Author Topic: Israel, and its neighbors  (Read 886251 times)

Crafty_Dog

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2550 on: May 03, 2022, 06:47:16 PM »
Did you notice my Subject line?

G M

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2551 on: May 03, 2022, 10:08:00 PM »
I did. You were being overly generous.

ccp

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stratford
« Reply #2552 on: May 04, 2022, 07:02:48 AM »
sometimes there are a few good points

but overall honestly
I read lots and lots of verbiage with very little to take away from there articles

I find it hard to read
and get virtually nothing for the effort

just my take
but then again I prefer articles that get to the point faster
same for medicine articles .....

Crafty_Dog

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2553 on: May 04, 2022, 03:26:37 PM »
I have a residual respect for Stratfor that was established when George Friedman was at the helm.  Now I post it more in the spirit of "FWIW". 

Crafty_Dog

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GPF: Israel, Lebanon, Hezbollah
« Reply #2554 on: June 16, 2022, 06:20:43 AM »
June 16, 2022
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Israel Calls Hezbollah’s Bluff
In its maritime dispute with Lebanon, Israel has been undeterred by Hezbollah’s empty threats.
By: Hilal Khashan

Earlier this month, the Israeli-contracted Energean Power gas rig reached the Suez Canal from Singapore on its way to the Karish gas field, located in a disputed maritime zone between Israel and Lebanon. The Lebanese government responded by asking the U.S. to dispatch its envoy for energy affairs, Amos Hochstein, to Beirut to resume stalled negotiations over the contested area. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah also warned that Hezbollah could block Israeli activities in the area to protect Lebanese resources and territorial claims.

Despite the hostile rhetoric toward Israel, however, Lebanon’s issue is primarily a product of its sectarian political system and domestic rivalries. Hezbollah’s claims to defend Lebanese gas wealth against Israeli ambitions are part of its propaganda, aimed at justifying maintaining its own military arsenal. It can’t risk instigating an armed conflict with Israel over this affair and therefore will pressure the Lebanese government to reach a deal.

Origins of the Dispute

The origin of the dispute goes back to the controversial 1923 Paulet-Newcombe Agreement that drew the border between the Lebanon and Palestine mandates. In 2000, when Israel withdrew from southern Lebanon, the United Nations produced a map to determine if Israel had fully pulled out of Lebanese territory. The map included a maritime boundary line and was readily accepted by Lebanon. However, when seismic surveys in the mid-2000s showed potentially substantial gas deposits in the Levantine basin covering the coasts of Syria, Lebanon and Israel, Beirut rejected the previously agreed-to boundaries and demanded a larger share of the sea than the 2000 arrangement would have allowed. Part of the disputed area is what’s called Block 9, a portion of the sea that has shown particularly promising results in these studies.

Lebanon-Israel Maritime Boundary Dispute
(click to enlarge)

In 2012, the Lebanese government rejected U.S. mediator Frederic Hof’s offer to resolve the disagreement by giving Lebanon two-thirds and Israel one-third of the entire disputed area totaling 330 square miles. But the lack of diplomatic relations between the two countries has prevented an agreement from being reached. According to Israel, security issues and its lack of diplomatic recognition also complicate the conflict. The enclosed Eastern Mediterranean basin also precludes countries in the region from claiming an exclusive economic zone extending 200 nautical miles from their coasts, as allowed for under the U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea. The two countries were on the verge of signing a deal based on Hof’s proposal in 2013, but Lebanon’s political instability prevented it from happening. That year, the U.S. dispatched another mediator, Amos Hochstein, to negotiate a settlement. However, Lebanese vacillation, frequent change of demands, and obsession with irrelevant details forced the U.S. to shelve these efforts last year.

Disputed Maritime Borders and Gas Blocks
(click to enlarge)

Gas as a Domestic Issue

Lebanon has long been aware of the potential of its untapped resources. In 1926, the French high commissioner for the Levant authorized exploration activities on Lebanese lands and waters. Subsequent seismic surveys showed great potential for finding natural gas. Though the 1975-1989 civil war postponed assessment of its petroleum potential, Lebanon commissioned British firm Spectrum to conduct a two-dimensional survey of its waters in 2002. The study showed a great possibility of striking significant hydrocarbon assets in Lebanon’s exclusive economic zone. Estimates suggest that its exploitable gas deposits could total 12 trillion to 25 trillion cubic feet.

However, Lebanon’s fundamental problem in accessing these resources is its own domestic squabbling, not Israel. U.S. diplomats have been appalled by Lebanese intransigence about a minor dispute and the loss of billions of dollars in revenue that could have staved off the country’s financial collapse. But like everything else in Lebanon, the hydrocarbon issue has been complicated by sectarian friction. Blocks 1 and 2 lie in the waters of Sunni-majority areas in the north, while blocks 3-6 overlook Maronite-populated areas and blocks 7-10 lie on the coast of the Shiite south.

Lebanon's Distribution of Religious Groups
(click to enlarge)

While Lebanese and Israeli delegates negotiated indirectly under the auspices of U.N. and U.S. mediators, politicians in Beirut disagreed over what they wanted. President Michel Aoun refused to ratify Decree 6433, a government-backed plan pushed by Lebanon’s negotiating team that would have extended the country’s claims in the disputed waters from a boundary known as Line 23 to Line 29, adding 552 square miles to its maritime zone. Aoun initially justified his unwillingness to sign the decree by saying it was issued in 2020 by a caretaker Cabinet that lacked the mandate to make policy. He would have settled for limiting Lebanon’s claim to Line 23 if it gave the country full access to the Qana gas field, which would have meant recognizing Israel’s sovereignty over the Karish gas field. He hoped this concession, which put him at odds with Lebanese Shiites, would sway the U.S. to remove sanctions against his son-in-law and presidential aspirant Jibran Bassil. Last year, U.S. Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs David Hale praised Aoun for dropping Lebanon’s claim to Line 29, though the dispute remained unsettled.

In 2020, the Lebanese government came under pressure from Christian factions to explore for gas in undisputed areas farther north. TotalEnergies began drilling in Block 4, but to the government’s disappointment, it found no gas in commercial quantities, forcing Lebanon to refocus hopes on the areas under dispute with Israel, including Block 9, which is the most promising of the blocks included in Lebanese claims.

For years, Lebanese officials mismanaged this issue, just as they have mishandled other public resources. In a country where civil society groups that could advocate for the public good are absent, officials have been preoccupied with managing their own wealth. Lebanon refused to establish a national hydrocarbon company and a sovereign wealth fund. Politicians spent two years squabbling over sectarian representation before establishing a national petroleum administration, finally deciding to rotate the chief executive officer annually. This is a reflection of a political system that rests on a loose sectarian alliance striving to maintain balance among its constituent factions. Moreover, Sunni prime ministers have consistently delayed signing documents related to gas exploitation fearing exclusion from the profits that could result from significant discoveries, given that much of the potential gas deposits lie next to Shiite and Maronite Christian-majority areas.

This behavior has stunned the U.N., the U.S. and energy companies, all of which wasted valuable time because of Lebanese politicians’ obsession with minute details and unnecessary delays. High taxes on profits have also discouraged many companies from getting involved in exploration activities.

Hezbollah’s Limitations

Since negotiations with Israel stalled last year, Hezbollah has pushed the government behind the scenes to request that Hochstein return to Beirut to resolve the standoff. Its desire for mediation indicates that Hezbollah knows it can’t force Israel into accepting its terms – despite its repeated hostile rhetoric and threats toward the Israelis.

Iran created Hezbollah in 1985 under the pretext of resisting the Israeli occupation of south Lebanon, but after Israeli forces withdrew in 2000, Hezbollah’s anti-Israel mission ended. To justify keeping its military wing, Hezbollah launched minor cross-border operations to abduct Israeli troops and swap them with Lebanese prisoners. In 2006, a raid to kidnap soldiers did not go according to plan, precipitating a war neither side wanted. Since then, Hezbollah has not launched attacks on Israel, focusing instead on acting as Iran’s premier regional proxy.

Over the past decade, Israel has launched hundreds of airstrikes against Iranian and Hezbollah positions in Syria. It even targeted Damascus airport, destroying its runways and other vital facilities. Iran and Hezbollah, meanwhile, have consistently avoided retaliation.

Israel’s military chief said the army has thousands of targets it could attack in the next war against Hezbollah, ranging from military commands to missile systems and houses where Hezbollah munitions are stored. This would include all residential structures in south Lebanon where the United Nations Interim Forces operate. It would be suicidal therefore for Hezbollah to provoke Israel into a military confrontation. It has thus conveniently extricated itself from the maritime dispute, stressing that it would take action only if the government in Beirut determines that Israel took what rightfully belonged to Lebanon. The urgency with which the government invited Hochstein to resume his mediation efforts suggests that it too is eager to avoid armed conflict at any cost.

Diplomacy Will Prevail

After five rounds of negotiation, the U.S.-led talks broke down last year when Lebanon refused to accept a compromise deal that would have given Israel control of the Karish gas field and Lebanon two-thirds of the Qana field. The sticking point at that time was Beirut’s insistence on extending its claims to Line 29.

Hochstein expressed surprise when Lebanese officials alerted him about the arrival of the Energean Power gas rig, which he had informed them a year ago would arrive this month to explore for gas. Still, he returned to Beirut to help resolve the dispute, assured that the Lebanese wouldn’t obstruct his efforts this time. Lebanon’s bargaining position is weak. Its politicians can’t form a government, and the parliament is unlikely to elect a new president when Aoun’s term ends in September. Failure to accept Hochstein’s proposal won’t stop Israel, which will proceed with its plans to explore for gas undeterred by Nasrallah’s threats.

Meanwhile, Hochstein suggested another plan to help ease Lebanon’s chronic power shortage. He promised the Lebanese energy minister that Egypt and Jordan would be given the go-ahead to supply Lebanon with gas and electricity through Syrian territory, exempting them from sanctions that would otherwise be imposed for doing business with the Assad regime. Hochstein also promised to convince Iraq to extend fuel donations to Lebanon for another year. After running out of room to haggle and realizing that Hezbollah won’t challenge Israel’s activities in the disputed maritime areas, Lebanese negotiators are now facing a moment of truth.

DougMacG

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Crafty_Dog

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DougMacG

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DougMacG

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Israel, (more from) Walter Russell Mead
« Reply #2558 on: July 16, 2022, 06:01:15 AM »
https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2022/07/walter-russell-mead-the-arc-of-a-covenant.php

He is the author of Special Providence: American Foreign Policy and How It Changed the World (2002), perhaps the most important foreign policy book of the past 25 years, and, most recently, The Arc of a Covenant: The United States, Israel, and the Fate of the Jewish People,
« Last Edit: July 16, 2022, 06:04:02 AM by DougMacG »

DougMacG

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The Palestinians and Pres Biden's false analogy
« Reply #2559 on: July 17, 2022, 07:58:55 AM »
The Irish wanted freedom and independence from England, not the destruction of England.

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2022/07/lets_teach_joe_biden_why_the_palestinians_are_not_like_the_irish.html

Crafty_Dog

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Stratfor: Israel and Russia friction
« Reply #2560 on: July 18, 2022, 04:10:00 PM »
Russia and Israel's Row Over Ukraine Risks Bleeding Into Syria
7 MIN READJul 18, 2022 | 20:51 GMT





Russian President Vladimir Putin (right) speaks with then-Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett in Sochi, Russia, on Oct. 22 2021.
Russian President Vladimir Putin (right) speaks with then-Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett (left) in Sochi, Russia, on Oct. 22, 2021.

(YEVGENY BIYATOV/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images)

Russian pressure on Israel to reduce support for Ukraine and ease airstrikes against Iranian targets in Syria could trigger a diplomatic crisis or accidental military escalation between the two — particularly in Syria, where the Israeli-Russo relationship is becoming tenser. On July 5, Russia's foreign ministry demanded Israel cease a long-running covert air campaign against Iranian targets in Syria after Israeli warplanes hit a reputed Iranian position relatively close to Russia's naval base in Tartus. That same day, Israel accused Moscow of threatening to close down the Jewish Agency in Russia, which aids Jewish immigration and visits to Israel (known as "Aliyah"). In June, Russia also criticized an Israeli airstrike on the Damascus airport that shut down the airport for days.

