Author Topic: The US Congress; Congressional races  (Read 377111 times)

DougMacG

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US Senate: 5 toss up races, +3, all Dem seats that need flipping, Let's go!
« Reply #1700 on: August 25, 2024, 08:56:34 AM »
SHARE THIS LIST!  Democrats have the money advantage.  Every $ matters.

Still time to donate by check.  They say the campaign starts right after Labor Day.  (So does the early voting.) Don't give these people your primary email address or phone number.  Donation lists get sold and shared, I'm sorry to say.  Get a phone number at textnow.com, a phone app, (or other free voice over internet app) and get a dedicated political donation email address!  Mine is called 'donotreplytoDougatgmaildotcom'.

Small donations matter!
So do big ones!

Montana,  Tim Sheehy,  WE NEED TO WIN MONTANA!
https://timformt.com/donate-by-check/
https://secure.winred.com/tim-sheehy-for-mt/website?sc=20230701_SHEEHY_WEB_MAIN-DONATION_WEB&utm_source=web

Michigan,  Mike Rogers, Michigan is winnable - so let's win it!
https://secure.winred.com/team-rogers/donate?recurring=true&money_pledge=false&amount=50

Ohio, Bernie Mareno.  Why do we have Democrats representing Republican states?
https://secure.winred.com/bernie-moreno-for-senate/donate?sc=20230412_BMORENO_WEB_WEB_WEBSITE_PROC&utm_source=proc&utm_medium=web

Pennsylvania, David McCormick, Pennsylvania is the center of the political universe right now.
Energy in the Senate race helps Trump Vance as well.
https://secure.winred.com/mccormick-pa/home-page?recurring=true

Arizona, Kari Lake, see above, same goes for Arizona.
https://secure.winred.com/kari-lake-for-senate/80203c12-d11c-4183-b8d9-e9181177b481?recurring=false

In my opinion, this isn't about how much you like the individual candidates at this point, the candidates have already been chosen.  This is about whether you want Trump to be able to enact his agenda, build a wall for example, whether of not you want Chuck Schumer and Harris's replacement in the Senate to have one more vote, whether or not you want a check on power, a check against federal court appointments for example, God Forbid if Kamala Harris is elected the next President of the United States.  Every one of these races matters.

How much is that worth, relative to how much (extra) each of us has.

Spread the word.  Small donations is a numbers game.  $20 or $50 or $100 (to each) is a lot of money if 10 million people do it.
--------------------
[Doug]
Add Wisconsin , Eric Hovde, to your donor list.  Swing state, leans Dem, margin of victory or defeat matters.  Down by 6 to Arch Liberal, Madison's Tammy Baldwin, and polls tend to be wrong...  Conservative western Wisconsin is in the Twin Cities media market and it takes money to reach these people.
https://secure.winred.com/hovde-for-wisconsin/website-p?utm_source=proc&utm_campaign=website&utm_medium=proc&sc=20240215_HOVDE4WI_PROC_WEBSITE_WEBSITE_DEFAULT

Also Nevada, New Mexico, Maryland. We need more Republican states.  The Senate should be 60-40 R until Democrats turn centrist.  Let's expand the map!

Nevada,  Sam Brown
https://secure.winred.com/sam-brown/website-donation?utm_source=website&utm_medium=website&utm_campaign=organic

New Mexico,  Nella Domenici
https://secure.winred.com/nella-for-senate/faf

https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/senate/2024/toss-up
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/25/politics/senate-race-rankings-august-2024/index.html
« Last Edit: August 25, 2024, 09:07:03 AM by DougMacG »

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1701 on: August 25, 2024, 05:07:03 PM »
Doug

How does one pay
by CC?

I know someone getting literally 50 texts or calls a day from Republicans and cannot stop or opt out.
Keep calling back with new numbers.
« Last Edit: August 25, 2024, 05:10:57 PM by ccp »

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1702 on: August 26, 2024, 10:18:48 AM »
Doug
How does one pay
by CC?
I know someone getting literally 50 texts or calls a day from Republicans and cannot stop or opt out.
Keep calling back with new numbers.

Those links will work for credit card.  I don't think there is any unusual risk regarding payment method, just protect your phone (texting) number and (primary) email address.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1703 on: August 26, 2024, 11:38:45 AM »
thank you
I will donate
wish I was billionaire who could do more

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1704 on: August 26, 2024, 01:24:41 PM »
thank you
I will donate
wish I was billionaire who could do more

It's all proportional.  Harris reportedly has taken in $540 million since ascending.  If you gave $100 million, that alone wouldn't do it.  It's mainly numbers of people giving what's right for them.

We need almost 100 million votes.  The late breaking undecideds aren't going to pay so let's say we have 80 million people.  Of those, half are hard core supporters. If just half of just those give what they can and it averages $20 to $50 each, that is $400 million to $1 billion per (multiplied) round of donation at a high participation level.

If just 10 million people (out of 330 million) give $20 to each key Senate race that's $200 million. 

Then you have large donors, but the real key to large numbers is the broad base of support.  I wish we could make that happen without all the solicitation. The solicitation makes me want to give nothing and hide from them.

Denny S used to talk about push versus pull information.  I'll pull in the information I need, if it's available, don't push it on me.

