I'm not able to follow the logic of BRICS. I get it that the US has been an unreliable (or absent) ally to India, that Latin American countries have reason to distrust the US, that African and Asian countries have a history of exploitation by Western Europe. There are plenty of reasons to cherish their independence and sovereignty, and I prefer the world to be made up of local, consensual governments, not some form of one world government run by misguided western elites.
That said, to be drawn to Russia and China instead is insane, IMHO. What independence (or prosperity) do the little states around Russia and China have?
Quoting the head of Eritrea regarding US, NATO, Russia, Ukraine,
"These suffocating and malicious policies are embellished by high-sounding phrases in order to claim the moral high ground.
I know it's more complicated than big country invaded small country, but isn't Putin (a BRICS leader) the one invading Ukraine, claiming moral high ground, using the supply of food and gas as a weapon?
I don't see Poland, Finland, Lithuania similarly flocking to the Russia versus the NATO, western Europe umbrella. And how are the China Belt and Road recipients doing? (And the Xinjiang Uyghurs?)
US under the Biden regime runs our economy (and foreign policy) irresponsibly, risking the investments of those who tie to the dollar, and the trust of those who rely on us. And that makes you turn to countries like Brazil. Argentina, Iran (and Russia, China) for safety and stability? US can (theoretically) be turned around in one or two election cycles. How do you do that in Russia or China?
Sorry, I just don't get it.
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Some coverage here:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/23/world/asia/brics-nations-new-members-expansion.htmlBRICS Summit
What to Know
New Members Announced
Xi’s Pitch in Africa
Putin Tries to Rally Support
Global Interest Piqued
What to Know About the 6 Nations Invited to Join BRICS
Iran was the surprise among the countries invited to join the bloc of emerging economies. Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Argentina and Ethiopia were also tapped.
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil, President Xi Jinping of China, President Cyril Ramaphosa of South Africa, Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India and Foreign Minister Sergey V. Lavrov of Russia sit at white and wood desks on a stage. Countries’ flags stand on either side of the stage, and a blue and white banner in the background reads “XV BRICS Summit.”
From left, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil, President Xi Jinping of China, President Cyril Ramaphosa of South Africa, Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India and Foreign Minister Sergey V. Lavrov of Russia at the BRICS conference in Johannesburg on Thursday.Credit...Gianluigi Guercia/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
By Farnaz Fassihi, Vivian Yee, Natalie Alcoba and Declan Walsh
With reporting from Cairo, Buenos Aires, New York, Jakarta and Johannesburg
Published Aug. 23, 2023
Updated Aug. 25, 2023
The five-nation group of emerging economies known as BRICS, which views itself as a counterweight to the West, has invited six more countries to join — most of them from the Middle East — during its summit in Johannesburg this week.
The choices by the current members — Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa — contained a few surprises, the biggest being the addition of Iran, which joined three other Middle Eastern states: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt. Argentina and Ethiopia rounded out the half-dozen nations tapped for inclusion, while Indonesia, which was thought to be among the top candidates for admission, did not make the cut.
The expansion was a victory for China’s leader, Xi Jinping, who strongly backed the rapid addition of new members. But Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India was said to be concerned about adding nations close to Beijing; India and China have border disputes and tend to consider each other potential adversaries.
Here is a look at some of the new BRICS members.
Iran
Iran, which holds the world’s second-largest gas reserves and a quarter of the oil reserves in the Middle East, sought membership in BRICS to strengthen its economic and political ties with non-Western powers.
For the past few years, Iran has forged a deepening security and military partnership with Russia and bolstered its economic ties to China. The invitation to join BRICS was viewed by many as a reward.
Iran’s addition will almost undoubtedly increase geopolitical tensions with the West, which could make other current members of the bloc, like India, uncomfortable.
Iran’s economy, ranked the 22nd-largest in the world in 2022, has been plagued by inflation, slow growth and economic sanctions from the United States. But the country has stayed afloat by selling discounted oil to China, among other maneuvers. It has also diversified its economy away from oil and increased trade with BRICS members.
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Oil and gas infrastructure in southern Iran. Home to the world’s second-largest gas reserves, Iran is looking to strengthen its ties with non-Western powers.Credit...Solmaz Daryani for The New York Times
Mohammad Jamshidi, Iran’s vice president for politics, called the invitation to join BRICS a “historic achievement and a strategic victory.”
Saudi Arabia
The inclusion of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, the Persian Gulf’s two biggest political and financial heavyweights and two of the world’s largest energy suppliers, is likely to give the bloc added heft in its quest to challenge the U.S.-dominated world order.
Both countries are longtime American allies who rely on the United States to protect them in a volatile region. But at the same time, both have chafed at the partnership in recent years, increasingly going their own way on issues like oil production, the war in Ukraine and their relationships with Iran and Syria — countries the United States would prefer to keep isolated.