Israeli-Russian ties in Syria have been largely pragmatic. Up until recently, Moscow had tolerated Israel's airstrikes aimed at degrading Iran's military influence, including those in Syria's Latakia province, where Russia's air and naval bases lie. But Russia's ongoing war in Ukraine has become a drain on its military resources in Syria, where Moscow has withdrawn some of its troops to fight in Europe. This has made maintaining Iranian military influence more important in fulfilling Russia's aim of consolidating Syrian President Bashar al Assad's control of the country. Moscow has, in turn, become warier of Israeli airstrikes against Iran in Syria, seeing them as potentially destabilizing for the al Assad regime. As part of this new concern, in May, a Russian-operated but Syrian-owned S-300 missile system reportedly targeted Israeli jets in Syria.
Russia has also expressed strong displeasure about Israel's diplomatic and defensive material support for Ukraine. Israel has sent limited numbers of helmets and kevlar to Ukrainian troops fighting Russian forces. Roughly a month after Russia launched its invasion in February, Israel also allowed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to virtually address lawmakers in the Israeli Knesset. These actions have angered Russia, which in early May, accused Israel of supporting unproven neo-Nazis in Ukraine and sending mercenaries to fight against Russia. During his visit to Israel on July 14, U.S. President Joe Biden reportedly asked Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid to expand Israel's military assistance to Ukraine, which would risk only further ramping up tensions with Moscow.
Russian-Israeli relations remain anchored by a strong mutual desire to avoid conflict, making it unlikely either country actively seeks a confrontation in Syria. Russia does not have an interest in Iran's regional anti-Israel campaign, which previously saw Moscow largely ignore Israeli air activity over Syria — especially when the targets of those strikes didn't affect the overall civil war. Israel, for its part, has also historically not objected to Russia's position in Syria and alliance with the al Assad regime, which does not target or otherwise impact Israel. This shared neutrality toward each other's actions in Syria has seen Russia and Israel regularly de-conflict in the country. Indeed, shortly after Russia invaded Ukraine, former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett flew to Moscow in early March to try to establish Israel as a possible facilitator for brokering a cease-fire with Kyiv. Despite the recent uptick in tensions over Ukraine, Russia and Israel also still have deep cultural, social and economic ties. And these ties remain intact, as Israel has notably not joined the Western sanctions campaign against Russia and continues to host some Russian oligarchs.

The Soviet Union established the Tartus naval facility in 1971 as it backed Syria against U.S.-allied Israel in the Cold War. But hostilities between Moscow and Israel ended with the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991. The Russian Federation has since used the Soviet-era naval base in Syria to retain influence in the eastern Mediterranean, not to target U.S. allies like Israel in the region.
However, Russia's increasing reliance on Iran to secure strategic gains in Syria will increase its willingness to slow Israeli airstrikes against Iranian targets. Israel's airstrikes against Iran — which is a close ally of the Russian-backed regime in Damascus — now carry a greater risk of destabilizing the Syrian government, as the war in Ukraine continues to strain Moscow's ability to protect al Assad's forces. For Russia, continuing to allow Israel to launch such attacks also risks jeopardizing its relationship with Tehran — one of Moscow's key allies against the U.S.- and European-led economic isolation campaign. This increased economic and security reliance on Tehran's role in Syria will likely prompt Moscow to try to slow Israeli airstrikes. Through the de-confliction communication lines it has established with Israel, Moscow may try to try to convince Israel not to strike certain targets or areas, like the sensitive Latakia province and the Damascus airport, as well as other strategic sites that are either associated with Syria's economy or are particularly important to Iran. Russia might also threaten to give Syrian forces the green light to use Russian-made weapons, such as the S-300 air defense system, to more frequently target Israeli warplanes — either by locking on to the jets or by actually firing at them. In the most extreme case, Moscow might threaten to use the S-400 missile defense system against Israeli warplanes if they target locations Russia considers particularly sensitive. Russia, however, is unlikely to follow through on such a threat, as unlike Syria's S-300, the S-400 is directly operated by the Russian military. Using this system directly on Israeli warplanes would thus almost certainly trigger a direct military crisis between Russia and Israel, and potentially the United States.

Israeli airstrikes harm the Syrian economy by damaging infrastructure (including border crossings, ports and airports). This deters trade and business Damascus needs, undermining Syrian stability.
Israel's warming ties with Ukraine make Russia more likely to continue cutting off its diplomatic and cultural ties with Israel as well. Over 150,000 Jews remain in Russia. Around 900,000 Jews in Israel are also Russian or of Russian descent. This deep cultural and social connection gives Israel a strong political incentive to maintain ties with Moscow, as evidenced by Isreal's resistance to imposing Ukraine-related sanctions. But this also gives Moscow some leverage to try to limit Israel's ties with Ukraine, as Russia can threaten travel bans, block communication, disrupt immigration and travel to Israel (Aliyah), and, in the most extreme cases, arrest prominent Jews in Russia. Russia is also a notable source of tourism for Israel, with Russian tourists making up around 10% of all tourists in 2021, second only to the United States.

Accidental escalation remains possible as Russia attempts to carry out this relationship reframe, which could result in a diplomatic rupture or a military confrontation in Syria. Israel may not meet Russian demands to pare down airstrikes, especially if U.S.-Iran nuclear talks collapse and spur a regional military escalation. Russia would then either have to risk its credibility as a protector of the Syrian government or a possible military confrontation with Israel. Even using Syrian-owned S-300s against Israel could spark a confrontation if Israeli warplanes destroy an S-300 battery and cause Russian casualties. Meanwhile, if Russia overuses its social and economic leverage to push Israel away from Ukraine, it could backfire by causing Israel to align more with Ukraine and the West's isolation campaign against Russia.

Russian attempts to leverage its social and economic influence against Israel could embolden long-entrenched anti-Semitic elements in the country. Russian Jews are already reporting an increase in anti-Semitic incidents in Russia.
Since the re-imposition of U.S.-led sanctions on Iran in 2018, Israel has escalated its covert campaign against Iran's nuclear and missile programs, including carrying out assassinations and reported drone strikes inside Iran itself. The covert campaign carries a latent risk of regional escalation.

G M

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You'd think Israel would be very sensitive about such things
« Reply #2561 on: July 31, 2022, 09:10:10 AM »

Crafty_Dog

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Hezbollah-Iran threaten Israel's gas fields
« Reply #2562 on: August 10, 2022, 11:09:29 AM »
Iran's Long Reach Threatens Israeli Gas Drilling and American Troops
by Ioannis E. Kotoulas
Special to IPT News
August 10, 2022

https://www.investigativeproject.org/9234/iran-long-reach-threatens-israeli-gas-drilling

Crafty_Dog

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GPF: Hamas and Islamic Jihad
« Reply #2563 on: August 11, 2022, 03:05:47 AM »
August 11, 2022
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The Ideological Division Between Hamas and Islamic Jihad
Hamas is transitioning from a terrorist organization into a peace partner.
By: Hilal Khashan

Israel's decisive triumph in the 1967 Six-Day War discredited pan-Arab nationalist movements and secular leaders. It gave impetus to state-oppressed religious groups, such as Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood, which promoted political Islam to overcome Arab weaknesses and lead to victory. Israel's capture of the West Bank and Gaza in 1967 convinced many Palestinians to join the Brotherhood before deciding to organize their Islamic movements. Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad appeared in the occupied territories.

The two movements grew to overtake the national and secular Palestinian groups such as Fatah and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine. But despite their staunch anti-Israel stance, fundamental ideological divisions separate Hamas from the PIJ, specifically about political activity and fighting Israel. Apart from their divisions, the two groups decided to manage their disagreements with the understanding that Hamas held the upper hand.

Rivalry, Accommodation and Domination

In 1981, Fathi Shiqaqi, who hailed from the Brotherhood, was dismayed by fellow Brotherhood member Sheikh Ahmad Yassin's reluctance to fight Israel. Shiqaqi decided to establish a separate movement, the PIJ, to undertake this endeavor. PIJ set up military wings in Gaza and the West Bank, renamed Saraya al-Quds in 1993, and carried out the first Palestinian suicide bombing shortly afterward. The Mossad assassinated Shiqaqi in Malta in 1995.

Shiqaqi developed his revolutionary war theory to establish the PIJ by blending jihad (holy war), more than 1,400 years' worth of Islamic wars, and the Palestinian people's opposition to the Jewish state since the 1920s. The PIJ inherited Fatah's fight against Israel, and it was not a coincidence it reorganized its military at roughly the same time as the signing of the Israeli-Palestinian Declaration of Principles in 1993, in which the Palestine Liberation Organization renounced violence and terrorism. Contrary to Hamas, which prefers calming down tensions with Israel, PIJ ideology rests on perpetual confrontation until the Jewish state disappears. It rejects any form of conciliation or interaction with Israelis because doing so violates the Koranic text.

The PIJ's military strategy emulated the concept of national liberation wars during the Anglo-French colonial era, especially since the 1950s. It believed that a protracted revolutionary war would not only end Israel's occupation of the West Bank but eventually lead to the withering away of Zionism and the Jewish state. The PIJ focuses its activity on preparing for military confrontation and avoids involvement in politics until the end of the occupation.

Palestinian Territorial Changes

(click to enlarge)

To that end, Iran is an important ally. Ramadan Shallah, secretary-general of the PIJ from 1995 to 2018, saw Ayatollah Khomeini's revolution in Iran as a model for Muslims, especially Palestinians. The PLO, which preferred to work with him instead of Hamas, connected Shallah with the Iranians, who immediately sponsored his military activities and supplied the PIJ with arms and cash. Shallah, who died in 2020, was publicly contemptuous of Hamas, saying that its dream of controlling the Palestinian national decision was “delusional” and that its commercial wheeling and dealing will not benefit our cause.” Shallah coordinated political and military matters with Qasem Soleimani, commander of the Quds Brigade of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, from 2012 until 2018.

PIJ officials argue that Hamas is not a jihadist movement and that it lacks a national liberation ideology. For its part, Hamas does not recognize the PIJ as a political player in Gaza, and it never involved it in Egyptian-mediated truce negotiations with Israel. Hamas is politically pragmatic and well-organized administratively, even though it lacks a clear political ideology. Hamas accuses the PIJ of conversion to Shiism, serving as a bridge for Iran's intrusion into the Arab region and alliance with the Palestinian leftist movements against it.

Unlike national and leftist organizations that immediately after the Six-Day War announced plans to fight Israel in occupied Arab territory, Hamas, whose formal appearance coincided with the first intifada in 1987, did not announce a military resistance strategy. It established its military component, Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades, in 1993 to rival the PIJ's Saraya al-Quds.

For a while, Hamas and the PIJ learned to manage disagreements and build bridges over conflict lines. Their rivalry in Gaza's small geographic area of 152 square miles often led to friction, generating an ebb and flow relationship that they agreed to prevent from spinning out of control. The two groups put their differences temporarily aside after the formation of the Palestinian National Authority in Gaza and Jericho in 1994, pledging to fight Israeli occupation and to never recognize the Jewish state. Hamas followed the PIJ in establishing its headquarters in Damascus as they began coordinating their military activities in 1994, although they still did not trust each other. The PIJ competed with Hamas in providing public social services to attract community support. Hamas accused the PIJ of claiming for itself military operations it carried out against Israel. Eventually, Hamas’ dismissive treatment of the PIJ led the latter to violate cease-fire agreements and launch rockets at Israel to pressure Hamas to take it seriously.

Hamas views the Palestinian question as a secondary issue for the Muslim world, preferring to promote religious solidarity and further the spread of Islamic governments. Whereas Hamas focused on spreading its influence in the West Bank and Gaza to replace the Palestine Liberation Organization as the dominant political force, the PIJ eschewed politics and refrained from contesting the 2006 general elections. Instead, it sought to create a broad anti-Israel Islamic front. Hamas won the general election in the Palestinian territories. Still, the PLO refused to surrender power in Gaza, leading to a military confrontation that Hamas won and in which the PIJ maintained neutrality.

Today, Hamas is the de facto government in Gaza, and no one can do anything without its permission. In 2009, it crushed Jund Ansar Allah, a Salafi movement, killing its 22 members and leader inside a mosque. Hamas claimed that the group members committed suicide. In 2015, Amnesty International accused Hamas of waging a brutal campaign against Palestinian civilians after it extrajudicially executed 20 people.

