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Messages - Body-by-Guinness

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1
The buried lede here is comeuppance. The Old Gray Hag rooted out diversity of thought and opinion, and now the current crop of reporters are chaffing over the poor reception their journalistic views are given. Cry me a freakin’ river & don’t dish it out if you can’t deal w/ it:

https://nypost.com/2024/05/15/media/new-york-times-reporters-slam-executive-editor-joe-kahn/

2
Politics & Religion / The Screwworm Chronicles
« on: Today at 12:09:42 PM »
I had never heard of this pathogenic creature of the related success story:

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/05/flesh-eating-worms-disease-containment-america-panama/611026/

3
So our story so far: Church of Anthropomorphic Climate Apocalypse has been making dire predictions for 40 years, none of which have come to pass; science is embroiled in a well documented replicability crisis where numerous studies, many of them seminal, have been shown to be irreproducible (for those playing at home, if it ain’t reproducible it ain’t science); and now we learn that science journals have been deluged with fake papers (no doubt none of them having to do with global warming or whatever the CACA panic mongers find it expedient to label it today, far chance).

So tell us, CACA promulgators, is it okay to be skeptical about climate change, and indeed is skepticism allowed in politically charged areas of science?   

Flood of Fake Science Forces Multiple Journal Closures

Wiley to shutter 19 more journals, some tainted by fraud

Fake studies have flooded the publishers of top scientific journals, leading to thousands of retractions and millions of dollars in lost revenue. The biggest hit has come to Wiley, a 217-year-old publisher based in Hoboken, N.J., which Tuesday will announce that it is closing 19 journals, some of which were infected by large-scale research fraud. 

In the past two years, Wiley has retracted more than 11,300 papers that appeared compromised, according to a spokesperson, and closed four journals. It isn’t alone: At least two other publishers have retracted hundreds of suspect papers each. Several others have pulled smaller clusters of bad papers.

Although this large-scale fraud represents a small percentage of submissions to journals, it threatens the legitimacy of the nearly $30 billion academic publishing industry and the credibility of science as a whole.

The discovery of nearly 900 fraudulent papers in 2022 at IOP Publishing, a physical sciences publisher, was a turning point for the nonprofit. “That really crystallized for us, everybody internally, everybody involved with the business,” said Kim Eggleton, head of peer review and research integrity at the publisher. “This is a real threat.”

The sources of the fake science are “paper mills”—businesses or individuals that, for a price, will list a scientist as an author of a wholly or partially fabricated paper. The mill then submits the work, generally avoiding the most prestigious journals in favor of publications such as one-off special editions that might not undergo as thorough a review and where they have a better chance of getting bogus work published. 
World-over, scientists are under pressure to publish in peer-reviewed journals—sometimes to win grants, other times as conditions for promotions. Researchers say this motivates people to cheat the system. Many journals charge a fee to authors to publish in them. 

Problematic papers typically appear in batches of up to hundreds or even thousands within a publisher or journal. A signature move is to submit the same paper to multiple journals at once to maximize the chance of getting in, according to an industry trade group now monitoring the problem. Publishers say some fraudsters have even posed as academics to secure spots as guest editors for special issues and organizers of conferences, and then control the papers that are published there. 

“The paper mill will find the weakest link and then exploit it mercilessly until someone notices,” said Nick Wise, an engineer who has documented paper-mill advertisements on social media and posts examples regularly on X under the handle @authorforsale.

The journal Science flagged the practice of buying authorship in 2013. The website Retraction Watch and independent researchers have since tracked paper mills through their advertisements and websites. Researchers say they have found them in multiple countries including Russia, Iran, Latvia, China and India. The mills solicit clients on social channels such as Telegram or Facebook, where they advertise the titles of studies they intend to submit, their fee and sometimes the journal they aim to infiltrate. Wise said he has seen costs ranging from as little as $50 to as much as $8,500.

When publishers become alert to the work, mills change their tactics. 
“It’s like a virus mutating,” said Dorothy Bishop, a psychologist at the University of Oxford, one of a multitude of researchers who track fraudulent science and has spotted suspected milled papers.

For Wiley, which publishes more than 2,000 journals, the problem came to light two years ago, shortly after it paid nearly $300 million for Hindawi, a company founded in Egypt in 1997 that included about 250 journals. In 2022, a little more than a year after the purchase, scientists online noticed peculiarities in dozens of studies from journals in the Hindawi family.

Scientific papers typically include citations that acknowledge work that informed the research, but the suspect papers included lists of irrelevant references. Multiple papers included technical-sounding passages inserted midway through, what Bishop called an “AI gobbledygook sandwich.” Nearly identical contact emails in one cluster of studies were all registered to a university in China where few if any of the authors were based. It appeared that all came from the same source.

“The problem was much worse and much larger than anyone had realized,” said David Bimler, a retired psychology researcher in Wellington, New Zealand, who started a spreadsheet of suspect Hindawi studies, which grew to thousands of entries.
Within weeks, Wiley said its Hindawi portfolio had been deeply hit. 

Over the next year, in 2023, 19 Hindawi journals were delisted from a key database, Web of Science, that researchers use to find and cite papers relevant to their work, eroding the standing of the journals, whose influence is measured by how frequently its papers are cited by others. (One was later relisted.)

Wiley said it would shut down four that had been “​​heavily compromised by paper mills,” and for months it paused publishing Hindawi special issues entirely as hundreds of papers were retracted. In December, Wiley interim President and Chief Executive Matthew Kissner warned investors of a $35 million to $40 million revenue drop for the 2024 fiscal year because of the problems with Hindawi.

According to Wiley, Tuesday’s closures are due to multiple factors, including a rebranding of the Hindawi journals and low submission rates to some titles. A company spokesperson acknowledged that some were affected by paper mills but declined to say how many. Eleven were among those that lost accreditation this past year on Web of Science.

“I don’t think that journal closures happen routinely,” said Jodi Schneider, who studies scientific literature and publishing at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.

The extent of the paper mill problem has been exposed by members of the scientific community who on their own have collected patterns in faked papers to recognize this fraud at scale and developed tools to help surface the work. 

One of those tools, the “Problematic Paper Screener,” run by Guillaume Cabanac, a computer-science researcher who studies scholarly publishing at the Université Toulouse III-Paul Sabatier in France, scans the breadth of the published literature, some 130 million papers, looking for a range of red flags including “tortured phrases.”

Cabanac and his colleagues realized that researchers who wanted to avoid plagiarism detectors had swapped out key scientific terms for synonyms from automatic text generators, leading to comically misfit phrases. “Breast cancer” became “bosom peril”; “fluid dynamics” became “gooey stream”; “artificial intelligence” became “counterfeit consciousness.” The tool is publicly available. 

Another data scientist, Adam Day, built “The Papermill Alarm,” a tool that uses large language models to spot signs of trouble in an article’s metadata, such as multiple suspect papers citing each other or using similar templates and simply altering minor experimental details. Publishers can pay to use the tool.   

With the scale of the paper-mill problem coming into ever better focus, it has forced publishers to adjust their operations.
IOP Publishing has expanded teams doing systematic checks on papers and invested in software to document and record peer review steps beyond their journals.

Wiley has expanded its team working to spot bad papers and announced its version of a paper-mill detector that scans for patterns such as tortured phrases. “It’s a top three issue for us today,” said Jay Flynn, executive vice president and general manager of research and learning, at Wiley.

Both Wiley and Springer Nature have beefed up their screening protocols for editors of special issues after seeing paper millers impersonate legitimate researchers to win such spots.

Springer Nature has rejected more than 8,000 papers from a suspected paper mill and is continuing to monitor its work, according to Chris Graf, the publisher’s research-integrity director. 

The incursion of paper mills has also forced competing publishers to collaborate. A tool launched through STM, the trade group of publishers, now checks whether new submissions were submitted to multiple journals at once, according to Joris van Rossum, product director who leads the “STM Integrity Hub,” launched in part to beat back paper mills. Last fall, STM added Day’s “The Papermill Alarm” to its suite of tools.

While publishers are fighting back with technology, paper mills are using the same kind of tools to stay ahead.
“Generative AI has just handed them a winning lottery ticket,” Eggleton of IOP Publishing said. “They can do it really cheap, at scale, and the detection methods are not where we need them to be. I can only see that challenge increasing.”

Write to Nidhi Subbaraman at nidhi.subbaraman@wsj.com

https://apple.news/AoYmlvK-fSxyNcsTrdj44QQ


4
Politics & Religion / The True Battle
« on: Today at 09:05:45 AM »
Elon Musk

@elonmusk
·
May 14
The true battle is:

Extinctionists who want a holocaust for all of humanity.

— Versus —

Expansionists who want to reach the stars and Understand the Universe.

5
Politics & Religion / CPI Manipulation
« on: Today at 09:04:01 AM »
Biden Admin removers coffee--which has shot up significantly in cost--from the consumer price index. Guess that's one way to "control inflation...."

https://x.com/shipwreckedcrew/status/1790733260005499383

6
Politics & Religion / Open Source Intel Twitter Site
« on: Today at 08:57:06 AM »
Great source curating breaking open source intel:

https://twitter.com/Osint613

7
Politics & Religion / Slovak PM Shot
« on: Today at 08:50:11 AM »
Some sources note this came days after rejecting WHO pandemic accord. I trust this won't prove to be an Archduke Ferdinand moment:

https://news.sky.com/story/slovakia-prime-minister-shot-latest-robert-fico-shooting-assassination-13136433?postid=7678015

8
Is that the link you intended?

Whups. Let me see if I can recover the one I intended.

9
Politics & Religion / What's Doing Biden In
« on: Today at 07:57:33 AM »
Biden's popularity descent is traced below. This can't be lost on the behind the scenes Dems; they gotta be planning something, be it a convention coup or ever ranker skullduggery:

How America came to hate FJB

Inflation, immigration, Afghanistan and Trump have done him in
MAY 15, 2024

People forget that before there were chants of FJB, he was pretty popular. He had a plus 23 rating on job approval as his presidency began and six months later he was at plus 9.6, a very respectable score. Trump was never anywhere close to 9.6 — even on his inauguration day.

Biden was the most unknown president since William Howard Taft to the American people. Most people knew two things about Biden: 1) he was Obama’s VP and 2) he wasn’t Donald Trump. Three years ago, Americans saw No. 2 as a good thing.

On July 22, 2021, Disney’s 538 gushed, “The first six months in the White House are often frenzied for presidents as they push for big policy changes to try to live up to their campaign promises. President Biden is no exception. In his first 100 days in office, he signed dozens of executive actions and pursued sweeping legislation, like his $1.9 trillion COVID-19 stimulus package, which offered Americans further relief from the pandemic, and his ambitious two-step infrastructure plan. The hope for Biden, as with most presidents, is that his accomplishments will placate Americans who already support him while also winning over some who don’t.

