Author Topic: Political Economics  (Read 880740 times)

Crafty_Dog

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Americans losing jobs, foreigners gaining jobs
« Reply #2550 on: September 07, 2024, 09:54:49 AM »
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/jobs-report-boom-migrants-slump-americans

Jobs report is a boom for migrants, slump for Americans
Data released by the Department of Labor shows native-born Americans lost more than 1.3 million jobs over the last 12 months

By Michael Dorgan FOXBusiness

The new August jobs report shows employment numbers of U.S.-born workers and foreign-born workers going on two very different trajectories.

Data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, an arm of the Department of Labor, shows native-born Americans lost more than 1.3 million jobs over the last 12 months, while foreign-born workers gained more than 1.2 million jobs.

The news comes as U.S. job growth picked up in August but missed economists' expectations, while the unemployment rate changed little.

Data released by the Department of Labor shows native-born Americans lost more than 1.3 million jobs over the last 12 months. (Robert Gauthier/Los Angeles Times / Getty Images)

As of August of this year, there are 129,712,000 native-born workers compared to 131,031,000 in August 2023, meaning a plummeting reduction of 1,319,000 jobs.

In comparison, there were 31,636,000 foreign-born workers in the U.S. as of last month, compared to 30,396,000 in August 2023, a surge of 1,240,000 jobs.

The figures do not differentiate between foreign-born workers who entered the country with authorization, i.e. Green Card holders and those with working visas, and those who entered without prior authorization.

The U.S. has witnessed a surge of immigrants under the Biden-Harris administration, with figures from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) showing a net gain of more than 9 million immigrants since the end of 2020.

FED'S ACTIONS SPOKE LOUDER THAN WORDS TO MARKETS IN FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION, RESEARCH FINDS

manufacturing plant
The number of jobs added in June and July were both revised downward. (Jeff Kowalsky/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

About 2.6 million of those immigrants are lawful "permanent residents," which includes green-card holders and other immigrants who came through legal channels such as family or employment-based visas. The remaining 6.5 million foreign nationals, referred to as "other foreign nationals," are made up of those who crossed the southern border without prior authorization.

The U.S. Department of Labor on Friday reported that employers added 142,000 jobs in August, compared to the 160,000 gain that was projected by LSEG economists.

The unemployment rate also dipped slightly to 4.2%, in line with expectations, after it had unexpectedly risen to 4.3% in July, which was the highest level for the jobless rate since October 2021.

The U.S. Department of Labor on Friday reported that employers added 142,000 jobs in August, compared to the 160,000 gain that was projected by LSEG economists. (Jordan Vonderhaar/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

The number of jobs added in the prior two months were both revised downward, with job creation in June revised down by 61,000 from a gain of 179,000 to 118,000, while July was revised down by 25,000 from 114,000 to 89,000. With the revision, July's job creation was the lowest nonfarm payrolls reading since December 2020.

The construction sector saw employment rise by 34,000 in August — above the average monthly gain of 19,000 over the last 12 months. Health care employment increased by 31,000 jobs, below the 12-month average of 60,000.

Multiple jobholders increased by 65,000 to 8,538,000, and the number of part-time workers increased by 527,000, while full-time workers decreased by 438,000.
« Last Edit: September 07, 2024, 09:57:55 AM by Crafty_Dog »



DougMacG

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Re: Biden Harris policies of destroyed the poor and middle classes
« Reply #2553 on: September 12, 2024, 03:53:03 AM »
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/09/biden_harris_policies_have_destroyed_the_poor_and_middle_classes.html

(Doug). All items at Dollar Tree literally cost a dollar when Trump was President.

If the US dollar loses 25% of its original value every 4 years under these policies, how much is left after the proposed 5 terms of Biden, Harris, Walz?  Less than zero?