The divisions between Hamas and the PIJ became public in 2019 when Israel assassinated PIJ military commander Baha Abu al-Ata after firing rockets near an election rally for then-Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Ashdod, based on coordinates provided by Hamas. When the PIJ sought to avenge his killing, Hamas responded mercilessly, arresting and torturing PIJ militants for hurling rockets at Israeli settlements.

The close security cooperation in Gaza between Israel and Hamas is easy to see. The latter's armed units are numerous and cover field control, national security and coast protection. These forces' primary function is to prevent staging raids or to lob rockets into Israel. Hamas's posts and border units are exposed to Israeli positions and do not indicate combat readiness but a relationship between two armies sharing responsibility for maintaining quiet.

Like officials in most Arab countries, Hamas leaders hold behind-the-scenes talks with Israelis to discuss security arrangements and the flow of goods into Gaza. Hamas condemns the Palestinian Authority's open coordination with the Israelis, which it carries out secretly. Hamas explained to the PIJ that it would not allow it to sabotage its agreements with Israel, be they direct or through Turkish and Qatari mediation, to keep Gaza calm. It prevented the PIJ from launching missiles at Israel to avenge the killing of three of its activists in the West Bank four months ago.

Israel's carrots-and-sticks policy succeeded in containing and taming Hamas. Isolated in the Arab region, partially abandoned by Turkey, and distrusted by Iran, Hamas's only lifeline comes from Qatar, which, with Israeli permission, transfers $30 million to its government in Gaza each month. Hamas's primary concern is to keep Gaza pacified, rule it with an iron fist, and extend its influence in the West Bank should the situation permit.

Hamas's Aspirations

In 2017, Hamas published a Document of General Principles and Policies that accepted establishing a Palestinian state on the borders of June 4, 1967, without relinquishing claim to all of Palestine. The PIJ angrily rejected the document. Hamas revisited a 1988 document that described itself as a religious movement affiliated with the Brotherhood and advocated creating a Palestinian state on the ruins of Israel. It replaced the conception of Palestine as a religious endowment belonging to all Muslims and deserving their sacrifice to a national territorial entity.

The revised document is political par excellence that indirectly renounces violence by claiming adherence to international laws, emphasizing compliance with international humanitarian law. It distanced Hamas from the Brotherhood, referring to it as a national liberation political movement. Since overhauling the 1988 document, Hamas has been trying to convince Arab countries and the international community that it is a credible and rational movement worthy of recognition.

The West Bank's Palestinian Authority is weaker than ever and has no control over political movements and paramilitary groups, while its popularity is plummeting. Fearing that Fatah, the backbone of the PLO, would lose them, PA head Mahmoud Abbas canceled last year's presidential and parliamentary elections. Israel has systematically weakened the PA by derailing the two-state solution, leading to an escalation in the confrontation with Palestinian factions such as the PIJ and al-Aqsa Brigades. The explosive West Bank situation points to a new intifada in the making, which would announce the demise of the PA, causing a severe power vacuum and the collapse of authority and security. Hamas is taking advantage of the PA's gradual disintegration and building its presence in the West Bank. In 2007, it ousted the PA from Gaza and now prepares for the day when it could apply the coup de grace to it in the West Bank.

The PLO's demise would free Israel from the two-state solution burden. Hamas's 25-year truce proposal for Gaza would become more appealing to Israel should it expand its grip on power to include the West Bank. Israel says Hamas has developed a military infrastructure in the West Bank, including arms caches. The Israeli army clamps down on belligerent Palestinian factions, although it has not clashed with Hamas activists or confiscated its arsenal. Israel is worried about the post-Abbas West Bank and readies itself for the eclipse of the PLO and the PA.

Hamas realizes that Trump's 2020 Peace Plan covers the West Bank and Gaza and wants to involve itself in it. Hamas is encouraged by Palestinian public opinion polls that consider it better qualified to administer the West Bank than the PA. It has already initiated an effort to stage a soft coup in the West Bank to win elections in universities and labor unions and to dominate civil society organizations. Hamas is undergoing a similar process to the PLO's transition in the early 1990s from a terrorist organization, as previously perceived in the West and Israel, into a peace partner. Hamas is not a friend of Israel, but, unlike the PIJ, it has concluded that it is futile to fight Israel and, obsessed with power, is willing to expand its self-rule in Gaza to include parts of the West Bank.

Crafty_Dog

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Palestinian arrests and torture
« Reply #2564 on: August 30, 2022, 01:03:58 AM »
Palestinians: The Arrests and Torture No One Talks About
by Khaled Abu Toameh  •  August 29, 2022 at 5:00 am

Abbas was obviously not thinking about these prisoners when he expressed concern over the conditions of Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails. He seems uncomfortable discussing the fact that his security forces are arresting and torturing Palestinians.

Instead, Abbas would like the world to focus only on the prisoners held by Israel and ignore the protests against the "political detentions" that take place every week not far from his office and residence in Ramallah.

Hours before Abbas's remarks about the prisoners in Israel, the mother of Ahmad Hreash, a Palestinian man arrested by the Palestinian security forces more than 80 days ago, was rushed to hospital. She has been on hunger strike for 10 days to demand the release of her son from the Palestinians' notorious Jericho Prison. The prison is infamously referred to by Palestinians as the "Jericho Slaughterhouse" because of brutal torture Palestinians say they have undergone while being held there by Abbas's security forces.

"They keep extending his detention without us, or even the lawyer, knowing what the charges are." — Mukaram Qurt, mother of Ahmad Hreash, Al Jazeera, August 25, 2022.

Palestinian Lawyers for Justice, a human rights group, said that it has documented 117 cases of "political detentions" by the Palestinian security forces since the beginning of June 2022.

The detainees include six Palestinians who had previously served time in Israeli prison for anti-Israeli activities and are currently being held in the "Jericho Slaughterhouse." The group noted that the Palestinian security forces were continuing to imprison Palestinians because of their political affiliation of for criticizing and opposing the Palestinian Authority.

"They hit me with their legs and hands. They beat me with rubber hoses. They put me in a tiny cell with no mattresses or pillows. I had to use my shoe as a pillow while sleeping on the floor." — Mujahed Tabanjah, Palestinian journalist, Facebook, August 16, 2022.

Alarmed by the ongoing crackdown on political opponents and other Palestinians, several Palestinian activists launched an online campaign titled "Political Detention is a Crime," in protest of the arrests and torture in Palestinian prisons.

When Palestinians arrest or brutally torture other Palestinians, it does not appear to be "news that's fit to print." Palestinians who go on hunger strikes in Palestinian prisons are often ignored by the media, while those who protest against Israel receive wide coverage.

By ignoring the horrific human rights violations committed by the Palestinian Authority, the international community and media expose their hypocrisy in dealing with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. They are also doing an incalculable disservice to the Palestinian people, many of whom have been victimized by their own leaders.


When Palestinians arrest or brutally torture other Palestinians, it does not appear to be "news that's fit to print." By ignoring the horrific human rights violations committed by the Palestinian Authority, the international community and media expose their hypocrisy in dealing with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. They are also doing an incalculable disservice to the Palestinian people, many of whom have been victimized by their own leaders. (Image source: iStock)

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas said on August 27 that he is concerned about the condition of Palestinians who are being held in Israeli prisons. He described the prisoners, many of whom have been convicted of carrying out or involvement in attacks against Israel and Israeli citizens, as "freedom fighters" and announced that the Palestinian leadership and the Palestinian people will continue to support them "until they gain their freedom."

On the same day that Abbas made his remarks, a committee representing the families of Palestinian prisoners held in Palestinian Authority (PA) prisons called for holding a protest in the West Bank city of Ramallah, the Palestinians' de facto capital.

Crafty_Dog

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GPF: RumInt
« Reply #2565 on: September 07, 2022, 05:03:00 PM »
Israeli affairs. Israeli media, citing a conversation between U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid, report that the pending nuclear deal between Iran and the West is off the table for now. Biden has asked Israel to reexamine its rules of engagement in the occupied West Bank and reduce the danger of harming civilians and journalists. Meanwhile, Israeli missiles hit Aleppo’s international airport last night in a strike meant to target depots belonging to pro-Iranian militias nearby.

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Israel, Palestinians, Remembering the Munich Olympics Massacre 9/5/1972
« Reply #2566 on: September 09, 2022, 08:47:40 AM »
I would post this under "history" if they weren't still celebrating.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
50 Years On, Remembering The Munich Olympics Massacre
Palestinian leadership continues to hail Munich massacre as “heroic operation” and Black September terrorists as “martyrs.”

https://legalinsurrection.com/2022/09/50-years-on-remembering-the-munich-olympics-massacre/

September 5, 1972, has gone down as one of the darkest days in the history of world sports. Eight Palestinian terrorists from the Black September group, a terror outfit affiliated with Yasser Arafat’s Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), broke into Munich’s Olympic village, where the Israeli team was staying.

The world watched in horror as they murdered and mutilated Israeli athletes. The image of the hooded Palestinian gunman standing on the balcony of the Israeli team’s apartment became the symbolic face of international terrorism that will engulf the world in decades.

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GPF: Israel to share air defense system with UAE
« Reply #2567 on: September 24, 2022, 04:10:59 AM »
Israel and the UAE. Israel has agreed to sell an advanced air defense system to the United Arab Emirates, according to a Reuters report. The Rafael-made SPYDER mobile interceptors can defend territory against drones, cruise missiles, attack aircraft, helicopters and bombers. Reuters’ sources said the deal also included acquisition of Israeli technology capable of combating drone attacks. It’s a notable development considering newly forged Israeli-UAE ties had previously focused on economic matters.

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Stratfor: Israel-Lebanon gas deal
« Reply #2568 on: October 18, 2022, 07:51:23 AM »
Lebanon and Israel Ink a Historic Deal on Disputed Offshore Gas Reserves
6 MIN READOct 17, 2022 | 21:47 GMT



A Lebanese-Israeli maritime deal will ease tensions caused by the natural gas fields off the Levantine coast, pave the way for Lebanese energy extraction and increase calls in Lebanon for deeper economic ties with Israel. On Oct. 11, Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid and Lebanese President Michel Aoun announced they had signed a U.S.-mediated deal on divvying up energy resources in disputed waters in the Eastern Mediterranean. The agreement grants Israel exclusive control over the disputed Karish gas field, which is estimated to have 1.75 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of reserves. In exchange, Lebanon will be able to develop the Qana gas field on the basis that Israel is still compensated for resources extracted in nominally Israeli waters. The same day the agreement was announced, Hezbollah — the Iran-backed Lebanese political party and militant group who had initially staunchly opposed ceding the Karish field over to Israel — signaled it would not use its influence in Lebanon's parliament to block the deal's ratification. Other details (like the final delineation of Israel and Lebanon's maritime border) were not settled by the agreement, and appear to await more negotiations.

Israel and Lebanon remain in a state of war and do not have a formalized border. For decades, the regional rivals have disputed a piece of land on their mutual frontier called the Shebaa Farms.

Israel and Lebanon also have overlapping maritime claims, with Israel's claim extending around the Qana prospect while Lebanon's claim covers roughly half the Karish gas field. Following the discovery of those gas fields in the 2000s, both countries have sought to establish a final maritime border to enable energy exploration and development in the region.

U.K.-based Energean is already preparing to extract gas from the Karish field, with tests now underway, while Lebanon has called on French multinational TotalEnergies to explore the Qana gas field.

As negotiations were underway and energy company Energean brought in equipment to extract gas from Karish, Hezbollah threatened to attack the field if Lebanese demands were not met and flew drones to harass the rigs several times. Israel threatened to respond with strikes on Hezbollah inside Lebanon if they carried out such an attack.

The Karish and Qana fields are smaller than Israel's other gas fields, Leviathan and Tamar, which together are estimated to have nearly 30 tcf of gas reserves. Qana's reserves have yet to be proven and are widely suspected to be smaller than Karish's reserves. But if the deal is ratified, Qana would be Lebanon's first gas field for a country that imports all its energy needs.