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Prince Faisal bin Farhan, Saudi Arabia’s foreign minister, at a meeting during the BRICS meeting in Johannesburg on Thursday.Credit...Pool photo by Marco Longari
Speaking at the BRICS summit in South Africa on Thursday, the Saudi foreign minister, Prince Faisal bin Farhan, said his country and the BRICS members shared a strong belief in “respecting the independence and sovereignty of states, and not interfering in their affairs.”
Saudi Arabia sees joining the bloc as another step in its efforts to balance out its traditional partnerships with the United States and Europe with its largest trading partners in the East, China and India.
The Saudi foreign minister indicated that his country had not yet decided on whether to join BRICS. He said it appreciated the invitation but was waiting for more details from the group on the nature of membership.
“Based on that and after our internal deliberations, we will make the appropriate decision,” he told the local news media on Thursday.
United Arab Emirates
The Emirates, like Saudi Arabia, has sought a bigger leadership role in the Middle East in recent years, even when that meant diverging from American interests.
Despite counting on American security guarantees, the Emirati ruler, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, has cozied up to both Russia and China. He visited Russia twice over the past year to meet with its president, Vladimir V. Putin, and agreed to have the Emirati Air Force train with China’s this month.
Economically, too, the Emirates has thrived on non-Western relationships. The glitzy city-state of Dubai is flush with Russian money, oil and gold that found a home there after Western sanctions hit Russia following its invasion of Ukraine. Its trade with India and China has flourished.
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Dubai became a haven for Russians and Russian money after Western sanctions hit the country following the invasion of Ukraine.Credit...Andrea DiCenzo for The New York Times
The country still gets most of its weaponry from the United States, and analysts say it is not about to abandon the United States’ security umbrella anytime soon.
But officials have expressed frustration with what they see as the United States’ failure to protect the Persian Gulf from threats from Iran, which gulf countries believe has launched attacks on both the Emirates and its close partner, Saudi Arabia, in recent years. And they are skeptical that the American leadership is truly committed to the Middle East.
Those concerns were factors in the Emirati and Saudi decisions to reach separate détentes with Iran, their longtime regional nemesis, making it possible for the first time in years for all three countries to belong to the same bloc.
Argentina
Argentina has the third-largest economy in Latin America, after Brazil and Mexico. Its backers in BRICS include India; Brazil, its largest trading partner; and China, with which it has increasingly close financial ties.
President Alberto Fernández of Argentina said in a recorded address on Thursday that entrance into BRICS represented an economic opportunity for his country, which is mired in one of its worst financial crises in decades, with annual inflation surpassing 100 percent.
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A market in Buenos Aires. Annual inflation in Argentina has surpassed 100 percent.Credit...Luis Robayo/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
Gabriel Merino, an international relations expert based in Buenos Aires, said admission into BRICS would reinforce important markets for Argentina and open new ones. It will also provide new financing avenues once the country gains admission into the BRICS’s New Development Bank.
Egypt
Egypt is one of the top recipients of American aid, but it has long maintained a strong relationship with Russia and has growing trade ties with China.
Its interest in weaning itself off American dependence strengthened over the last year and a half, as Egypt learned just how troublesome relying on the dollar can be. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine touched off a foreign currency crisis and then put the Egyptian economy in a tailspin.
Investors pulled billions of dollars out of Egypt in a panic, and crucial wheat and fuel imports, bought with dollars, soared in price. Some imports became scarce and prices rose.
The dollar shortage also made it harder for the country to repay its debts and forced it to devalue its currency steeply, worsening the pain for ordinary Egyptians.
Inside BRICS, Egypt could trade in local currency. It also hopes to attract more investment from member countries.
Ethiopia
Not long ago, Ethiopia was the rising star of Africa — one of the world’s fastest-growing economies, led by Abiy Ahmed, a dynamic young leader who had won a Nobel Peace Prize.
But two years of civil war in the Tigray region ruined most of that. The economy tanked, the United States cut trade privileges and suspended food aid to Ethiopia, and Mr. Abiy has struggled to hold together a volatile nation.
Although the Tigray conflict ended last November, Mr. Abiy’s forces have begun a new fight with powerful militias in another region.
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Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia in 2019. A connection to other BRICS nations would potentially help the country rebuild after its civil war.Credit...Finbarr O'Reilly for The New York Times
For Mr. Abiy, BRICS offers an opportunity to move further from the American orbit. He is already closely allied to the Emirates, which provided crucial military support during the Tigray war.
And economically, Mr. Abiy needs foreign help to bolster Ethiopia’s flagging currency and to seek new investments: This week, his finance minister, Ahmed Shide, estimated it would cost $20 billion to rebuild from the Tigray war alone.