“But as it turns out, few Americans have changed their minds since the 2020 election. Biden’s job approval rating over his first six months in office was the steadiest such rating of any recent president during that period, according to FiveThirtyEight’s historical approval rating data. His approval has ranged from a high of 55.1% on March 22 to a low of 51.1% on July 15 — a difference of just 4 percentage points.”

Then came August. As the month began, his approval was 50.8% and his disapproval was 42.8%. That was a plus 8-point approval.

September began with his disapproval at 47.2% and his approval at 46.8% — a deficit of 0.4 points. FJB’s approval has been underwater ever since. His deficit was 17.8 points on Saturday.


I would like to think he was done in by a photograph of him looking at his watch as the caskets of 13 American troops killed by the Taliban. This was deliberate. He looked at his watch several times during the ceremony at the airfield in Dover, Delaware.

It also was reminiscent of George H.W. Bush checking his watch during a debate with Bill Clinton.

But realistically, the photo of Biden wanting to get the ceremony over with had little if any impact. Oh, people like me cared but we already disapprove of the guy.

His haphazard surrender of Afghanistan did him in. The public saw that he left behind billions of dollars worth of military equipment in a manner reminiscent of Vietnam, a war that helped catapult him into the Senate as a peacenik.

The difference in 2021 was Americans didn’t much care about Afghanistan because no one was drafted to fight it, the protests were few, and the feeling was that we had won. Ditching Afghanistan did him in.

College football crowds began chanting Fuck Joe Biden. This shocked me because college students are supposed to be socialist tools who just repeat whatever their pinko professors say. The media tried to ignore the chants but when the chants hit NASCAR, the media had to notice. Instead of telling the truth, they lied.

The lie backfired.

AP reported, “It started at an Oct. 2, 2021. NASCAR race at the Talladega Superspeedway in Alabama. Brandon Brown, a 28-year-old driver, had won his first Xfinity Series and was being interviewed by an NBC Sports reporter [Kelli Stavast]. The crowd behind him was chanting something at first difficult to make out. The reporter suggested they were chanting ‘Let’s go, Brandon’ to cheer the driver. But it became increasingly clear they were saying: ‘F—- Joe Biden.’”

That lie hurt Biden because it gave Biden’s critics a G-rated way of conveying the message, which made it mainstream among disappointed Biden supporters. AP called it “coded crudity.” Well, reporters had better learn to code better because they were the ones who made it possible to say FJB without saying it. Trump supporters should thank Kelli Stavast for being dishonest. Had she told the truth, the FJB chant likely would have died a natural death.


Inflation started kicking in, but Biden found a way to hide it and actually closed his disapproval gap to minus 9.8 points a year later by giving what he called a Dark Brandon speech in Philadelphia in August 2022 which he portrayed his opponents as evil threats to democracy because they did not vote Democrat.

Conservatives mocked the speech but it took the wind out of the sails of Republican efforts in the congressional races. Of course the refusal of Ronna the Prima Donna McDaniels to address Democrat cheating and her refusal to help Trump-backed candidates were the real blow. Romney is the Mormon word for backstabber.

Rnter Greg Abbott. I know many conservatives don’t like the governor of Texas but he did something I never imagined possible. He split Democrats on immigration by shipping illegal aliens to all those sanctuary cities. Suddenly Democrats were crying foul. The cries from New York, Chicago, Denver and DC were that there were too many illegal aliens.

Duh.

Abbott made it an issue and converted many a Democrat to President Trump’s position on immigration. They say a conservative is a liberal who got mugged. Illegal aliens are mugging plenty of Biden supporters.

Now having surrendered Afghanistan in his first August and having gone Dark Brandon in his second August, in his third August Biden prayed for and received what he thought was manna from heaven: a mugshot of President Trump.

Biden mocked the mugshot.

The Independent invited readers to “Watch a smiling Joe Biden call Donald Trump’s mugshot ‘handsome.’”

BBC understood American politics better than the Independent and the hyenas in the American pressbox. Trump used that mugshot to raise millions of dollars. He rose in the polls. BBC said:

Within minutes of the picture being released, it appeared on Mr. Trump's website along with a statement saying he had been arrested despite committing no crime. "What has taken place is a travesty of justice," it said, along with a call for campaign contributions.

Mugshots have destroyed other political careers. For him, it has already become a campaign symbol.

In fact, in a matter of hours his official campaign was selling T-shirts featuring the image. "NEVER SURRENDER," they read. Mugs and stickers are also available.

It is yet another example of how Mr. Trump continues to defy political gravity.

Indeed, the whole ordeal of the lawsuits and indictments has turned on those crafty Democrats. Judge Merchan is doing all he can to limit Trump’s campaigning by confining him to New York City.

That’s a big mistake.


AP reported, “New York made Donald Trump and could convict him. But for now, he’s using it to campaign.”

The story said, “After leaving court Thursday, Trump made another stop, heading to a midtown Manhattan firehouse with boxes of pizza in hand. Trump spent about 10 minutes shaking hands, posing for photos and chatting with several dozen firefighters and other personnel there before returning to Trump Tower for the night.

The felony trial has curtailed Trump’s ability to campaign across the country. But it also means Trump is often spending four days a week in the nation’s media capital, with access to ready-made locations for campaign events that he can use to court voters as he tries to reclaim the White House.”

This weekend, he left Trump Tower, New York, and went to New Jersey.

Fox reported, “After a long week in court, Donald Trump is at the Jersey Shore. And he was greeted by thousands of his friends.

“Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, drew what his team called a mega crowd of tens of thousands to a Saturday evening rally in the southern New Jersey resort town of Wildwood. It was being held 150 miles south of the New York City courthouse where he has been forced to spend most weekdays sitting silently through his felony hush money trial.

“Lisa Fagan, spokesperson for the city of Wildwood, told the Associated Press that she estimated the crowd represented between 80,000 and 100,000 attendees, based off her own observations on the scene Saturday, having seen dozens of other events in the same space.

“The beachfront gathering, described by Rep. Jeff Van Drew, R-N.J., as the largest political gathering in state history, was designed to serve as a show of force at a critical moment for Trump, who is facing dozens of felony charges in four separate criminal cases with the election less than six months away. There is a real possibility that Trump could be a convicted felon by Election Day.”

Nostalgia for President Trump grows.

Breitbart reported, “The Republican Party is enjoying an 11-point swing their way against the Democrat Party as the number of Americans expressing affiliation with their party has increased.

“A Gallup poll conducted between April 1 and 22 showed that the Republican Party was enjoying a net average of 11 points in voters expressing affiliation with their party over the Democrats, compared to results in 2016.”

The large turnout in New Jersey was predictable because Americans know this is another political witch hunt from the people who gave us the Mueller report and two impeachments. Democrats keep doing the same thing over and over again — expecting better results each time.

I am not calling their efforts a failure, but Gallup reported a few weeks ago, “Biden's 13th-Quarter Approval Average Lowest Historically. Averages 38.7% job approval.”

Trump was at 46.8% in his 13th quarter.

FJB’s presidency will get a fourth August in three months. We will see how he blows it.

https://donsurber.substack.com/p/how-america-came-to-hate-fjb?r=1qo1e&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR17JXj_v6rAN7sRUFHXcHRshag71D2R_68kaf-19cYoHCRQBvWcVD5Qdl0_aem_AakgbOIOKS7J5c4JuegB9IyxF99IwW9vliZxYikHIkgKOC0g2wHx6NQVJAa7pkNDOLCSe-aNvDzhUZlx2zmSSMjf&triedRedirect=true

10
Politics & Religion / MSM Letters of Marque?
« on: Today at 12:55:46 AM »
I dunno, I kinda like the ideal of incentivizing rooting out fraud and waste. Of course, this is likely to land harder on one party that the other and that will likely inspire resistance that will claim to be principled, but at the end of the day, money talks:

https://nypost.com/2024/05/15/media/michigan-lawmaker-wants-state-to-pay-reporters-who-uncover-government-misuse-of-taxpayer-dollars/

11
Politics & Religion / 1460 (and counting) to 1
« on: May 14, 2024, 09:01:25 PM »
The number of JC convictions to the number of BLM rioters convicted:

https://x.com/julie_kelly2/status/1790551714057142347?s=61

13
Politics & Religion / Terrorist Using UN Vehicles in Gaza
« on: May 14, 2024, 08:08:22 PM »

14
Politics & Religion / Vivek Ramaswamy Outside Trump’s NY Trial;
« on: May 14, 2024, 07:40:49 PM »
Vivek on fire:

BREAKING: Vivek Ramaswamy (@VivekGRamaswamy)
EXPLODES, outside Trump's courtroom in New York, says, "This is a politicized persecution that is nakedly apparent."

"What I want to do is dive a little bit deeper into what we actually learned today in that courtroom. What do we see in there?"

"First of all, I learned a lot from being in there in person."

"It is one of the most depressing places I have been in my life. But it is fitting, because the only thing more depressing than the environment of that courtroom is what's actually happening in there. It's straight out of a Kafka novel."

"The prosecution's main strategy appears to be to bore the jurors into submission. And if you look in that direction, sadly, it may appear to actually be working."

"Now, I would like for anybody, anybody here in the press, anybody at home, anybody at MSNBC or the media afterwards to clearly state what exactly is the crime that Donald Trump committed? Oh, wait. We have not heard a good answer to that question. It has been vague until today."

"You heard Michael Cohen's testimony, after which I would say it is less clear than ever what that crime actually was. They'll say falsifying business records. Well, let's look at who did we learn falsified business records today. Get what hour, 2 hours. Felt like it could have been 7 hours of Michael Cohen talking about how he falsified business records."

"Okay, so you have a guy who has been a perjurer in the past that is now saying he falsified business records. What is the crime that Donald Trump committed now? It appears to be what they might allege is some sort of bookkeeping error or whatever."

"The real bookkeeping that we need. Accounting of Judge, merchants own family member collecting millions of dollars as a democratic operative, using the existence of this trial as a fundraising ploy for democrats. This is unconscionable."

"Imagine if the same shoe fit the other foot. Imagine if it was Joe Biden that was on trial. You had a republican judge whose son was collecting millions of dollars as a republican operative, what would you all be saying? This would not be justice. This is injustice at its worst."

"So let's, let's go even a layer deeper. Right, because let's go. Let's go even a layer deeper."

"Actually, the alleged crime here is supposedly, they try to point to this every day, that he does not actually use campaign funds, that he used personal funds. Well, let's get this straight. Suppose Donald Trump had used campaign funds to make a personal expense. They'd be going after him for that."

"So if they're going to get him going or they're going to get him coming, that is the best proof that this is a politicized sham. Let's go through it piece by piece."

"If you tell somebody to go buy you a suit and you want to look good on television because that'll affect the voters, the way voters vote for you, you know what? They prosecute politicians if they use campaign funds to buy a suit."