DougMacG

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Inflation, Income, Jobs, Biden Harris bot good! WSJ
« Reply #2554 on: September 18, 2024, 08:06:44 PM »
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/economy-census-data-inflation-income-jobs-joe-biden-kamala-harris-45838987

Paywall, I would like to post the comparative chart.

Kamala Harris says the Biden Administration rescued the U.S. economy. The truth is that the Biden inflation has left most Americans worse off than they were before the pandemic. The latest evidence comes from Tuesday’s Census Bureau report on household income, poverty and health coverage in 2023.

The good, and maybe the only good, news is that the median inflation-adjusted household income increased last year for the first time since 2019. However, Hispanics, Asians and blacks didn’t experience statistically significant income growth.

Real median earnings for full-time workers last year declined 1.6% and even more for high-school grads (3.3%). This means inflation outpaced wage gains for most low-wage workers. One culprit may be that workers logged fewer hours and less overtime as the labor market started to soften, especially in leisure, hospitality and manufacturing.

The upshot is that real median household income remains lower than in 2019 and has barely grown since 2020. The contrast between the first three years of the Trump and Biden presidencies is striking. See the nearby table.
  Paywall
« Last Edit: September 18, 2024, 09:26:30 PM by DougMacG »

DougMacG

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Re: Political Economics
« Reply #2555 on: September 24, 2024, 09:30:58 AM »
So much for believing a former Fed Chair is an unbiased, non-partisan voice.

"The administration has helped America through hard times."

   - We were coming out with a v-shaped recovery until they screwed it up, good grief!

"there’s more to do to bring down the cost of living"
 
   - They are not bringing down the cost of living.  They brought down the rate that prices are increasing on top of the outrageous previous increases - they caused!

"We then navigated additional crises, including the energy shock from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine."

   - The energy shock started with the US election result and incoming change of policy direction.

"The U.S. labor market recovered faster from the 2020 recession than from previous recessions."

   - States went from closed to open.  There is no comparison to point to.

"We know that prices of essentials like energy, housing and healthcare remain too high"

   - Their policies aim to make all those costs higher.

[Continuing the tax rate cuts] "would explode the federal deficit."

   - Funny, they didn't do that the first time, BUT YOUR RECKLESS SPENDING DID!

"Our economic strategy has helped America weather hard events, from a global pandemic to the biggest war in Europe since World War II, and build toward the future."

   - No.  Your policies enriched and emboldened Putin (and Iran) causing this worst war, and another one, and another one.

Whether she is a moron or a liar, she is a complete denier of economic science and data.  Denier of cause and effect.


https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-biden-harris-economic-success-fd25ab29?st=RPsyu9

The Biden-Harris Economic Success
The administration has helped America through hard times.
By Janet L. Yellen
Sept. 22, 2024

The economy has been marked by a combination of developments that few thought possible this year. Inflation is down significantly while the unemployment rate remains near historic lows. Economic growth has been strong, bolstered by robust consumer spending and business investment. Risks remain, but the data suggest that we’re on the path to a soft landing.

While there’s more to do to bring down the cost of living, I believe that Americans can feel optimistic about their economic futures. Because wages have risen faster than prices, the typical American can now afford more goods and services than before the pandemic. Americans earning less have seen the largest wage gains. The black unemployment rate reached a historic low last year. The gap between urban and rural unemployment rates has narrowed.

None of this has happened by chance. When President Biden and Vice President Harris took office, thousands of Americans were dying from Covid-19, and the unemployment rate was 50% higher than it is today. In that first year, our administration provided financial support to households and prevented an eviction crisis. We vaccinated millions to save lives and allow businesses to reopen safely.

We then navigated additional crises, including the energy shock from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. And we made critical investments in infrastructure and manufacturing—from clean energy to semiconductors—including in training Americans for jobs in these cutting-edge industries. Our actions helped reverse the pandemic’s shock to our ability to produce goods and services and are boosting our economy’s long-run potential output: a strategy I’ve called modern supply-side economics.

