It's a little suspect, when two California based polls (one by L.A. Times/USC, and the other by KABC/Survey USA), have two different results, one placing Trump three points ahead, and the other placing Clinton 25 points ahead:
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 43, Trump 46 Trump +3
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein NBC News/SM Clinton 42, Trump 40, Johnson 11, Stein 4 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton NBC News/SM Clinton 48, Trump 44 Clinton +4
Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein PPP (D) Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 2 Clinton +6
Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 50, Trump 42 Clinton +8
California: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein KABC/SurveyUSA Clinton 57, Trump 32, Johnson 3, Stein 1 Clinton +25
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/Which is why, I trust none of the following numbers from this page, which averages 5 polls and gives you the perception that Clinton is winning:
http://www.270towin.com/2016-polls-clinton-trump/But when one reads the fine print (and I did), they state; "* T
he average includes the most recent poll from each source released within the past ten days. If there are fewer than five qualifying polls, we look back, by date, until up to five^ qualifying polls are found. However, no polls older than 30 days are considered in the average."
So which polls do they use? Oddly, the same one that has Hillary up by 25 points in California. From their page, the link to what polls they use for to obtain their "percentages."
http://www.270towin.com/recent-polls-2016-president-senate/Note:
Date Poll Source Office Location Results Lead
9/12 USC / LA Times President California
Clinton 58
Trump 33
+25
Even when one switches to the third party candidate polls, the numbers improve slightly for Trump, but the data is still skewed (garbage in, garbage out).
When we switch to the Electoral polls, we get Clinton beating Trump 273 to 175 (but when you have polls in the same city citing a 22 point difference between polls, how can you trust any of the data for any state at that point? You can't:
http://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-pundit-electoral-mapPerhaps it's just the page. Maybe it's set up by Clinton or Soros? We know this - "270towin.com has received an estimated 1,035,800 visits over the last 30 days. The number of visits differs from visitors (or unique visitors). Visits includes multiple visits from the same individual (repeat visits)."
http://www.trafficestimate.com/270towin.comWe know that it is one of the first sights to show on the google search engine when searching the query 2016 presidential polls, so it gets a lot of views, but who owns it, or "realclearpolitics" polls (the number one spot)?" The third poll listed is the NY Times, owned by Arthur Ochs Sulzberger, Jr., who uses his position and wealth to drive leftist ideology... to whom, Clinton donated $100,000 (and perhaps more on other occasions)
http://freebeacon.com/politics/clinton-donated-100k-to-new-york-times-group-the-same-year-paper-endorsed-her/So.... who owns the first two polling websites?
RealClearPolitics - "The web site was founded in 2000 by McIntyre, a former trader at the Chicago Board Options Exchange, and Bevan, a former advertising agency account executive. McIntyre explained "it really wasn't any more complicated than there should be a place online that pulled together all this quality information".
1. John McIntyre - his words - "As a registered Democrat, I have only a detached and anthropological interest in the current ruction within the Republican Party." No bias there.
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/language-blog/bal-not-a-member-of-an-organized-political-party-just-a-democrat-20160325-story.html2. Tom Bevan - "Our guest Tom Bevan, co-founder and Executive Editor of RealClearPolitics, tackles the subject of Trump’s knowledge (or lack there-of)..."
http://radio.foxnews.com/2016/03/28/tom-bevan-hillary-vs-trump-democrats-are-nervous/ Again... no bias there. Also, Bevan happens to be a History major. No liberal leanings there.
3. "RealClearPolitics is the trusted news source for the day's critical issues. In a crowded digital media environment, Washington D.C. insiders and national influencers rely on RealClearPolitics to provide authoritative, complete, and
non-partisan reporting. - That was a lie.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/media_kit/270toWin - "270toWin is a non-partisan, educational website covering presidential and congressional elections through content and interactive maps."
http://www.270towin.com/advertising/ but are they really? Let's see.
1. Allan Keiter -"For outside perspective, we turned to Allan Keiter, the founder of the 270towin website," in which Democrats are seeking a strategy to prevent Republicans from winning the presidency -
http://politifact.com/texas/statements/2012/sep/12/gilberto-hinojosa/gilberto-hinojosa-says-if-democrat-carries-texas-c/2. Who is Allen Keiter? - General Manager -270toWin- June 2004 – Present (12 years 4 months)
https://www.linkedin.com/in/allankeiter Alanta, Georgia, but a Philly native -
https://www.intelius.com/people/Allan-Keiter/060g84sk73w -
https://www.facebook.com/allan.keiter It's hard to nail this guy's political affiliation down, but he has been quoted by several leftist, news sources, he likes yoga, subscribes to NBC, but not to Fox, and allows for Liberal advertising on his 270toWin website "Inside the Clinton Whitehouse," and every other article on his site are pro democrat. It should also be noted that his wife is also a Democrat, having university connections to Connecticut, and having donated at least a $1000 here (
http://individual-contributors.insidegov.com/d/c/Elizabeth-Clubb ).
The polls are beyond skewed.