That said, spread the word to like minded people everybody.  I'm sick of losing.

ccp

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The 14 Republicans who voted against Johson's bill
« Reply #1705 on: September 19, 2024, 06:43:17 AM »
that included measure to deport illegal sex criminals

Not who I expected
at least some on list same assholes who voted McCarthy out:

Jim Banks, Indiana
Andy Biggs, Alabama
Lauren Boebert, Colorado
Tim Burchett, Tennessee
Elijah Crane, Arizona
Matt Gaetz, Florida
Wesley Hunt, Texas
Doug Lamborn, Colorado
Nancy Mace, South Carolina
Cory Mills, Florida
Mike Rogers, Alabama
Matt Rosendale, Montana
W. Gregory Steube, Florida
Beth Van Duyne, Texas

Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1706 on: September 19, 2024, 06:48:11 AM »
I saw it asserted that this in part was because there were landlines in the bill that would have handcuffed future Trump actions.

I have no idea either way.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1707 on: September 19, 2024, 07:21:17 AM »
I am sure it is something like that, but I don't understand how we have the majority, albeit slim, and yet we seem to still have such a hard time passing bills.

Gaetz, Boebert, Rosendale - I just don't know understand their political strategy in finding ways to lose for some ideological point that doesn't mean a damn if in the end we lose.

DougMacG

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Let's start with these two House races, DONATE, SHARE
« Reply #1708 on: September 24, 2024, 07:20:40 AM »
Maine 2nd District  Theriault (R) 47, Golden (D) 44
https://www.austinformaine.com/
https://secure.anedot.com/theriault-for-congress/donate

Nebraska 2nd District   Bacon (R) 46, Vargas (D) 44
https://donjbacon.com/
https://secure.winred.com/donbacon/donate

Both of these districts are separate electoral votes in the Presidential race so your (small) contribution could serve a double purpose.

Please add the close races in your area (and other areas) to this list.

Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1709 on: September 24, 2024, 07:27:19 AM »
Good idea for this thread Doug.

DougMacG

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Senate races:
« Reply #1710 on: September 24, 2024, 07:35:37 AM »
Senate Info posted previously.  Election is already underway. Money donated sooner is more valuable than money donated later...

SHARE THIS LIST!  Democrats have the money advantage.  Every $ matters.

  Don't give these people your primary email address or phone number.  Donation lists get sold and shared.  Get an extra phone number at textnow.com, a phone app, (or other free voice over internet app, talkatone.com) and get a dedicated political donation email address!  Mine is called 'donotreplytoDougatgmaildotcom'.

Small donations matter!  So do big ones!  Time is running out.

Montana,  Tim Sheehy
https://timformt.com/donate-by-check/
https://secure.winred.com/tim-sheehy-for-mt/website?sc=20230701_SHEEHY_WEB_MAIN-DONATION_WEB&utm_source=web

Michigan,  Mike Rogers
https://secure.winred.com/team-rogers/donate?recurring=true&money_pledge=false&amount=50

Ohio, Bernie Mareno.
https://secure.winred.com/bernie-moreno-for-senate/donate?sc=20230412_BMORENO_WEB_WEB_WEBSITE_PROC&utm_source=proc&utm_medium=web

Pennsylvania, David McCormick,
https://secure.winred.com/mccormick-pa/home-page?recurring=true

Arizona, Kari Lake,
https://secure.winred.com/kari-lake-for-senate/80203c12-d11c-4183-b8d9-e9181177b481?recurring=false

Wisconsin Eric Hovde
https://secure.winred.com/hovde-for-wisconsin/website-p?utm_source=proc&utm_campaign=website&utm_medium=proc&sc=20240215_HOVDE4WI_PROC_WEBSITE_WEBSITE_DEFAULT

Nevada,  Sam Brown
https://secure.winred.com/sam-brown/website-donation?utm_source=website&utm_medium=website&utm_campaign=organic

New Mexico,  Nella Domenici
https://secure.winred.com/nella-for-senate/faf

Crafty_Dog

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WT: Speaker Johnson should try leading
« Reply #1711 on: September 24, 2024, 08:04:18 AM »
House Speaker Johnson should try leading rather than surrendering

Four steps he could take to unite Republicans

By Deroy Murdock

House Speaker Mike Johnson is folding like a feminine napkin on spending and election integrity. After losing Wednesday’s vote on a continuing resolution and the SAVE Act, the Louisiana Republican will reportedly slide into the passenger seat and let Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer, New York Democrat, drive for a while. This fiasco will energize and delight Democrats and enrage and demoralize Republicans less than seven weeks before Election Day, even as mail-in ballots are reaching swing-state voters. This will jeopardize the House’s GOP majority and tighten Democrats’ tenuous grip on the Senate. This complicates things for former President Donald Trump. Cackles of joy surely echo through Kamala Harris’ headquarters.

Enough is enough. Mr. Johnson should muster his leadership skills, such as they are, and call Mr. Schumer’s bluff. Saving the SAVE Act will electrify Republicans rather than dim the lights on GOP prospects.

Republicans unanimously support the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, which excludes foreign citizens from voting in federal elections. When it passed on July 10, all 216 Republicans assented. Five Democrats concurred, but 198 Democrats opposed citizenonly federal elections.