Israeli and Lebanese lawmakers are ultimately likely to ratify the agreement, though political factions in both countries could still try to modify or jettison it for ideological reasons. Israel's Security Cabinet approved the agreement on Oct. 12 and sent it to lawmakers in the Knesset for review. Under Israeli law, Knesset members cannot block the maritime deal but they can signal their opposition to it, which could, in theory, embolden Israel's nationalist Interior Minister Ayelet Shaked to formally vote against the motion when it returns to the Security Cabinet for a final vote — a move that could pressure the deal to go to the Knesset, where it's uncertain it would pass. Shaked abstained in the initial vote on the maritime deal on the basis that it didn't go far enough to secure Israel's interests. However, with his Jewish Home party currently polling below the threshold needed to enter the Knesset in Nov. 1 elections, Shaked appears unlikely to politically benefit from blocking the agreement, which could trigger a backlash from Israel's security establishment for bringing back tensions to the fields just as Israel begins production from Karish at the end of the month. In Lebanon, individual members of parliament could complain that the deal grants the country a less valuable gas field while it also brings Lebanon closer to normalization with Israel, which is deeply unpopular. However, Lebanese politicians are aware that TotalEnergies will not explore Qana without a deal in place, while Hezbollah knows that it is not well-positioned to stop Israel from extracting from Karish with or without an agreement. These calculations suggest that Lebanon will also ratify the deal.

Israel's opposition parties, led by former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, have slammed the agreement as a surrender to Hezbollah because it gives up Israeli claims to the Qana field. While Shaked's Jewish Home party is tempted to echo those arguments to potentially be part of a future right-wing government, it's unlikely such a gambit would work to win supporters in the upcoming election. Right-wing voters have already soured on Jewish Home for joining the current coalition that includes left-wing and Islamist rivals to the right wing.

Lebanon's economic crisis is making it hard for Hezbollah to credibly threaten to use military force to stop Israel's production in the Karish field, which would go ahead with or without an agreement. Hezbollah cannot politically afford another expensive war with Israel over the fields, while its patron, Iran, has shown little interest in ordering Hezbollah to escalate over the issue as well.

If the deal goes through, it would substantially decrease the threat of military escalation over the gas fields, allow Lebanese energy development, remove one stumbling block to an Israeli-European and/or Turkish pipeline, and increase calls in Lebanon for other ties with Israel. Hezbollah's surrender to the agreement signals that the militant group will likely reduce provocations and rhetorical threats against the Karish field. However, they may continue to conduct harassment flights and will likely threaten the rigs if Israel's tensions with Lebanon and Iran increase in a broader context. Additionally, TotalEnergies would be able to proceed with gas development in the Qana field, possibly leading to gas production if substantial reserves are found. The agreement also brings Israel closer to the reality of a European or Turkish undersea gas pipeline, though it will still need to find ways through Syria- and Cyprus-controlled waters to do so. Meanwhile, some Lebanese political figures will likely try to build on the deal by calling for deeper cooperation with Israel, which could unblock needed humanitarian aid and mitigate the risk of the crisis-ridden country entering another costly war with Israel.

The patriarch of Lebanon's Maronite Christian church, Bechara Boutros al-Rahi, and other influential Lebanese leaders have sought to ease anti-Israeli sentiment among their followers in the hopes of reducing the risk of a public call for war during future periods of tension with Israel.

Israel has offered humanitarian aid to Lebanon multiple times, including after the 2020 Beirut port explosion and in 2021 as its financial crisis continued. Hezbollah rebuffed these offers.

The proposed EastMed pipeline could theoretically connect Eastern Mediterranean gas fields to Europe. But the project is running into economic viability challenges because of the cost stemming from the pipeline's need to go through deeper waters. Meanwhile, attempts to connect these fields to Turkey could run into more diplomatic disputes north of Lebanon. Syria and Israel remain technically at war, and Turkey has maritime disputes with both Greece and Cyprus that make a pipeline project too risky to complete.

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Netanyahu: Israel's Iron Triangle of Peace
« Reply #2569 on: October 18, 2022, 10:59:33 AM »
Saw Netanyahu on Bill Maher this week-- very effective!

Israel’s ‘Iron Triangle of Peace’
Soft power is effectual only when you can back it up with military and economic strength.
By Benjamin Netanyahu
Oct. 18, 2022 12:49 pm ET


The world is in crisis. The war in Ukraine could swirl out of control with ominous global consequences. In Iran, the ayatollahs are rushing to build a nuclear arsenal while suppressing domestic dissent over the regime’s brutality. Terrorism and wanton violence abound from Pakistan and Afghanistan to Yemen and Syria. The arc of history may bend toward peace and justice, but it can easily go off in dangerous directions.

Some policy makers contend that the way to keep it on course is through soft power. The superiority of democratic values and culture, they contend, will overcome the forces of violence and aggression. But such thinking doesn’t withstand historical scrutiny. If evil forces have overwhelming military and economic might, they can and will defeat our best intentions. Even Abraham Lincoln needed a decisive victory in America’s bloodiest war before the better angels of human nature could prevail.

The key to peace and human progress is the combination of soft and hard power. I have devoted most of my life to ensuring that my country, the Jewish state of Israel, has enough power to defend itself, protect its values and secure its future. For this purpose I advanced the concept known as the “Iron Triangle of Peace,” which set out to maximize Israel’s prosperity through a combination of economic, military and diplomatic power.

This necessitated a transformation of Israel’s semi-socialist economy into a free-market one. As finance minister (2003-05) and prime minister (1996-99 and 2009-21), I led a free-market revolution, which unshackled Israel’s economy and turned it into a global powerhouse of innovation and enterprise. Over the past two decades, our nation’s companies made technological advances in such areas as medicine, agriculture and water. Israel’s gross domestic output per capita, which long trailed those of Western democracies, now exceeds that of Britain, France, Japan and Germany.

As Israel’s economic and technological power have developed, so too have its military capabilities. The Israeli military today is equipped not only with fighter jets, tanks, submarines and drones, but also with superb intelligence and cyber capabilities, which have saved the lives of countless Israeli citizens and visitors. The combination has resulted in greater diplomatic strength, as more countries have sought to benefit from our success.

Far from being a pariah state, Israel now has robust diplomatic relations with more than 160 countries. I helped bring about these diplomatic fruits and was the first Israeli prime minister to visit countries such as Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Colombia, as well as Australia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and many African nations. During my tenure, we forged ties with the Baltic states and the Visegrad countries of Eastern Europe—in addition to developing a pact with Greece and Cyprus to extract gas from our seabed, which we’ve begun to use to supply Europe.


But the Iron Triangle of Peace produced its most dramatic breakthrough in our own neighborhood: the Middle East. For 25 years we were told that peace with Arab nations would come only if we first resolved our conflict with the Palestinians. To many Israelis, that presented an insurmountable obstacle, given that the Palestinians have long demonstrated they want a state instead of—not next to—Israel. There had to be another way. The path to peace, in my estimation, wouldn’t go through the Palestinians but around them. And that is exactly what has happened.

My government’s approach has been made possible by a profound change in thinking among many Arab leaders, who now view Israel not as an enemy but as an indispensable ally against a belligerent Tehran. Many of these leaders took note of my opposition to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which showered the Iranian regime with international approval and billions of dollars to fund its aggression and terror.

Shortly after I addressed a joint session of Congress on this topic in March 2015, several Arab leaders secretly requested to meet with me. These meetings ultimately foreshadowed the Abraham Accords, the September 2020 agreement orchestrated by the Trump administration that normalized Israel’s relations with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan.

The results have been remarkable. Hundreds of thousands of Israelis now regularly fly over the skies of Saudi Arabia to the U.A.E. and Bahrain. Sudan is no longer a way station for Iranian arms transported through the Nile Valley. Israeli and Gulf entrepreneurs are busy forming joint ventures with multimillion-dollar investments. A joint railway project among Israel, the U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia will connect the region once the kingdom joins the accords, which I believe will happen within a few years. If the policies of peace through strength persist, we may soon be able to envision an end to the broader Arab-Israeli conflict.

I have been privileged to live a life of purpose, one in which I’ve helped bring my vision of peace through strength for Israel into being. For three millennia, the Jewish people have never given up on our dream to live freely and prosperously in our ancient homeland, the land of Zion. Having restored our independence, we won’t let anyone bring an end to this miracle.


Mr. Netanyahu served as Israel’s prime minister, 1996-99 and 2009-21. He is leader of the opposition Likud Party and author of “Bibi: My Story.”

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D1
« Reply #2570 on: October 19, 2022, 12:11:12 PM »
New: Ukraine has officially requested Israel's Iron Dome air defense system, Haaretz reported Tuesday after Kuleba flagged the request in public remarks earlier in the day; Axios obtained an alleged copy of the request letter on Wednesday.

Why won't Israel do more to help Ukraine? In part, because of the deal to contain Iran in Syria that officials in Tel Aviv and Moscow have worked out over the past several years, David Daoud of the Atlantic Council wrote back in April—five months before Russia's invasion lost steam in September. But there is more, too, he argued. For example, "Israel—whose founding raison d'etre and continued vocation is the protection of the Jewish people—also worries that angering Putin will lead him to retaliate against Jews in Ukraine and Russia.

Israel's defense chief hasn't spoken to his Ukrainian counterpart since April. The two were supposed to speak on Monday, but that call was postponed—which made the fifth time the two have had their planned chats postponed, according to Haaretz.

The latest official line from Tel Aviv: "Israel will not transfer weapon systems to Ukraine for a variety of operational considerations," Defense Minister Benny Gantz said Wednesday. He didn't elaborate on those considerations, but added, "Israel is maintaining a policy of supporting Ukraine through humanitarian support and delivery of life-saving and defensive equipment."

"It's just fear of Putin," analyst Yossi Melman told the Washington Post last week. "It's a shame," he added. "We preach to the world about humanity and right and wrong, but when it comes to our international positions, it's only our narrowest security concerns that are considered."

Indeed, Russia's Dmetri Medvedev warned Israel on Monday that arming Ukraine with any weapons would "destroy the political relations between the two countries."
« Last Edit: October 19, 2022, 12:15:55 PM by Crafty_Dog »

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Go Benjamin Netanyahu
« Reply #2571 on: November 01, 2022, 08:37:28 AM »

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GPF: Lebanon going under
« Reply #2572 on: November 03, 2022, 07:21:55 AM »
November 3, 2022
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Lebanon: The Death of a Country
Lebanon’s recovery from its financial and political meltdowns seems nearly impossible.
By: Hilal Khashan

Last month, Lebanese President Michel Aoun left office, after his term expired, without a designated successor in place. Power vacuums are not uncommon in Lebanon. Aoun’s own election in 2016 ended a 29-month vacancy in the presidency. Since gaining independence in 1943, Lebanon has had six periods in which the chronically divided parliament could not agree on a new president. The inability to select a leader results in a political impasse, with a caretaker government that can’t approve new legislation and a Cabinet whose mandate has expired. Meanwhile, the country is facing its worst economic crisis ever, due largely to Lebanese politicians’ ineptitude and preoccupation with their own political status and wealth accumulation. Their selfishness has brought the country to the brink of collapse.

Ponzi Scheme

The government’s economic mismanagement has been long-standing. Rafik Hariri’s monopoly on economic decision-making when he was prime minister in 1992-98 led the annual deficit to skyrocket to about 50 percent. When he returned to office from 2000 to 2004 to lead a broad coalition government, the deficit fell to 32 percent, still a staggering figure. The government has also regularly issued treasury bonds since 1992 to finance the country’s reconstruction after its 15-year civil war.

The Lebanese banking sector has been running what some might call a Ponzi scheme. By law, all banks operating in Lebanon must keep most of their liquid assets with the central bank. However, the central bank mismanaged the country’s monetary policy and concealed data showing the extent of Lebanon’s impending financial collapse. Banks were thus able to attract new depositors by offering high interest rates – which reached 9 percent on dollar deposits – and deliberately misinforming people about the risks to their savings. The central bank issued local banks with large profits – which they transferred outside the country – squandering people’s savings by artificially pegging the lira to the dollar and filling the gap in the budget.

Lebanon's Ballooning Public Debt
(click to enlarge)

Deposits, mainly from individual depositors, in Lebanese banks reached $172 billion in 2014, equivalent to more than 370 percent of the country’s gross domestic product. In 2018, the central bank’s liquid assets dropped to $43 billion, and they plummeted to $20 billion in the first quarter of 2020. Its reserves fell from about $60 billion in 2005 to less than $10 billion this year. For the first time since independence, Lebanon defaulted on its foreign debt – a $1.2 billion Eurobond – a few months after the 2019 uprising over a 20-cent WhatsApp tax. A few months ago, the deputy prime minister announced the country’s bankruptcy, indicating that the losses, believed to be more than $100 billion, would be shared by the central bank, the broader banking sector and depositors. He added that Lebanese officials hoped to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund, where negotiations focused on restructuring the banking sector, formulating a balanced fiscal policy, rebuilding the collapsed electricity network, reforming the bloated bureaucracy and tackling hyperinflation, which stood at 3,000 percent.

