubling in its immorality. Campus protesters “are showing exactly what the human emotion should be as a response to Gaza,” she said recently. “There are things some of the protesters are saying that I absolutely reject, so I don’t mean to wholesale endorse their points. But we have to navigate it.” The state of the Democratic Party is such that its presumptive presidential nominee claims that a war between a pro-Iranian murder organization and a democratic state “is not a binary issue.”

The administration is taking a similar stance on the Lebanese front. The Iranian proxy Hezbollah has been firing at Israel for months, destroying villages and slaughtering innocent children playing soccer. There is no “siege” and no “occupation,” yet the Biden administration is mediating between Hezbollah and Israel like a real-estate broker. Instead of sending Iran an unequivocal, threatening message, it is sending adviser Amos Hochstein to plead with Hezbollah to halt the rocket fire and offer Israeli territorial concessions.

If Israel fights back and the White House again calls for an end to the violence, we can expect another nonbinary war.

Mr. Segal is chief political commentator on Israel’s Channel 12 News and author of “The Story of Israeli Politics.”

Crafty_Dog

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WSJ: Hamasholes make case for Zionism
« Reply #3042 on: July 30, 2024, 01:34:16 PM »
second

The Protesters Make the Case for Zionism
Herzl turns out to be right: Jews aren’t safe without a homeland.
By Gerard Leval
July 28, 2024 5:11 pm ET


The antisemitic demonstrators roiling our campuses and cities—most recently Washington last week—certainly don’t mean to, but they’re making a powerful case for Zionism.

In 1896 Theodor Herzl, a Viennese journalist and very assimilated Jew, published “Der Judenstaat,” or “The Jewish State,” a manifesto calling for the establishment of a Jewish homeland in the biblical land of Israel. That set into motion the modern Zionist movement.

Herzl had awakened to his Jewish origins when he covered the trial of Alfred Dreyfus, the Jewish officer falsely accused of betraying France. He noticed that Dreyfus was an assimilated Jew and a proud Frenchman. Yet he was being treated as a traitor because he was a Jew, with cries of “Death to the Jews” reverberating on the streets of sophisticated Paris.

Confronted with this anomaly, Herzl came to the reluctant conclusion that Jews, observant or assimilated, needed their own nation to be safe from persecution. There was opposition to this notion, including from Jews. Many Europeans believed that the Enlightenment had triumphed over anti-Jewish prejudice. That claim became untenable when the Nazis slaughtered some six million European Jews.

In the decades since World War II, it has become easy again to be complacent about the condition of Jews in the Diaspora. But in the wake of Oct. 7, we can’t deny being witness to a worldwide paroxysm of hate against Israel, which has steadily morphed into classic antisemitism.

Since its founding, the U.S. has been a most extraordinary haven for Jews. In 1790 George Washington affirmed in a letter to the Jewish community of Newport, R.I., that in the new country every Jew would “sit in safety under his own vine and fig tree, and there shall be none to make him afraid.” Yet today, even in the halls of Congress, antisemitism has dramatically surfaced, and Jews are being intimidated.

It turns out that Herzl was right about the need to re-establish the Jewish homeland. For so many of us, it seemed inconceivable that America, our home and a beacon of freedom, would ever be other than a safe haven for Jews. Suddenly, we can’t be so sure.

So it is that those in the forefront of the anti-Israel and anti-Jewish demonstrations are giving full credence and impetus to the Zionist dream. Even in the most welcoming nation on earth, Jews feel at risk. Only in a secure Israel, a nation of and for the Jewish people, can Jews be certain that they won’t be persecuted by reason of who they are. The purveyors of anti-Israel and antisemitic propaganda are the best recruiters any Zionist could ever want. They are giving voice to Herzl’s fears and to the underlying reason for the existence of the very state they wish to destroy.

When Golda Meir was asked what was Israel’s secret weapon, she responded: “We have no place else to go.” The demonstrators filling our streets with anti-Jewish invective seem intent on validating Meir’s assertion and with it the Zionist project itself.

Mr. Leval is a Washington lawyer and author of “Lobbying for Equality, Jacques Godard and the Struggle for Jewish Civil Rights during the French Revolution.”

Body-by-Guinness

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When the Overton Window is Slammed Shut
« Reply #3043 on: July 31, 2024, 04:54:58 AM »
I had not heard the term “Overton Window” before—which describes the range of politically acceptable ideas attached to a political act or opinion fall under before it’s considered too extreme to voters—and the more I think about it the more I believe “Progressives” are in relentless pursuit of enlarging said Window, albeit to a singular extreme degree:

Andrew Fox
@Mr_Andrew_Fox

Just woke up to the news that Israel have killed Hamas political leader, Ismail Haniyeh, overnight.