On this issue, Republicans are in sync with the American people, and Democrats are lost in space. A Feb. 16 Tea Party Patriots poll of 1,000 general-election voters found that 87% believe “proof of United States citizenship should be required to vote in American elections.” This includes 96% of Republicans, 89% of independents and 76% of Democrats.

Meanwhile, Republicans splintered Wednesday when 14 fiscal conservatives rejected a continuing resolution with the SAVE Act but without restraints on runaway spending. Two voted present.

Here’s how Mr. Johnson can unite his divided caucus: First, start with the SAVE Act. Second, add a continuing resolution that cuts spending by 1% across the board. Even as a first step, an actual expenditure reduction should satisfy Wednesday’s 16 Republican dissenters.

Third, add House Budget Committee Chairman Jodey Arrington’s measure, forcing Congress to stay in Washington and “Get ’er done.”

“Why don’t we, instead of shut the government down, as the threat, shut politicians in?” the Texas Republican asked Fox News’ Maria Bartiromo last Thursday. “No budget, no appropriations, no recess, no go home,” he continued. “Make us stay here and get our work done, like every American family and business has to do. Put the pressure on us to act responsibly instead of what we do, year in and year out.”

After passing this three-part bill, Republicans should add a dash of stagecraft.

With this legislation in hand, Mr. Johnson and every Republican should march on the Senate. As journalists watch, Mr. Johnson should meet with Senate GOP leader Mitch McConnell and declare: “The House hereby delivers this continuing resolution. If the Senate concurs before October 1, there will be no government shutdown.”

House Republicans will have publicly done their duty to keep the government open, reduce spending, limit federal elections to American citizens and commit themselves to shelter in place to wrap things up before fiscal 2024 ends.

Mr. Schumer then must decide: Should he pass this measure and send it to President Biden to sign? Or should Mr. Schumer make Wisconsin’s Tammy Baldwin, Pennsylvania’s Bob Casey, Nevada’s Jacky Rosen, Montana’s Jon Tester and other Democrats facing reelection explain back home why they padlocked the government rather than squeeze one penny from each budget dollar? Would Mr. Schumer make these incumbents defend suspended federal functions because Democrats want foreign citizens to cast ballots and cancel the votes of American citizens?

Facing constituent wrath, these Democrats might help Republicans pass Mr. Johnson’s bill.

These Senate votes could be close. This could keep Ms. Harris pinned down in Washington, poised to break ties, rather than in swing states, dodging journalists.

This strategy would force a high-profile national debate on spending and foreign-citizen voting. These issues dovetail perfectly with voters’ chief concerns: the economy and immigration. This Republican bonanza would do the right thing for America.

It just takes leadership

DougMacG

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Races that will determine control of the Senate - Forever!
« Reply #1712 on: September 25, 2024, 06:16:37 AM »
https://x.com/RCPolitics/status/1838660236758126623  1 minute video. 5 close important races.  There are more like 10.  Winning is crucial and margin of victory matters.

Remember that Democrats want to add two Democrat states, 4 Democrat Senators in Washington DC and Puerto Rico.  Try winning the Senate ever again if that happens.  You think President Harris wouldn't do that?

We had a chance to run the table and yet at this late date control of the Senate is in doubt.

Question for those mostly sitting still (including me) as the nation faces this crossroads:

How are you going to win Senate races in Washington DC and Puerto Rico in 2026, 2028 if you can't win in Wisconsin, Arizona, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan in 2024.  Even Ted Cruz in Texas, Rick Scott in Florida, and Tim Sheehy in Montana are in close races.

Push versus pull, I throw out all solicitations for money - with the intent to decide for myself when and where I will send money.

The answers for giving money are in this thread, and we can expand on that.  TedCruz.org is one more.

Let's start making lists of ALL the like minded people we know and start calling each other until we know everyone has voted.

When Obama won his second term, it was conservatives that didn't show up.

We aren't going to get very many more second tries at this.

"It can't happen here" is what Venezuelans said when they were the richest country in Latin America.  It IS happening here, witness the 2020 and 2022 elections, and the changes in the country over the last four years.

DID YOU DO YOUR PART TO STOP IT?

Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1713 on: September 25, 2024, 10:38:33 AM »
Doug:

I am forwarding your posts to another forum and on my FB page.

Thank you!

DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1714 on: September 25, 2024, 10:44:08 AM »
Doug:

I am forwarding your posts to another forum and on my FB page.

Thank you!

Thank you, please spread far and wide everyone!

Crafty_Dog

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Moreno leading in Ohio Senate race
« Reply #1715 on: September 27, 2024, 10:59:17 AM »


GOP challenger Moreno holds slim edge on Democrat incumbent Brown

A new poll shows Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio trailing Republican challenger Bernie Moreno.

Mr. Moreno, a businessman, has the support of 48% of likely voters in the state, and Mr. Brown is favored by 46%, according to a Napolitan News survey.

Former President Donald Trump has long coattails for Mr. Moreno to hang on to in the Buckeye State. The poll also showed Mr. Trump leading his Democratic opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, by 11 points.

“Moreno benefits from the fact that Donald Trump is leading the presidential race in Ohio by 11 points,” the pollster said “This race is a classic test as to whether or not a long-term and popular incumbent can overcome the political gravity of a state.”

The challenge to Mr. Brown is key to GOP hopes of taking the upper chamber, where Democrats hold a two-seat majority.