"If they say, go get a haircut, if you use campaign funds to get a haircut because you want to look good to the voters, they will actually prosecute you for using campaign funds for a personal expense."

"Yet the entire legal theory of this, in case, the whole case that Alvin Bragg has brought, depends on one premise for them to charge this as a felony, is that Donald Trump somehow should have used campaign funds to make an allegedly personal payment."

"Yet if he had done that, their case against him would be even stronger. This is garbage. That is the best proof that you have that if they're going to get him, Cohen or get him coming, it's damned if you do, damned if you don't. This is a sham. This is not the United States of America. This is some third rate banana republic."

"If this were happening in another country, we would be laughing at them as a sham democracy. I am ashamed as an American citizen to sit here in a courtroom watching the former leader of the free world, and let's be honest, likely next leader of the free world sitting with the indigenous dignity in this dingy, third rate courtroom with fourth rate prosecutors and a fifth rate lawyer on the stand as a witness who actually is violating attorney client privilege left and right. Nobody's even talking about that."

"So this is a shame. Shame on the spirit in our country's history. But we will get through it and be stronger, because you know, who ultimately actually cast the vote on this case, it's not just the jurors in that jury box. It's every one of you at home. It's every American who votes this November to say no to the weaponization of justice."

"And if you're at home, you may say, you know what? I don't agree with everything Donald Trump's ever said. You know what, I may not agree with some of his policies, even though they were great policies for four years, but you do agree, whether you are Democrat or Republican or black or white or gay or straight or man or woman, that our justice system should be blind to politics."

"That regardless of whether your last name is Biden or Trump, regardless of whether you've been a politician or not, you get a fair shake in our own legal system."

"And when you have a prosecutor who campaigned on the pledge of going after Trump and then keeps his campaign pledge, when you have a judge whose kids are collecting money from democratic operatives by fundraising off the very trial that that judge is presiding over, and then telling the US president that he's subject to a gag order, that he can't talk about it, that is not justice. That is a bastardization of what this country was founded on."

"And I'm here, and all of us are here as friends of Donald Trump, supporting him in our personal capacity, sharing our opinions. That's why we're here today. But I hope every American at home who isn't able to be in that courtroom is able to see what's actually happening there."

"And when you do, we will have a landslide of historic proportion this November. If every American understands the injustice that's playing out in that courtroom today, so may God bless our country. I pray for our future, and let's pray for our country being stronger on the other side of this disgusting sham politician."

https://x.com/simonateba/status/1790419793662595261?s=12

15
Politics & Religion / Illegals Rent Driver Service IDs
« on: May 14, 2024, 06:20:38 PM »
Hmm, what could possible go wrong? Uber/DoorDash drivers rent IDs to illegals to get an 85/15 earnings split. Unvetted illegals then get access to homes, info on people they serve, etc:

https://x.com/realmuckraker/status/1790536887343481060?s=61

17
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Dyson Spheres Found?
« on: May 14, 2024, 05:59:20 PM »
Dyson spheres—theoretic structures built around stars by an advanced civilization—may have been located:

https://www.popularmechanics.com/space/deep-space/a60780331/dyson-sphere-evidence-alien-civilizations/

18
Politics & Religion / The Ledger the MSM Won’t Find
« on: May 14, 2024, 05:54:09 PM »
A good point:

RFK Jr. used to keep track of his affairs in a ledger. He cheated on his wife so often that by his own admission, just driving home without stopping to cheat on her was a great success. His wife was so troubled that she ended up killing herself.

You will never hear the MSM or politicians question his decency. They might call him a conspiracy theorist but they don’t bring up his personal life. Just like they don’t call out Biden for his lies, including the ridiculous fable of how he met Jill.

Trump’s entire life has been investigated and it’s actually shocking at how little wrong they have found. Imagine what would be found if RFK Jr. or Biden or any other politician was investigated in the same way that Trump has been the past eight years.

https://x.com/mazemoore/status/1790194581348200689?s=12

19
Politics & Religion / Salvaging Universities?
« on: May 14, 2024, 05:48:40 PM »
I see some signs that some circled wagons have opted to leave the enclosure, but it is indeed few and hardly enough to to reverse things:

POSTED ON MAY 14, 2024 BY STEVEN HAYWARD IN ACADEMIC LEFT, HIGHER EDUCATION
CAN OUR UNIVERSITIES BE FIXED?

Last Friday evening I had the occasion to team up in Los Angeles with Dean Pete Peterson of Pepperdine University’s School of Public Policy (where I just finished a very congenial semester filling the large shoes of the late Ted McAllister) to discuss the state of higher education before an audience of about 90 citizens alarmed at the current scene. Our conversation was unscripted and spontaneous, but here are some highlights, in service of setting up some further reflections in due course:

Dean Peterson: Universities have long leaned left, but it seems universities have gotten a lot worse in the last few years. Is this correct? How and why has this happened?

Me: Universities have leaned left for decades—actually for centuries. In one sense universities ought to be “left,” in the sense that universities should be critical institutions, challenging the conventional wisdom, and thus being agents of progress, rightly understood, when they produce new innovations in science and the humanities. Recall that Thomas Aquinas was a dangerous radical at the University of Paris in the 13th century, but when a challenge survives subsequent criticism and the test of time, it deepens and extends our civilization. And thus, you can draw a straight line from Thomas Aquinas to Thomas Jefferson—the “two Tommys,” as I like to say to students—and you can make out important continuities between parts of Tommy Aquinas’s Summa Theologica and the second paragraph of Tommy Jefferson’s Declaration of Independence.

The problem is that today’s universities have gone from being critical institutions to being fully adversarial institutions, with contempt for both Thomas Aquinas and Thomas Jefferson (and everyone else who built our civilization step by step) because the thinkers and statesmen who preceded us are presumed to be obsolete and unenlightened, if not somehow evil and oppressive. The late philosopher Roger Scruton liked to call this the “culture of repudiation,” in which there is no achievement of the West that today’s left doesn’t want to destroy. Thus universities now have large portions of their faculty and curriculum actively and persistently undermining the foundations of our civilization just as termites undermine the foundations and frames of buildings.

Dean Peterson: Can universities be fixed? Is there hope for reform? What should we look or hope for?

Me: It is possible that the current moment, with the shocking anti-Semitism on display at leading universities right now, is an inflection point. By coincidence, we are having this conversation on May 10. May 10 was the day on which Winston Churchill became prime minister in 1940, at one of Europe’s very worst moments. People recall his speeches from that point on, though I believe his greatest speech came two years before, after the Munich agreement. Churchill’s climax invoked the famous line from the Book of Daniel: “Thou art weighed in the balance, and found wanting.”

More and more Americans have come to this point of view about our universities: they have been weighed in the balance, and found wanting, because they have become badly unbalanced. There is considerable survey evidence of the loss of confidence or esteem for our universities, even among Democrats, who run our universities.

There aren’t a lot of Churchills among our university leadership class these days, but I do get the sense that some people in university leadership are starting to understand that the appeasement of the campus left needs to stop. We see a few hopeful signs here and there. First, a few Ivy League universities have actually hired some high-profile conservatives for important positions recently. The few adults still in the room are finally realizing they have a big problem, and where it comes from. Second, we’re seeing more and more states disband the politicized DEI offices in their public universities. Third and most significant is the establishment of new programs and centers for civic education in leading public universities in several states, which are going to be in several cases very substantial entities, deliberately conservative in their outlook and curriculum.

What this represents is the introduction of real intellectual competition on campus, and as fans of competition this is the most hopeful thing happening. One of the causes of the sharp skew in universities has been that the number of conservative faculty, always historically small to begin with, has dwindled precipitously over the last generation, deepening the intellectual bubble of university life. This may be about to reverse itself in many places. And conservatives do not need anything near equal representation on faculties to make a large difference for a very simple reason: one of us is worth twenty of them. It takes a while to explain why this is so, but it is true. A campus counter-revolution is underway.

Much more to come on this topic.

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/05/can-our-universities-be-fixed.php

21
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Brain’s Navigation Code Found
« on: May 14, 2024, 05:34:33 PM »
This will bear watching as decoding this stuff will doubtless unlock the cause of various brain pathologies:

https://scitechdaily.com/human-brains-navigational-code-discovered-revolutionizing-understanding-of-spatial-orientation/

22
Politics & Religion / US Counterinsurgency Effort in Yemen
« on: May 14, 2024, 05:23:14 PM »

23
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Infiltrating the Internet
« on: May 14, 2024, 04:35:04 PM »
My money is on China as the bad actor here:

THE BACKDOOR TO CONTROL THE INTERNET

We almost lost the Internet last week, but open-source developers saved the day.

JONATHAN BARTLETT APRIL 1, 2024 4
 
Few people are aware, but over the last several days, a perceptive developer foiled a multi-year plot to install a remote backdoor into, well, the entire Internet.

Two years ago, a programmer known as Jia Tan (JiaT75) started helping out with a lesser-known compression library, known as xz. For those who don’t know, software today is not a monolithic entity. Every piece of software you use it built from a collection of tools, known as libraries, that make programming easier. For instance, most programmers never have to write the specifics of a sorting algorithm, because, somewhere, there is a library which performs sorting for them. This leaves programmers to focus on higher-level tasks, like actually making the software do what the users want. However, these libraries don’t come from nowhere — they require interested programmers to maintain and expand their functionalities. This is a lot of work, so when new programmers volunteer to help, it is a great relief.

However, Jia Tan’s motives were less than pure. While xz is not directly utilized in a lot of software, it is pulled in by some other libraries, which are then utilized by still other programs. In particular, the popular remote login service sshd, used by system administrators everywhere, can optionally include a tie-in to a third-party library, which then also includes the xz library. And this is the configuration used by most server operating systems on the Internet. So, as Jia Tan gained credibility with the xz maintainers, Jia also indirectly gained increasing access to other parts of the operating system.

Software often includes code to test itself. This is how software maintainers prevent themselves from creating obvious bugs when making changes. The test code usually isn’t incorporated to the final software that is shipped. Jia Tan included a backdoor in a file that was ostensibly used to test the compression techniques of xz. However, a modification of the build system causes this test case with its backdoor to get combined into the final software, which is then deployed. The backdoor works by overwriting standard encryption/decryption functions with its own version of these functions.

This software had already gotten merged with some test versions of several standard operating systems, so developers on the bleeding edge had already started to use it. It was discovered because a Microsoft software engineer, Andres Freund, was doing some performance tests. To do these tests, he was trying to minimize how much CPU time the rest of the tools on his system were using. He noticed that sshd was using an inordinate amount of processing power, so he started to dig into what was causing the performance hit. His analysis tools showed that sshd was spending a lot of its time in the xz library, and still further investigation revealed that the xz library had replaced some of the standard encryption and decryption functions.