Hasty hot take: this is a very big deal, and humiliating for Iran that an ally can be taken out on their soil. The last 10 months have been an exercise in Iranian force projection through their proxies and allies, so this will be a huge slap in the face. Their reaction will be an indicator of both capability and intent.

Early reports cite “knowledgeable sources in Hamas”, who told Al-Arabi Al-Jadid newspaper: Haniyeh and his delegation of companions were staying in a guest house of the Revolutionary Guards in Tehran at the time of the assassination, Islamic Jihad Secretary General Ziad Nachala was also staying at the same time in the same building, on a different floor.

Also reported that the missile was fired from outside Iranian borders.

Russia, Turkey and Iran are very sad about this - which might give you a further clue as to who is on what side:

Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs:

 We condemn the killing of Hania in Tehran.

Once again it becomes clear that the Netanyahu government has no intention of reaching peace.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia: the elimination of Niyya is a political murder that we do not accept. This will have a negative impact on the negotiations regarding Gaza.

The National Security Council in Iran: "The elimination of Hania crossed the red lines, Israel will bear a great price."
Mahmoud Abbas (Fatah “President of Palestine”) condemns in an official statement: "The elimination of Haniya - a cowardly act and a dangerous development."

And the Guardian are having a mad one with a somewhat extreme Overton window for the meaning of the word “moderate”…

DougMacG

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Hamas AND Hezbullah leaders killed
« Reply #3044 on: July 31, 2024, 06:40:40 AM »
Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran
https://www.ft.com/content/4a2e6014-7a53-4138-a04b-1aa0451114b0?segmentId=b385c2ad-87ed-d8ff-aaec-0f8435cd42d9

Israel says its Beirut strike killed Hezbollah’s top military commander
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/middleeast/beirut-explosion-hezbollah-stronghold-intl-latam/index.html


[Doug] World in a panic over the loss of these terrorist leaders.

FT:  dramatically raised risk of escalation of hostilities   (Really?)

[Doug]  What was the choice, let them continue operations?

I can't understand the politics of Israel, but they seem to want Netanyahu gone... AFTER he finishes the job of destroying the threats against Israel.


Body-by-Guinness

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Fancy That
« Reply #3045 on: July 31, 2024, 01:20:07 PM »
@IdoHalbany

An important point that no one thinks about:

Israel has eliminated Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas' political bureau, and Hamas responded with 0 rockets. You read right, Hamas didn't respond at all.

It's not that Hamas doesn't want to; it simply can't - Israel has eliminated most of its members and weapons, stopped arms smuggling, and now controls most of Gaza.

Finally, it's clear and undeniable; the IDF has nearly destroyed all of Hamas' military capabilities, and the end of the terror organization is closer than ever.

ccp

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Body-by-Guinness

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The Costs of Killing Israelis
« Reply #3047 on: July 31, 2024, 04:05:52 PM »
2nd post. Vengeance can be handled in the afterlife. Israel is happy to arrange that meeting:

Israeli Lives Aren’t Cheap

by Seth Mandel

In the 2004 Israeli movie Walk on Water, a Mossad agent played by Lior Ashkenazi is tasked with tracking down and eliminating an aging Nazi in Germany. In trying to understand the decision to prioritize killing an evil but elderly man, he asks his boss: “Get him before God does?” To which his boss responds: “Yes, get him before God does.”

Ismail Haniyeh was not yet an old man, and his earthly punishment, too, has come before his heavenly penance. Israel’s reported assassination of the Hamas leader in Tehran last night will be mourned by the terrible people of the world. Media reaction has followed its predictable nature. Reuters called him a “moderate” in an article republished by Voice of America. Most other press reaction has consolidated behind the idea that the strike will sabotage ceasefire talks.

The more important lesson, however, is the one expressed in the Walk on Water scene above: Jewish blood is no longer cheap. There is a price to be paid for taking Jewish life. Most of the time, this is interpreted through the lens of Israel’s enemies—that is, as a threat. But more important is what this reality says to citizens of Israel. To them, it’s a promise.

This is the value of being a citizen of Israel, and it cannot be underestimated. It is the same value behind the constant search for a hostage deal. The Israel that took out Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran is the Israel that agrees to lopsided trades to bring its captives home, one at a time if necessary. No matter how communal its practices or collectivist its apportionment of responsibility for the rest of the nation, Judaism has never stopped valuing every individual life.