Republicans also are eyeing pickups in West Virginia and Montana.

The Senate race is closer than the presidential race in Ohio because Mr. Brown is supported by 93% of Ms. Harris’ voters, while Mr. Moreno is supported by 83% of Mr. Trump’s voters, according to the poll.

— Kerry Picket



ccp

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Question for Doug
« Reply #1718 on: October 01, 2024, 07:37:42 AM »
Why are we only up 2 to 3 seats in Senate and maybe losing in the House.

Is it poor candidates?

Is it the Trump effect? Let us not remember he is more of a loser than winner.    He only won '16 by a tiny hair.  Then we lost '18, '20, '22 .   

Is it more simply money - being outspent?

BTW,

I knew Kari Lake was a mistake..... :-(




Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1719 on: October 01, 2024, 07:48:19 AM »
Not a Congressional race, but so too was Robinson for Gov here in NC.   The TV ads against him are absolutely devasting.

Regarding Trump's responsibility as head of the ticket for helping or hurting Congressional races: I would point out that hard core Pro-Life abortion policies at the state level are having big political consequences.   6 weeks?!?  Seriously?!?

IMHO Trump has done a fine job of positioning himself on this issue-- IT IS A MATTER FOR THE STATES.  And if Reps in the States are tone deaf on this issue, that is not his fault.

Just saw an ad here in NC.  Woman spoke of having had five children and wanting another (i.e. not a cat lady) but something arose with the fetus/baby at 12 weeks and just not wanting the government involved in her decision.   Very effective ad!
« Last Edit: October 01, 2024, 07:56:30 AM by Crafty_Dog »

ccp

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Robinson
« Reply #1720 on: October 01, 2024, 07:50:39 AM »
yes.
my God
talk of a November surprise.    :cry:

DougMacG

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Tester, Sheehy Montana Senate Debate
« Reply #1721 on: October 01, 2024, 03:13:15 PM »
https://www.c-span.org/video/?538830-1/montana-us-senate-debate

90 minutes.

This stuff is historic, but hard to take the time to follow all of them.

To me the issues are clear but when you have local public radio people framing the questions and the Dem opponent obscuring both sides of it, it's hard to make each point clear.

That said, no question Tim Sheehy is sharp and ready.  He will be a future star in the Senate.  Tester is clever, smooth, knowledgeable and experienced.  He tries to distance himself from an unpopular incumbent administration but there can be no doubt he voted with Biden, Pelosi, Schumer and the gang all his years in Washington.  He did NOT set himself apart as an independent in Washington, though he plays nothing but that card back home.
« Last Edit: October 01, 2024, 03:19:18 PM by DougMacG »

Crafty_Dog

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PA Senate
« Reply #1722 on: October 02, 2024, 08:05:53 PM »
6 More Years of ‘Punxsutawney Bob’?
Pennsylvania’s Democratic Sen. Casey leads the polls, but Dave McCormick is putting up a real fight.
By Kyle Peterson
Oct. 2, 2024 1:05 pm ET


Who’s to blame for the $12 Philly cheesesteak that used to cost $9.75? That’s what Dave McCormick, Pennsylvania’s GOP nominee for Senate, wants voters to ponder as they go to the polls Nov. 5. Asked about inflation last week at a business roundtable in this Philadelphia suburb, Mr. McCormick argued it was “very predictable,” after Democrats spent trillions of dollars while also constraining fossil-fuel development. “Those policies,” he said, “have hurt working families the most.”

Sen. Bob Casey, the Democratic incumbent, has a different theory. “You see it with all kinds of food and grocery stores, people paying more, and these big corporations are laughing all the way to the bank,” Mr. Casey recently told an audience, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren by his side. In campaign videos, he inveighs against what he calls “greedflation” and “shrinkflation.” His Senate office issued a report this summer criticizing Netflix, Hulu, Disney+ and other digital-media services for steadily increasing their prices, which he said was “streamflation.”

Mr. McCormick, sensing a comedic opening, is now telling voters to check out bobflation.com to see how prices of some classic Pennsylvania items have jumped in recent years, including for that Philly cheesesteak, as well as for a 6-inch hoagie from the Wawa convenience chain. “Bob Casey has no sense of how the economy works,” Mr. McCormick said at another suburban campaign stop. “That’s why he thinks the problem is greedflation, shrinkflation or these other things.”

But if Mr. Casey has the worse of the argument on inflation, he enjoys other advantages, including an 18-year incumbency in a state where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans, 44% to 40%. At the moment, he’s 4 to 5 points ahead, according to recent polling averages. Yet Mr. Casey won his past three races by 13 points, 9 points, and 17 points. Mr. McCormick’s ceiling appears to be rising, and the advertising will only get heavier.

For a GOP challenger, Mr. McCormick has an enviable résumé. He attended a public high school in Northeastern Pennsylvania; went on to West Point; earned a Bronze Star in the Gulf War; took a doctorate from Princeton; became CEO of FreeMarkets, a business-software firm in Pittsburgh; served the George W. Bush administration in various roles, including Treasury undersecretary; and became CEO of the hedge fund Bridgewater Associates.