Thankfully, this was discovered before it had major impacts. Nobody knows who Jia Tan is, and we are probably never going to find out. But this does put software developers on alert to the fact that bad actors, whether individuals or part of a state organization, are willing to play the long game to get malicious software installed on everything.

Some have used this incident to criticize open-source software, saying that this is part of the problem — i.e., if it weren’t for everyone relying on open-source software, this would not have happened. But honestly, I think the opposite is true. The only reason this was found was because of open-source software. It is because we have developers who are familiar with the code base not only of their own software, but of everything their software runs on, that we were able to find and diagnose the problem so quickly. I’ve used closed-source software on occasion, and there is zero transparency in such situations. If someone introduced malicious code into an important closed-source piece of software, nobody would know, and nobody would even have the ability to find out. If it was discovered, the company in charge would probably try to avoid disclosure about the extent of the problem. However, as it was open-source, there is a transparent record of everything that happened — every message, every commit, every artifact that was uploaded. Everything can be inspected and examined, the full extent of the damage can be determined, and the root cause can be debated in public so that everyone can be on guard.
In short, we almost lost the Internet this week, but for the careful eye of open-source software developers.

JONATHAN BARTLETT
SENIOR FELLOW, WALTER BRADLEY CENTER FOR NATURAL & ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Jonathan Bartlett is a senior software R&D engineer at Specialized Bicycle Components, where he focuses on solving problems that span multiple software teams. Previously he was a senior developer at ITX, where he developed applications for companies across the US. He also offers his time as the Director of The Blyth Institute, focusing on the interplay between mathematics, philosophy, engineering, and science. Jonathan is the author of several textbooks and edited volumes which have been used by universities as diverse as Princeton and DeVry.

24
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Solar Panels Spontaneously Ignite?
« on: May 14, 2024, 04:26:43 PM »
It seems solar panels produce energy in an unanticipated manner:

https://hotair.com/tree-hugging-sister/2024/05/13/solars-been-taking-a-beating-lately-n3788320

25
Politics & Religion / FBI v. Whistleblowers
« on: May 14, 2024, 04:17:16 PM »
2nd post. FBI/DOJ retaliating against whistleblowers:

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2024/05/14/inspector-general-confirms-doj-has-been-retaliating-against-whistleblowers-n2639048

Perhaps it’s time to add “DOJ” to the title of this thread….

26
Science, Culture, & Humanities / Open AI For the Internet Win?
« on: May 14, 2024, 02:02:22 PM »
I trust this isn’t a scam; it appears ChatGPT4o is capable of making human-like inferences and carry on a free ranging conversation:

https://x.com/heybarsee/status/1790080494261944609?s=61

27
Politics & Religion / Whittmer “Kidnapping” Redux Two?
« on: May 14, 2024, 01:54:38 PM »
Will the convicted “kidnap” plotters see a new retrial if FBI texts are admitted?

https://x.com/julie_kelly2/status/1790143942844887518?s=61

29
Politics & Religion / Hunter’s Trial Not Moving Forward
« on: May 14, 2024, 12:47:20 PM »
Here’s some irony for you: Jack Smith isn’t getting his way and holding a show trial in time for the November election despite seeking to game the system to do just that, while Hunter, who has been doing everything possible to keep his malfeasance from gumming up dad’s run:

Hunter Biden loses effort to delay trial
The Hill News / by Sarah Fortinsky / May 14, 2024 at 3:33 PM

Hunter Biden lost his bid to delay his federal gun trial, a district judge ruled Tuesday, setting the case up to go to trial in June.

U.S. District Judge Maryellen Noreika rejected defense attorneys’ effort to delay the trial until September, which Biden’s legal team argued was necessary in order to have enough time to line up witnesses and review the prosecution’s evidence, The Associated Press reported.

The judge’s decision comes a week after the U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected the president’s son’s appeal to toss the federal gun charges, ruling it did not have jurisdiction in the matter. Biden had asked the court to overturn Noreika’s previous decision that the case should move forward to trial.

Noreika, in her decision last month, rejected the president’s son’s appeal, which argued, in part, he was being wrongfully targeted for political purposes. Noreika said Biden’s attorneys had not provided concrete evidence substantiating their claims that outside influences tainted the special counsel’s decision to pursue the case.

Special counsel David Weiss brought three gun-related charges against the president’s son last September — two counts for lying about drug use on a form to buy a gun and another for unlawful possessing of a firearm for about 11 days while knowing he was a drug user.

Biden pleaded not guilty to all charges after a deal with the government fell apart. Biden has acknowledged his struggle with drug addiction during that time in 2018, but his attorneys say he did not break the law.

The Associated Press contributed.

https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/4663466-hunter-biden-gun-charges-loses-effort-delay-trial/

30
Banging the abortion drum and twaddle like this seems all the Dems got currently:

De Niro compares Trump to Hitler, Mussolini: Voters not taking the threat 'seriously'
The Hill News / by Judy Kurtz / May 14, 2024 at 1:57 PM
Robert De Niro says he can't comprehend why voters aren't taking Donald Trump "seriously," comparing the former president to Nazi leader Adolf Hitler and Italian dictator Benito Mussolini.

"I don't understand why people are not taking him seriously," the "Ezra" actor said of Trump during a Tuesday appearance on "The View."

"Because you read about it historically in other countries that they didn't take the people seriously — Hitler and Mussolini, they're fools and clowns," De Niro, one of Hollywood's most vocal Trump critics, said.


FILE - Robert De Niro arrives at the Big Screen Achievement Awards during CinemaCon in Las Vegas, April 28, 2022. De Niro says the legal claims by a former personal assistant who worked for him are nonsense. The 80-year-old actor testified in Manhattan federal court, Monday, Oct. 30, 2023, in a lawsuit brought by the assistant, Graham Chase Robinson. (AP Photo/Chris Pizzello, File)
"Who does not think that this guy is going to do exactly what he says he's going to do?" he asked of the 45th president.

"He's done it already," the 80-year-old Academy Award winner continued.

"And then what? We're gonna sit around and say, what, 'We told you so?'"

"It's gonna happen. If he gets elected, it's going to change this country for everybody," De Niro said.

"Those people who support him with anger and hate — because that's what he's about — they're going to see," he said.

"If he becomes president again, he is not going to not stop being president," Whoopi Goldberg, one of ABC daytime talk show's co-hosts, added of Trump.

"You understand this? His idea is to stay in until he drops dead," Goldberg said.

"That's it," De Niro agreed.

"He's not conceding it now. So imagine if he actually did win the election — it's over. We're going to have such civil strife," De Niro said.

Trump said last year that if he wins reelection, he would not seek a third term in office, which is barred by the Constitution.

“When somebody says eight years, we need eight years, no. In six months to a year, many of the problems, almost all of the problems that you and I have just spoken about will be solved,” Trump said last September.

De Niro has been a frequent critic of Trump, once famously saying he wanted to "punch" him in the face and describing him as a "flat-out blatant racist." The former commander in chief has fired back at the performer over the years, calling De Niro a "very low IQ individual."

https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/4663102-de-niro-trump-hitler-mussolini-the-view/

31
No doubt those committing illegal acts will be pursued by the current admin with extreme prejudice, just like they it does with illegal immigrants….

Can Nonprofits That Help Organize Protests Lose Their Tax Exemptions?

The Volokh Conspiracy / by Eugene Volokh / May 14, 2024 at 2:24 PM

[Not because of the viewpoints they express—but yes if they engage in systematic illegal conduct.]

Senate Republicans have called on the IRS to investigate various nonprofits that have helped organize university protests, and see if they should be stripped of their tax exemptions. Would that be permissible?

[1.] The government can't strip groups of nonprofit status based on their ideological viewpoints. This was first made clear in Justice Brennan's opinion in Speiser v. Randall (1958), which struck down a denial of a property tax exemption to people and organizations that "advocate[] the overthrow of the Government of the United States … by … violence … or who advocate[] the support of a foreign government against the United States in the event of hostilities":

[A] discriminatory denial of a tax exemption for engaging in speech is a limitation on free speech. It is settled that speech can be effectively limited by the exercise of the taxing power. To deny an exemption to claimants who engage in certain forms of speech is in effect to penalize them for such speech. Its deterrent effect is the same as if the State were to fine them for this speech…. [T]he denial of a tax exemption for engaging in certain speech necessarily will have the effect of coercing the claimants to refrain from the proscribed speech. The denial is "frankly aimed at the suppression of dangerous ideas."

The Supreme Court reaffirmed this in Regan v. Taxation with Representation of Wash. (1983) and Rosenberger v. Rector (1995): Though "the Government is not required to subsidize" speakers, once it chooses to provide such a subsidy—including through "tax deductions for contributions"—it must abide by "the requirement of viewpoint neutrality in the Government's provision of financial benefits."

And the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit has specifically applied this (in Z Street v. Koskinen (D.C. Cir. 2015)) to denials of a 501(c)(3) tax exemption, holding that "in administering the tax code, the IRS may not discriminate on the basis of viewpoint"—there, as it happens, against pro-Israel speech that departed from the Administration's foreign policy. There have been some viewpoint-based denials in the past (see Dale Carpenter's post for some examples), but these precedents pretty categorical forbid such denials.

[2.] But nonprofits' right to express viewpoints doesn't extend to a right to violate valid laws (such as content-neutral time, place, and manner restrictions). IRS Revenue Ruling 75-384 deals specifically with that:

Advice has been requested whether a nonprofit organization formed to promote world peace and disarmament by nonviolent direct action including acts of civil disobedience qualifies for exemption from Federal income tax under section 501(c)(3) or 501(c)(4) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954.

The purposes of the organization are to educate and inform the public on the principles of pacificism and nonviolent action including civil disobedience. Its primary activity is the sponsoring of protest demonstrations and nonviolent action projects in opposition to war and preparations for war.

Protest demonstrations are conducted at military establishments, Federal agencies, and industrial companies involved with military and defense operations. Other activities consist of peace marches and protests against the use of tax monies for war purposes. The protest demonstrations constitute the primary activity of the organization. They are designed to draw public attention to the views of the organization and to exert pressure on governmental authorities. To derive the maximum publicity of an event, demonstrators are urged to commit acts of civil disobedience. Participants deliberately block vehicular or pedestrian traffic, disrupt the work of government, and prevent the movement of supplies. These activities are violations of local ordinances and breaches of public order. Incidental to demonstrations, leaflets are dispersed presenting the views of the organization….

[A]ll charitable trusts (and by implication all charitable organizations, regardless of their form) are subject to the requirement that their purposes may not be illegal or contrary to public policy. In this case the organization induces or encourages the commission of criminal acts by planning and sponsoring such events. The intentional nature of this encouragement precludes the possibility that the organization might unfairly fail to qualify for exemption due to an isolated or inadvertent violation of a regulatory statute. Its activities demonstrate an illegal purpose which is inconsistent with charitable ends….