Those who worry about the fate of a ceasefire deal should be encouraged by Haniyeh’s date with destiny. There are different ways to protect Jewish life, and Israel takes each opportunity when it presents itself.

That does not just go for Jewish citizens of Israel, needless to say. The day before Haniyeh’s elimination, Israel killed Fuad Shukr in a targeted strike on Beirut. Shukr had two prominent claims to fame: He was responsible for the massacre of a dozen Druze children in northern Israel last week, and he was behind the 1983 bombing of the U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut, an attack that killed 241 Americans. There was a $5 million reward on his head from the U.S. government.

Which means that 40 years and nine months after he helped kill 241 Americans, Shukr was still a wanted man. Four days after he helped kill 12 Druze, he was a dead man.

There are surely reasons the U.S. chose not to take out Shukr when it could. But still, there is something counterfeit in the U.S. government putting a bounty on the head of a man no other Americans could reach and then letting him live on—and on and on. As if the vows of retribution were for show.

But such retribution isn’t only for the victims. It is also for those who still live. Shukr ended his life as Hezbollah’s most-senior military commander and a trusted aide to leader Hassan Nasrallah. After the Marine barracks bombing, he spent four decades planning the deaths of other innocents. With the Iranian proxy beating the drums of war, Israel understood its appeals to rationality were falling on deaf Hezbollah ears. But a targeted strike on a top military commander might—might—slow the banging of those drums a bit, if only because of the practical considerations of losing the man most responsible for guiding that war, if indeed one broke out.

Regarding Hamas, the U.S. has been begging the terror group’s operational leader, Yahya Sinwar, to accept the terms of the ceasefire as laid out by President Biden. If Haniyeh’s opinion of the deal mattered, it certainly didn’t show. Perhaps a vivid reminder of Sinwar’s isolation would move things along.

In the end, the elimination of Haniyeh might have no effect one way or the other on the ceasefire deal. But it will certainly effect the perception of whether there are consequences for those who plan and approve the kidnapping and murder of Israelis. That is a fine thing for peace, for order, and for the value of human life—Jewish, Druze, or otherwise.

https://www.commentary.org/seth-mandel/israeli-lives-arent-cheap/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=website&utm_campaign=SocialSnap

ccp

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somehow Netanyahu is always made out to be the evil aggressor
« Reply #3048 on: July 31, 2024, 07:51:07 PM »
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/with-hezbollah-and-hamas-assassinations-netanyahu-shows-willingness-to-risk-regional-war-for-political-survival/ar-BB1qYQdb?ocid=msedgntp&pc=DCTS&cvid=0a332d11048249d4b920d37afdbcaa0f&ei=8

we should be celebrating the Hamas brain child's death

not wringing hands in fear
and continue to negotiate a cease fire
That ain't going to happen .

leave the Jews alone!

that is what the us should be saying.

Crafty_Dog

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GPF: Israel's double hit
« Reply #3049 on: August 01, 2024, 04:31:26 AM »

August 1, 2024
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Israeli Assassinations Create Major Conundrum for Iran
The twin strikes in Beirut and Tehran were a much-needed success for Israeli intelligence.
By: Kamran Bokhari

In the span of only a few hours, an Israeli airstrike in Beirut killed the military commander of Hezbollah and another in Tehran killed the leader of Hamas. Assassinations on foreign soil are among the most difficult operations an intelligence organization could undertake. To execute two in quick succession, nearly 1,500 kilometers (900 miles) apart, is a major coup for Israel at a time when an invasion of Lebanon appeared to be the only other option to prevent its virtual encirclement by Iranian proxies. But despite Israel’s attempt to “escalate to de-escalate,” to use nuclear parlance, the killings and Iran’s inevitable response will push the region deeper into crisis.

Damaged Reputation

The first strike occurred in Beirut on the evening of July 30 and killed Fouad Shukur, one of the most senior, if not the most senior, military commanders of Hezbollah. Wanted by the U.S. for his role in the 1983 bombing of a U.S. Marines barracks in the Lebanese capital, Shukur was accused by Israel of orchestrating the rocket attack that killed 12 children in northern Israel last weekend. A few hours later, shortly after sunrise on July 31, an “airborne guided projectile” killed top Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in his room in a northern quarter of Tehran, according to Iranian military officials. Haniyeh was in Tehran for the inauguration of Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian.