Democrats have portrayed him as a wealthy carpetbagger who kept a home in Connecticut and hadn’t voted in Pennsylvania for 15 years, until he decided to run for the Senate in 2022. That year Mr. McCormick narrowly lost the Republican primary to TV personality Mehmet Oz, who then lost to John Fetterman. Questions about Mr. Oz’s Pennsylvania residency were an issue, and Mr. Fetterman launched a cheeky petition to get him inducted into the New Jersey Hall of Fame. That said, undecided voters also had other reasons to be skeptical of Mr. Oz, and Mr. McCormick’s Pennsylvania roots are less easily scoffed at.

At a rally with Donald Trump in the borough of Indiana last week, Mr. McCormick rattled off the towns where he was raised, baling hay and trimming Christmas trees, where “my pop-pop had a drugstore,” and where “my great-grandfather was a harness maker.” His mom, he said, was born in Punxsutawney, though its most famous resident is Phil the groundhog. “Punxsutawney reminds me of my opponent, Punxsutawney Bob,” Mr. McCormick added. “We only see him once every six years, right? He pops his head up, he starts to act like he’s been doing—he hasn’t been doing anything!”

This was at the first of two Trump rallies in Western Pennsylvania in a single week. Mr. Trump has another one this Saturday in Butler, where in July he was nearly assassinated. “This is a race between strength and weakness,” Mr. McCormick told the crowd in Indiana, after Mr. Trump invited him on stage. “I was standing there at Butler, 15 feet away. I saw you get shot. I saw you go down. And I saw you come up with your fist and say, ‘Fight, fight, fight!’ And that’s why we’re going to win.”

The two days after the Indiana rally Mr. McCormick spent working the suburban collar counties around Philadelphia, including at an event featuring Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, no favorite of Mr. Trump’s. “President Trump is an asset,” Mr. McCormick said in an interview. “He’s been a huge energizer for voters in Pennsylvania. But I’m running my own race.” One point of disagreement: Mr. Trump now wants to “restore” the federal deduction for state and local taxes, which his own 2017 law limited to $10,000. Mr. McCormick would keep that SALT cap.

The trick for Mr. McCormick is to galvanize rural Republicans who love Mr. Trump, while also getting reachable voters in and around the state’s two big cities. A Washington Post poll last month showed Mr. McCormick running ahead of Mr. Trump by 3 points in the Philly suburbs, while trailing Mr. Trump by 6 points across 19 counties in Western Pennsylvania, excluding Allegheny (Pittsburgh).

To compare, the last Republican to win a Senate seat in Pennsylvania was Pat Toomey, re-elected in 2016. Mr. Trump carried the state that year by 44,292 votes. Mr. Toomey’s margin was 86,690. He outperformed Mr. Trump’s vote share by 5.6 points in the Philly suburbs, while lagging Mr. Trump by 4.1 points in those 19 western counties. That math gets more difficult as the metro suburbs turn away from the MAGA GOP, even as Republicans are closing the state’s overall voter-registration gap.

This time Mr. Casey is the incumbent, and his name also happens to be an iconic Pennsylvania brand almost on par with Wawa. He’s a Senate three-termer (2007-present), after stints as state treasurer (2005-07) and auditor general (1997-05). His father, Bob Casey Sr., was governor (1987-95) and auditor general (1969-77). Many Pennsylvanians are used to filling in ovals for Bob Casey. Some surely still recall Casey Sr. as an antiabortion Catholic Democrat, who was kept offstage at his party’s 1992 presidential convention, shortly after the Supreme Court’s ruling in Planned Parenthood v. Casey.

Three decades later, Kamala Harris is saying that if Democrats win in November, they should override the Senate’s 60-vote filibuster rule and use a simple majority to pass a permissive national abortion law. Sen. Casey agrees. “The 60-vote rule has been an impediment to progress on a whole host of fronts,” he told CNN, including “women’s rights,” “voting rights,” “workers’ rights,” and “measures to reduce gun violence.”

So far the filibuster hasn’t been a big topic for these two candidates, but perhaps it’ll come up when they debate on Thursday, or in TV ads going after the incumbent’s reputation as a moderate. Mr. Casey “is a 98.6% vote for Biden-Harris,” Mr. McCormick said. “That is why Pennsylvania should be deeply afraid, because he is too weak and too liberal to stand up to a Democratic Party that is going off the deep end.”

Mr. Peterson is a member of the Journal’s editorial board.


Crafty_Dog

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Kinzinger
« Reply #1724 on: October 23, 2024, 10:15:14 AM »

Body-by-Guinness

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Re: Kinzinger
« Reply #1725 on: October 23, 2024, 12:22:01 PM »


https://x.com/seanmdav/status/1848894024154800179

For the record, 100 yards is considered a safe distance at which to shoot steel with a high velocity rifle. Even then there have been instances of people being hit by ricochet/spall, with the common denominator generally being steel target that were all sorts of beat up and hence ought to have been retired.

DougMacG

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US Senate and House races
« Reply #1726 on: October 25, 2024, 06:52:31 AM »
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/expect-the-gop-to-win-big-in-the-senate-secret-weapon-trump-voters-election-578d3764

Republicans will take the Senate but they need to win these other close races in order to hold the Senate in future years.

I hope what these analysts are saying is also true for the close House races.

Divided government is not a win. We already have divided government.