Comparisons show that this strategy has been paying off. The U.S. labor market recovered faster from the 2020 recession than from previous recessions. Economic growth surpassed private-sector predictions of a modest recovery. And the U.S. has outperformed many other advanced economies, with greater real gross domestic product growth and a faster decline in inflation while maintaining a strong labor market.

At this moment, our policy choices are crucial. The president, the vice president and I believe we need investments that bring down costs and double down on our strategy for strong and broad-based long-term growth. We know that prices of essentials like energy, housing and healthcare remain too high, so our top economic priority is lowering them. Investing to build more housing, where challenges have been mounting for decades, would make life more affordable for families. Expanding support for child care would bring more Americans into the labor force. And building on the billions of dollars already headed toward infrastructure, clean energy and semiconductors—including in communities that hadn’t historically benefited—would reduce energy costs and increase productivity.

Veering off course could jeopardize our economic trajectory. Permanent tax cuts that are stacked toward the wealthy and are unpaid for would explode the federal deficit. Repealing investments in the industries of the future would stunt growth. And pursuing nontargeted, nonstrategic international economic policies would raise costs for Americans and cause global turmoil.

Our economic strategy has helped America weather hard events, from a global pandemic to the biggest war in Europe since World War II, and build toward the future. Our administration is committed to sustaining and building on our progress.

Ms. Yellen is U.S. Treasury secretary.
« Last Edit: September 24, 2024, 10:51:11 AM by DougMacG »

ccp

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Re: Political Economics
« Reply #2556 on: September 24, 2024, 10:37:06 AM »
she is so full of s''t

covering for not only Biden but for her own lying ass.

she should have resigned or been fired.

but of course we know Dems do that.

DougMacG

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Holistic Economics, A New Way Forward?
« Reply #2557 on: September 25, 2024, 08:26:33 PM »
https://x.com/PolitiBunny/status/1839098760611205440?t=qje9JYHAXxD0v0VwSMEmHQ&s=19

She learned a new word but their approach is the exact opposite of holistic.   They only know how to break things into pieces and play one part against the other.  They are in denial that all the parts of the economy are interconnected.

For example, they said they wouldn't raise taxes on anyone who makes less than $400,000.  But a tax on the rich is a tax on capital, a tax on the economy, and a therefore a tax on workers, like it or not.

And don't forget, inflation is a tax.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johngoodman/2024/06/02/the-inflation-tax/
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/580043-the-inflation-tax-is-not-only-real-its-massive/

Conversely, the lowering of the corporate income tax raised the real wages of blacks and Hispanics to the highest levels in history.  How can that be?

They want to tax unrealized capital gains only on people who have 100 million or whatever, but they don't realize that forced asset sales in large scale will drive down the market for everyone's investments.  The so-called small people are (always) hurt the worst.

They don't know that and they don't care.
« Last Edit: September 26, 2024, 06:19:58 AM by DougMacG »

ccp

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Re: Political Economics
« Reply #2558 on: September 26, 2024, 06:59:12 AM »
"They want to tax unrealized capital gains only on people who have 100 million or whatever, but they don't realize that forced asset sales in large scale will drive down the market for everyone's investments.  The so-called small people are (always) hurt the worst.

They don't know that and they don't care."

right!
they only know slogans:

tax the rich!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

make them  pay their "fair share"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Even though they already pay more than their fair share  :roll:

Body-by-Guinness

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The Most Important Graph(s)
« Reply #2559 on: October 01, 2024, 09:05:56 AM »
Piece well corrolating prosperity with the leisure time to worry about environmental impacts, the disenfranchised, and the general ability to deal with things beyond existential existence. Ironically, we wouldn't the the leisure time to develop a "Progressive" class devoted to undoing the benefits of prosperity if the prosperity hadn't occurred in the first place:

https://humanprogress.org/the-most-important-graph-in-the-world/


Crafty_Dog

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Re: Political Economics
« Reply #2561 on: October 09, 2024, 08:50:13 AM »
A major piece of the Rep/Conservative/Wall Street powers that be (including the Wall Street Journal editorial page) dislike and/or hate Trump precisely because he gets in the way of making money via cheaper labor, be it by producing in law wage countries and exporting low/no tariffs to America and/or importing the cheap labor to here.  (Putting a academic name to it, the Ricardian Theory of the Benefits of International Trade)