Hamas and Hezbollah Leaders Assassinated, July 30-31, 2024

(click to enlarge)

The twin assassinations were precisely the sort of dramatic display of strength that Israel’s government and security establishment sought. The Israeli intelligence community’s reputation has not recovered from its failure to prevent the Oct. 7 Hamas attack. In the almost 10 months of war that have ensued, Israeli forces have killed tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians while only partly degrading Hamas’ warfighting capabilities, and Israel’s intelligence services have generally come up empty in the search for the remaining 115 hostages in Hamas’ custody.

Meanwhile, a network of proxies under the direction of Tehran has been turning up the heat on Israel. The chief threat emanates from Hezbollah in Lebanon, but lately Israel has also come under fire from drones and missiles launched from Yemen by the Houthi rebel movement. Trying to regain the initiative after a deadly Houthi drone attack on Tel Aviv, Israel on July 21 executed a complex aerial operation – featuring unknown numbers of F-15s and F-35s as well as midair refueling and reconnaissance aircraft – against Yemen’s port of Hodeidah, a Houthi stronghold. Not since 1985, when Israeli jets pounded the headquarters of the Palestine Liberation Organization near Tunis, has the Israeli air force conducted a strike so far from home.

Israel’s attempts to reestablish deterrence have not been as effective against Iran and its allies in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq. In April, one such attempt killed several senior Iranian military officers inside Iran’s embassy complex in Damascus, prompting Tehran to lob some 300 missiles and drones at Israel – its first direct attack on Israel. Strikes from Lebanon continued, including the weekend rocket attack that struck a soccer field in the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights. Israeli officials threatened an invasion of southern Lebanon, but destroying Hezbollah’s offensive capabilities would require Israeli forces to occupy the region. Given Israel’s nearly two-decade experience trying to clear southern Lebanon of potential threats in the 1980s and 1990s and the fact that the Israeli military is already looking at an indefinite occupation of Gaza, it has minimal interest in attempting the same in Lebanon. Rather than overburden the armed forces, Israel’s leaders appear to have wagered that a well-targeted one-two punch might shock Hezbollah and Iran into rethinking their risk-reward assessment.

Nowhere to Hide

If nothing else, the twin assassinations will undermine any sense of security among Iran’s military leaders and regional proxies. High-value targets are well-guarded and frequently on the move. To track such a target through hostile terrain, or to know where one will be at a specific time, entails a very high level of intelligence penetration. Even when a critical target is located, the strike force must be able to execute its attack in a timely fashion. In this case, it would have been relatively easy for fixed-wing Israeli aircraft to reach nearby Beirut and kill Hezbollah’s top military commander. By contrast, the attack on the leader of Hamas took place much farther from Israel and in an environment more hostile toward Mossad operatives than even Lebanon or Syria.

Of course, Israeli intelligence has many years of experience operating in Iran. A recent example was in November 2020, when Israel assassinated top Iranian nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh outside Tehran. Still, no attack can occur without timely knowledge of the target’s whereabouts – something that typically requires a tip from an informant. The frequency of Haniyeh’s travels to Iran, particularly since the outbreak of the war in Gaza, may have simplified the operation. On the other hand, the killing occurred only hours after the inauguration of Iran’s new president, when a great many foreign officials – as well as leaders of pro-Iran groups in the region – were in the Iranian capital, and security would have been higher than normal.

There were easier places for Israel to kill the Hamas leader. For years he has been based in Qatar, where he has likely developed a somewhat more predictable routine. But Qatar is an intermediary for many radical groups, including Hamas, and has brokered negotiations between Israel and Hamas over the release of Israeli hostages. Doha is also a close ally of Washington. Carrying out an assassination in the Gulf Arab nation may have done more harm than good. Striking in Tehran, however, demonstrates Iran’s inability to protect its allies on its own territory, humiliates the Iranian regime and underscores the risks it takes in supporting Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, the Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq and the militias in Syria.

It is equally a warning to Iran’s regime and security establishment about their own vulnerabilities, despite having infiltrated much of the Arab world. Whatever confidence Tehran gained from its direct attack on Israel – not to mention Israel’s highly symbolic response, which only damaged a missile site – has been shaken. Iran’s challenge now is how to restore its credibility without incurring additional attacks that expose other weaknesses.

There is not much that Iran can do to tip the balance of power away from Israel, which leads in intelligence, firepower and technological prowess. Were it to escalate the confrontation, it might lead Israel to target senior Iranian figures next time. The Iranians are reaching the limits of what they can achieve through their proxies, and they have not engaged in a conventional war of this scale since the late 1980s when they fought an eight-year conflict with Iraq.