Illegal activities, which violate the minimum standards of acceptable conduct necessary to the preservation of an orderly society, are contrary to the common good and the general welfare of the people in a community and thus are not permissible means of promoting the social welfare for purposes of section 501(c)(4) of the Code. Accordingly, the organization in this case is not operated exclusively for the promotion of social welfare and does not qualify for exemption from Federal income tax under section 501(c)(4).

For a recent application of this principle, see In re Kahea (Haw. 2021), which generally endorsed (in a somewhat different context) the reasoning of Rev. Rul. 75-384, while upholding the Hawaii Attorney General's investigation into whether an advocacy group violated the law:

In July 2019, construction of an astronomical observatory (the Thirty Meter Telescope or TMT) near the Mauna Kea summit loomed. That month, law enforcement officers arrested over thirty protesters on Mauna Kea's slopes. Hoping to thwart the Thirty Meter Telescope's construction, the protesters had blocked the road leading to the TMT's planned site. Later, the State charged these protesters with obstructing a highway or public passage.

The arrests and charges followed a lengthy legal and political battle over Mauna Kea's future. KAHEA: The Hawaiian Environmental Alliance, is an outspoken anti-TMT partisan in that scrap. One way KAHEA opposed development on Mauna Kea was through its Aloha `Āina Support Fund. According to KAHEA's website, the Aloha `Āina Support Fund "prioritizes frontline logistical support for non-violent direct actions taken to protect Mauna Kea from further industrial development." …

The State AG's investigation is premised on the notion that KAHEA's financial support for direct action opposing development on Mauna Kea may disqualify it from 501(c)(3) status. Nothing about this premise contradicts or runs counter to First Amendment principles….

Though Revenue Ruling 75-384 is more than forty years old, the IRS continues to rely on it in private letter rulings. For example, in 2019, the IRS cited Revenue Ruling 75-384 in a private letter ruling concerning an organization formed to aid financially disadvantaged patients affected by the costs of THC and CBD (cannabidiol) treatment. The organization assisted these patients "by providing financial support to cover costs of living and other expenses…." The IRS concluded that because cannabis was illegal under federal law, and because the organization was formed to provide financial assistance to cannabis users, the organization had an "illegal purpose" and could not be recognized as exempt under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.

Nothing in Rev. Rul. 75-384, of course, suggested there was anything wrong with advocating for world peace and disarmament as such. But trying to serve any cause, good or bad, through deliberately violating the law—including by "deliberately block[ing] vehicular or pedestrian traffic" and thus "disrupt[ing] the work of government, and prevent[ing] the movement of supplies"—can justify denying a tax exemption.

Indeed, such denial of tax exemptions can extend even to groups that operate merely "contrary to public policy," which includes engaging in race discrimination in education (Bob Jones Univ. v. U.S. (1983)). And that principle is at least equally true as to groups that systematically engage in violating criminal laws; here's the Court's reasoning in Bob Jones, which treats them in parallely:

A corollary to the public benefit principle is the requirement, long recognized in the law of trusts, that the purpose of a charitable trust may not be illegal or violate established public policy. In 1861, this Court stated that a public charitable use must be "consistent with local laws and public policy." Modern commentators and courts have echoed that view.

[3.] Again, speech remains protected regardless of its viewpoint. That would include speech that is viewed as disparaging based on race (see Matal v. Tam (2017), affirming In re Tam (Fed. Cir. 2015) ("Bob Jones University is a case about racially discriminatory conduct, not speech")); advocacy of "the overthrow of the Government of the United States … by … violence … or who advocate[] the support of a foreign government against the United States in the event of hostilities" (see Speiser); advocacy of terrorist attacks by Hamas; and more. But pervasive illegal conduct planned by the group can lead not just to criminal punishment for members of the group, but to the loss of tax exemption for the group itself.

The post Can Nonprofits That Help Organize Protests Lose Their Tax Exemptions? appeared first on Reason.com.

https://reason.com/volokh/2024/05/14/can-nonprofits-that-help-organize-protests-lose-their-tax-exemptions/

34
Science, Culture, & Humanities / An Elite Money Grab
« on: May 14, 2024, 12:11:32 PM »
A great takedown of the Church of Anthropomorphic Climate Apocalypse. The money shot: Or perhaps it is decisive, and the “Anthropogenic Climate Change” narrative on which we are spending trillions of dollars is nothing but a money grab by the elites from the middle class enacted for the same reason that Willie Sutton robbed banks.

Maundering Through 'Climate Change'

David Cavena • 14 May, 2024 • 3 Min Read
 
A lot more complicated than it looks.

The conceit of the climate cultists is that industrial man has altered – and is continuing to alter – the climate within a few hundred years so much that sea levels are rising, ice sheets are melting, and that we can – and must – alter it back within a decade, or so, or we’re all gonna die.

The sheer audacity that humans can effect this level of change amazes. One day these same people tell us we are “insignificant” from the perspective of the universe. The next day they say we are destroying the planet via gas stoves and cow farts. “Fantastical” is a word not much used nowadays; it fits perfectly here.

The facts are that climate fluctuates over time for a variety of reasons, some of which are unknown. We don't know, for instance to what extent that huge, glowing ball of hydrogen and helium floating out in space -- the sun -- effects the long-term warming or cooling of the earth's various climate zones. Perhaps its influence is negligible. Or perhaps it is decisive, and the “Anthropogenic Climate Change” narrative on which we are spending trillions of dollars is nothing but a money grab by the elites from the middle class enacted for the same reason that Willie Sutton robbed banks.

Continuing on that one aspect of warming, heat from the sun, or Total Solar Irradiance (TSI), surely has an impact on our temperature. How could it not? But is it being measured properly and accurately?

For all five Northern Hemisphere temperature series, different TSI estimates suggest everything from no role for the Sun in recent decades (implying that recent global warming is mostly human-caused) to most of the recent global warming being due to changes in solar activity (that is, that recent global warming is mostly natural). It appears that previous studies (including the most recent IPCC reports) which had prematurely concluded the former, had done so because they failed to adequately consider all the relevant estimates of TSI and/or to satisfactorily address the uncertainties still associated with Northern Hemisphere temperature trend estimates.

Has the earth ever experienced rapid, drastic climate change of the kind we are told by our betters that we are causing with our gas stoves and gasoline cars? Yes, many times in the past. Have they been caused by man since the late-19th century? No. Recall that Karl Marx's Communism was a reaction against the Industrial Revolution; the neo-Marxists are still assailing it. Will their solution work any better than it did nearly 200 years ago? No.

Let’s look at a place where the earth really is “boiling:” The Sahara Desert. The Sahara, it seems, not only has switched from lush to sand before, and quickly, it does so on a 20,000-year cycle congruent with the wobble of the earth in its orbit. If other parts of the planet warm or cool, it seems likely to be in large part the result of geology, orbits, or sun irradiance. See above: “failed to adequately consider.”

The wobble of the earth alters the angle of the radiance absorbed from the sun. What else alters the sun’s output? Sunspots. Might we be about to get very cold? That is, says NASA, a possibility:

Much has been made of the probable connection between the Maunder Minimum, a 70-year deficit of sunspots in the late 17th-early 18th century, and the coldest part of the Little Ice Age, during which Europe and North America were subjected to bitterly cold winters… Indeed, the sun could be on the threshold of a mini-Maunder event right now. Ongoing Solar Cycle 24 is the weakest in more than 50 years. Moreover, there is (controversial) evidence of a long-term weakening trend in the magnetic field strength of sunspots.

When the next Maunder Minimum occurs, will we be told, too, that it is our fault the ice caps are growing and the sea level concurrently shrinking? Bet on it. And it will have nothing to do with carbon, methane, or CO2. It doesn’t now.

David Cavena is a native southern Californian exfiltrated to Arizona. An IT professional for 40 years, he has pushed cows in California, dudes and horses in Wyoming, and programmers in Los Angeles and Phoenix. An avid outdoorsman – skier, backpacker, water skier and scuba diver – David writes from Arizona.

https://the-pipeline.org/maundering-through-climate-change/

35
Politics & Religion / Freedom to Not Expand the State
« on: May 14, 2024, 11:49:06 AM »
“…you can’t long remain a free society if you don’t believe in freedom. And it’s no good just saying you believe in it: you have to live it. Sometimes that means politicians deciding ‘we would rather live with this injustice or this social problem than expand the state to deal with it.’ When was the last time you heard anyone say that? And that’s the problem.”

– David Frost, Daily Telegraph (£)

36
Politics & Religion / Good Trigger Control
« on: May 14, 2024, 09:33:03 AM »
A good piece that addresses a peeve of mine: using the term “squeeze” (among others)n when talking about trigger control. Lemons and toilet paper are the mental models most students have when mentioning the term “squeeze,” with squeezing generally occurring with the whole hand, while good trigger control is about pressing the trigger straight back without introducing any extraneous motion to the firearm, and then recovering in a manner that sets you up for the next shot, if needed, a topic well developed here:

http://www.odcmp.org/1207/default.asp?page=USAMU_TC

I’ll be stealing some of this stuff when I’m instructing….

37
BBG:  A good article, but to keep this thread focused but may I suggest the "Political Economics" as a good "catch all" thread.

Done, though inflation is the prime mover in the piece, hence placing the post here.

39
Politics & Religion / VDH Catalogs Biden's Failings
« on: May 14, 2024, 08:55:36 AM »
A VDH Twitter post:

@vdHanson:
Has America Finally Had It With Joe Biden?

Joe Biden’s personal approval rating is at historic lows; almost all his policies do not poll fifty percent. He is behind Trump in almost all the swing states. And now he lies serially even to sympathetic interviewers. In short, finally Biden has been exposed for what he always was and represented.
Senator and Vice President Joe Biden was always sort of a buffoon. He is by nature a grandstander who handsomely profited from his office while posing as good ole Joe from Scranton.

He is a blowhard meddler, one who proverbially has been “wrong on nearly every major foreign policy and national security issue over the past four decades (Robert Gates),” from dissenting on the Bin Laden raid to his trisection of Iraq scheme.

He is a fabulist who believes that the more animated he misleads and slurs (“semi-fascists” “fat”, “lying dog-faced pony soldier”, “chumps”, “dregs of society”, etc), the more likely he is to get away with it. He is a confessed plagiarist. And he has also invented much of his biography, from would be star, college-scholarship athlete and brilliant law student to semi-truck driver and jailed civil rights activist. His uncle, we are instructed, was eaten by cannibals. Joe assures us that he was the first in his family to go to college.

