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https://www.thefp.com/p/the-trial-against-trump-will-throw

The Trial Against Trump Will Throw the Election into Chaos
The former president has been dragged into court on a flimsy charge that rests on the testimony of a convicted liar.


By Eli Lake

May 15, 2024

When Donald Trump was indicted last year by Manhattan district attorney Alvin Bragg, I was skeptical. The indictment alleged that the 45th president had falsified payments to his former lawyer, Michael Cohen, by classifying them as legal fees when in fact it was reimbursement for hush money to the porn star known as Stormy Daniels.

As the trial has unfolded over the past two months, Daniels has testified that Trump had sex with her at Lake Tahoe in 2006 and didn’t wear a condom or display much sexual endurance. Cohen testified that he dutifully made the payments to Daniels on Trump’s behalf because he was “knee-deep in the cult of Trump.” Former senior Trump aide Hope Hicks has testified to the lengths the 2016 campaign and Trump White House went to suppress stories of the former president’s past sexual scandals.

The resistance commentariat insists that Trump is going down. Republican Never Trump lawyer George Conway writes in The Atlantic that Bragg’s case is “kind of perfect.” MSNBC host and former Republican operative Nicole Wallace assures viewers that Trump’s lawyers “bombed” their cross-examination of Cohen. Former Justice Department official Andrew Weissman praises Bragg’s “crackerjack team of experienced attorneys” for building an airtight case.

But missing from this wall-to-wall coverage is any mention of the underlying crime that Trump falsified business records to advance his campaign. And that is a fatal flaw in the case, because New York law stipulates that falsifying business records can only be charged as felonies (as Bragg has done) if it’s done to further another crime. Trump has not been charged with another crime, though Bragg has floated the theory that the business records were falsified to deprive 2016 voters of information about his tryst with Daniels.

There are other flaws as well. Robert Costello, one of the lawyers who worked closely with Cohen at the U.S. Attorney’s Office at the Southern District of New York, testified before the House Judiciary Committee on Wednesday that his old office declined to prosecute the hush money case against Trump because Cohen was “totally unworthy of belief.”

Cohen is Bragg’s star witness. And according to Costello, Cohen told the U.S. attorney’s office in 2018 that the “payment to Daniels was his own idea, designed to try and get him back into the inner circle of Trump people in Washington.”

That is damning testimony from a far more credible source than Cohen, who pleaded guilty in 2018 to lying to Congress and served two and a half years in prison.

It’s still quite possible that the Manhattan jury will convict Trump on the 34 felony charges Bragg has brought. But there is no chance the conviction will withstand appeal, particularly given that it relies so heavily on Cohen’s testimony.

At best the anti-Trump “resistance” will win a Pyrrhic victory. They may get their headline: “Trump Convicted in Hush Money Trial.” But the charge will not stick.

In the meantime, Alvin Bragg has thrown the 2024 election into chaos by dragging the presumptive Republican presidential nominee into court to defend himself against an untested legal theory premised on the testimony of a convicted liar.

Trump already has proven that he will not recognize the results of elections that he doesn’t win. Bragg’s prosecution gives Trump and his supporters a ready-made excuse not to accept the results of the 2024 election should President Joe Biden prevail.

The hush money trial also gives permission and incentive to ambitious Republican prosecutors to repay Democrats in kind. Our legal system will soon be dominated by the whims of those in power as opposed to the rule of law.

Costello on Wednesday summed up the dangers of Bragg’s folly. “In the Trump case, they are seeking a conviction by any means necessary,” he said. “They do not care if it is overturned on appeal because that will likely not happen until after the election. In the meantime, they will have effectively interfered with the 2024 presidential election and perhaps influenced some voters because of an ill-gotten conviction.”

In other words, Alvin Bragg is destroying our democratic system in order to save it.
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Politics & Religion / Re: Housing/Mortgage/Real Estate
« Last post by Crafty_Dog on May 16, 2024, 09:15:26 AM »
 :-o :-o :-o :x :x :x
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Politics & Religion / Re: US Foreign Policy & Geopolitics
« Last post by Crafty_Dog on May 16, 2024, 09:08:40 AM »
https://www.britannica.com/topic/Scylla-and-Charybdis

Some ancient history profs think this may be a mythic referall to the waters between Italy and Sicily.   IIRC these played a key role in denying the Spartacus uprising a move to Sicily.
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Biden’s Election-Eve $2 Trillion Stimulus Scheme   (CTUP Newsletter, Steve Moore)

The White House is getting desperate. We noted earlier this week that Joe is airdropping tens of billions of dollars of pork spending into toss-up states.

But that’s chump change compared to the latest stimulus scheme.

The Biden administration wants the federal government via Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to provide taxpayer backing for home equity loans. Talk about mission creep. These agencies are supposed to support homeownership – not juice consumer spending.