The fact that importing cheap labor by fair means or foul (quite a bit of the latter!!!) means that the number of working Americans is hundreds of thousands less (near 700k?), and the increase in the number of foreigners (legal and illegal) working here exceeds one million matters not to them-- nor does the fact that we rely China for medicines/medicinal ingredients, chips for matters of national security, etc etc.

DougMacG

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Political Economics, 76% Struggle to pay bills due to Kamalaflation
« Reply #2562 on: October 10, 2024, 08:56:43 PM »
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/three-quarters-of-americans-struggling-with-bills-because-of-inflation/ar-AA1rUmJs?ocid=BingNewsVerp

Who knew that "opportunity economy" meant opportunities for government to spend more money instead of you.

DougMacG

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« Last Edit: October 11, 2024, 05:37:50 AM by DougMacG »

Crafty_Dog

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Re: Political Economics
« Reply #2564 on: October 11, 2024, 08:54:06 AM »
I wish the reporting would focus less on the 2% and the $20% numbers and more on the food inflation number, the insurance numbers, the mortgage numbers and the like.

DougMacG

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Political Economics, inflation, cumulative price increases, consequences
« Reply #2565 on: October 14, 2024, 03:55:29 AM »
https://dailycallernewsfoundation.org/2024/10/12/make-america-affordable-inflation-2020-higher-prices-2024-election/

Welcome back pp!!

Harris Biden cumulative inflation is 21% so far, for less than 4 years, so with compounding that is an average of 6% inflation!  These are Nixon, 1970s like numbers but the potential for it to end worse is far greater. Overspending is much worse now, running close to 40% over revenues.

Even Trump cumulative inflation was 8% over 4 years, averaging 2% with compounding, right on the so called target.

Compound either one of these records out over a few Presidential terms and anyone can see it is criminal (and counterproductive) to tax the massive inflationary component of a capital gain.

When it doesn't make sense to sell assets, people don't sell them.  That is the opposite of a robust, dynamic, free market economy that benefits everyone.
« Last Edit: October 14, 2024, 05:45:46 AM by DougMacG »

ppulatie

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Re: Political Economics
« Reply #2566 on: October 14, 2024, 06:18:54 AM »
Good Morning Doug! Good to be back.

(You are likely aware of this, but I post for those who are not.)

Even as you have calculated the Inflation Rate at 21% cumulative so far for the Biden years, so sorry to say that it is in error due to the way Inflation is calculated.

For Core Inflation in food, the calculations have been deliberately underreported. That is because of the methodology.

Assume for purposes of an example, I am on a fixed income. I have a set of food items I always purchase, which includes steak priced at $6.99 a pound. However, the price jumps up to $12.99 a pound. I cannot buy that anymore, so instead of steak, I start buying hamburger meat at $5.99 a pound.

Calculations on food inflation would not include the steak now at $12.99. Instead, the food items for inflation calculations would "drop" the steak and instead would use hamburger meat. So for inflation reporting, the meat category would show "deflation" since hamburger is priced lower than steak was at the $6.99 level.

Bottom line is that the inflation numbers are manipulated to achieve lower results and do not affect the reality of the price increases.

Hope this makes since. Coffee has not yet kicked in.
PPulatie

DougMacG

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Re: Political Economics
« Reply #2567 on: October 14, 2024, 07:36:35 AM »
Yes that's right.   Inflation measures are understated and difficult to measure.

