I second the nomination!!!
GM has been right on this so far. Not many saw this leading to almost total lockdown. People should have been prepared BEFORE they heard of any of this. I have many more questions on preparedness for other kinds of crises and much can be learned from this one.
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I am still of the view that this will pass in a relatively short order but I am short on the details or vision of how that will happen. ccp: "My armchair guestimate this could peak in 2.5 to 3.5 months.
if we are able to contain likely sooner". Yes, it could be worse but that gives me something to work with on a recovery scenario.
In preparedness we need to look at multiple scenarios and look at it from multiple dimensions. Personal health, public health, economic, financial, political, geo-political.
In the doom scenario that this just covers the globe, some things get better in the aftermath. Not for those who die of it or suffer permanent health damage from it.
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On the source of it, was it a Chinese bio-weapon leak? Crafty: "Seems a tad tin foil GM. I'm not saying it can't be-- indeed given how vulnerable we have been revealed to be to Chinese antibiotic based extortion by all this, if it didn't occur to them before it surely is occurring to them now-- but that article seems really thinly sourced and highly speculative."
- Yes, there is no evidence, no proof, no real sourcing. It is only speculative, just the most plausible explanation out there at this time. What we do know is that China hid this, lied about it, allowed it to become what it is now. What was their motive to hide it, just habit possibly. I would add my question to the conspiracy question, what is the other tie to Iran and the Chinese center of bio-weapons? Were the Islamists having a cultural exchange with the Chinese communists right while China imprisons a million Muslims? I can't think of an innocent explanation.