DougMacG

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Late breaking, republicans flipped national generic congressional poll
« Reply #1727 on: October 27, 2024, 05:50:56 AM »
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/2024/generic-congressional-vote

Point of trivia, are voters' views shifting or are pollsters just trying to lessen their bias to protect their reputation?  Only the final polls really get compared with reality.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1728 on: October 27, 2024, 07:41:29 AM »
 :-D

I pray thats true and the phony ballots harvested will not flip it back.

 :x


DougMacG

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US House, US Senate races, LAST CALL FOR HELP
« Reply #1729 on: October 27, 2024, 08:04:21 AM »
LAST CALL! Share this info.  Ignore solicitations and go directly to the candidates' donation sites.

Earlier money might have a better multiplier effect but late money might make the difference.  Late money will help them make their final push and counteract the flood of negative ads they face.  Also, the party may need to teams of lawyers to face what the opposition has planned after election day.

The million-fold multiplier.  This is how so-called small money donations work.  If you send 20, 50 or 100 to each of these highly contested races and a million others also do (only 1 out of every 260 adults), that makes 20 million, 50 million or 100 million dollars.  OTOH, If you don't give and other people don't, that makes zero.  But not for the Democrats who are swimming in money, plus they control nearly every network and social media platform.

Note: Setup an alternative phone number and alternative email address for your political contributions before you start.  For a phone number, get one of the voice or text over internet apps on your cell phone such as 'textnow', and for email I use something like donotreplytoDoug at gmail.com, NOT your primary number.
---------------------------------

US House: 1. Send to the best candidate in the contested races near you.
2. Send to the Congressional Leadership Fund (GOP)
https://secure.winred.com/clf/donate-today

https://secure.winred.com/clf/donate-today

US Senate

Michigan,  Mike Rogers
https://secure.winred.com/team-rogers/donate?recurring=true&money_pledge=false&amount=50

Ohio, Bernie Mareno.  Why do we have Democrats representing Republican states?
https://secure.winred.com/bernie-moreno-for-senate/donate?sc=20230412_BMORENO_WEB_WEB_WEBSITE_PROC&utm_source=proc&utm_medium=web

Pennsylvania, David McCormick, Pennsylvania is the center of the political universe right now.
Energy in the Senate race helps Trump Vance as well.
https://secure.winred.com/mccormick-pa/home-page?recurring=true

Wisconsin , Eric Hovde
https://secure.winred.com/hovde-for-wisconsin/website-p?utm_source=proc&utm_campaign=website&utm_medium=proc&sc=20240215_HOVDE4WI_PROC_WEBSITE_WEBSITE_DEFAULT

Nevada,  Sam Brown
https://secure.winred.com/sam-brown/website-donation?utm_source=website&utm_medium=website&utm_campaign=organic

New Mexico,  Nella Domenici
https://secure.winred.com/nella-for-senate/faf

Arizona, Kari Lake, see above, same goes for Arizona.
https://secure.winred.com/kari-lake-for-senate/80203c12-d11c-4183-b8d9-e9181177b481?recurring=false

Don't lose Texas, Ted Cruz
https://www.tedcruz.org/

Feel free to add to this list.

DougMacG

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RCP: Five Senate Toss up Races
« Reply #1730 on: October 28, 2024, 07:16:36 AM »
Who wins these 5 will determine who controls the Senate 2 years out, 4 years out, even 6 and more years out.

Donation info in previous post.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/senate/2024/toss-up

Body-by-Guinness

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”Go Back to Your $2 Million Home in Portsmouth”
« Reply #1731 on: November 04, 2024, 06:16:05 PM »
If you haven’t seen this debate where the wife of Jake Sullivan’s wife Maggie Goodlander gets tongue lashed in broken English about her economic illiteracy, to name one topic, you owe it to yourself to check it out:

https://x.com/joeroganhq/status/1853320977024954721?s=61

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Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1733 on: November 06, 2024, 02:35:57 PM »
If we keep the House the table is set for big things.

There will be temptation to repeal the filibuster in the Senate.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1734 on: November 06, 2024, 02:47:52 PM »
There will be temptation to repeal the filibuster in the Senate

I think we are better keeping it like it is.  Going down that road is truly a nuclear option.
Didn't Joe Manchin hold the line on that?

Perhaps he would be useful in Trump administration though unclear where or if he was even inclined .

What do you think?


Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1735 on: November 06, 2024, 02:55:00 PM »
I agree we should keep it, but the temptation is strong , , ,  They would have done it first and we have a country to save, but then that reasoning is always the temptation isn't it?

Body-by-Guinness

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1736 on: November 06, 2024, 10:07:11 PM »
I agree we should keep it, but the temptation is strong , , ,  They would have done it first and we have a country to save, but then that reasoning is always the temptation isn't it?
Perhaps we should have some fun with it: “So, we could eliminate the filibuster and push a lot of stuff through if we wanted to. You all on the other side of the aisle likely don’t want that. So tell you what, first answer this question: ‘If your side of the aisle were in a similar, advantageous position, would you get rid of the filibuster and pack the Supreme Court?’ If you answer honestly (i.e. “yes,” duh) we are willing to consider a proposal where, in exchange for keeping the filibuster, you guys allow us to pass X, Y, and Z (all of which should be items that would serve American interests like a budget freeze, and all should be items that will really stick in their craw). If you do so, we will not consider any filibuster changes until after the mid-term.”