Home equity loans — or second mortgages — use the equity in the home as collateral for quick cash. We have nothing against them. But how in the world is this in the interests of taxpayers?

It isn’t.

It’s especially inappropriate at a time when Americans are already over-leveraged up to their eyebrows. Have the Biden brainiacs looked at the record-high credit card debt of over $1 trillion? Overall total household borrowing has reached an all-time $17 trillion. The last thing the feds should be doing is encouraging more debt.
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Politics & Religion / "There's nothing to cut from this budget" ??
« Last post by DougMacG on May 16, 2024, 08:20:01 AM »
The Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion has resulted in a massive increase in federal Medicaid improper payments, which soared from an estimated $14.4 billion in 2013 to $98.7 billion in 2021 as shown in this week’s Paragon Pic. The primary reason for the increase: millions of people were enrolled in Medicaid without proper eligibility reviews.

A poorly run Medicaid program harms the truly vulnerable by misallocating resources. Because of the ACA, Washington pays a much greater share of expenses for non-disabled, working-age enrollees than traditional Medicaid enrollees like low-income children, pregnant women, seniors, and individuals with disabilities. This ACA expansion elevated rate creates a large incentive for states to enroll people under the expansion criteria.

https://paragoninstitute.org/paragon-pic/the-affordable-care-acts-medicaid-expansion-caused-improper-payments-to-soar/
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Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« Last post by DougMacG on May 16, 2024, 07:36:20 AM »
AGREE!!!

Trump was an hubristic asshole in the first debate and set himself up for the mike cutoff demand now.

Yes.  Trump needs to approach it with the completely different mindset. In the first debate of 2020, Trump's strategy was to try to rattle Biden. Biden is a terrible interrupter, and Trump knew it and he knew it was two against one, so he started writing talking over everyone and making the whole thing unwatchable. 

They get equal time. They need to shut microphones off if necessary, each candidate gets to use their time. The questions will be biased of course but that's the playing field that Trump has agreed to. Just call out the questioner as well as the opponent for being purely political, and go on and win the argument.

We keep saying it but he needs to attack the Democrat policies, not the man. He needs to win Senate seats and the house as well. He needs to recognize this is a change of Direction election, and if he doesn't sweep all of those it isn't going to change the direction. He's an older man now and he's got to look at this as being way more then about him.

Trump seems to know this time around that temperament is a big issue for. Think white suburban soccer moms, they will never vote for an imbecile. The Democratic argument last time was put the adults back in charge. That turned out to be a joke with the Biden democratic policies. Trump needs to be the adult in the room in both debates.

If he wants the debates to help his candidacy, he has to do his part to make them watchable. Swing voters and undecideds are not going to watch three or four people shouting over each other for one and a half to 2 hours.
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"An overwhelming majority of Americans support Israel in its war against Hamas over the militant group running the Gaza Strip, according to a new poll.

The Harvard CAPS-Harris survey shared with The Hill showed 80 percent of registered voters said they support Israel more in the war, while 20 percent said they support Hamas more
."

https://thehill.com/policy/international/4629597-americans-israel-hamas-gaza-student-protests-poll/
-------------

[Doug]  As far as I know, Joe Biden has been a supporter of Israel his entire career. Yet he hedges on support of this operation, existential to Israel. How would we like it if some other power put constraints on our ability to fight our enemy in any of our conflicts, iraq, Afghanistan, even World War II?

Look at this politically since that's what President Biden is doing. 80% support Israel but the percentage that support this military operation is way smaller, a slight majority. Of the 20% that support hamas, let's assume all of them are Democrat or at least Left leaning.

That means 40 to 50% of the Democrat Party doesn't even support Israel to win, much less this military operation.

Politically, we look for 60/40 issues and keep finding 80/20 issues. Not to get off topic but 80% support some restriction on abortion and the Democratic party is pursuing no restrictions.  They obviously see this election as a base turnout election.

2.4% of the US is Jewish. 70% of those are Democrat. In rough numbers, 4% of Biden's base is Jewish. In a close election that is also a group he cannot afford to lose,

I wouldn't want to be Joe Biden right now or his advisors, deciding life and death and strategic policies based on which way the political winds are blowing, absent principles or convictions.

The majority of ardent Israel supporters in this country I believe are white, Christian, conservative voters who won't vote for Biden under any circumstances either.

Democrats invented this political box they live in and it has worked for them to some degree so far. Now they have to live with it. Support Israel and live with the media lies about the civilian casualties, or come to the rescue of Hamas and leave the Middle East In perpetual war.

Impossible decision if you have no backbone.
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Politics & Religion / Re: 2024
« Last post by Crafty_Dog on May 16, 2024, 06:49:35 AM »
AGREE!!!

Trump was an hubristic asshole in the first debate and set himself up for the mike cutoff demand now.
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