Abandoning Its Duties

Since the beginning of Lebanon’s civil war in 1975, the state has been gradually abandoning its duties to the people, starting with the rationing of electricity and culminating a few months ago in a complete blackout due to a lack of diesel to operate power plants. The fuel crisis, precipitated by a 95 percent decline in the value of the lira, played a key role in the rapid deterioration of water supplies and sewage networks. Since July 2021, UNICEF has issued warnings about water shortages and the health hazards they pose, especially for the most vulnerable socio-economic groups, which comprise at least 90 percent of the population. The Water Utility Authority recently told residents in many parts of the country to make arrangements to procure water on their own because it cannot operate its pumps – but it reminded them to wash their hands frequently because of the cholera outbreak in the country.

The financial meltdown drained the resources of many sectors, including health care, engineering, academics and education. It severely impacted medical facilities and caused drug shortages, especially for chronic diseases. Critical drugs are hard to find, and those that are available are unaffordable for the vast majority of people who need them.

Individuals are now trying to make up for the deficiencies of the state. Young people volunteer to do the work of ministries, municipalities, unions and government institutions. They organize tourist events and festivals, distribute medicines and collect aid, so much so that they can pave roads and install solar panels. People have learned not to depend on the state and manage the necessities of life on their own.

Dysfunctional Political System

The financial collapse has been presided over by a dysfunctional political system. In 2019, Prime Minister Saad Hariri resigned following nationwide protests. When his successor, Hassan Diab, also resigned in 2021 after the Beirut Port explosion, parliament charged Hariri with forming a new Cabinet. He clashed with President Michel Aoun over ministerial appointments to critical portfolios, such as defense, the treasury, interior and foreign affairs. After eight months of unsuccessful attempts to form a government, Hariri resigned again and was replaced by Najib Mikati, who oversaw the general elections last May. Aoun designated him to form the post-election Cabinet after binding parliamentary consultations, but five months later, Mikati has yet to name any appointments, again because of disagreements with Aoun, who wanted to nominate all Christian Cabinet members.

Lebanon's Distribution of Religious Groups
(click to enlarge)

In 1988, when former President Amin Gemayel’s term ended without agreement on a successor, he appointed a military government led by Aoun, who was then the army commander, to ensure that the prerogatives of the president wouldn’t be taken over by another significant sect. Prior to his departure last month, Aoun signed an unprecedented decree accepting the resignation of the caretaker government. The decree sought to encourage the Free Patriotic Movement – led by Aoun’s son-in-law, whose presidential hopes were dashed by widespread opposition – to obstruct the caretaker government’s attempts to claim the president’s powers. Aoun wanted to reassure Maronite Christians that his exit would not increase the powers of the Sunni prime minister. Mikati described the decree as lacking constitutional value and promised that the government would continue to perform its constitutional duties.

Despite the international community’s willingness to help, Lebanese politicians have refused to heed its advice. After meeting with Lebanese officials, a U.N. envoy determined they lacked motivation to tackle the country’s financial problems, which have decimated its once vibrant middle class. He said the officials displayed no sense of responsibility or even empathy for the plight of the people.

Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri encouraged all parliamentary blocs to engage in dialogue to select a new president. His efforts were not received well by the major blocs, which argued that experience had taught them that dialogue is futile because Lebanese presidents are actually chosen by foreign actors. Instead of cooperating to reach a consensus, rival political factions often clash on key issues. Local players know that the country’s big political decisions, including appointment of the president, are made outside Lebanon.

Future Prospects

When Aoun assumed the presidency in 2014, he said he had made a covenant to ensure the welfare of the Lebanese people. His mission, he asserted, was to safeguard personal liberties and freedom of expression, and to stimulate the economy. Upon leaving office, however, he addressed his supporters by disparaging all state institutions and holding them responsible for the country’s political and economic crises. He accused them of impoverishing Lebanon and expressed the need for extraordinary efforts to root out corruption. This is part of Aoun’s attempt to avenge his failure to usher in his son-in-law, former Energy Minister Jibran Bassil, as his successor.

Lebanon’s recovery from this crisis seems nearly impossible today. The country is prone to political stagnation because of its complex power-sharing arrangement, and the level of corruption among the political elite is beyond redemption. (Aoun, for example, refused to appoint new judges because the list of candidates included more Muslims than Christians. He also insisted that the electricity portfolio remain in Bassil’s hands, even though his management of the sector proved catastrophic.) Lebanon’s future is bleak. With the deliberate prolongation of the economic crisis that began three years ago, it has seen the fastest collapse of any country on record. But its failure shouldn’t be surprising, considering it has been ruled since independence by a group of self-serving sectarian elites who misused its resources and dominated its politics. Successive governments hid the extent of the country’s financial failure. Now its people will pay the cost.


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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2574 on: November 29, 2022, 05:34:54 PM »
What the Far-Right’s Electoral Victory Means for Israel
8 MIN READNov 29, 2022 | 20:55 GMT

Israel’s ascendent far-right will use its recent electoral success to push its nationalist and ultra-Orthodox agenda. But despite likely criticism, the country’s U.S., European and Middle Eastern allies are unlikely to substantially alter their policy toward Israel to preserve their strategic ties with the country. Israel’s far-right Religious Zionism party — which includes smaller extremist parties like Oztma Yehudit (“Jewish Power”) and the anti-LGBTQ Neom party — won the third largest share of Knesset seats in the country’s Nov. 1 legislative election, giving it significant leverage in negotiations with former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to appoint a coalition government.

Netanyahu is set to return to office after his bloc of right-wing and religious parties secured a majority of seats in the Israeli Knesset in the last election. The former prime minister’s Likud party is currently in talks with far-right and ultra-Orthodox parties to form a new coalition government.

The Nov. 1 election was Isreal’s fifth election in four years. The outgoing government coalition led by Prime Minister Yair Lapid brought together a varied assortment of liberal, centrist and Arab parties into a fragile coalition.

Religious Zionism will use its strong presence in the Knesset to try to reshape Israel’s political system and foreign policies in favor of its supremacist ideology, even as Israel’s allies abroad (like the United States and the United Arab Emirates) and politicians at home (like outgoing Prime Minister Yair Lapid) warn against doing so. In its negotiations with Netanyahu’s Likud party, Religious Zionism has reportedly been trying to extract promises for the next Israeli government to expand the country’s control in the West Bank, weaken the Supreme Court (which the party sees as a bulwark on religious law), and strengthen gender separation rights for the ultra-Orthodox in public spaces. The party has also been pushing for control of top cabinet positions, including defense minister or finance minister for Religious Zionism leader Bezalel Smotrich, as well as a newly-created national security minister (which would oversee Isreal’s police, prisons, and border security) for Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben Gvir. But the U.S. government and prominent American pro-Israel Jewish lobbies, along with officials from the United Arab Emirates, have warned against appointing such polarizing figures to these positions. On Nov. 17, the U.S. ambassador to Israel, Tom Nides, warned Netanyahu directly not to include Religions Zionism leaders in his prospective new cabinet. U.S. Union for Reform Judaism chief Rabbi Rick Jacobs also recently said that giving Ben Gvir the police post would be akin to handing the U.S. attorney general office over to the United States’ far-right Ku Klux Klan.

Much of the concern about Religious Zionism stems from its ideological affiliation with the far-right Kahanist movement, which supports expelling Arabs from Israel, expanding the country’s borders through the West Bank and Gaza, and imposing radical rabbinical law in everyday life across Israel.

Isreal’s First Major Far-Right Party

Far-right ideologies have existed in Israel since the country’s foundation in 1948. But Israel’s first major far-right party didn’t emerge until 1971, with the formation of radical Rabbi Meir Kahane’s Kach Party. The Kach Party wanted to strip Israeli Arabs of citizenship, impose automatic death penalties for Arab terrorism, introduce Jewish ultranationalism to school curricula, annex the West Bank and Gaza Strip, and have unrestrained military suppression of Palestinian militants. The party won one Knesset seat in the 1984 elections and was then banned for inciting racial hatred in 1988. In 1990, its founder Kahane was assassinated in New York City, and in 1994 both the Kach Party and another offshoot, Kahane Chai, were banned in Israel. Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben Gvir joined the movement in the 1990s, though Gavir claims he’s since moderated some of his beliefs.

The far-right’s probable inclusion in Israel’s next government will formalize its influence over domestic and foreign policy. Netanyahu's next cabinet is poised to be the most far-right in modern Israeli history. Short of the Defense Ministry, far-right politicians might take less prominent posts or accept policy promises to come to an agreement on a new coalition government. Other components of the cabinet — including the ultra-Orthodox Shas and United Torah Judaism parties — will also be dominated by politicians who want to strengthen Jewish nationalism and rabbinical influence in the country. The policy priorities of these new government officials will include weakening Isreal’s Supreme Court so it cannot easily block Knesset legislation, outlawing public displays of sympathy for Palestinian militants and Palestinian symbols like flags, weakening protections for Israeli LGBTQ individuals and marriage, strengthening exemptions for the ultra-Orthodox in education and military service, and imposing Israeli civil (rather than military) law on West Bank settlements and outposts.

Israeli politics have been drifting further to the right for years. In an August 2022 survey conducted by the Israeli Democracy Institute, 62% of the country’s Jewish voters described themselves as right-wing — a notable jump from the 46% who did so in April 2019. A 2020 joint poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research and Tel Aviv University also found that 51% of Israeli Jews supported the Vision for Peace plan proposed by then-U.S. President Donald Trump, which encouraged Israeli expansionism without guaranteeing a Palestinian state.

The far-right’s ultimate goal is to take full control of territory in the West Bank under Israeli civilian law. Currently, the West Bank is governed under the Oslo Accords, which leaves one portion (Area A) under Palestinian security and political control, another portion (Area B) under joint Israeli-Palestinian control, and a final section (Area C) under Israeli military authority. Religious Zionism aims to transfer Area C to Israeli civilian law, which outgoing Defense Minister Benny Gantz has claimed would be tantamount to annexation.
Both the far-right and the ultra-Orthodox parties aim to push back against secular and nationalist accusations that religious Israelis contribute too little to the country’s economy and military because of their educational and conscription exemptions that allow them to run religious schools and avoid military service. The outgoing Lapid-Bennett government attempted to push conscription for the ultra-Orthodox and introduce more secular education to religious schools.

While Israel’s regional and global partners will criticize the new government’s far-right and ultra-religious policies, they are unlikely to actively boycott it because of the importance of their strategic alliances with Israel. Regardless of its composition, Israel’s next government will likely earn diplomatic criticism from the United States, European powers, Turkey and the Arab Gulf. Israelis are highly sensitive to the threat of international isolation (such as that proposed by the Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions movement). This is especially true when it comes to the United States, which is Isreal’s main defense and economic partner. More moderate right-wing parties in the opposition, like A New Hope, will play into these fears by using any U.S. condemnation of the new Israeli government as evidence that right-wing voters should stop supporting such radical parties. Secular, opposition, Arab, and left-wing Israelis will likely criticize the new government’s policies, as well as carry out strikes and protests, in an effort to convince right-wing voters that the country’s ideological drift to extremes could cause international isolation. But this tactic could backfire when such isolation does not manifest, as Israel’s strategic value to its regional and global partners will deter most governments from actually imposing sanctions or cutting ties with the country in response to any controversial new policies. Indeed, the 2021 Gaza War and the bloody clashes that broke out between Arab and Jewish Israelis on the streets initially sparked wide-scale international and domestic criticism of the Israeli far-right. But despite this, Religious Zionism’s support has grown at home and Israel’s foreign relations with countries like Turkey have improved over the past year. International condemnation of the new Israeli government will thus likely again remain largely rhetorical, which could further convince right-wing Israelis that the far-right is not a diplomatic liability and strengthen public support for their positions across an increasingly nationalist electorate.

The United States still needs Israel to balance Iranian activity in the region, and there remains a bipartisan supermajority in Congress that supports current Israeli-U.S. relations. In 2021, the U.S. House of Representatives passed fresh aid to Israel to resupply its Iron Dome system in a blowout 420-9 vote, despite sustained media and international criticism of Israeli policies during the Gaza War earlier that year.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erodgan has said the expected return of a Netanyahu government is unlikely to change his country’s relations with Israel, which have recently improved after years of animosity amid the Turkish government’s push to bolster trade ties with former regional rivals.