And he is a racist with a repertory of racial taunts and smears unrivaled among modern politicians (“junkie”, “boy”, “you ain’t black”, “the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy”, “put y’all back in chains”, the Corn Pop and golden-leg hairs sagas, the “racial jungle” memes, the strange brag about Delaware as a “slave state” (e.g., "You don't know my state. My state was a slave state. My state is a border state.”), and his encomia for the old Democratic racists of the Senate from former Klansman Robert Byrd (Biden’s self-described “mentor” and “guide”) to segregationist James Eastland (“never called me boy”).

Biden has always had a mean streak that explains why for years he lied about the tragic, fatal auto accident of his first wife and child, using it to libel the truck driver, who was neither drunk nor culpable but smeared publicly for years by Biden as intoxicated and guilty. For years he ignored the pleas of the trucker’s family to please stop libeling an innocent driver.

Biden just told his greatest whopper that inflation was at 9 percent (actually 1.4 percent) when he took office and yet soon spiked to 9 percent due to his reckless deficit spending and money printing spree.

But recently Biden has reached a nadir and even the Left is resigned to him as a mere construct. After bragging after October 7 that his support for Israel was rock-solid he is now cutting off military aid as it attempts finally to end the Hamas murderous threat—a reversion to old Joe Biden who in his long past has previously threatened to cut off Israel while boasting later that anyone who did so was reprehensible. (Leveraging congressional mandated aid for political advantage is precisely the (false) allegation of politicking that the Democrats demagogued to impeach Trump—to the then cheers of Biden himself).

But his sell out of Israel is but a small tessera in his election pandering mosaic. He will again begin drawing down the strategic petroleum reserve to lower gas prices during the campaign. He has badgered Ukraine not to hit Russian oil facilities. He has illegally forgiven billions in student loan aid to regain the elite youth vote. And as the campaign season begins, so too Biden suddenly poses as a border enforcer—after letting in nearly 10-million illegal aliens.

Biden has always put the agendas of his own and his family above the national interest. We witnessed that when he bragged that he fired the Ukrainian prosecutor looking into his son’s Burisma skullduggery. The Biden consortium is corrupt and was enriched with over $25 million through foreign interests’ assurance that Senator and Vice President Joe Biden would deliver on their quid pro quo investments in him.

Any other major politician who habitually invaded the private space of women and preteens to blow on their hair, gobble their necks, squeeze and hug far too long, and be accused of sexual assault would have long since been cancelled by the left.

Add the old disturbing narrative of a naked Vice President Joe Biden exiting his pool in front of female secret service agents, the showering with his pre-teen daughter, the Frank Biden and Hunter naked selfies, and there seems something eerie among the Biden family.
Despite fierce denials, the entire lawfare scheme directed at Trump originated with the White House. Biden was always said to have been exasperated with Merrick Garland for not hastily enough going after Trump.

The misadventurous Georgia prosecutor Nathan Wade met with and was tutored by the White House counsel’s office. One of the top Biden DOJ prosecutors was dispatched to rescue the bungling Alvin Bragg farce.

Jack Smith, appointed by the Biden DOJ to go after Biden’s 2024 presidential rival, timed his indictments to coincide with the campaign season, even as Smith’s office mishandled classified files taken at Mar-a-Lago to bolster its prosecution—and then lied about it.

Hard-won American deterrence was destroyed by the humiliation in Afghanistan and the lies surrounding the disaster, the Chinese balloon flight and the misinformation about it, the wars in Ukraine, Gaza, and on the Red Sea, and the accompanying disinformation from the White House.
Such recklessness abroad is the bookend to the home front where massive borrowing, the destruction of the border, crippling inflation, spiraling crime, and the epidemic of “progressive” anti-Semitism on campuses have made American almost unrecognizable.

Again, at the heart of this Biden catastrophe is the Faustian bargain of 2020 when unelectable leftist candidates dropped out in unison to use a fumbling Biden as their more presentable veneer. So he was foisted upon the nation to serve as “moderate” cover to advance a radical, veritable Obama third-term. In that sense, his duties were ceremonial—as the hard-left channeled through him the most radical agenda in U.S. history, and found his debility and dementia advantageous—the country be damned.

If Biden makes it to and through the convention, he and his record remain indefensible. And so expect his campaign largely to be waged through lawfare against Trump, and massive infusions of leftist cash to ensure record mail-in and early voting. In the campaign Biden will become an afterthought, a ghost, vapor, as his party seeks to construct the entire election one of leftwing, blue-city prosecutors, judges, and juries versus serial defendant Trump.
But will Nemesis first catch up to Biden’s long record of hubris and dishonesty?

40
Politics & Religion / Restaurant Apocalypse
« on: May 14, 2024, 08:49:48 AM »

42
Politics & Religion / Pelosi Pwned @ the Oxford Union
« on: May 13, 2024, 09:03:09 PM »

43
Politics & Religion / Restaurant Apocalypse
« on: May 13, 2024, 08:51:06 PM »

44
This is galling. I try to lock down all my devices re location data; not sure how effective this is is your cellphone company sells your data:

FCC Fines Major U.S. Wireless Carriers for Selling Customer Location Data
FCC fines wireless carriers $200M
•Krebs on Security / by BrianKrebs / Apr 29, 2024 at 5:06 PM
The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) today levied fines totaling nearly $200 million against the four major carriers — including AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile and Verizon — for illegally sharing access to customers’ location information without consent.



The fines mark the culmination of a more than four-year investigation into the actions of the major carriers. In February 2020, the FCC put all four wireless providers on notice that their practices of sharing access to customer location data were likely violating the law.

The FCC said it found the carriers each sold access to its customers’ location information to ‘aggregators,’ who then resold access to the information to third-party location-based service providers.

“In doing so, each carrier attempted to offload its obligations to obtain customer consent onto downstream recipients of location information, which in many instances meant that no valid customer consent was obtained,” an FCC statement on the action reads. “This initial failure was compounded when, after becoming aware that their safeguards were ineffective, the carriers continued to sell access to location information without taking reasonable measures to protect it from unauthorized access.”

The FCC’s findings against AT&T, for example, show that AT&T sold customer location data directly or indirectly to at least 88 third-party entities. The FCC found Verizon sold access to customer location data (indirectly or directly) to 67 third-party entities. Location data for Sprint customers found its way to 86 third-party entities, and to 75 third-parties in the case of T-Mobile customers.

The commission said it took action after Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) sent a letter to the FCC detailing how a company called Securus Technologies had been selling location data on customers of virtually any major mobile provider to law enforcement officials.

That same month, KrebsOnSecurity broke the news that LocationSmart — a data aggregation firm working with the major wireless carriers — had a free, unsecured demo of its service online that anyone could abuse to find the near-exact location of virtually any mobile phone in North America.

The carriers promised to “wind down” location data sharing agreements with third-party companies. But in 2019, reporting at Vice.com showed that little had changed, detailing how reporters were able to locate a test phone after paying $300 to a bounty hunter who simply bought the data through a little-known third-party service.

Sen. Wyden said no one who signed up for a cell plan thought they were giving permission for their phone company to sell a detailed record of their movements to anyone with a credit card.

“I applaud the FCC for following through on my investigation and holding these companies accountable for putting customers’ lives and privacy at risk,” Wyden said in a statement today.

The FCC fined Sprint and T-Mobile $12 million and $80 million respectively. AT&T was fined more than $57 million, while Verizon received a $47 million penalty. Still, these fines represent a tiny fraction of each carrier’s annual revenues. For example, $47 million is less than one percent of Verizon’s total wireless service revenue in 2023, which was nearly $77 billion.

The fine amounts vary because they were calculated based in part on the number of days that the carriers continued sharing customer location data after being notified that doing so was illegal (the agency also considered the number of active third-party location data sharing agreements). The FCC notes that AT&T and Verizon each took more than 320 days from the publication of the Times story to wind down their data sharing agreements; T-Mobile took 275 days; Sprint kept sharing customer location data for 386 days.

Update, 6:25 p.m. ET: Clarified that the FCC launched its investigation at the request of Sen. Wyden.

https://krebsonsecurity.com/2024/04/fcc-fines-major-u-s-wireless-carriers-for-selling-customer-location-data/

45
Probably not the sort of book related info this thread is meant to contain, but….

Many years ago spouse 1.0, eldest child (then a toddler), and I testified before a congressional committee, where I learned just how freaking stage managed that testimony is. Can’t let any aardvarks appear at the dog and pony show, don’tcha know? Anyhoo, this piece makes clear that congressional testimony ethos is also embraced by the putative authors of sundry supposed perspective of DC insiders published as books:

https://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2024/05/13/jen-psaki-got-caught-repeating-this-whopper-of-a-lie-in-her-new-book-n4928992

46
Politics & Religion / China’s Growth Slowing
« on: May 13, 2024, 04:34:15 PM »
China’s economy is headed for a ‘dead-end,’ and Beijing won’t do anything to stop it, scholar says

BYJASON MA
May 11, 2024 at 5:47 PM EDT
Xi Jinping holds umbrella
Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting France on Tuesday.
MATTHIEU RONDEL—BLOOMBERG/GETTY IMAGES
China’s leadership is relying on an export surge to revive slumping growth, but those policies won’t extract the world’s second largest economy from the malaise that it’s in, a top China watcher said.

Anne Stevenson-Yang, cofounder of J Capital Research and the author of Wild Ride: A Short History of the Opening and Closing of the Chinese Economy, pointed to failures by Beijing in an op-ed in the New York Times on Saturday.

“Years of erratic and irresponsible policies, excessive Communist Party control and undelivered promises of reform have created a dead-end Chinese economy of weak domestic consumer demand and slowing growth,” she wrote. “The only way that China’s leaders can see to pull themselves out of this hole is to fall back on pumping out exports.”

The result will be more tension with China’s trade partners as cheap manufactured goods continue to flood markets, while the Chinese people will turn gloomier, causing the government to get more repressive, Stevenson-Yang predicted.

The root cause of China’s economic problems is the Communist Party’s excessive control, which isn’t going away, while its strategies that focus on adding more industrial capacity are counterproductive, she said.

Most economists have recommended that Chinese leaders loosen their grip on the private sector and promote more consumption, which would entail reforming the government—”and that is unacceptable,” she added.

The 1989 Tiananmen Square protests represented an opportunity to liberalize the government in response to the growing private sector that emerged from economic reforms started a decade earlier. But that would’ve weakened the Communist Party’s power, Stevenson-Yang pointed out.

“Instead, China’s leaders chose to shoot the protesters, further tighten party control and get hooked on government investment to fuel the economy,” she said.

In the decades that followed, China’s investment-driven growth sought to pacify the people, while its cheap exports kept prices lower in the West. Meanwhile, debt piled up throughout China, and new infrastructure and housing sat underutilized.

Now, President Xi Jinping is running out of policy options, Stevenson-Yang warned, as Chinese consumers refuse to boost spending, and China’s trade partners put up more barriers to its exports. In fact, the Biden administration is poised to impose severe tariffs on a range of Chinese goods. Innovation won’t come to the rescue either, as China’s economy still relies mostly on replicating existing technologies, she added.