Also, I use 'inflation' to refer to general price level, meaning the reduction in your standard of living assuming a steady income.  Substituting cheaper goods, like your example of ground beef for steak  because of price, is a further reduction in the standard of living.

Real inflation is monetary: the rate of increase of total money relative to total goods and services in the economy, two things impossible to measure.

These measures are understated but people can play around with inflation calculators at:
https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl
https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/

Cumulative rate of inflation since the Federal Reserve took charge of the dollar: 3084.9%

Makes you want to have an economic policy that is more of the same??

The dollar has lost 3/4ths of it's value since I started buying real estate.  80% lost in my adult lifetime, and I'm still young!  And as you say, these are understated measures.

The "normal", targeted rate of inflation is horrible, 8-10% every Presidential term.  With Trump we had covid closures especially in blue states and record deficits resulting, and he still kept inflation within the 'normal' level.  Under this clown show, the price increases were 3 times worse than what is already unacceptable.  And that doesn't show the long term damage of all the future compounding.

It's not just numbers; it's what people feel.  With everything on plastic and electronic with automatic pay and so on, people don't notice things like electricity doubling again as quickly as if it came directly out of their pocket, but they do notice eventually, when credit card debt and bankruptcies explode.
« Last Edit: October 14, 2024, 07:41:09 AM by DougMacG »


DougMacG

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Re: Nobel Prize in economics
« Reply #2569 on: October 14, 2024, 12:13:12 PM »

DougMacG

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Walgreens to close 1200 stores, TrueValue Bankrupt, Boeing lays off 17k
« Reply #2570 on: October 15, 2024, 10:17:36 AM »
Kamalanomics Economy is going 'swimmingly'?

Apparently they didn't "price gouge" enough.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/15/business/walgreens-closures-earnings/index.html

How does getting rid of neighborhood pharmacies, hardware stores (and local grocers) help the 'little guy'?

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/true-value-chapter-11-do-it-best-bankruptcy/

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/boeing-prepares-layoff-notices-thousands-workers-turmoil-deepens-rcna175431
« Last Edit: October 15, 2024, 10:27:34 AM by DougMacG »

DougMacG

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22% of voters see the term 'Bidenomics' positively
« Reply #2571 on: October 16, 2024, 06:08:33 AM »
www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/chuck-todd-will-biden-cost-harris-election-rcna175421

Silly Chuck Todd thinks Biden's record may hurt Kamala, but results from Kamala unleashed will be much, much worse.
« Last Edit: October 16, 2024, 06:44:30 AM by DougMacG »

DougMacG

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Re: Walgreens to close 1200 stores, TrueValue Bankrupt, Boeing lays off 17k
« Reply #2572 on: October 16, 2024, 08:36:52 AM »
Kamalanomics Economy is going 'swimmingly'?

Apparently they didn't "price gouge" enough.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/15/business/walgreens-closures-earnings/index.html

How does getting rid of neighborhood pharmacies, hardware stores (and local grocers) help the 'little guy'?

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/true-value-chapter-11-do-it-best-bankruptcy/

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/boeing-prepares-layoff-notices-thousands-workers-turmoil-deepens-rcna175431

Oops I missed 7-Eleven closing stores across the country:
https://pjmedia.com/stephen-kruiser/2024/10/16/the-morning-briefing-bidenomics-wrecking-ball-continues-handing-campaign-ammo-to-trump-n4933365

On the current track, soon we will only have empty shelf government stores - with great price controls.

DougMacG

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Political Economics: That was NOT a Monster Jobs Report
« Reply #2573 on: October 18, 2024, 08:11:22 AM »

Scroll right to see the rest.

See if you can spot the trend...

https://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/

Scott G calls Biden Harris growth report a Nothingburger.

Note that he tracks private sector jobs when all the Biden Harris growth is in government sector jobs.

Everything is getting worse and worse.
« Last Edit: October 18, 2024, 08:14:59 AM by DougMacG »