The Palestinian issue has also become less salient among Arab Gulf populations, which has enabled countries like the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain to ramp up their security cooperation with Israel in response to growing Iranian aggression and other regional threats.

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Putin and Netanyahu chat
« Reply #2576 on: December 22, 2022, 09:07:20 AM »
second

Putin and Netanyahu. Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke by phone with designated Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who announced on Wednesday that he formed a new coalition to lead the next government. The two leaders discussed Ukraine, Iran and bilateral relations. Israel has so far refused pressure from the West to step up military support for Ukraine and impose sanctions on Russia.

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GPF: The cold peace between Israel and Arab Countries
« Reply #2577 on: December 30, 2022, 08:20:08 AM »

December 30, 2022
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The Cold Peace Between Israel and Arab Countries
The Palestinian question stands at the center of the divide between the two sides.
By: Hilal Khashan

Israeli journalists covering the World Cup in Qatar were stunned by Arab fans’ hostility toward them. Considering that six Arab countries have normalized relations with Israel, while others maintain back-channel communications with Israeli officials, the journalists believed Arabs would show a greater willingness to engage. They were wrong. An Israeli correspondent said he couldn’t find anyone willing to speak to him and that Arabs “approach us and criticize our presence.” The reporter concluded that there was no hope for improving Israel’s relationship with the Arab people.

In 2017, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Knesset that the obstacle to peace with the Arab world was not Arab leaders but rather the Arab people themselves. But as Israeli tensions with Arab governments have eased, the Arab public’s hostility toward Israelis is, at its core, a result of the failure to resolve the Palestinian question.

Cultural Incompatibility

The failure to establish cordial relations between the Arab and Israeli peoples goes back decades. David Ben-Gurion, Israel’s founder and first prime minister, did not believe that Israelis and Arabs would become partners in peace. He thus showed little interest in engaging the Arab region, preferring to build bridges with other foreign countries instead. Israel developed a robust foreign policy in Africa, Asia, Latin America, the U.S. and Western Europe but did not train diplomats to operate in Arabic-speaking countries and cultures.

Ben-Gurion believed the failure to communicate stemmed from deep-seated cultural differences between Israelis and Arabs. Arab culture is collectivist, polychronic and hierarchical, whereas Israel’s is individualistic, monochronic and egalitarian. In “Culture and Conflict in Egyptian-Israeli Relations: A Dialogue of the Deaf,” author Raymond Cohen aptly describes how culture stood in the way of peace negotiations, even when the two sides eagerly sought to resolve their differences.

Arab culture stresses interpersonal relations, subtlety, reservation and conformity. It prioritizes community, honor and respecting superiors. Conversely, Israeli culture is democratic, ostentatious and communicative, although at times divisive. Arabs choose their words carefully and avoid conflict, while Israelis speak bluntly and abrasively. Guilt is embedded in the Jewish conscience and derives from the need for repentance and atonement for sin, which became a driving force toward productivity and excellence. In Arab culture, shame evolved into an escape from reality, driving people to hide their ill-doings rather than correct them.

Many Arabs feel shame over their many defeats at the hands of Israel. They direct their anger and frustration not only at Israelis but also at Palestinians, whom they tend to hold responsible for losing their country, falsely claiming that they sold their land to the Zionist movement. They argue that the Palestinians didn’t deserve the generous support provided by Arab countries. The Palestinians, they say, must get their own house in order before asking for help as they are the root cause of the problem with Israel. They see the Palestinians as a constant reminder of their defeat.

Arab leaders, meanwhile, were concerned less about the loss of Palestine and more about strengthening their regimes and nation-building, as evidenced by the coups in Syria and Egypt. When attempts at peace were made, cultural differences stood in the way. Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser, for example, found it difficult to make peace with Israel because he didn’t want to tarnish his reputation as the champion of Arab nationalism. Still, Arab leaders maintained secret lines of communication with the Israelis for years.

Behind Closed Doors

Indeed, Arab and Jewish officials communicated behind closed doors even before Israel’s establishment in May 1948. Despite last-minute differences before the 1948 war, Jordan’s King Abdullah I sent his army to Palestine not to prevent the creation of a Jewish state but to seize the Arab part of the 1947 Palestine partition plan. Private talks between the Hashemites and Israelis continued until Abdullah’s assassination in 1951 and throughout the reign of his grandson King Hussein. On the eve of the 1967 Six-Day War, the Israelis informed Hussein that they would not attack the West Bank if he did not initiate hostilities. In the 1973 war, he collaborated closely with the Israelis, despite sending an army brigade to Syria in a show of Arab solidarity.

In 1954, Nasser told Le Monde newspaper that Egypt needed peace with Israel so it could focus on domestic issues and that the U.S. could facilitate the normalization. However, Mossad’s botched Operation Suzannah, which targeted Western interests in Egypt in order to sabotage U.S.-Egyptian relations, led to rising tensions, which in turn resulted in the 1956 Suez War.

The 1978 Camp David Accords between Egypt and Israel opened a new chapter in Arab-Israeli relations. In 1981, then Saudi Crown Prince Fahd announced a comprehensive peace plan between Arabs and Israelis – though both sides ultimately rejected it, with Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin describing it as a plan to gradually destroy the Israeli state. In 1994, eight years after Jordan renounced its claim to the West Bank, Amman made peace with Israel and recognized the Palestine Liberation Organization as the sole representative of the Palestinian people.

In 1999, representatives of Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein met secretly with Israeli negotiators and offered to resettle Lebanon’s 300,000 Palestinian refugees in Iraq as an olive branch to Washington. Though neither the U.S. nor Israel took the offer seriously, it would have resolved the question of the refugees’ right of return, one of the preconditions set by the PLO to reach a final status agreement with Israel. In 2020, former Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz told a Saudi newspaper that he visited “every Arab state but in secret during the performance of military missions.” He even visited Algeria, which, since its independence in 1962, has adamantly refused to recognize Israel’s existence. Notably, Algerian President Abdulaziz Bouteflika decided to dismantle his country’s nuclear program over Israeli security concerns, despite his country’s firm anti-Israeli position. In 1999, Bouteflika shook hands with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak while attending the funeral of Morocco’s King Hassan II, telling him he could count on Algeria to facilitate peace in the region.

Unresolved Issue

Israel has long been eager to make peace with Arabs. The sticking point, however, has always been the Palestinian question. Since 1967, Palestinians in the West Bank have been denied civil rights. Under Israel’s Military Order No. 101 issued in 1967, political assemblies of 10 or more persons are prohibited for public safety reasons, in violation of international law. Military Order No. 1651, issued in 2010, criminalized attempts to influence public opinion with a 10-year prison term. Last February, Amnesty International described Israel’s treatment of Palestinians as a “cruel system of domination and a crime against humanity.” These conditions have led to frequent violent clashes, which killed 227 Palestinians and 27 Israelis in 2022 alone.

Arab attitudes toward Israelis also stem from a massive anti-Jewish political socialization campaign that began as early as 1919, when Eastern European Jews started arriving in Palestine. After Israel’s founding in 1948 and the subsequent Arab-Israeli wars, these negative sentiments grew. Arabs’ position on the Palestinian question reflects this intense socialization.

At the 2002 Beirut summit, Arab heads of state presented an initiative to normalize relations with Israel. They demanded that Israel withdraw from the land it occupied in the 1967 Six-Day War and accept the formation of a Palestinian state with east Jerusalem as its capital. The Israeli prime minister immediately rejected the plan. Nearly 20 years later, however, Israel signed normalization deals with four Arab countries – the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan.

Though it now publicly engages with some Arab governments, Israel has not yet convinced them that it’s serious about resolving the Palestinian question, which remains the core issue between them. Arabs show no empathy for the Jewish people’s historic travails, with many even denying that the Holocaust occurred. People on both sides engage in the politics of denial to rationalize their actions and avoid challenging their misconceptions about each other.

There’s no evidence that the stalemate will end any time soon. Israel is preoccupied with security, understandably so given that it’s surrounded by hostile populations whose ruling elites are interested only in security arrangements and have no affinity for Jews. The UAE, for example, misled the public about its intention to normalize relations with Israel. Before signing the peace treaty in 2020, UAE officials said they would seek normalization to stop the annexation of West Bank lands. The official English version of the treaty, however, mentioned merely suspending annexation, not stopping it.

Looking Ahead

For the Palestinians, the options are limited. Israeli historian Mordechai Kedar proposed creating Palestinian emirates similar to the United Arab Emirates. The Palestinian Emirates would include eight autonomous cities – Gaza, Jenin, Nablus, Ramallah, Jericho, Tulkarm, Qalqilya and Hebron – which would be connected by Israel through land routes for travel and trade.

This seems to be the only workable solution. Neither Israel nor Arab countries want to see the creation of a Palestinian state. The land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean is too small to accommodate two countries. Moreover, Arab leaders see the Palestinians as destabilizing agents and fear their revolutionary zeal. The more the Palestinians wait to achieve statehood, the more they lose. They cannot count on the Palestinian Authority, which is hopelessly corrupt and nepotistic. Kedar’s proposal will at least preserve a semblance of Palestinian national identity and end the conflict with Israel. In peace and stability, Israel will probably inch toward liberal democracy.

ccp

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NYT : Israel has it coming
« Reply #2578 on: January 29, 2023, 02:11:45 PM »
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2023/01/29/nyt-describes-deadly-palestinian-terror-attacks-as-spasms-of-violence-israel-had-coming/

sometimes see patients from the Israeli consulate in NYC

I asked a few what they think of Netanyahu
and they don't like him though I did not probe further as to why

the last one said Israeli politics is as polarized as here when I asked

like my mother told be 40 + yrs ago - about some old saying - something that goes like "
put 100 Jews in a room and you get 100 different opinions   :-o

I have no recall what in the world the context of the conversation at the time.

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Judiciary rules in Israel
« Reply #2579 on: March 09, 2023, 06:10:18 AM »
and US. Democrats support them:

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/tom-cotton-benjamin-netanyahu-democrats/2023/03/09/id/1111652/

and WELL WORTH The listen (47 min.)
From Mark Levin on tyranny of Israel's  [leftist] judiciary:
https://www.marklevinshow.com/2023/01/26/israels-judicial-tyranny/


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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2580 on: March 16, 2023, 05:44:31 AM »
March 16, 2023
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How Arabs Aggravated Israeli Existential Fears
The Arabs knew they would be outmatched in a war against the Israelis.
By: Hilal Khashan

The Arab world’s hostility to the establishment of a Jewish state in Palestine exacerbated the existential fears of many Israelis, developed over centuries of discrimination and persecution in Europe. Arab governments and media repeatedly promoted a campaign of anti-Israeli rhetoric beginning in the late 1940s and peaking during the 1967 Six-Day War. The consequences of this vicious bullying campaign are still evident today.

Songs of War

Violent, anti-Israeli discourse dates back to the first Arab-Israeli war in 1948, when the secretary-general of the Arab League announced that Arab countries would throw the Jews into the sea. The ruling elite have often used patriotic songs to ratchet up hostility toward the Israelis and portray a sense of unrivaled strength. These songs helped Arab leaders forge a bond with the population, boost morale and evoke pride in the Arab people. Blood, threats and intimidation characterized the vast majority of war songs threatening to destroy Israel and describing the inevitable conflict between Israelis and Arabs as a necessary battle to ensure victory for Arab armies. Nowhere has this been more true than in Egypt, especially in the lead-up to the Six-Day War.

In the early 1960s, Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser ruled out starting a war with Israel, saying he could not launch a full-scale offensive while one-third of the Egyptian army was busy fighting royalists in Yemen’s civil war. He argued that Egypt maintained a defensive, not offensive, military posture. Still, he asserted that Egypt would not coexist with Israel and dismissed any possibility of future peace between the two nations. He pressed for the return of Palestinian refugees to Israel, believing this would be enough to force the state of Israel into disrepair.