Make one of those things to be passed a nation wide voter ID with the requirement states have until the next election clean up their voter rolls, with whatever percentage of their rolls that is questionable being withheld to a commensurate degree from the federal funds that state receives. We’d see some pretty spic and span rolls toot sweet, while particularly corrupt states would say “fine, keep 17 percent or whatever of your damn money, we’ve spent too many years stacking the deck to allow it to be cleaned up now.” It’d be a win either way….
« Last Edit: November 07, 2024, 10:18:37 AM by Body-by-Guinness »

Crafty_Dog

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1737 on: November 07, 2024, 05:55:04 AM »
That is gloriously Machiavellian!

Body-by-Guinness

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1738 on: November 07, 2024, 10:19:38 AM »
That is gloriously Machiavellian!

Ol' Nicolo is a misunderstood small "d" democrat that would have approved of this message....

Body-by-Guinness

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Battle to Replace McConnell Begins
« Reply #1739 on: November 08, 2024, 04:44:08 AM »
Perhaps a stretch placing this here, but an early battle worth watching. Don’t know much about Thune, but if he’s a typical cocktail lounge Republican then I hope Trump gets involved and has his way:

Thune urges Trump to stay out of race to replace McConnell
The Hill News / by Alexander Bolton / Nov 8, 2024 at 6:27 AM

Senate Republican Whip John Thune (S.D.) is urging President-elect Trump not to put his thumb on the scale in the race to elect a successor to outgoing Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.), putting a new wrinkle in the high-stakes contest.

Thune in recent days has declared his preference that Trump give Republican senators space to make their own decision about who should lead the new Senate GOP majority, arguing it would be in Trump’s “best interests” to stay neutral.

That argument has been echoed by Thune’s allies, such as Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.), who told CNN earlier this week that Trump should “stay out of the race.”

Thune’s comments are creating a stir among Senate insiders two days after Trump won a resounding victory over Vice President Harris and helped Republicans regain the Senate majority.

Allies of Thune’s two rivals in the leadership race, Sens. John Cornyn (R-Texas) and Rick Scott (R-Fla.), say that calls for Trump to stay out of the leadership race indicate that Thune is nervous that the president-elect would endorse either Cornyn or Scott — which would be a serious setback.

“He’s terrified. He knows that Trump won’t endorse him. If he knows that, then Trump getting involved hurts him,” a Senate Republican aide said.

Thune’s rivals have a better relationship with Trump, especially Scott, who’s the closest to the president-elect of the three.

Scott represents Trump’s adopted home state of Florida, and as National Republican Senatorial Committee chairman traveled to Mar-a-Lago in April of 2021, when Trump was still something of a pariah among GOP senators, to give him a “Champion of Freedom” award.

Scott was later challenged about it in an interview with ABC’s George Stephanopoulos, who asked if he was endorsing Trump’s “lies” about the 2020 election.

Trump on Thursday named Susie Wiles, who ran Scott's first campaign for governor in 2010, as his White House chief of staff. She served as his presidential campaign manager.

He was also the first senator to travel to New York to attend Trump’s criminal trial on charges of falsifying business records.

Scott and his allies are hoping that Trump will weigh in strongly on his behalf in the leadership race. Without Trump’s enthusiastic endorsement, he probably does not have a viable path to becoming majority leader, Senate Republican sources say.

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), who has endorsed Scott, called on Trump Thursday to intervene in the leadership race.

“Jesse, if you’ve got any influence with President Trump, ask President Trump to come out publicly and say he wants to work with someone as accomplished as Rick Scott to accomplish his agenda,” Johnson asked conservative podcast host Jesse Kelly in an interview. 

Cornyn, who served as Senate GOP whip during Trump’s first two years in the White House, doesn’t have as good a relationship with Trump as Scott but his supporters argue he’s closer to the president-elect than Thune.

Cornyn spent time with Trump in recent weeks at a rally in Reno, Nevada, and a meeting in Austin, Texas.

He was also a special guest at fundraisers for the Trump-Vance campaign in Laredo, San Antonio and Houston in August. The Texas fundraising swing raised “well into the seven figures” for the Trump campaign, according to a source familiar with Cornyn’s political operation.

Cornyn has reminded Trump of their accomplishments working together when he served as the No. 2-ranking Republican in 2017 and 2018, including passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and confirming conservatives Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

“As I told President Trump, I’m interested in getting the band back together again,” Cornyn told Fox News’ Neil Cavuto.

Thune has had rockier relationship with Trump in the past.

It hit a low point after Thune opposed an effort to object to the certification of electoral votes for Joe Biden after the 2020 election.

Trump got so made about Thune’s pledge to defeat objections to Arizona’s and Pennsylvania’s electoral slates four years ago that he called for the amiable South Dakota Republican to face a primary challenger in 2022.

“South Dakota doesn’t like weakness,” Trump tweeted in December of 2020. “He will be primaried in 2022, political career over!!!”

Thune, nevertheless, cruised to an easy reelection.

Thune has since tried to mend fences with Trump. He visited the president-elect at his Mar-a-Lago home in March and spoke to him on the phone Wednesday.

The No. 2-ranking Senate GOP leader has pledged to work closely with Trump to pass his legislative agenda in 2025 and 2026 if he is elected to become the next Senate majority leader.