“All of this means that the ‘reform and opening’ era, which has transformed China and captivated the world since it began in the late 1970s, has ended with a whimper,” she concluded. “Mao Zedong once said that in an uncertain world, the Chinese must ‘Dig tunnels deep, store grain everywhere and never seek hegemony.’ That sort of siege mentality is coming back.”

China’s slowing growth, real estate crisis, high youth unemployment, and U.S. restrictions on key technologies have led to predictions of a so-called lost decade of stagnation. Pointing to China’s aging population, veteran strategist Ed Yardeni last year said the country could become “the world’s largest nursing home.”

But a top China expert warned last month against such pessimism, saying it could lead the U.S. to grow complacent.

“While its growth has slowed in recent years, China is likely to expand at twice the rate of the United States in the years ahead,” wrote Nicholas Lardy, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, in Foreign Affairs

https://fortune.com/2024/05/11/china-economy-outlook-dead-end-exports-manufacturing-trade/

47
Science, Culture, & Humanities / AI Learns to Lie
« on: May 13, 2024, 04:28:12 PM »
Given the penchant of so many to vigorously grasp whatever twaddle the MSM vends, the thought of AI embracing convenient fictions does more than give pause:

https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-deceives-humans-2024-5

48
Politics & Religion / Inflation: The Gift that Keeps Giving
« on: May 13, 2024, 04:17:06 PM »
The Biden admin sure if fond of self-inflicted wounds, with inflation caused by proliferate spending serving as a case in point:

https://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2024/05/13/how-dare-you-consumers-believe-their-own-lyin-eyes-instead-of-bls-gimmicks-n4928995

49
Politics & Religion / Big Buck in Servicing Illegal Immigrant
« on: May 13, 2024, 02:36:03 PM »
NGO are raking it in handling illegals for the Feds:

Nonprofits Are Making Billions off the Border Crisis

Federal funding has turned the business of resettling migrant children into a goldmine for a handful of NGOs—and their top executives.

By Madeleine Rowley

May 12, 2024

While the border crisis has become a major liability for President Biden, threatening his reelection chances, it’s become a huge boon to a group of nonprofits getting rich off government contracts.

Although the federally funded Unaccompanied Children Program is responsible for resettling unaccompanied migrant minors who enter the U.S., it delegates much of the task to nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) that run shelters in the border states of Texas, Arizona, and California.

And with the recent massive influx of unaccompanied children—a record 130,000 in 2022, the last year for which there are official stats—the coffers of these NGOs are swelling, along with the salaries of their CEOs.

“The amount of taxpayer money they are getting is obscene,” Charles Marino, former adviser to Janet Napolitano, the secretary of the Department of Homeland Security under Obama, said of the NGOs. “We’re going to find that the waste, fraud, and abuse of taxpayer money will rival what we saw with the Covid federal money.”

The Free Press examined three of the most prominent NGOs that have benefited: Global Refuge, Southwest Key Programs, and Endeavors, Inc. These organizations have seen their combined revenue grow from $597 million in 2019 to an astonishing $2 billion by 2022, the last year for which federal disclosure documents are available. And the CEOs of all three nonprofits reap more than $500,000 each in annual compensation, with one of them—the chief executive of Southwest Key—making more than $1 million.

Some of the services NGOs provide are eyebrow-raising. For example, Endeavors uses taxpayer funds to offer migrant children “pet therapy,” “horticulture therapy,” and music therapy. In 2021 alone, Endeavors paid Christy Merrell, a music therapist, $533,000. An internal Endeavors PowerPoint obtained by America First Legal, an outfit founded by former Trump aide Stephen Miller, showed that the nonprofit conducted 1,656 “people-plant interactions” and 287 pet therapy sessions between April 2021 and March 2023.

Endeavors’ 2022 federal disclosure form also shows that it paid $5 million to a company to provide fill-in doctors and nurses, $4.6 million for “consulting services,” $1.4 million to attend conferences, and $700,000 on lobbyists. In 2021, the NGO shelled out $8 million to hotel management company Esperanto Developments to house migrants in their hotels. Endeavors, which gets 99.6 percent of its revenue from the government according to federal disclosure forms, declined to comment to The Free Press.

The Administration for Children and Families, a division of the U.S. Department of Health & Human Services, funds the nonprofits through its Office of Refugee Resettlement, and its budget has swelled over the years—from $1.8 billion in 2018 to $6.3 billion in 2023. The ORR is expected to spend at least $7.3 billion this year—almost all of which will be funneled to NGOs and other contractors.
When asked about the funding increase during a January media event, Krish O’Mara Vignarajah, the chief executive of Global Refuge said, “We’ve grown because the need has grown.” The nonprofit did not make Vignarajah available for an interview.

But while it’s true the number of migrants has exploded in recent years, critics say these enormous federal grants far exceed the current need. The facilities themselves are generally owned by private companies and are leased to the NGOs, which house the unaccompanied minors and attempt to unite them with family members or, if that’s not possible, people who will take care of them—their so-called sponsors. The ORR does not publicly list the specific number of shelters it funds in its efforts to house migrants, a business The New York Times once described as “lucrative” and “secretive.”

While some NGOs have long had operations at the border, “what is new under Biden is the amount of taxpayer money being awarded, the lack of accountability for performance, and the lack of interest in solving the problem,” said Jessica Vaughan, director of policy studies at the Center for Immigration Studies, a think tank that researches the effect of government immigration policies and describes its bias as “low-immigration, pro-immigrant.”

Consider Global Refuge, based in Baltimore, Maryland. In 2018, according to its federal disclosure form, the Baltimore-based nonprofit had $50 million in revenue. By 2022, its revenue totaled $207 million—$180 million of which came from the government. That year, $82 million was spent on housing unaccompanied children. Global Refuge also granted $45 million to an organization that facilitates adoptions as well as resettling migrant children.

Now Global Refuge employs over 550 people nationwide, and CEO Vignarajah said in January that the nonprofit plans to expand to at least 700 staffers by the end of 2024.

Vignarajah, a former policy director for Michelle Obama when she was first lady, took the top job at Global Refuge in February 2019 after she lost her bid to be elected governor of Maryland. She has since become one of the most prominent advocates for migrants crossing the southern border, appearing frequently on MSNBC and other media as an immigration advocate. Her incoming salary was $244,000, but just three years later, her compensation more than doubled to $520,000.

In 2019, Global Refuge housed 2,591 unaccompanied children while spending $30 million. Three years later, the NGO reported that it housed 1,443 unaccompanied children at a cost of $82.5 million—almost half the number of migrants for more than double the money.
In a statement to The Free Press, Global Refuge spokesperson Timothy Young said that while in care, “Unaccompanied children attend six hours of daily education and participate in recreational activities, both at the education site and within the community.”
The man with the $1 million salary is Dr. Anselmo Villarreal, who became CEO of Southwest Key Programs, headquartered in Austin, Texas, in 2021. (Villarreal took a drop in pay compared to his predecessor, Southwest Key founder Juan Sanchez, who paid himself an eye-popping $3.5 million in 2018.)
 
Despite a number of scandals in the recent past, including misuse of federal funds and several instances of employees sexually abusing some of the children in its care, Southwest Key continues to operate—and rake in big government checks. In 2020, the year of Covid-19, its government grant was $391 million; by 2022, its contract was nearly $790 million.

Southwest Key’s federal disclosure forms show that in 2022, six executives in addition to Villarreal made more than $400,000, including its chief strategist ($800,000), its head of operations ($700,000) and its top HR executive ($535,000). Its total payroll in 2022 was $465 million.

Endeavors, Inc., based in San Antonio, Texas, is run by Chip Fulghum. Formerly the chief financial officer of the Department of Homeland Security, he signed on as Endeavors’ chief operating officer in 2019 and was promoted to CEO this year.

In 2022, Fulghum was paid almost $600,000, while the compensation for Endeavors’ then-CEO, Jon Allman, was $700,000. Endeavors’ payroll went from $20 million in 2018 to a whopping $150 million in 2022, with seven other executives earning more than $300,000.
Perhaps the most shocking figure was the size of Endeavors’s 2022 contract with the government: a staggering $1.3 billion, by far the largest sum ever granted to an NGO working at the border. (In 2023, Endeavors’ government funds shrank to $324 million because the shelter was closed for six months. Endeavors says this was because the beds were not needed, the border crisis notwithstanding.)

Despite these astronomical sums, the Unaccompanied Children Program is fraught with problems and suffers from a general lack of oversight. Because so many unaccompanied youths are crossing the border, sources who worked at a temporary Emergency Intake Site in 2021 said the ORR pressured case managers to move children out within two weeks in order to prepare for the next wave of unaccompanied children.

In 2022, Florida governor Ron DeSantis empaneled a grand jury to conduct an investigation, which showed how the ORR continually loosened its safety protocols so children could be connected to sponsors more quickly—and with less due diligence. The same report revealed that because there’s often no documentation to prove a migrant’s age at the time Border Patrol processes them, 105 adults were discovered posing as unaccompanied children in 2021. One of them, a 24-year-old Honduran male who said he was 17, was charged with murdering his sponsor in Jacksonville, Florida.

“We used to have DNA testing to make sure we had these family units,” Chris Clem, a recently retired Border Patrol officer, told The Free Press. But since the border crisis, the ORR has abandoned DNA testing, according to congressional testimony by the General Accountability Office. In 2021, ORR revised its rules so that public records checks for other adults living in a prospective sponsor’s home were no longer mandatory.

Tara Rodas, a government employee who was temporarily detailed to work at the California Pomona Fairplex Emergency Intake shelter in 2021, told The Free Press she also uncovered evidence of fraud within the sponsorship system. “Most of the sponsors have no legal presence in the U.S. I don’t know if I saw one U.S. ID,” said Rodas. “There were no criminal investigators at the site, and there was no access to see if sponsors had committed crimes in Guatemala, El Salvador, and Mexico.”
Last October, the ORR published a series of proposed changes to its regulations in the Federal Register that will effectively codify the more relaxed standards. The new regulations, which will go into effect in July, will allow background checks and verifying the validity of a sponsor’s identity—but wouldn’t require them.

“It is mind-boggling that ORR has not seen fit to adjust the policies for (unaccompanied children) placements, except to make them more lenient,” Jessica Vaughan at the Center for Immigration Studies told The Free Press. “They could do a much better job, but they only want to streamline the process and make the releases even easier.” The Administration for Children and Families did not respond to emailed questions from The Free Press.

Deborah White, another federal employee temporarily detailed to the Pomona Fairplex facility in 2021, told The Free Press: “Ultimately, the responsibility is on the government. But the oversight is obviously not adequate—from the contracting to the care of the children to the vetting of the sponsors. All of it is inadequate. The government blames the contractor and the contractor blames the government, and no one is held accountable.”