As the political situation in the Middle East worsened in the mid-1960s, Nasser became worried about his political survival due to worsening relations with the U.S., tensions with the army commander, military setbacks in Yemen, and coups that overthrew his allies in Indonesia and Ghana. On May 15, 1967, the Egyptian army, along with Syrian, Jordanian and Iraqi troops, was put on high alert based on false Soviet information about Israel’s intention to launch a massive military attack against Syria. Three days later, Nasser asked the United Nations Emergency Force in Sinai to leave the border with Israel. An Egyptian patriotic song described Nasser’s defiant mood with the lyrics, “Welcome to the battles, and what a great fortune for those who participate in them.”

On May 22, 1967, Nasser announced the closure of the Straits of Tiran to Israeli ships heading from Eilat to the Red Sea, which was essentially a declaration of war. He said Egypt was ready for battle and could destroy Israel. A few days before the war broke out, he predicted that Israel would initiate a military confrontation, saying that he would finally get rid of the Jewish state – which was the dream of every Arab. He bragged that Arab armies would enter Palestine with its soil not covered with sand but rather saturated with blood. An Egyptian patriotic song warned the Israelis that the Arabs would bury them at sea with no regrets: “O Zionists, your misfortune is your action.”

The government required all Egyptian songwriters and singers to contribute to the propaganda machine. Egypt’s most prominent singer sang: “We will return [to Palestine] by force of arms. The tragedy of Palestine will push you towards the borders and turn the pain we endured with gunpowder in your cannon.” The songs celebrated Nasser as a heroic figure who would lead the charge into Israeli cities: “Abu Khaled [Nasser], our beloved, you will enter Tel Aviv tomorrow… O missile, go up in the air and destroy Tel Aviv. Set fire and flames in it, and do not leave one of them.”

The media lied about Egypt’s performance in the war, reporting the destruction of more fighter jets than the Israeli air force possessed. Egyptian media outlets said that Syrian bombers attacked an oil refinery in Haifa. In reality, two MiG-17 planes equipped with two 23 mm cannons carried out the botched air raid; the Israelis shot down one of them, while the second ran out of fuel and landed on a coastal road in southern Lebanon.

As for Syrian war songs, they described the war as the most fantastic day for the Arabs and called on their armies to tear apart the enemy. A Syrian song praised the country’s air force, always the underdog in air battles: “Mirage fighter pilots escaped fearing defeat by the Eagles [pilots] of the Arabs, and the MiG flew and climbed into the air, defying fate.” This was a dubious portrayal of Syria’s capabilities relative to the Israelis, evidenced by the fact that just two months before the Six-Day War, the Israeli Air Force shot down six Syrian warplanes without sustaining any losses.

Three days after the outbreak of the war, it became clear that Israel had soundly defeated the armies of Egypt, Syria and Jordan. But even after the Arabs began to retreat, the media continued to publish false military reports stating that Arab forces were “penetrating Israel” and that the Israelis had “admitted to heavy losses.” Patriotic songs continued to distort the outcome of the war, claiming that “the day of salvation is near” and that “the Arabs united and surrounded the enemy under the leadership of Nasser, leading us to a clear victory.” One song described the situation this way: “There will be no more oil, no canal, the veil has fallen from the scary faces, revealing the truth of the devil. We would rather perish than surrender, for 90 million have marched to fight.”

On June 9, Nasser admitted defeat, saying that the Arabs faced a severe setback for which he bore responsibility. He decided to step down as Egyptian president, but the media urged him to remain in power, describing him as a hero who would restore the lost territory to Egypt. Immediately after the defeat, the Egyptian media shifted its attention from Pan-Arabism to Egyptian nationalism. Radio Cairo aired patriotic songs that urged people not to give up, with lyrics such as “Long live my country, guarded by my heart” and “Cairo is unconquerable, and Egypt’s great people are indefatigable.”

After the war’s conclusion and until his death in September 1970, Nasser disengaged from the Palestinians and the Arabs, shifting his primary focus to Egyptian politics. In November 1967, he accepted U.N. Security Council resolution 242 to end hostilities between Arabs and Israelis in exchange for a vague statement on Israel’s return to Arabs of the territory it occupied in the Six-Day War. Nasser also accepted the 1970 Rogers Plan, which effectively limited negotiations between Israel and Egypt to Sinai and Gaza, since it did not refer to the West Bank or Golan Heights.

Nasser’s True Intentions

Nasser rarely referred to the option of war against Israel. He always demanded that Israel respect the Palestinian people’s rights under U.N. General Assembly resolution 194, which gave Palestinian refugees a choice between returning to their homes and financial compensation. In a meeting of the Arab chiefs of staff in Cairo in December 1963, Nasser explained why he did not dare enter a war against Israel, saying that the calamity that befell the Arab in the 1948 war was sufficient.

In “The Philosophy of the Revolution,” which outlined Egypt’s economic development in the 1950s, Nasser said humanity did not deserve the honor of life if it did not fight with all its heart for the cause of peace. In August 1954, Nasser told the French newspaper Le Monde that Egypt needed peace to focus on domestic issues and that Washington could facilitate talks between Israel and the Arab states. In his interviews with Western journalists, he emphasized that he did not wish to destroy Israel and that the idea of throwing Jews into the sea was propaganda. Former Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin recalled that his forces who besieged an Egyptian unit in the Negev desert in the 1948 war negotiated their exit. Nasser, then deputy commander, told Rabin: “The war we are fighting is the wrong war against the wrong enemy at the wrong time.”

Despite Nasser’s public defense of the Palestinian cause during his political career, he seemed indifferent to the Palestinians and reluctant to confront Israel. Nasser is still a popular figure among Arabs because of his fiery rhetoric about destroying Israel, but the evidence suggests that his support for the Palestinians was only verbal and motivated by his desire to glorify his own leadership of the Arab world. Ordinary Israelis, traumatized by centuries of violence and discrimination, took the vitriol of his propaganda machine seriously. This aggravated existing anxieties and deepened the fissures between the two sides.

ccp

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What leftist MSM media will NOT tell us
« Reply #2581 on: March 16, 2023, 06:14:53 AM »
In Israel like here, the liberal media twists the truth around :

https://www.jns.org/why-do-we-need-judicial-reform-an-architect-behind-the-proposal-explains/

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2582 on: March 16, 2023, 06:36:45 AM »

Very helpful for an email convo I'm having with a smart fellow Jew about this.

ccp

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2583 on: March 16, 2023, 07:15:17 AM »
yes
Mark Levin had great podcast describing this well and that is where I learned of it from a Conservatives point of view who tells the other side .

Imagine for a moment that  the entire judiciary in the US  was ruled by total liberal democrats [ a Democrat goal - pack the judiciary get as many democrat activist judges in every chance they get ]
The judgeship was entirely made up of partisan judges who have the power to   choose all other judges.  Of  course they pick like minded liberals (democrats) for every judgeship in the nation.

If  that is not enough the Judicial branch has  total veto power over the the President and legislative bodies
who in turn have ZERO  power to check the Judicial branches .
So essentially we would have total Democrat party rule -

THAT my friends is what is going on in Israel

But of course the Democrat media twists it all around trying to tell the world it is Netanyahu who is the power hungry totalitarian .
when in fact he and his party are solely seeking some checks and balances)


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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2584 on: March 16, 2023, 07:19:09 AM »
Aren't we there now?

yes
Mark Levin had great podcast describing this well and that is where I learned of it from a Conservatives point of view who tells the other side .

Imagine for a moment that  the entire judiciary in the US  was ruled by total liberal democrats [ a Democrat goal - pack the judiciary get as many democrat activist judges in every chance they get ]
The judgeship was entirely made up of partisan judges who have the power to   choose all other judges.  Of  course they pick like minded liberals (democrats) for every judgeship in the nation.

If  that is not enough the Judicial branch has  total veto power over the the President and legislative bodies
who in turn have ZERO  power to check the Judicial branches .
So essentially we would have total Democrat party rule -

THAT my friends is what is going on in Israel

But of course the Democrat media twists it all around trying to tell the world it is Netanyahu who is the power hungry totalitarian .
when in fact he and his party are solely seeking some checks and balances)

ccp

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Netanyahu being called dictator
« Reply #2585 on: March 19, 2023, 11:52:43 AM »
when the opposite is true
sound familiar :

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/israel-protests-military/2023/03/19/id/1112647/

leftists control the whole court system with no counter balance from what I can discern


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Re: Netanyahu being called dictator
« Reply #2586 on: March 19, 2023, 11:55:35 AM »
when the opposite is true
sound familiar :

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/israel-protests-military/2023/03/19/id/1112647/

leftists control the whole court system with no counter balance from what I can discern

Is he literally Hitler, like every republican president?

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2587 on: March 20, 2023, 06:22:23 AM »
CCP:

A very smart very Jewish friend of rational Democrat orientation who follows these things acknowledges your point.   Though I have not read enough to have a strongly held opinion, I suspect it is as you describe.

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Biden against Netanyahu's judicial reform
« Reply #2588 on: March 20, 2023, 08:44:46 AM »
extremely strong evidence Levin and others are correct
in the reality is the  Judiciary in Israel is totally rigged
 by liberals . If  Biden defends it, then this would be the most logical conclusion.

One can only imagine the America Jewish crats (nadler schiff larry lib etc) advising the senile one, and telling him to call Ben with his "advice "  (perhaps with just a tinge of threat )

same lawfare in Israel as  here (lawyers circumventing the will of the people ):

https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2023/03/20/biden-lectures-netanyahu-on-judicial-reform-after-launching-his-own-court-packing-commission/

CD ,
did your very Jewish friend do more than simply concede the point?  like admit Netanyahu is right and should be allowed to proceed with judicial reform

 

« Last Edit: March 20, 2023, 08:56:53 AM by ccp »

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dersh on israel judicial reforms
« Reply #2589 on: March 27, 2023, 10:06:07 AM »


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Cal Thomas defends Netanyahu
« Reply #2591 on: March 30, 2023, 09:10:17 AM »
https://townhall.com/columnists/calthomas/2023/03/30/in-defense-of-netanyahu-n2621285

sounds like LEFT wing media/ lawyers/ and libs doing the same to Bibi
as they do to Republicans here.




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Re: Cal Thomas defends Netanyahu
« Reply #2592 on: March 30, 2023, 02:34:06 PM »
https://townhall.com/columnists/calthomas/2023/03/30/in-defense-of-netanyahu-n2621285

sounds like LEFT wing media/ lawyers/ and libs doing the same to Bibi
as they do to Republicans here.

It’s the same playbook

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Jerusalem Post op ed against Netanyahu
« Reply #2593 on: April 03, 2023, 01:57:46 PM »
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2023/04/03/jerusalem-post-publishes-op-ed-calling-for-coup-against-netanyahu/

what the article does NOT points out is that 85 yo author is an American

That he was an NYU professor , and a virulent anti Republican

look at his articles :

https://www.israelhayom.com/writer/alon-ben-meir/

he calls Ben a liar
would this libshit write a piece calling Biden a liar - almost certainly not.


« Last Edit: April 03, 2023, 02:14:53 PM by ccp »

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Israeli opposition leader to meet nadler
« Reply #2594 on: April 10, 2023, 10:02:58 AM »
If Nadler supports this then, almost certainly, I should be against it.

Like GM pointed out - same playbook

https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2023/04/10/hypocrisy-israeli-opposition-leader-yair-lapid-meets-radical-judicial-reformer-jerry-nadler/

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Why Palestinians cannot resume talks with Israel
« Reply #2595 on: April 11, 2023, 06:23:50 AM »
Why Palestinians Cannot Resume Peace Talks with Israel
by Bassam Tawil  •  April 11, 2023 at 5:00 am

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Once a Palestinian leader makes such a serious (and false) allegation against Jews [such as "violent storming of the al-Aqsa Mosque"], he is telling the Arabs and Muslims that the Jews... should therefore be fought against, not welcomed as peace partners.

If you tell your people (again, falsely) that the Israelis are perpetrating "war crimes," "desecrating mosques" and "stealing land," what will the Palestinians think of you when they see you sitting with an Israeli? They will denounce you as a "traitor" and call for your death.

By describing the Jews as "colonizers," [Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Mohammad] Shtayyeh is seeking to send a message that the Jews have no religious or historical connection to their homeland, Israel.

In the eyes of Shtayyeh and many Palestinians, all Jews living between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea are "colonizers" and "settlers." These Palestinians see no difference between a Jew living in a Jewish community in the West Bank and a Jew living in Tel Aviv or Jerusalem. For them, all Jews are foreigners who have no connection whatsoever to Israel and Jewish holy sites and no right ever to live there. Period.