But he advised Trump on Wednesday to let Senate Republicans make their own decision about who should lead the conference next year, defending what Republican senators have long viewed as their prerogative to run their own conference.

“I’m staying in regular contact with him and with his team and, obviously, if he wants to, he could exert a considerable amount of influence on that but, honestly, I think my preference would be and I think it’s probably in his best interest to stay out of [the race,]” Thune told CNBC’s Joe Kernen.

“These Senate secret-ballot elections are probably best left to the senators and he’s got to work with all of us when it’s all said and done,” he said.

Thune made similar comments in a Fox News interview, acknowledging that Trump could  swing the race one way or another.

“The president obviously has tremendous influence if he chooses to use it. I think in leadership elections, particularly in the Senate … it is a very sort of inside baseball thing,” he said, arguing that Senate Republicans will be able to find the right person for the job without outside influence.

“I think if he lets it play out, we'll get the right person. I've had conversations with him and have told him that we want to get his team in place so that he can hit the ground running and get to work on an agenda to make sure that he and our team succeeds,” he said.

The last time a president played a major role in picking a Senate majority leader was in late 2002.

Sen. Bill Frist’s (R-Tenn.) close relationship with then-President President George W. Bush was a big reason why he was elected to succeed Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-Miss.), who resigned from the leadership after making controversial remarks at late-Sen. Strom Thurmond’s (R-S.C.) 100th birthday party.

Frist had previously served as NRSC chairman but he didn’t work his way up the leadership ranks as other GOP leaders have done, and his management style as well as his deference to the Bush administration rankled some GOP senators.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4979745-john-thune-donald-trump-senate-gop-leadership/

DougMacG

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Re: Battle to Replace McConnell Begins
« Reply #1740 on: November 08, 2024, 05:57:10 AM »
A name not mentioned, I support Marco Rubio for Senate Majority Leader.

We'll see if they read the forum.

Yes Trump helped them win the majority and of course he will voice input on who he wants to work with.
« Last Edit: November 08, 2024, 06:00:13 AM by DougMacG »

DougMacG

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Ted Cruz in Texas was the Democrats' biggest pickup opportunity
« Reply #1741 on: November 08, 2024, 06:54:42 AM »
Ted Cruz won by 9%.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/battlegrounds/2024/senate

Trump polled better than each of the R Senate candidates.

Enough people in Michigan and Wisconsin came in and voted Trump only, nothing down ballot, to cost Republicans these two key seats.

That will haunt us for years to come.

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1742 on: November 08, 2024, 07:19:12 AM »
" Enough people in Michigan and Wisconsin came in and voted Trump only, nothing down ballot, to cost Republicans these two key seats. "

How do you know this?


DougMacG

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1743 on: November 08, 2024, 10:06:20 AM »
" Enough people in Michigan and Wisconsin came in and voted Trump only, nothing down ballot, to cost Republicans these two key seats. "

How do you know this?

An analyst on Hugh Hewitt radio this morning.  I think it was Ben Domenech of the Federalist?
-----------
Another point that came out yesterday, there are two exit polls people are looking at right now. Neither are reliable. Pew research takes a much deeper dive and that comes out in a few months.
------------
Trump improved his vote share since 2020 in 49 states, not in Washington state. Update, this article says that state was colorado.
https://x.com/amuse/status/1854922838001828068
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Speaking of unreliable exit polls, Trump won with married women.

Republicans are seriously challenged with single women. (story of my life)
« Last Edit: November 08, 2024, 01:14:16 PM by DougMacG »

Body-by-Guinness

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1744 on: November 09, 2024, 12:50:50 AM »
There will be temptation to repeal the filibuster in the Senate

I think we are better keeping it like it is.  Going down that road is truly a nuclear option.
Didn't Joe Manchin hold the line on that?

Perhaps he would be useful in Trump administration though unclear where or if he was even inclined .

What do you think?
The Daily Wire reached out to every senate Democrat to see if they still supported ending the filibuster to see if they had anything to add to the discussion:

https://www.dailywire.com/news/we-asked-every-dem-senator-about-the-filibuster-and-scotus-here-are-their-responses

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« Last Edit: November 09, 2024, 05:59:50 AM by ccp »

Crafty_Dog

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WSJ: AZ Lake loses winnable race
« Reply #1747 on: November 12, 2024, 07:16:30 PM »


Kari Lake Loses Again in Arizona
The GOP Senate candidate loses another winnable race, proving again that candidate quality matters.
By The Editorial Board
Nov. 12, 2024 5:34 pm ET





Republicans performed well in Arizona’s 2024 elections, with a glaring exception that proves again how much candidate quality matters. The U.S. Senate race was called Monday night, confirming another defeat for Kari Lake. The Democratic victor, Rep. Ruben Gallego, is well to the left of most Arizona voters, and it was the GOP’s race to lose, but Ms. Lake pulled it off.

cont

Crafty_Dog

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Thune & Cornyn "most evil deep state moments"
« Reply #1748 on: November 13, 2024, 08:12:24 AM »

ccp

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Re: The US Congress; Congressional races
« Reply #1749 on: November 13, 2024, 09:10:35 AM »
Did we win the House?
I heard we did but when I google search all the news is "too close to call"

[as the Dems scramble to steal as many as they can supported by MSM]