Maddie Rowley is an investigative reporter. Follow her on X @Maddie_Rowley. And read Peter Savodnik’s piece, “A Report from the Southern Border: ‘We Want Biden to Win.’”

https://www.thefp.com/p/nonprofits-make-billions-off-migrant-children?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true

50
Politics & Religion / VDH Catalogs Trump’s Persecutions
« on: May 13, 2024, 02:19:12 PM »
A fine compendium if nothing else:

Presidential Persecutions

What will be the endgame of all these attacks on the American legal system and the warping of it for blatant political purposes?

By Victor Davis Hanson

May 13, 2024
None of the five civil and criminal cases currently lodged against former President Donald Trump have ever had merit. They were all predicated on using the law to injure his re-election candidacy—given a widespread derangement syndrome among the left and a fear they cannot entrust a Trump/Biden election to the people.

These criminal and civil trials are merely the continuation of extra-legal efforts of the last eight years to destroy a presidential candidate in lieu of opposing him in transparent elections.

As such, the current lawfare joins the Mueller investigation of the Russian-collusion hoax. It is a continuation of the laptop disinformation caper and the “51 intelligence authorities” who lied about its Russian origins. It logically follows from the two impeachments, the Senate trial of Trump as a private citizen, and states’ efforts to remove him from their ballots.

The E. Jean Carroll case, the Alvin Bragg, Letitia James, and Fani Willis local and state trials, and the Smith federal indictment share various embarrassments.

Suspension of statutes of limitations: Carroll and Bragg could only go to court through the legal gymnastics of enlisting sympathetic judges and legislators to change or amend the law to suspend the statute of limitations as a veritable bill of attainder to go after Trump.

Violations of the Bill of Rights: In the Bragg case, Judge Merchan’s selective and asymmetrical gag order likely violates the First Amendment (prohibiting “abridging the freedom of speech”). Bragg violated the Sixth Amendment by denying Trump the right “to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation”. Judge Engoron, in the juryless James case, violated the Eighth Amendment (“nor excessive fines imposed”) in assessing Donald Trump an unheard of $354 million fine for supposedly overstating the value of real estate collateral for loans, while violating the Sixth Amendment as well (“the accused shall enjoy the right … to trial by an impartial jury”). The FBI likely violated the Fourth Amendment (“The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures”) by raiding Trump’s private residence, seizing his papers and effects (many of them private), and then lying about its own shenanigans of rearranging the seized classified files to incriminate Trump.

The invention of crimes: The indictments of Bragg, James, Willis, and Smith had no prior precedents. These cases will likely never be seen again. Bragg bootstrapped a federal campaign violation allegation onto a state crime. Yet still, he has never explained exactly how Trump violated any particular law.

No one had ever been tried in New York for allegedly inflating real estate assets to obtain a loan from banks, whose auditors had reviewed favorably the applicant’s assets. Thus, the lending agencies issued the loans, profited from the interest, were paid back in full and on time, and had no complaint against the borrower, Trump. Nonetheless, James indicted Trump and convicted him of a non-crime without a victim, due the New York combination of a politicized left-wing Manhattan judge, prosecutor, and juror.

No local prosecutor until Willis had ever indicted a presidential candidate for calling up a registrar and complaining about the balloting or alleging that some votes cast were not yet counted, followed up by an additional request to find supposedly missing ballots. If such criminalization was the norm, a local Florida prosecutor in 2000 could have indicted both the Bush and Gore campaigns.

Prior to Smith’s federal indictment, all disagreements with presidents about the classification and removal of their private papers were handled administratively, not criminally, much less inaugurated by a staged, performance-art FBI swat-like raid on an ex-president’s residence.

Equal justice?: These indictments are asymmetrical, hounding Trump when other prominent left-wing politicians have been far greater violators of the same alleged crimes and yet were given exemptions. Special prosecutor Robert Hur found Biden culpable for removing classified files for far longer, in more places, in less secure circumstances, and without the presidential authority to declassify them. Yet Biden was not indicted on the Orwellian excuse that he, as president, was so mentally challenged no jury would convict such an amnesiac and debilitated defendant (who otherwise apparently can exercise the office of President of the United States.)

Tara Reade was as believable or unbelievable as E. Jean Carroll. Far poorer, and without Carroll’s New York elite connections, Reade alleged that Senator Joe Biden sexually assaulted her at about the same time as the Carroll claim. Yet Reade was written off as a nut, ostracized, and felt to have opportunistically piggy-banked on the #MeToo movement.

James and her predecessors were aware of hundreds of New York City developers who submitted loan applications with property assessment at odds with those of initial bank appraisals. She knows the solution is that either the bank’s sophisticated auditors refuse the loan or the disagreement is deemed not sufficient enough to sacrifice profit-making by offering a loan that will likely be timely paid back.

Willis knows that Stacey Abrams, in her own state, claimed herself the winner of the 2018 gubernatorial race (she lost by over 50,000 votes). Abrams then declared that the actual winner, current governor Brian Kemp, was and is an illegitimate governor. She further sued to overturn the election in the manner that Jill Stein had tried to overthrow the 2016 presidential election.

In a similar fashion of election denialism, Democratically-funded ad campaigns and sycophantic celebrities hit the airways in 2016 to flip the electors to become “faithless,” thus renouncing their constitutional duties to reflect their own states’ tallies and instead voting according to the national popular vote.

Bragg knows that Hillary Clinton was fined over $100,000 for 2016 campaign violations after she hid the nature of her illegal payments to foreign national Christopher Steele to collect dirt on her opponent Donald Trump. Barack Obama was fined—five years post facto!—by the same Federal Election Commission a whopping $375,000 for improperly reporting nearly $2 million in 2008 campaign donations. In neither case did a federal prosecutor, much less a local district attorney, seek to criminalize what was customarily considered an administrative or civil violation of federal law.

Bias: Never has an ex-president and leading presidential candidate been targeted with promises of indictment by candidates running for state and local offices. Yet that is precisely what Bragg, James, and Willis have done, fueling their campaigns for offices by promising to find ways to go after Donald Trump and subsequently raising money from such boasts.

Willis’s paramour, fellow prosecutor Nathan Wade, met with the White House counsel’s office. One of Bragg’s prosecutors, Matthew Colangelo, left his prestigious job as a senior federal prosecutor in the Biden DOJ temporarily to work on contract with Bragg’s Manhattan office to go after Trump.

Jack Smith was appointed by the Biden Department of Justice; his left-wing filmmaker spouse helped to produce a puff-piece documentary on Michelle Obama.

The judge in the Bragg case, Juan Merchan, donated to the 2020 Biden campaign. So did one of the lead prosecutors, Susan Hoffinger, who gave generously to Biden in 2020. Merchan’s own daughter, Loren, has made a small fortune as a Democratic campaign consultant, having guided her left-wing clients’ fundraising efforts to the tune of $90 million.

Given these egregious violations of the law, abject political bias, conflicts of interest, asymmetrical application of the law, and manipulations of the statutes of limitations, the public has slowly grown incensed. They rightly conclude that the lawfare is a left-wing coordinated effort to destroy candidate Trump by exhausting him physically and psychologically in five separate cases at the height of the campaign season, bankrupting him with what will likely be $1 billion in legal fees and fines, silencing him with gag orders, defaming him with salacious and sensational but irrelevant court testimonies, and keeping him off the campaign trail.

And now? The sheer preposterousness has resulted in two unexpected developments. One, the more the left tries to subvert the legal system to emasculate Trump, the more the latter wins popularity, especially in traditionally non-Republican constituencies, even as Biden slumps in the polls. And two, the four criminal cases are starting to fall apart because of their sheer ridiculousness and abject bias.

Will and her boyfriend, prosecutor Wade, likely lied under oath about both their covert romantic relationship and the money that fueled their global junketeering. A Georgia state appellate court is reviewing Willis’ suitability to continue the prosecution. One might ask, “How can a prosecutor who lied under oath while trying a case retain any credibility?” Whatever the state court’s findings, a state appellate or federal court will eventually exonerate Trump. No other prosecutor or jurisdiction would likely take over Willis’s tainted indictment.

Smith’s indictment is in limbo, largely because: 1) in unusual and partisan fashion, he sought to rush the prosecution to coincide with the 2024 campaign; 2) the Supreme Court is determining to what extent a president either has immunity or can be hauled into court by a special prosecutor appointed by the opposition party; and 3) his office lied to the court about the condition of the Trump files they found at his residence, collected, and then took possession of—in a fashion that was intended to prejudice the case in the government’s favor.

Bragg’s gambit of putting Stormy Daniels on the stand to offer irrelevant but lurid testimony to hurt candidate Trump may have backfired, given she proved unstable, narcissistic, unreliable, hateful, and promised to break the law and refuse a legally ordered payment to Trump after losing a defamation case against him. Convicted felon and liar Michael Cohen, the prosecution’s key witness, has already hit the internet trying to get rich and will have less credibility.

James’s civil conviction of Trump and massive fine (originally $450 million with interest) may also be overturned on appeal, given it violates Eight-Amendment protection from “unusual punishment” (“bail shall not be required, nor excessive fines imposed”), in addition to the selective prosecution of Trump where there is no criminal act and no victim.

So what will be the endgame of all these attacks on the American legal system and the warping of it for blatant political purposes?

One, we have entered new territory. There will soon be hundreds of local and state prosecutors who feel they have now been given license in election years to go after national presidential candidates for political advantage, both local and national.

Two, conservatives are in a dilemma: whether to restore deterrence by boomeranging the left’s extra-legal effort to ruin a candidate and president or to refrain from what would be a descent into third-world, tit-for-tat criminalization of politics.

Three, the persecution of Trump, coupled with the derelict candidacy of Joe Biden, threatens to erode the traditional base of the Democratic Party and redefine politics in terms of class rather than race. Minorities are beginning to empathize with the gagged, railroaded, and victimized Trump while distancing themselves from the victimizers, who are using their “privilege” to warp the law on behalf of a bullying president.

Four, the U.S. has lost a great deal of credibility abroad due to the erosion of what was once seen as the greatest system of jurisprudence in the world. No longer.

Enemies like China and Russia now boast that America’s new political prosecutions are similar to their own systems, or even more egregious, and will welcome us into their own customs of bastardized justice.

Latin-American, African, and Asian dictators are delighted that the U.S. has lost the moral authority to lecture them on the need for a disinterested and independent judiciary and the rule of law.

Our democratic allies in Europe and Asia are increasingly disturbed that the instability and unlawfulness apparent in the current lawfare put into question the reliability of the United States and its adherence to a rules-based order—whether at home or aboard.

Any president who would sic the justice system on his opponent might be equally vindictive and lawless to his allies abroad.

https://amgreatness.com/2024/05/13/the-fall-of-the-house-of-presidential-persecutions/

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