Palestinian leaders such as Shtayyeh are straightforwardly saying that they see Israel as one big illegal settlement that must be eradicated... [and not] as a place for anyone other than Muslims.

[C]ontrary to the false claim made by Shtayyeh and other Palestinian leaders, the Jews who visit the holy site have never set foot inside the al-Aqsa Mosque.

One of those who have failed to call out the Palestinians for their antisemitism and lies is US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.

"Palestinians and Israelis alike are experiencing growing insecurity, growing fear in their homes, in their communities, in their places of worship," Blinken argued.

If the Palestinians are "experiencing growing insecurity," it is because they are enabling terrorists to operate freely against Israel within their own communities. If the Palestinians want to live in their homes in security and without fear, they could stop terrorists from planning and executing terror attacks against Israel. If the Palestinians want to feel safe in their worship places, they could stop attacking and harassing Jews....

The Israeli army does not send its soldiers to Palestinian cities for fun. The only reason Israeli troops enter Palestinian cities and towns is to arrest terrorists or foil terror attacks that are being planned.

The Israeli security forces are actually forced to launch these counterterrorism operations because the Palestinian Authority and its president, Mahmoud Abbas, are not fulfilling their obligations under the terms of their agreements with Israel to prevent and combat terrorism.

Instead, Abbas and the Palestinian leadership continue to glorify terrorists and to reward them and their families financially through the infamous "Pay-for-Slay" program. These are payments for killing Jews – like Murder, Inc.

In a place such as the West Bank that has lived off handouts from Europe, the US, Qatar and Iran, and where the Palestinian Authority never bothered to build any kind of industrial or self-sustaining economic base, paying people to murder Jews has, in a poor region, become a booming jobs program.

Every day, every Jew in Israel literally walks around with a bounty on his or her head. If you are a Jew in Israel, every day is "hunting season."

In the world of Palestinian leaders, a terrorist is entitled to murder or wound Jews, but when the Jews manage to foil the attack or kill the terrorist, the Jews should be condemned for perpetrating "crimes" and "violating international law."

What is more bizarre is that Blinken, who did not utter a word to refute the lies coming out of Abbas's mouth, instead chose to praise the Palestinian leader: "I also appreciate, Mr. President, your consistent and resolute stance against terrorism."

For the Biden Administration, a Palestinian leader who glorifies terrorists as "heroes and martyrs" and pays their families monthly salaries deserves praise for his "stance against terrorism." If this US position was not so dangerous, it would be a sad joke.

If the Biden administration wants to understand why Palestinian leaders cannot resume any "peace process" with Israel, Blinken and the State Department would be advised to listen to the anti-Israel statements and lies of Abbas and Shtayyeh. These lies include charges that Israel is committing "war crimes," "extra-judicial killings," "ethnic cleansing," and "apartheid."

As long as Palestinian leaders continue to incite violence against Israel and Jews, these leaders will never return to any negotiating table with Israel.

Naïve Americans and gullible Europeans keep giving these leaders every incentive to continue their program of "Murder, Inc." by rewarding them with "free" money for terrorism -- with no strings attached. Under those terms, who wouldn't continue killing Jews -- or anyone? It is a gold mine.

Finally, these leaders might simply find it more comfortable to perpetuate the drama of the "cause" rather than the anonymous, less-than-heroic tedium of running a state. Unless, of course, that state could entail driving out the Jews.


By describing the Jews as "colonizers," Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Mohammad] Shtayyeh is seeking to send a message that the Jews have no religious or historical connection to their homeland, Israel. In the eyes of Shtayyeh and many Palestinians, all Jews living between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea are "colonizers" and "settlers." Pictured: Shtayyeh speaks at a meeting of the African Union in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia on February 18, 2023. (Photo by Tony Karumba/AFP via Getty Images)
As the Biden Administration continues to state its commitment to a "two-state negotiated solution" between the Palestinians and Israel, Palestinian leaders are pursuing their campaign to vilify Israel and demonize Jews. This campaign, which is manifest mostly in the rhetoric of the leaders and the Palestinian media, mosques and schools, has made it impossible – not to mention personally dangerous – for any Palestinian leader to seek a negotiated and peaceful settlement with Israel.

ccp

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Re: Israel, and its neighbors
« Reply #2596 on: April 19, 2023, 06:29:08 AM »
"In the absence of any desire on the part of the Biden administration to support the Saudis -- for decades one of Washington's most important allies in the region -- China has moved quickly to fill the diplomatic vacuum to launch its own initiative to restore ties with Iran."

Also Biden team (not him as he has no idea what he is doing) have meddles quite significantly is Israeli affairs
and hurting security there
turning SA away from better relations with Israel and interfering in judicial reform,
and providing aid to Palenstinians.

watch this PBS' Amna Nawaz on sided interview Israel previous Prime Minister Naftali Bennett:

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/former-israeli-prime-minister-on-the-escalating-violence-in-his-country

One can only think this is the Biden / Rice  administrations (obama people) contempt for. Israel conservatives - same as here .

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amna_Nawaz
Modify message

remember this:

https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-members-of-the-116th-congress

35 of 37 Jews In Congress/Senate are crats
and to my knowledge not one (that I know of ) publicly criticizes Biden administration for Its anti Israel policies

Anyone welcome to correct me if I am wrong or missed it.


Crafty_Dog

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How did Israel become Right Wing?
« Reply #2597 on: April 25, 2023, 02:32:43 PM »
Israel’s Independence Day Marks a 75-Year Odyssey From Left to Right
The Jewish state has lived up to its miraculous creation, but not in the way its founders expected.
By Elliot Kaufman
April 25, 2023 12:07 pm ET


How did Israel, a liberal cause at its founding 75 years ago, become right-wing? You could begin the tale in 1935, when a Jewish state was still far from assured. Ze’ev Jabotinsky, the father of right-wing Zionism, despised by the socialist mainstream, made a promise and a threat to David Ben-Gurion, the Labor Zionist leader of Palestine’s Jewish community:

“I can vouch for there being a type of Zionist who doesn’t care what kind of society our ‘state’ will have; I’m that person. If I were to know that the only way to a state was via socialism, or even that this would hasten it by a generation, I’d welcome it. More than that: Give me a religiously Orthodox state in which I would be forced to eat gefilte fish all day long (but only if there were no other way), and I’ll take it. . . . In the will I leave my son, I’ll tell him to start a revolution, but on the envelope, I’ll write, ‘To be opened only five years after a Jewish state is established.’ ”

That Jabotinsky’s heirs kept his promise and threat allows us to trace the nation’s journey from left to right as the world’s most successful postcolonial state.

In 1944 right-wing Zionists revolted against the British, the colonial power blocking desperate European Jews from immigrating to Palestine. Ben-Gurion, focused on a postwar settlement, opposed the revolt. His forces betrayed hundreds of members of the Zionist underground to the British. This turned Jew against Jew and could have easily spiraled into civil war. But it didn’t. “There will not be a fratricidal war,” said Menachem Begin, successor to Jabotinsky. “Perhaps our blood will be shed, but we will not shed the blood of others.”

A worn-down Britain withdrew from Palestine in 1948, and Ben-Gurion declared Israeli independence. Rather than create an Arab state alongside it, as the United Nations had envisioned, five Arab armies invaded Israel immediately. The Irgun, Begin’s paramilitary, sought to smuggle in weapons to resupply Jerusalem during the fighting. Ben-Gurion knew, however, that a state with private armies would be a tinderbox. He suppressed Israel’s far-left military faction and ordered his new Israel Defense Forces to fire on the Irgun’s weapons ship, setting it ablaze. Again, Begin refused to retaliate: “It is forbidden for brother to raise a hand against brother.”

East Jerusalem, with Judaism’s holiest sites, fell to Jordan, which expelled every last Jew. Yet Israel emerged with one army under a single command, loyal to the state. This unity, achieved via the ruthlessness of the moderates and the restraint of the extremists, allowed the country to develop the social solidarity to hold off repeated invasions, integrate hundreds of thousands of refugees, liberate Jerusalem and stand firm against terrorism—all while flourishing as a democracy.

Labor Zionists, secular and Ashkenazi, governed Israel for its first 29 years. But Jabotinsky’s envelope had been opened. The “Second Israel,” led by traditional Mizrahi Jews expelled from Arab lands, powered Begin’s 1977 election victory, known as ha’mahapakh, the upheaval. The right would push for a more-Jewish state and attempt to break the power of the left-wing Ashkenazi bastions, from kibbutzim to state corporations, unions and, most recently, the Supreme Court.


Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, whose father had been Jabotinsky’s secretary, led free-market reforms in the 1990s and 2000s, unleashing a dynamic Israeli economy with a gross domestic product per capita exceeding Britain’s. In 2020 Mr. Netanyahu secured the Abraham Accords, a diplomatic flanking maneuver that junked the liberal consensus on a moribund peace process. Now, as the country shakes, he leads a once-unthinkable all-right-wing government into uncharted territory.

One man who foresaw Israel’s transformation was political theorist Leo Strauss, a Jabotinskyite in his youth. In 1956 he wrote to the editors of National Review with a then-outrageous argument: Zionism was conservative. When “the moral spine of the Jews was in danger of being broken” with false promises of European emancipation, he wrote, Zionism had held Jews to their Jewishness. “Zionism was the attempt to restore that inner freedom, that simple dignity, of which only people who remember their heritage and are loyal to their fate, are capable.” It “helped to stem the tide of ‘progressive’ leveling of venerable, ancestral differences; it fulfilled a conservative function.”

Even a purely political Zionism, he explained in a 1962 speech, was bound to raise deeper questions of culture: How should citizens of a Jewish state live? A serious cultural Zionism, in turn, had to conclude that Jewish culture’s most profound sources and purposes are religious. The logic of Zionism, he said, leads to Judaism.

Welcome to Israel, the new global center of Jewish life and learning. Israel has experienced a religious and cultural renaissance, leaving the old socialist Sparta in the dust. Scripture is woven into hit songs and novels, lives of piety the stuff of TV dramas. Birthrates remain elevated among all types of Jews. The “national-religious” lead a settlement movement to return Jews to Judea and Samaria, the biblical heartland from which Jordan had expelled them. These Jews, piling into the officer corps, may one day lead the army.

Meanwhile, Israel’s Labor Party, discredited by the waves of Palestinian terrorism that answered Israeli peace offers, has been reduced to four Knesset seats out of 120. Only foreign pressure and an increasingly aggressive Supreme Court, protected from ideological change by its unique selection mechanism, preserves the left’s power.

Israel’s opposition is now center-left and center-right, led by new parties with little vision beyond stymieing Mr. Netanyahu and his religious allies. They can be formidable, however, when the right forgets that favorable demographic trends for the future don’t settle disputes today. The judicial-reform fight has proved that. But here, too, is a confirmation of change—even the opposition to the right has shifted rightward, dropped all talk of surrendering territory and draped itself in the flag.

India, founded a year before Israel, provides a parallel. Jawaharlal Nehru, India’s secularist first prime minister, stopped short of crushing religion, even making certain concessions to help legitimate the new state his party would dominate for decades. Like Ben-Gurion, he was confident that traditional religion would wither away with progress.

Over time, however, some Israeli Jews and many Indian Hindus sought deeper meaning for their states. Had they won sovereignty merely to modernize along British lines? Looking for a different source of values and solidarity, both nations have seen a conscious return to religion, in many cases yielding not at all traditional national-religious fusions with great vitality and expectations.

The outcomes in Israel and India may be as different as Judaism and Hinduism, but the challenge for the right is the same: to marshal the best in its tradition to revise what is no longer sustainable from the old regime. The worry is that it will marshal the worst to squander its national inheritance.

Once upon a time in Israel, the left-wing majority knew how to lead and the right-wing minority knew when to hold fire. The combination produced a state worthy of its miraculous creation. Now, as Israel’s third generation beckons, the roles are reversed and neither side is content. The right struggles to consolidate control; will its flailing only tighten the no longer subtle restraints on its power? The left convinces itself that the greatest danger to Israel is the majority of its fellow citizens; will it ever accede, like Jabotinsky and Begin did for a time, to a different kind of Jewish state?

Only Mr. Netanyahu keeps his eyes fixed on Iran rather than internal squabbles. Increasingly it seems that he must solidify the state and redeem the revolution or be devoured in its wake.

Mr. Kaufman is the Journal’s letters editor

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